SPC AC 101214
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0614 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Valid 101300Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON FROM CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO WESTERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are forecast this morning and early
afternoon from LA/MS into AL/GA.
...LA/MS/AL/GA...
Strong and deep southwesterly flow is present today over much of the
southeast US, with a well-defined baroclinic zone extending from
central LA across parts of MS/AL into northern GA. Thunderstorms
have been intensifying in the past few hours across southeast MS,
where multiple supercell structures and a couple of confirmed
tornadoes have occurred. This activity is expected to persist for
several more hours, tracking across parts of central AL and
eventually into western GA. Low-level winds and shear have become
sufficiently strong to support risk of a strong tornado or two along
this corridor.
By early afternoon, storms will spread eastward into GA and upstate
SC, where very weak instability will limit the severe threat.
..Hart/Kerr.. 01/10/2026
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
SPC AC 100643
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1243 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday
night.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough over the mid Mississippi Valley will move to
the Atlantic Seaboard on Sunday, as northwesterly mid-level flow
becomes established over much of the central and eastern part of the
U.S. At the surface, an area of high pressure will remain over the
south-central and southeastern U.S. The pattern will keep a dry and
cool airmass in place over most of the continental U.S., making
thunderstorm development unlikely in the U.S. Sunday and Sunday
night.
..Broyles.. 01/10/2026
WUUS02 PTSDY2
SPC AC 100825
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Monday and Monday
night.
...DISCUSSION...
A large-scale upper-level trough will remain over the eastern U.S.
on Monday, as a mid-level shortwave trough moves southeastward into
the north-central states Monday night. At the surface, an area of
high pressure will remain anchored over the Gulf Coast states on
Monday, as a cool and dry airmass remains in place over much of the
continental U.S. For this reason, thunderstorms are not expected to
develop over the nation Monday or Monday night.
..Broyles.. 01/10/2026
WUUS03 PTSDY3
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
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