Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0210 AM CST Tue Nov 03 2026

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are unlikely on Thursday.

...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough will move across the central Plains and into the
MS Valley where it will phase with the trough extending southward
across the Great Lakes. This combined positive-tilt trough will then
sweep eastward toward the OH and TN valleys overnight.

Well ahead of this trough, southerly winds will bring 60s F
dewpoints northward across the Mid Atlantic, though instability will
be relatively weak. Isolated daytime convection may occur from GA
into the Carolinas, but lapse rates and shear will both be poor.
Scattered showers may persist overnight as a weak surface trough
develops and southwest low-level winds maintain a moist air mass.

..Jewell.. 11/03/2026

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 AM CST Tue Nov 03 2026

Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

...DISCUSSION...
On Fri/D4, a positive-tilt upper trough is forecast to move across
the Appalachians, with a 50+ kt midlevel speed max moving into the
Mid Atlantic. At least mid 60s F dewpoints will already be in place
from GA into the Carolinas and eastern VA ahead of a developing cold
front, which will likely lead to weak destabilization. Indications
are that scattered rain and thunderstorms may be ongoing early in
the day from the Savannah River to the DelMarVa, which will limit
further destabilization. Moderate deep-layer shear along with
sufficient instability could aid at least a low-end wind potential.

From Sat/D5 through Tue/D8, high pressure is forecast to spread
across most of the CONUS, shunting any appreciable moisture and
instability offshore.