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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 167 TORNADO AL AR IL IN KY MO MS TN 280245Z - 281000Z
WW 0167 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 167
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far Northwestern Alabama
  Far Northeastern Arkansas
  Southern Illinois
  Far Southwestern Indiana
  Western Kentucky
  Far Southeastern Missouri
  Northern Mississippi
  Western and Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 945 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms is expected to continue
eastward/southeastward into the Lower OH and Mid MS Valleys, and
Mid-South over the next few hours. Strong wind gusts and
line-embedded tornadoes are possible within this line. Additional
more discrete storms are possible across northern MS and into far
northwest AL. All severe hazards, including tornadoes, are possible
with any discrete storms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Evansville
IN to 20 miles south of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 162...WW 164...WW
165...WW 166...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28035.

...Mosier

  WW 166 TORNADO AR 280120Z - 280900Z
WW 0166 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 166
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern and Central Arkansas

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 820 PM
  until 400 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase this evening
across northern and central Arkansas. A strongly unstable airmass is
in place, with strong deep-layer vertical shear over the region as
well. The environmental conditions will support the development of
supercells capable of all severe hazards, including large hail and
tornadoes. Strengthening low-level flow over the next few hours
could result in an environment that supports strong to intense
tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Flippin AR to 35
miles south southwest of Little Rock AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 160...WW 161...WW
162...WW 163...WW 164...WW 165...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.

...Mosier

  WW 165 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH 280035Z - 280800Z
WW 0165 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 165
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM EDT Mon Apr 27 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern and Central Indiana
  North-Central Kentucky
  Far Western Ohio

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 835 PM
  until 400 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts
and isolated hail will continue in the vicinity of the Ohio River
across far southern Indiana and north-central Kentucky.
Additionally, the line of storms approaching Indiana from the west
is expected to continue quickly eastward. Damaging gusts are
possible within this line. There is also a low-probability risk for
a brief tornado within the line as it moves eastward across Indiana
and eventually into far western Ohio.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of
Lafayette IN to 35 miles southeast of Louisville KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 160...WW 161...WW
162...WW 163...WW 164...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Mosier

  WW 0167 Status Updates
WW 0167 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 167

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW ARG TO
40 WNW DYR TO 20 NNW DYR TO 30 SW PAH TO 10 N PAH TO 10 NNE OWB
TO 35 NE OWB.

..JEWELL..04/28/26

ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...PAH...OHX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC033-059-077-280640-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLBERT              FRANKLIN            LAUDERDALE          


ARC031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-280640-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAIGHEAD            CRITTENDEN          CROSS               
GREENE               LEE                 MISSISSIPPI         
PHILLIPS             POINSETT            ST. FRANCIS         


ILC127-280640-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MASSAC               
  WW 0166 Status Updates
WW 0166 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 166

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FSM TO
15 E FLP TO 35 ESE UNO.

..LEITMAN..04/28/26

ATTN...WFO...LZK...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC023-029-045-051-059-063-065-067-075-083-085-095-097-105-113-
115-117-119-121-125-127-135-137-141-145-147-149-280540-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLEBURNE             CONWAY              FAULKNER            
GARLAND              HOT SPRING          INDEPENDENCE        
IZARD                JACKSON             LAWRENCE            
LOGAN                LONOKE              MONROE              
MONTGOMERY           PERRY               POLK                
POPE                 PRAIRIE             PULASKI             
RANDOLPH             SALINE              SCOTT               
SHARP                STONE               VAN BUREN           
WHITE                WOODRUFF            YELL                


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0165 Status Updates
WW 0165 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 165

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE OWB TO
15 WNW SDF TO 35 NE SDF TO 35 SW LUK TO 20 WNW LUK TO 25 S DAY.

..JEWELL..04/28/26

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...LMK...ILN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 165 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

INC043-061-155-280640-

IN 
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FLOYD                HARRISON            SWITZERLAND         


KYC001-003-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-037-041-045-049-
053-057-061-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-091-093-097-099-103-111-
113-117-123-137-141-151-155-163-167-169-171-179-181-183-185-187-
191-201-207-209-211-213-215-217-223-227-229-239-280640-

KY 
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                ALLEN               ANDERSON            
BARREN               BOONE               BOURBON             
BOYLE                BRACKEN             BRECKINRIDGE        
BULLITT              BUTLER              CAMPBELL            
CARROLL              CASEY               CLARK               
CLINTON              CUMBERLAND          EDMONSON            
FAYETTE              FRANKLIN            GALLATIN            
GARRARD              GRANT               GRAYSON             
GREEN                HANCOCK             HARDIN              
  WW 0164 Status Updates
WW 0164 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 164

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE GYI
TO 30 NNE PRX TO 10 ENE HRO.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0585

..MOORE..04/28/26

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SHV...FWD...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 164 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC061-081-091-133-280340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HOWARD               LITTLE RIVER        MILLER              
SEVIER               


OKC089-280340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MCCURTAIN            


TXC037-063-067-085-113-119-139-147-159-183-203-213-223-231-257-
277-315-343-379-387-397-423-439-449-459-467-499-280340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

  No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Apr 28 05:33:04 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI INTO FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN
KENTUCKY...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms should continue through tonight with a wind and hail
threat. A few tornadoes may still occur, and a couple of strong
tornadoes remain possible.

...Synopsis...
A negatively tilted 500 mb mid-level trough continues to traverse
the Upper Midwest in tandem with a surface low, supporting a surface
cold front to sweep across the Mid-MS Valley. A persistent elongated
convective system has materialized along the cold front, accompanied
by several embedded and preceding supercells. These storms have a
collective history of severe wind and hail, with some stones
reaching the 2-3 inch diameter range. 

Upper 60s to low 70s F surface dewpoints, beneath 8+ C/km mid-level
lapse rates, resides ahead of the cold front/storms, yielding over
3000 J/kg MLCAPE in spots. Meanwhile, strong mid-level flow
associated with a speed max is overspreading an intensifying (45+
kt) southwesterly low-level jet, resulting in 50+ kts of effective
bulk shear and large/curved low-level hodographs with 300-500 m2/s2
effective SRH (per 00Z mesoanalysis and regional VADs). Supercells
have failed to organize and produce tornadoes up to this point.
However, storms along/ahead of the cold front will continue to
advance eastward toward the low-level jet/shear axis. Therefore, an
uptick in tornado activity may still occur early tonight, especially
with any discrete, sustained supercells that can develop. Discrete
storms may also be accompanied by severe hail, with severe wind
gusts likely with continued linear storm modes.

..Squitieri.. 04/28/2026

  SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1229 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS...

...Synopsis...
As a low pressure system off the West Coast slowly approaches Baja
CA, a mid/upper shortwave trough over the Southwest will traverse
the High Plains encouraging strong westerly mid-level flow. Fire
weather conditions will continue for portions of western NM into the
southern Plains as a result of downslope warming and boundary layer
mixing. A deepening surface low will pass over the Great Lakes
region into southern Ontario, assisting in the breakdown of upper
ridging along the Eastern Seaboard. Increasing low-level southerly
flow ahead of an incoming trough and associated cold front will
allow for fire weather concerns to emerge in Upstate NY and western
VT amid a very dry airmass.

...Southern Plains...
Critical fire weather conditions are expected to continue this
afternoon where a dry airmass and strong winds overlap a region of
receptive fuels. Widespread west to southwest winds of 15-20 mph
coupled with RH falling to 10-20 percent atop a dry fuelscape will
increase fire spread potential for any new and/or ongoing wildfires.
More intense wind belts of 20-25 mph aligning with RH reductions
close to 10 percent yield Critical fire weather conditions across
east-central and southeastern NM into adjacent portions of TX.

...Upstate New York and Western Vermont...
As surface pressure gradients tighten surrounding a surface low
positioned over central/eastern Ontario, southerly winds are
expected to reach 10-15 mph with localized/terrain enhanced 20 mph
corridors likely. Mid-upper level cloud cover will increase this
morning through the afternoon hours, potentially limiting deeper
mixing. However, RH of 25-35 percent (locally near 20 percent) are
still expected by early afternoon. These dry and breezy conditions
will align amid dry fuels to promote an Elevated fire weather threat
across upstate NY and western VT.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 04/28/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

  SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1231 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...Synopsis...
A mid/upper level shortwave trough will traverse the Midwest into
the Ohio Valley as an attendant surface low approaches the
Mid-Atlantic. A trailing cold front will progress east of the
Appalachians extending into the Southeast by Wednesday afternoon.
Dry westerly flow south of the advancing cold front is expected to
increase fire weather concerns for portions of southern GA and
northern FL where fuels remain dry. Enhanced mid-level westerly flow
ahead of an approaching Pacific trough will bolster a continued
downslope regime across the Southwest. With preceding days of
fire-effective weather conditions and receptive fuels, fire weather
concerns will persist over central NM to far eastern AZ on
Wednesday.

...Southwest...
Persistent westerly mid-level flow and developing lee-surface
troughing will promote dry and breezy conditions across eastern AZ
into central NM. While winds are fairly marginal compared to
previous days, widespread westerly winds of 15-20 mph and RH of less
than 15 percent amid dry fuels will support Elevated fire weather
conditions on Wednesday afternoon.

...Southern Georgia and northern Florida...
Beneath the upper level trough, a deepening surface low over the
Mid-Atlantic will enhance southwest to westerly surface winds across
much of the Southeast. An Elevated fire weather threat exists where
delayed Gulf moisture return amid an existing dry boundary layer is
expected to support minimum RH reductions of 25-35 percent (locally
less than 25 percent) across portions of southern GA into northern
FL by Wednesday afternoon. However, precipitation appears likely
along a southward progressing cold front through central GA. Fire
weather highlights may be adjusted in future outlooks as forecast
guidance aligns in the location/extent of the cold front and
rainfall amounts.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 04/28/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

 






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