Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1021 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A shortwave trough, and accompanying intense jet streak with 500 mb
winds over 100 kt, will continue eastward through the OH Valley
today and off the Northeast coast by early tomorrow. Surface low
associated with this wave will progress northeastward from its
current position over southeastern Lower MI/southwestern Ontario
along the St. Lawrence Valley today, continuing through ME and into
the Canadian Maritimes by early tomorrow. An extensive cold front
extending southeastward from this low will push quickly
eastward/southeastward through the southern Plains and much of the
eastern CONUS, ending the period well off the East Coast. 

Passage of this cold front will reinforce the dry and stable
conditions across the majority of the CONUS, precluding
thunderstorms. Modest low-level moisture will remain over
central/southern FL throughout the day, but warm low to mid-level
temperatures will prohibit deep convection, limiting the
thunderstorm potential.

..Mosier/Moore.. 12/10/2025

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1052 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.

...Synopsis...

A broad expanse of northwesterly flow aloft will stretch from the
Pacific Northwest to the Southeast on Thursday as an upper ridge
builds over the eastern Pacific and an upper trough moves offshore
the Atlantic coast. Prior surface cold frontal intrusions into the
Gulf will leave a dearth of boundary layer moisture east of the
Rockies. With a dry and stable boundary layer in place,
thunderstorms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 12/10/2025

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1038 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Valid 101700Z - 111200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous
discussion for more details.

..Nauslar.. 12/10/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1151 PM CST Tue Dec 09 2025/

...Synopsis...
Fire-weather concerns are expected to remain low today across the
CONUS. The pattern will be defined by a longwave trough across the
east and a high amplitude ridge across the west. Between these two
features, generally northerly flow will over spread the Plains amid
surface high pressure. Some areas of dry/breezy conditions will be
possible across western and north-central Texas where daytime highs
are expected to be warm. Fire-weather concerns will be limited by
lack of receptive fuels for large wild-fire spread.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...