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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 351 TORNADO AL FL LA MS CW 181255Z - 182200Z
WW 0351 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 351
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
755 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Alabama
  Western Florida Panhandle
  Southeast Louisiana
  Southeast Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 755 AM until
  500 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes likely
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A very strong low-level wind field will transition
northeastward across the region today and interact with a moist
environment, supporting the potential for supercells capable of
tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles north northwest of Slidell
LA to 40 miles east northeast of Evergreen AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 349...WW 350...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22025.

...Guyer

  WW 350 SEVERE TSTM VA WV 181110Z - 181600Z
WW 0350 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 350
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Virginia
  Eastern West Virginia

* Effective this Thursday morning from 710 AM until NOON EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A fast-moving organized linear system with a history of
wind damage/some tornadoes overnight will continue
east-southeastward this morning. Wind damage will remain possible if
not likely, even if the linear system begins to weaken across the
mountains.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of White
Sulphur Springs WV to 35 miles northeast of Lynchburg VA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 349...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30035.

...Guyer

  WW 349 TORNADO IN KY OH WV 180835Z - 181500Z
WW 0349 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Indiana
  Northern and Eastern Kentucky
  Southern Ohio
  West Virginia

* Effective this Thursday morning from 335 AM until 1000 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Well-organized/fast-moving storms including an intense
linear bowing system and some embedded supercells will continue
east-southeastward through the early morning hours, with continued
damaging wind and tornado potential within a strongly sheared
environment.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west of Louisville KY to 45
miles north northeast of Beckley WV. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 347...WW 348...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 29040.

...Guyer

  WW 0351 Status Updates
WW 0351 Status Image

STATUS FOR WATCH 0351 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
  WW 0350 Status Updates
WW 0350 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 350

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BROYLES..06/18/26

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 350 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

VAC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-027-029-031-035-037-045-
051-063-067-071-077-079-083-089-091-121-125-141-143-155-161-163-
165-173-185-197-530-540-580-590-640-660-678-680-690-750-770-775-
790-820-181240-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBEMARLE            ALLEGHANY           AMHERST             
APPOMATTOX           AUGUSTA             BATH                
BEDFORD              BLAND               BOTETOURT           
BUCHANAN             BUCKINGHAM          CAMPBELL            
CARROLL              CHARLOTTE           CRAIG               
DICKENSON            FLOYD               FRANKLIN            
GILES                GRAYSON             GREENE              
HALIFAX              HENRY               HIGHLAND            
MONTGOMERY           NELSON              PATRICK             
PITTSYLVANIA         PULASKI             ROANOKE             
ROCKBRIDGE           ROCKINGHAM          SMYTH               
TAZEWELL             WYTHE               


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

BUENA VISTA          CHARLOTTESVILLE     COVINGTON           
DANVILLE             GALAX               HARRISONBURG        
  WW 0349 Status Updates
WW 0349 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 349

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE OWB TO
35 ENE LEX TO 30 WSW HTS TO 5 N HTS TO 5 S UNI.

..BROYLES..06/18/26

ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...ILN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 349 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

INC061-123-181240-

IN 
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARRISON             PERRY               


KYC005-011-017-019-025-029-049-063-065-067-071-073-079-111-113-
115-119-127-129-151-153-159-163-165-167-173-175-189-195-197-205-
209-215-237-239-181240-

KY 
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON             BATH                BOURBON             
BOYD                 BREATHITT           BULLITT             
CLARK                ELLIOTT             ESTILL              
FAYETTE              FLOYD               FRANKLIN            
GARRARD              JEFFERSON           JESSAMINE           
JOHNSON              KNOTT               LAWRENCE            
LEE                  MADISON             MAGOFFIN            
MARTIN               MEADE               MENIFEE             
MERCER               MONTGOMERY          MORGAN              
OWSLEY               PIKE                POWELL              
  WW 0348 Status Updates
WW 0348 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 348

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BROYLES..06/18/26

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...MOB...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 348 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-057-063-071-075-087-089-091-093-
095-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-181040-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION            ASSUMPTION          EAST BATON ROUGE    
EAST FELICIANA       IBERIA              IBERVILLE           
JEFFERSON            LAFOURCHE           LIVINGSTON          
ORLEANS              PLAQUEMINES         ST. BERNARD         
ST. CHARLES          ST. HELENA          ST. JAMES           
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. MARTIN          ST. MARY            
ST. TAMMANY          TANGIPAHOA          TERREBONNE          
WASHINGTON           WEST BATON ROUGE    


MSC039-045-047-059-109-131-181040-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GEORGE               HANCOCK             HARRISON            
JACKSON              PEARL RIVER         STONE               


GMZ435-436-455-529-531-532-533-534-535-536-541-543-551-553-554-
  MD 1181 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST
MD 1181 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1181
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0831 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Northeast

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 181331Z - 181530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms to shift eastward with potential for
damaging wind and perhaps a tornado.

DISCUSSION...Low topped convection will continue eastward this
morning across portions of the Northeast. Strong southerly flow is
ushering in higher dew points ahead of this line. Though cloud cover
is prominent, further destabilization is expected to occur through
filtered heating into the early afternoon with MLCAPE around 1000
J/kg progged by the afternoon. Given the strong mid-level flow and
low-level jet, damaging wind potential will likely increase into the
afternoon. Given strong low-level shear profiles, a couple of
tornadoes are also possible. A watch will be needed soon to cover
this potential.

..Thornton/Hart.. 06/18/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...
PBZ...

LAT...LON   43017777 41647945 41407616 41587391 42387246 44077204
            44817237 44887508 43017777 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

  MD 1180 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN NEW YORK
MD 1180 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1180
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Areas affected...Northwest Pennsylvania...Western New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 181158Z - 181400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated tornado and wind-damage threat may continue
for much of the morning across parts of northwestern Pennsylvania
and western New York. The threat area is expected to remain
marginal, and weather watch issuance appears unlikely.

DISCUSSION...A line of strong thunderstorms is currently ongoing
along the eastern edge of Lake Erie, near a pocket of maximized
low-level convergence. The storms are also located near a moist axis
which extends northeastward from far northwestern Pennsylvania into
far western New York. From near the moist axis eastward into central
New York, a 50 to 60 knot low-level jet is analyzed by the RAP. In
addition, the RAP shows the nose of an 80 to 100 knot mid-level jet
that is moving into the central Appalachians. The two jets are
greatly enhancing lift and shear across the Lower Great Lakes
region. Forecast soundings this morning in far western New York have
long and looped hodographs with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity above
400 m2/s2. This will support an isolated tornado threat with
low-topped supercells this morning. In addition, an isolated threat
for severe wind gusts will also be possible.

..Broyles/Guyer.. 06/18/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON   41878030 41638040 41468002 41607897 41947795 42337720
            42677694 42887701 43007717 43087739 43127766 43107817
            42917872 42787896 42537934 41878030 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH

  SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Valid 181300Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from
Kentucky and the central Appalachians to the Mid-Atlantic, with
primarily damaging wind gusts or marginal hail. Scattered severe
storms are possible from upstate New York into New England, with
damaging wind gusts and tornado potential. A few tornadoes may also
occur over parts of the middle Gulf Coast states, and scattered
storms may produce gusty winds or marginal hail from Oklahoma into
western North Texas.

...Central Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic/North Carolina...
The region will be influenced by lingering long-lived
overnight-upscale-transitioning linear segments that moved across
Kentucky/West Virginia, that will likely continue to pose a severe
risk early today, mainly in the form of damaging winds. This may be
even as updraft/storm intensities somewhat trend downward over the
mountains. Even if weakening occurs early today east of the
Appalachians spine, residual outflow/differential heating and
potential MCV influences should help focus
redevelopment/re-intensification into the Piedmont later today, with
additional development westward toward the Cumberland Plateau along
the residual convective boundary as well as the
east/southeastward-advancing front. Moderate diurnal destabilization
aside, organized severe potential will be aided by seasonally strong
winds through the low/mid-troposphere, even with a tendency for
low-level winds to weaken into this afternoon.

...Northeast States...
Within a broader area of cyclonic flow aloft, a leading shortwave
trough will move from the Lower Great Lakes into the Northeast, with
a 90 kt mid-level speed max and cooling aloft moving across New York
and parts of New England during the day. Low pressure will develop
into southern Quebec, with a cold front extending southward into the
region.

Surface heating and gusty south winds will bring 60s F dewpoints
into the area with up to 1000 J/kg MUCAPE expected. Relatively warm
profiles will develop near 300 mb, somewhat limiting storm depth.
However, ample mid-level cooling will still support sufficient
destabilization and the development of intensifying low-topped
storms into the afternoon. Pronounced deep-layer/low-level shear and
backed surface winds ahead of the cold front will favor low-topped
supercells. Cells should develop/further increase over northern New
York through midday/early afternoon and will move quickly east.
Damaging winds, a couple of tornadoes, and hail will all be
possible, although smaller hail may be more likely given the low EL
heights.

...Gulf Coast including parts of LA/MS/AL/GA/FL...
Already strong mid/low-level winds across southeast Louisiana and
southern Mississippi, associated with the remnants of Arthur, will
further increase and spread east-northeastward across Alabama and
Florida Panhandle toward Georgia, as a weak surface low and
mid-level wave spread northeast regionally. The strong low-level
shear and mid 70s F dewpoints will support organized bands of storms
with embedded stronger/rotating cells capable of a
northeastward-transitioning tornado risk today.

...Oklahoma/southern Kansas to western North Texas...
Isolated mostly elevated severe storms capable of hail will remain
possible early today across southeast Kansas and northern Oklahoma
and possibly southwest Missouri. These storms could linger today and
also pose some damaging wind risk. Additional deep convection may
develop into late afternoon/early evening within a very unstable
environment across western Oklahoma into western North Texas near
the southward-shifting front and surface low/dryline across Texas,
with isolated large hail and damaging winds possible.

..Guyer/Broyles.. 06/18/2026

 






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