Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0950 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

...Discussion including South Florida...
Longwave trough will remain prevalent east of the Rockies, with some
late-day amplification of the upper ridge into the West in advance
of an approaching shortwave trough. High pressure and
cold/continental trajectories will extensively prevail east of the
Rockies, with an exception being ahead of a cold front crossing the
Florida Peninsula. While near-frontal convergence will remain weak,
and mid-level lapse rates are poor, additional boundary layer
warming and deepening convection may be conducive for a few
lightning flashes, mainly near parts of the coastal southeast
Florida Peninsula through afternoon.

..Guyer/Barnes.. 01/26/2026

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1036 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.

...Synopsis...

An upper shortwave trough will move from the Rockies into the
central/southern Plains on Tuesday, bringing with it a reinforcing
shot of cold air to the middle part of the CONUS. At the surface,
high pressure will persist, resulting in continental trajectories
and maintaining a cold, dry, and stable airmass. As a result,
thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.

..Leitman.. 01/26/2026

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.

...Synopsis...

Surface high pressure will persist beneath broad upper
troughing/northwest flow across the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS
on Wednesday. This will maintain the modified arctic airmass across
much of the country. With a large area of snow and ice cover, cold,
dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm activity.

..Leitman.. 01/26/2026