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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 385 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 232235Z - 240700Z
WW 0385 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM MDT Tue Jun 23 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Nebraska Panhandle
  Southeast Wyoming

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning from 435
  PM until 100 AM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered severe thunderstorms are
forecast to develop and intensify over the Watch area through the
late afternoon and evening.  The stronger thunderstorms will be
supercellular with a large to giant hail risk (1 to 3.5 inches in
diameter) likely accompanying these storms.  Severe gusts are also
expected with high-based storms over southern portions of Wyoming
late this afternoon and with the stronger supercells and clusters
forecast to evolve over the plains this evening into tonight.  A
tornado or two is also possible with a supercell mainly this
evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west northwest
of Torrington WY to 65 miles east of Pueblo CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 381...WW 382...WW
383...WW 384...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31020.

...Smith

  WW 383 SEVERE TSTM TX 232145Z - 240300Z
WW 0383 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 383
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Texas Panhandle and South Plains

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A few intense supercells are forecast to develop through
the early evening across the Watch area near an outflow boundary. 
Large to very large hail will be possible initially with hail of 1
to 3 inches in diameter possible.  A tornado could possibly develop
towards the early evening if a supercell favorably interacts with
the boundary.  A small cluster may eventually evolve this evening
with the severe-wind threat possibly increasing before this activity
dissipates late this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Amarillo TX to 30 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 381...WW 382...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32015.

...Smith

  WW 0385 Status Updates
WW 0385 Status Image

STATUS FOR WATCH 0385 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
  WW 0384 Status Updates
WW 0384 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 384

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE TYR
TO 45 SSE PRX TO 25 S DEQ.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1286

..CHALMERS..06/24/26

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 384 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC037-063-067-203-315-343-459-240240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOWIE                CAMP                CASS                
HARRISON             MARION              MORRIS              
UPSHUR               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0383 Status Updates
WW 0383 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 383

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W LBB TO
15 S PVW TO 45 SSW CDS.

WW 383 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 240300Z.

..SQUITIERI..06/24/26

ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 383 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC107-125-169-219-263-303-305-445-240300-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CROSBY               DICKENS             GARZA               
HOCKLEY              KENT                LUBBOCK             
LYNN                 TERRY               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0382 Status Updates
WW 0382 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 382

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N BWD TO
25 NW MWL TO 35 SE SPS.

..CHALMERS..06/23/26

ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC237-363-367-497-232340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

JACK                 PALO PINTO          PARKER              
WISE                 


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0381 Status Updates
WW 0381 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 381

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E RDU TO
40 ESE RZZ TO 20 N ORF TO 30 W WAL TO 5 SE SBY TO 55 S ACY.

..LEITMAN..06/23/26

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...MHX...ILM...RAH...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 381 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MDC047-232140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WORCESTER            


NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-041-047-049-053-055-061-065-073-079-
095-101-103-107-117-129-133-137-139-141-143-147-155-163-177-187-
191-195-232140-

NC 
.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT             BERTIE              BLADEN              
BRUNSWICK            CAMDEN              CARTERET            
CHOWAN               COLUMBUS            CRAVEN              
CURRITUCK            DARE                DUPLIN              
EDGECOMBE            GATES               GREENE              
HYDE                 JOHNSTON            JONES               
LENOIR               MARTIN              NEW HANOVER         
ONSLOW               PAMLICO             PASQUOTANK          
PENDER               PERQUIMANS          PITT                
ROBESON              SAMPSON             TYRRELL             
  No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jun 24 02:26:03 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing 2+ inch diameter hail, 75+
mph gusts, and isolated tornadoes are expected from the central High
Plains into parts of the southern Plains tonight.

...Central High Plains into the southern Plains...
Three primary areas of thunderstorms currently exist across the
region: southeast WY, east-central CO, and the TX South Plains
vicinity. The northernmost cluster across southeast WY has struggled
to maintain intensity, likely due to modest convective inhibition
remaining in place. Even so, given the favorable low-level moisture
downstream, there is still some chance for intensification.
Environmental conditions support the potential for large hail up to
2 inches in diameter and isolated severe gusts with any storms that
can mature into the more favorable buoyancy downstream. 

Large to very large hail remains possible for at least the next
several hours with the discrete, splitting storms across
east-central CO. Strong outflow (greater than 50 kt) remains
possible as well. Additional storm development appears likely in
this area amid persistent low-level moisture advection and a
strengthening low-level jet. These additional storms will have
similar hazards, with large to very large hail as the primary risk.
Hail from 2" to 3.5" in diameter is possible. Strong gusts could
become more likely with time if cold pool amalgamation results in a
forward-propagating cluster.

Several supercells continue across the TX South Plains. A
strengthening low-level jet and steep mid-level lapse rates will
help maintain the risk for large to very large hail and severe gusts
with these storms for at least the next several hours.

...Arklatex and vicinity...
Ongoing cluster moving through the Arklatex will likely continue
southeastward tonight, with an attendant risk for isolated damaging
gusts. Some hail is possible as well, particularly late
tonight/early tomorrow with any warm-air advection storms that
develop in the wake of this cluster.

..Mosier.. 06/24/2026

  SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Valid 251200Z - 011200Z

...Synopsis...
A robust fire weather pattern is expected across an expansive
portion of the Intermountain West through the extended forecast
period. Dry thunderstorm potential mid-week followed by several days
of exceptionally dry and breezy conditions will promote significant
fire weather concerns for any new ignitions, lightning holdovers,
and ongoing large fires across the western CONUS. 

An embedded shortwave trough and attendant plume of mid/upper level
sub-tropical moisture translates eastward into the Interior West by
Day 3/Thursday, maintaining dry thunderstorm potential across the CO
Plateau and Four Corners. An amplifying wave pattern emerges late in
the week with strong and dry southwest flow posing broad and
considerable fire weather concerns for the eastern Great Basin and
much of the Southwest on Days 4-5/Friday-Saturday. Troughing across
the West with a building ridge over the eastern U.S. should sustain
fire weather conditions for much of the Southwest through early next
week under enhanced southwest flow and dry conditions.

...Day 3/Thursday...
An upper-level wave will edge towards the Northern Rockies on Day
3/Thursday, aiding in isolated thunderstorm development across the
CO Plateau into southwestern WY. New ignitions are possible with
receptive fuels in place and limited surface precipitation
attributed to a dry, sub-cloud layer supportive of evaporation.
Additionally, drier southwest flow, west of the deeper Pacific
moisture, will yield a fire weather threat to the eastern Great
Basin. A 40% Critical probability area was maintained for eastern NV
and west-central UT.

...Day 4-5/Friday-Saturday...
An unseasonably strong mid-level jet overspreads much of the
Interior West late this week as an upper trough amplifies across the
Northwestern U.S., scouring out remaining meaningful atmospheric
moisture across the Southwest. Latest forecast guidance suggests a
corridor of stronger southwest winds of 25-35 mph developing under
the stronger jet across the southern Great Basin into northern AZ on
Day 4/Friday, shifting into southeastern UT and the CO Western Slope
by Day 5/Saturday. Primary changes for this outlook were the
expansion of 70% Critical probability areas for both days as
confidence continues to increase in an appreciable multi-day wind
event, potentially impacting nascent wildfires born from
thunderstorm activity mid-week.

...Days 6-8/Sunday-Tuesday...
Elevated southwesterly flow associated with persistent upper-level
troughing across the West should support a prolonged fire weather
threat across the CO Plateau, Four Corners and parts of the
Southwest through early next week. As such, 40% Critical
probabilities have been added for Day 8/Tuesday given increasing
forecast confidence in longer term ensemble guidance. Fuels are
expected to remain quite receptive through the extended forecast
period with only some reprieve in isolated areas that receive
appreciable rainfall in the Days 2-3/Wednesday-Thursday time frame.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/23/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

 






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