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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 21 14:21:01 UTC 2026.No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 21 14:21:01 UTC 2026.SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 AM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

Valid 211300Z - 221200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms should occur across parts of east/southeast
Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley today and tonight.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Modest low-level moisture will make some inland advancement today
across east/southeast TX into the lower MS Valley ahead of a surface
cold front as longwave upper troughing persists across the
central/eastern CONUS. A low-amplitude shortwave trough rounding the
base of the large-scale upper trough should continue to encourage
showers and isolated/mainly elevated convection across these areas
through tonight. Instability is expected to remain too weak to
support severe thunderstorms.

..Gleason/Dean.. 01/21/2026

 






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