Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF FAR WEST TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for a few more hours this
evening across a small portion of Far West Texas.

...Discussion...
A remaining storm or two could pose an isolated large hail threat
for the next few hours before weakening with the loss of daytime
heating. Will maintain the Marginal Risk for this short term threat,
but the severe weather threat will be minimal for the remainder of
the overnight period.

..Bentley.. 10/28/2026

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0421 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Valid 291200Z - 041200Z

A high amplitude trough will remain over the Pacific Northwest
through at least Day 5/Saturday, leaving much of the western third
of the CONUS under increased cloud cover, below normal temperatures,
and periodic precipitation. The extended forecast period begins on
Day 3/Thursday with nearly zonal flow atop much of the eastern half
of the CONUS as the upper-level jet flows over the international
border with Canada, promoting above normal temperatures from the
Great Plains eastward. As the forecast progresses into Day 4/Friday,
a subtle and transient ridge builds over portions of the Plains and
South while a shortwave trough is expected to pass through the
Southwest. The aforementioned resident trough over the West will
begin to strengthen and nudge eastward on Day 6/Sunday, dragging
cooler-than-normal temperatures and another round of widespread
precipitation across much of the CONUS early next week. This will
drop ERCs across the board even lower headed into next week. Areas
with the driest antecedent conditions (generally over the lower MS
River corridor), are anticipated to receive beneficial
precipitation. Thus, any threat of significant fire weather remains
low and will trend even lower by next week.

..Stearns.. 10/27/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...