WW 703 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 030135Z - 030900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 703
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Southeast Kansas
Southwest Missouri
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 735 PM
until 300 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms and embedded supercells should
continue to pose some risk for severe/damaging winds as they spread
east-northeastward this evening into early Tuesday morning. A couple
of embedded tornadoes may also occur.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Joplin MO to
20 miles east of Durant OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 701...WW 702...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Gleason
WW 702 TORNADO TX 022350Z - 030500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 702
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
West-Central into North-Central Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to strengthen this evening
while posing a threat for scattered severe/damaging winds, large
hail, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. Linear/bowing segments
should have a greater threat for severe gusts, some of which could
reach up to 65-75 mph on an isolated basis.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 65 miles north northwest of Mineral
Wells TX to 10 miles southeast of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 701...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Gleason
WW 701 TORNADO KS OK TX 021925Z - 030400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 701
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Kansas
Western and Central Oklahoma
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms will develop and intensify this
afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary threat
initially with an increasing severe wind and tornado threat late
this afternoon and this evening. Wind gusts to 75 mph and a strong
tornado are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Hutchinson KS to 45
miles south southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Bentley/Hart
WW 0703 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0703 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
WW 0702 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 702
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW SJT
TO 50 WSW ABI TO 40 SW SPS.
..WENDT..11/03/26
ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 702
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-097-133-143-221-235-237-337-363-367-
399-417-429-441-447-451-497-503-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
COOKE EASTLAND ERATH
HOOD IRION JACK
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
RUNNELS SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
WISE YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
WW 0701 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 701
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW SPS TO
15 N SPS TO 30 NNW CHK TO 25 SSE END TO 20 NW PNC TO 25 SE ICT TO
30 ENE HUT TO 25 ENE SLN.
..WENDT..11/03/26
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 701
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-115-030240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
MARION
OKC017-019-027-033-049-051-067-071-073-081-083-085-087-099-103-
109-119-125-137-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COTTON GARVIN GRADY
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MURRAY NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS
MD 2438 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 2438
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0834 PM CST Mon Nov 02 2026
Areas affected...Parts of eastern Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 030234Z - 030430Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts and some chance for a brief
tornado are possible across parts of eastern Kansas this tonight.
While a watch is not currently expected, storm trends are being
monitored.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from KICT depicts a
north/south-oriented line of storms tracking eastward across parts
of southeastern KS at around 25 kt. Despite a fairly
coherent/organized cold pool and even some shallow/transient
circulations embedded in the line, a lack of wind reports suggest
this activity may be slightly elevated -- given relatively weak
buoyancy sampled by the TOP 00Z sounding. However, a low-level jet
will continue strengthening ahead of the line tonight (50 kt flow at
1 km AGL per INX VWP), which will conditionally support some
strengthening over the next few hours as it continues across eastern
KS. Isolated damaging gusts and some chance for a brief tornado
cannot be ruled out, especially if any mesovorticies evolve.
Confidence in this scenario is currently low, given recent trends
and the limited buoyancy, though convective trends are being
monitored.
..Weinman/Gleason.. 11/03/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37609645 38929632 39299604 39449573 39519535 39429484
39089460 38689456 37799493 37389530 37409624 37609645
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 PM CST Mon Nov 02 2026
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, hail, and a few
tornadoes are expected across parts of the southern and central
Plains this evening into tonight. Severe storms will also affect
western Missouri and northwest Arkansas overnight.
...Southern and Central Plains/Lower to Mid Missouri Valley...
On water vapor imagery, an upper-level trough is evident in the
southern High Plains with cyclonically curved southwest flow in
place over the southern and central Plains. Within this flow, a 60
to 80 knot mid-level jet is analyzed from southern New Mexico
extending northeastward into western Oklahoma. A line of strong to
severe storms is ongoing to the east of the mid-level jet in an area
with strong large-scale ascent from far southern Kansas into
southwest Oklahoma. Ahead of this line, surface dewpoints are mostly
in the lower to mid 60s F and the RAP has MLCAPE in the 1000 to 1500
J/kg range. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP at Oklahoma City has 0-6 km
shear of 65 to 70 knots with some directional shear in the
low-levels, and backing in the mid-levels. The strong deep-layer
shear will continue to be favorable for severe storms this evening,
as a line segment gradually organizes and moves eastward across the
moist sector.
So far across Oklahoma, the dominant storm mode has been linear, and
discrete supercell development has failed to materialize. This will
likely continue to be a problem this evening concerning the
potential for a greater severe and tornado threat. Within the
ongoing line, tornado potential will be maximized with embedded
rotating elements. A few QLCS-type tornadoes still appear possible
as this line moves eastward across central/northern Oklahoma and
southeast Kansas this evening. A wind-damage threat will accompany
the line, and a few gusts above 70 mph will be possible, mainly with
the segments of the line that exhibit bowing structure...see MCD
2435 and 2437. The severe threat should impact western Missouri and
northwest Arkansas during the overnight period.
Further south into southwest Oklahoma and northwest Texas, the cells
have been more discrete early this evening. A couple of supercells
are ongoing near the Red River. These storms are located along the
far southern edge of the low-level jet. As the low-level jet
continues to ramp up this evening, low-level shear will be favorable
for continued severe thunderstorm development. Severe wind gusts,
hail and potentially a few tornadoes will be possible...see MCD
2436.
...West-central and North-central Texas...
The latest water vapor imagery shows a mid-level trough in the
southern High Plains. The southeastern edge of the system is located
across west-central Teas, where a band of strong thunderstorms is
currently developing. These storms are located near a surface trough
along the northwestern edge of a moist airmass with surface
dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s F. Near the surface trough, the
RAP has MLCAPE in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. In addition, the VAD
wind profilers near San Angelo and Abilene have 40 to 50 knots of
west-southwesterly flow in the mid-levels, which should support
supercell development this evening. The primary threats are expected
to be severe wind gusts and hail.
..Broyles.. 11/03/2026
| 
