WW 95 SEVERE TSTM AR KS MO OK 040240Z - 041000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
940 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Far Southeast Kansas
Southwest into South-Central Missouri
Southern into Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 940 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A broken squall line with a few severe linear thunderstorm
clusters will continue to move eastward across the Watch through the
late evening and into the overnight. Severe gusts ranging from
60-85 mph are possible with the more intense clusters. A brief
tornado is possible with a stronger mesovortex.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
of Fort Leonard Wood MO to 45 miles west southwest of Ardmore OK.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Smith
WW 0095 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WNW CHK TO
40 WSW MKO TO 45 SE SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0353
..WEINMAN..04/04/26
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-087-143-040640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
MADISON WASHINGTON
MOC009-029-043-057-059-067-077-085-105-109-119-145-167-169-209-
213-225-229-040640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CAMDEN CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
POLK PULASKI STONE
TANEY WEBSTER WRIGHT
WW 0093 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 93
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE CDS TO
25 WNW FSI TO 35 NNW CQB TO 25 E BVO TO 30 E CNU TO 5 ESE CDJ.
..CHALMERS..04/04/26
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 93
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-099-040340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LABETTE
MOC011-013-015-033-039-041-053-057-083-085-089-097-101-107-119-
145-159-175-185-195-217-040340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
CARROLL CEDAR CHARITON
COOPER DADE HENRY
HICKORY HOWARD JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE MCDONALD
NEWTON PETTIS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE VERNON
OKC019-027-031-033-035-037-041-049-051-063-065-067-081-083-085-
MD 0350 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 0350
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1027 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026
Areas affected...portions of the western Great Lakes region
Concerning...Freezing rain
Valid 040327Z - 040930Z
SUMMARY...Moderate freezing rain is expected to expand across
portions of the western Great Lakes region over the next 1-2 hours,
with the potential for rates of 0.10 to perhaps 0.25 inch per three
hours.
DISCUSSION...Latest mesoanalysis depicts a surface low over central
Iowa with a warm front extending eastward across portions of
northern Illinois/Indiana. To the north of this surface boundary,
strong low-level warm air advection and frontogenetic forcing (noted
around 850 mb per latest mesoanalysis) will support the
development/expansion of a broad precipitation shield noted via
regional radar imagery. With the lower-tropospheric warm air
advection regime supporting a notable warm nose within the 850-700
mb layer (evident in the 00Z MPX observed sounding) and surface wet
bulb temperatures around 30 F, freezing rain is expected to be the
dominant precipitation type across much of northern Wisconsin,
extreme eastern Minnesota, and the western Upper Peninsula of
Michigan, with the potential for rates to exceed 0.10, perhaps up to
0.25, inch per three hours.
With time, a mid-level shortwave trough currently analyzed across
the northern Great Plains and the aforementioned surface low will
shift northeastward, yielding an eastward expansion of the freezing
rain threat into the rest of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and
extreme northern Lower Michigan.
..Chalmers.. 04/04/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...
LAT...LON 46518748 46268706 45838714 45368752 45048776 44848800
44718846 44788944 44888993 45179051 45369089 45529168
45599241 45609301 45649337 45879346 46319321 46559244
46639156 46679119 46749034 46808941 46718845 46518748
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST
TEXAS NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST IOWA AND EAST INTO CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms continue to evolve into an extensive line this evening
from Iowa to Oklahoma and northwest Texas. Damaging winds, hail, and
a couple of tornadoes remain possible through the overnight.
... 01Z Update ...
Thunderstorms continue to develop along and ahead of an advancing
cold front this evening. These storms should continue to increase in
number, growing upscale into an extensive linear MCS from Northwest
Texas northeastward into southern Iowa. Despite nocturnal
stabilization of the boundary layer, forcing along the cold front,
MUCAPE between 1000-2000 J/kg, and sufficient vertical shear should
support a continued hail and wind threat into the overnight hours,
especially across the southern portion of this area where updrafts
appear to be more robust than areas farther north. Given the moist
low-levels and a modest uptick in the low-level jet, a couple of
tornadoes may still occur as well.
Additional thunderstorms have developed eastward along the warm
front draped across southern Iowa east across Illinois, Indiana,
Ohio, and Pennsylvania. MUCAPE and vertical shear decrease with
eastward extent along the warm front, organized thunderstorms within
the frontal zone should support an localized hail and wind threat
for a few more hours. A tornado or two could also be realized with
any discrete/semi-discrete cell that can increase its resonance time
in the frontal zone, especially across central Illinois where better
instability and vertical shear exist.
..Marsh.. 04/04/2026
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