Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1159 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and
tonight.

...Synopsis...
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will pivot east/northeast
across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states today. In the wake of
the trough, a surface low will deepen off the coast of New England.
A strong surface cold front will move offshore with the low into the
Atlantic and Gulf waters early this morning. Isolated elevated
thunderstorms may occur with warm air advection ahead of the upper
cyclone across New England, though severe storms are not expected.

Along southern portions of the front near the Gulf Coast, additional
showers and thunderstorms are expected across portions of
southern/central TX. An upper cyclone moving out of northern MX will
bolster isentropic ascent behind the southward moving front
supporting scattered elevated thunderstorms. Instability will remain
meager and not supportive of severe storms.

Elsewhere, surface high pressure and offshore flow will favor dry
and stable conditions over the majority of the CONUS. The only
exception may be across the Olympic Peninsula where shallow
convection ahead of another upper trough may allow for a few
lightning strikes overnight.

..Lyons/Halbert-K.. 11/07/2026

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No severe threat is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and
Sunday night.

...DISCUSSION...
At upper-levels over the U.S. on Sunday, a trough will move through
the Northeast as northwesterly flow remains in place over much of
the central and eastern U.S. Further south, a low will move slowly
across northern Mexico. Ahead of this system, a moist and weakly
unstable airmass will be in place over parts southern, central and
southwest Texas. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be
possible within this airmass during the day on Sunday. Storms will
likely continue across parts of south-central Texas Sunday night. No
severe threat is expected, and no thunderstorms are forecast across
the remainder of the U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.

..Broyles.. 11/07/2026

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and
Monday night.

...DISCUSSION...
West-northwesterly flow aloft will remain in place from the central
and northern U.S. to the Eastern Seaboard on Monday, as an
upper-level low moves into the southern High Plains. To the
southeast of the upper-level low, a moist airmass will be in place
across southwest and south Texas. Thunderstorms will be possible
during the day within this airmass. No severe threat is forecast.
Thunderstorms are not expected over the remainder of the continental
U.S Monday and Monday night.

..Broyles.. 11/07/2026