WW 194 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 092055Z - 100300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma and the Eastern Oklahoma Panhandle
The Eastern Texas Panhandle and Western North Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercells are expected to develop this
afternoon and early evening. Large to very large hail (up to 1.5 to
2.5 inches in diameter) should be the main threat with these
supercells as they move east-southeastward into western Oklahoma and
western north Texas through the evening. Occasional severe/damaging
winds may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Alva OK to 55 miles west southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Gleason
WW 0195 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE BFD TO
30 NNE ROC.
..WEINMAN..05/10/26
ATTN...WFO...BUF...CLE...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC051-055-100140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LIVINGSTON MONROE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
WW 0194 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW CDS TO
25 NE CDS TO 70 NW CSM TO 15 SE P28.
..JEWELL..05/10/26
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-051-055-057-065-073-
075-093-129-137-141-149-151-153-100240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
TXC009-023-075-077-101-155-197-275-485-487-100240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE FOARD
HARDEMAN KNOX WICHITA
WILBARGER
MD 0691 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 194... FOR WESTERN INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0691
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0921 PM CDT Sat May 09 2026
Areas affected...western into southern Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 194...
Valid 100221Z - 100415Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 194
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe gusts to around 60 mph and isolated hail remains
possible from northwest into south-central Oklahoma. Depending on
convective trends, a new watch may be considered.
DISCUSSION...The initial supercells which produced large hail have
decreased in intensity as they continue eastward across southwest
and toward south-central OK, though still capable of hail and severe
gusts. Loss of heating / increasing inhibition are negatively
impacting these storms. However, the air mass is more moist with
southward extend toward the Red River, with PWAT of 1.00-1.25".
Given south/southeast low-level flow, this may at least partially
counteract the negative influence of a cooling boundary layer. Even
if new development is unlikely, this environment may sustain the
ongoing cells, with potential for downstream severe gusts or hail
over 1.00".
To the north, a line of storms continues to push southeastward out
of northwest OK, where a wind gust of 66 mph was measured at KAVK.
This system will likely persist to some degree as it translates
south/southeast along the theta-e gradient which currently extends
through central OK. Given the instability axis remains from western
through southern OK, development along southwest flanks are
preferred.
..Jewell.. 05/10/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 35509993 35989970 36129921 36379885 36729865 36689820
36389802 36009779 35379720 35009660 34709599 34339578
34139590 33949609 33839651 33909777 34579936 34939975
35509993
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Sat May 09 2026
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of large hail and damaging winds are
expected to continue tonight across western, central, and southern
Oklahoma and north Texas. Isolated occurrences of wind and/or hail
are possible through the remainder of the evening over the central
High Plains, Texas Coast, and lower Great Lakes.
...Oklahoma and North Texas...
As of 00:30z, a cluster of supercells with a history of large hail
production is present along and just to the south of I-40 in western
OK with additional storms intensifying ahead of a cold front
northwest of Woodward. The storms are occurring within a narrow axis
of modest instability with MLCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg, which coincides
with effective bulk shear magnitudes of 45-50 kt.
A comparably more moist boundary layer resides to the south of the
current convection across southern OK into north TX with dewpoints
in the upper 50s to around 60, supporting MLCAPE up to 1500 J/kg.
Recent, convection-allowing model guidance is suggestive that a
consolidation of the separate convective regimes will occur later
this evening with an increasing damaging wind threat spreading
southeast through central and southern OK and north TX. Another
possible scenario is for the I-40 supercell complex to gradually
evolve into a forward-propagating system with an attendant damaging
wind and hail threat confined to southern OK and potentially north
TX. Either of these scenarios appear plausible as a nocturnally
strengthening low-level jet enhances inflow of the more
moist/unstable air mass into the growing convective system. In
either scenario, it appears the damaging wind threat will develop to
the east of the current 15% unconditional probability. As such, that
line (delineating the level 2/Slight Risk) has been extended into
portions of southeast OK, and farther east in north TX.
...Western New York into Northeast Ohio...
As of 00z, a band of thunderstorms is ongoing from portions of
western NY through northwest PA into eastern OH, ahead of a vigorous
short-wave trough moving through the Great Lakes region. Steep
low/mid-level lapse rates have contributed to sufficient instability
to sustain the ongoing storms with a number of 40-50+ mph wind gusts
reported earlier in the Cleveland area. Locally strong to marginally
severe wind gusts will remain possible for the next hour or two
before low-level lapse rates weaken with the cooling of the boundary
layer.
...Central High Plains...
A small cluster of thunderstorms is ongoing this evening in
northeast CO with a more isolated storm in northwest KS, near
Goodland. Forcing for ascent associated with a vigorous short-wave
trough moving through WY coupled with a steep, low/mid-level lapse
rate environment are supporting that convective development amidst a
kinematic environment featuring 40-50 kt of effective bulk shear.
The potential for isolated occurrences of large hail and/or locally
damaging wind gusts are expected to continue through the remainder
of the evening before boundary-layer cooling and resultant
convective inhibition accrual result in a decreasing severe-weather
threat.
...Texas Coast to Lower Sabine River Valley...
Isolated strong to severe storms this evening within a moist and
moderately unstable air mass with estimated MLCAPE up to 2000-2500
J/kg. Vertical shear isn't particularly strong, nor is large-scale
forcing for ascent. As such, isolated large hail and/or strong wind
gusts will remain possible for the next couple of hours before
storms weaken with the loss of daytime heating.
..Mead.. 05/10/2026
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