Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. through tonight.

...DISCUSSION...
A mid-level trough, and an associated cold front will move eastward
across the eastern U.S. tonight as northwest flow remains over much
of the western and central U.S. Surface high pressure will remain
over the central U.S. The airmass across the continental U.S. will
remain relatively cool and dry, making conditions unfavorable for
thunderstorms through daybreak on Thursday.

..Broyles.. 12/11/2025

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

Upper-level ridging will continue and potentially amplify over the
West through early next week, but weak upper lows/troughs are likely
to traverse through the ridging over the southern half of the West
this weekend into early next week. Upper-level troughing is likely
to continue over the Great Lakes and Northeast into mid-next week,
but a stronger upper low is forecast to move into these areas early
to mid-next week. The southern half of the West, southern/central
Plains, and much of the Southeast will receive little to no rainfall
through early next week. 

Dry/breezy conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central
High Plains, most likely from southeast Colorado into eastern New
Mexico and far west Texas Day 4/Saturday ahead/along an approaching
cold front. Another round of dry/breezy conditions are likely early
to mid-next week, but the timing/magnitude of potential
elevated/critical winds/RH remains uncertain. Fuels continue to cure
due to recent dry weather, with increasing fire activity noted
during dry/breezy periods in portions of Texas and Oklahoma. Rain
chances increase along the Rio Grande and into central/east/north
Texas this weekend and early to mid-next week, but how much rain and
how far north/west it extends remains uncertain. However, heavy rain
is unlikely in west/central/north Texas.

Dry cold frontal passages late this week and early next week will
continue to dry fuels across the Southeast. However, recent rainfall
and the lack of overlap of elevated/critical winds/RH preclude
introducing probabilities.

..Nauslar.. 12/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...