Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

...Synopsis...

Dry and stable conditions will persist across most of the CONUS
today. However, some modest moisture return is forecast across far
southern FL as a lobe of low surface pressure extends southward
along the Atlantic Seaboard. Generally warm temperatures through the
midlevels will limit instability and result in poor lapse rates.
Nevertheless, increasing moisture and modest forcing along a
developing sea breeze during the afternoon/evening could support a
couple of lightning flashes near the immediate coast or just
offshore the southeast FL Peninsula and portions of the Keys. Severe
storms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 01/13/2026

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Wednesday and
Wednesday night.

...DISCUSSION...
A large-scale upper-level trough will dig southeastward into the
east-central U.S. on Wednesday, as a cold front moves quickly across
the southeastern U.S. In its wake, a large area of high pressure
will settle in across the central states. This will reinforce dry
and cool conditions over much of the nation. In response,
thunderstorms will be unlikely over the continental U.S. Wednesday
and Wednesday night.

..Broyles.. 01/13/2026

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Thursday and
Thursday night.

...DISCUSSION...
A large-scale upper-level trough will move eastward to the southern
Atlantic Seaboard on Thursday, as northwest flow remains in place
over much of the nation. At the surface, a large area of high
pressure will remain over the east-central U.S. As a result, dry and
cool conditions will be unfavorable for thunderstorms over the
continental U.S. Thursday and Thursday night.

..Broyles.. 01/13/2026