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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 396 SEVERE TSTM OK 260145Z - 260900Z
WW 0396 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 396
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western and Central Oklahoma

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 845 PM
  until 400 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Cluster of strong to severe storms moving across western
Oklahoma is forecast to continue eastward/southeastward into central
Oklahoma this evening. Environmental conditions suggest this cluster
will continue to pose a risk for severe gusts and isolated hail
throughout the evening. A low-probability tornado threat also
exists.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest
of Fort Sill OK to 45 miles north northwest of Oklahoma City OK. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Mosier

  WW 0396 Status Updates
WW 0396 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 396

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CSM TO
15 W CHK TO 35 SSE CHK TO 40 E SPS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1328

..THOMPSON..06/26/26

ATTN...WFO...OUN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 396 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC015-031-033-051-055-057-065-067-075-137-141-260540-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CADDO                COMANCHE            COTTON              
GRADY                GREER               HARMON              
JACKSON              JEFFERSON           KIOWA               
STEPHENS             TILLMAN             


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0393 Status Updates
WW 0393 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 393

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOB
TO 60 ESE BGD TO 30 WNW CSM.

..THOMPSON..06/26/26

ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC045-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-189-191-219-303-305-345-
445-483-501-260440-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRISCOE              CHILDRESS           COLLINGSWORTH       
COTTLE               CROSBY              DICKENS             
DONLEY               FLOYD               GARZA               
HALE                 HALL                HOCKLEY             
LUBBOCK              LYNN                MOTLEY              
TERRY                WHEELER             YOAKUM              


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0392 Status Updates
WW 0392 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 392

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..CHALMERS..06/26/26

ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TSA...OUN...AMA...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 392 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-077-081-083-093-095-097-119-
129-151-175-187-189-191-260240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARBER               CLARK               COMANCHE            
EDWARDS              FINNEY              FORD                
GRANT                GRAY                HARPER              
HASKELL              HODGEMAN            KEARNY              
KINGMAN              KIOWA               MEADE               
MORTON               PRATT               SEWARD              
STANTON              STEVENS             SUMNER              


OKC001-003-007-011-021-035-037-041-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-
083-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-129-131-143-145-147-151-153-
260240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                ALFALFA             BEAVER              
BLAINE               CHEROKEE            CRAIG               
CREEK                DELAWARE            DEWEY               
ELLIS                GARFIELD            GRANT               
  No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Jun 26 05:54:08 UTC 2026.SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE OZARKS PLATEAU INTO LOWER OHIO VALLEY
AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO ADJACENT GREAT
PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorm development is possible today,
particularly this afternoon into tonight across parts of the Ozark
Plateau into lower Ohio Valley and across parts of the northern
Rockies into adjacent Great Plains.

...Discussion...
Models indicate that amplification of mid/upper flow across the
eastern mid-latitude Pacific into western North America will
continue through this period, with large-scale troughing and an
embedded cyclonic circulation digging inland across the Pacific
Northwest through Great Basin and northern Rockies, downstream of
building ridging.  As this occurs, ridging is likely to build across
the northern Great Plains through upper Mississippi Valley, but
broadly confluent, zonal flow is forecast to persist east of the
mid/upper Mississippi Valley, in the wake of a mid-level trough
accelerating east of the lower Great Lakes through New England and
the Canadian Maritimes.  On the southern periphery of this regime, a
number of convectively generated perturbations may progress across
the Ozarks Plateau and lower Ohio Valley through Mid Atlantic today
through tonight.

In lower levels, a weak surface low is forecast to migrate
east-northeast of the lower Great Lakes into northern New England,
before weakening.  This may be accompanied by a reinforcing influx
of somewhat cooler and drier area, in the wake of an
ill-defined/diffuse preceding front overspreading the northern Mid
Atlantic.  To the west of the Appalachians, this boundary may become
augmented in locations by convective outflow and developing areas of
strengthening differential surface heating during the day.  Across
the high plains, fairly significant surface cyclogenesis centered
across southeastern Montana is probable by 12Z Saturday, with
deepening surface troughing southward to the lee of the Rockies.

As a notable plume of very warm elevated mixed-layer air spreads
east of the higher terrain, through much of the Great Plains,
initiation of stronger thunderstorm development may largely be
confined to the higher terrain, before propagating into the
deepening surface troughing across the adjacent plains.  Otherwise,
to the east of the Great Plains, forcing for ascent and
destabilization along the weak front, and within low-level warm
advection to the east-southeast of the weak low, may provide support
for at least widely scattered strong to severe storm development.

...Ozark Plateau into lower Ohio Valley...
Higher coverage of potential strong to severe thunderstorm
development may generally focus across this region, aided by at
least a couple of convectively generated perturbations.  There is
spread among the various model output, but it still appears that
this could include a fairly notable MCV migrating into the lower
Ohio Valley by around 19-21Z, along a better-defined segment of the
low-level baroclinic zone.  With surface dew points forecast near
70F, and a convectively augmented belt of flow on the order of 30-50
kt in the 850-500 mb layer contributing to sufficient shear for
supercell structures, a couple of tornadoes appear possible in a
corridor roughly centered along the Ohio River.  Otherwise, several
clusters of thunderstorms may evolve this afternoon and evening,
possibly accompanied by developing corridors of strong to severe
wind gusts.

...Northern Rockies into adjacent Great Plains...
Given a corridor of at least weak to moderate boundary-layer
destabilization near and to the lee of the higher terrain, forcing
for ascent and strengthening vertical shear downstream of the
digging large-scale troughing probably will become supportive of a
period of organized severe thunderstorm development late this
afternoon through evening.  This may include supercells and
organizing clusters posing a risk for severe hail and wind, and at
least some potential for a tornado or two.

..Kerr/Chalmers.. 06/26/2026

 






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