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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 503 SEVERE TSTM IA NE 110045Z - 110700Z
WW 0503 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 503
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Iowa
  Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 745 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms over Nebraska will track
eastward for the next several hours across the watch area.  Locally
damaging wind gusts are the primary concern, although a few of the
storms may also pose a risk of large hail or even a tornado.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of
Lincoln NE to 10 miles east of Des Moines IA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501...WW 502...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Hart

  WW 502 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 102030Z - 110300Z
WW 0502 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 502
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Western and Central Kansas
  Southwest and South-Central Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across a
wide area from the Colorado Front Range into western Kansas and
south-central Nebraska this afternoon, with storms continuing into
the evening. Some isolated hail is possible with these storms,
particularly along the Front Range, but the primary severe hazard is
expected to be strong wind gusts. Some wind gusts to 75 mph are
possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 130
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of
Imperial NE to 15 miles east southeast of Elkhart KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Mosier

  WW 501 TORNADO IA NE SD 102010Z - 110300Z
WW 0501 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 501
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far Western Iowa
  Northeast Nebraska
  Extreme Southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated within the very
unstable airmass across central/northeast NE this afternoon.
Environmental conditions support initial supercells capable of all
severe hazards, including large to very large hail and tornadoes.
Upscale growth is anticipated after the initial cellular mode, with
the resultant convective line progressing quickly eastward. Strong
wind gusts are possible within this line, including gusts over 75
mph.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles north northwest of Broken Bow
NE to 10 miles east of Denison IA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.

...Mosier

  WW 0503 Status Updates
WW 0503 Status Image

STATUS FOR WATCH 0503 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
  WW 0502 Status Updates
WW 0502 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 502

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N RTN TO
35 NE SPD TO 55 NW GCK TO 25 ESE GLD TO 30 WNW LBF.

..THORNTON..07/11/25

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...GID...LBF...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 502 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-110240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA                 


KSC025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-075-081-083-093-
097-101-109-119-129-135-137-141-145-147-153-163-165-171-175-179-
183-187-189-193-195-203-110240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARK                COMANCHE            DECATUR             
EDWARDS              ELLIS               FINNEY              
FORD                 GOVE                GRAHAM              
GRANT                GRAY                HAMILTON            
HASKELL              HODGEMAN            KEARNY              
KIOWA                LANE                LOGAN               
MEADE                MORTON              NESS                
NORTON               OSBORNE             PAWNEE              
PHILLIPS             RAWLINS             ROOKS               
RUSH                 SCOTT               SEWARD              
  WW 0501 Status Updates
WW 0501 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 501

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..SPC..07/11/25

ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...LBF...GID...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 501 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC085-133-149-193-110140-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HARRISON             MONONA              PLYMOUTH            
WOODBURY             


NEC003-011-021-023-027-037-039-041-043-051-053-055-071-077-089-
093-107-115-119-121-125-139-141-143-149-153-155-163-167-173-175-
177-179-183-110140-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANTELOPE             BOONE               BURT                
BUTLER               CEDAR               COLFAX              
CUMING               CUSTER              DAKOTA              
DIXON                DODGE               DOUGLAS             
GARFIELD             GREELEY             HOLT                
HOWARD               KNOX                LOUP                
MADISON              MERRICK             NANCE               
PIERCE               PLATTE              POLK                
ROCK                 SARPY               SAUNDERS            
SHERMAN              STANTON             THURSTON            
  MD 1636 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 502... FOR EASTERN COLORADO...WESTERN KANSAS...FAR SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
MD 1636 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1636
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Areas affected...eastern Colorado...western Kansas...far southern
Nebraska

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502...

Valid 102356Z - 110200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502
continues.

SUMMARY...Instances of severe wind and hail remain possible in
WW502.

DISCUSSION...Several clusters of storms continue across far eastern
CO into western KS/NE. Storms are within a region of increasing
MLCIN. Above the inversion, elevated instability remains for storms
rooted above the surface. Storms are likely elevated and will mainly
pose a risk for large hail, though some more surface based storms
may produce occasional severe winds, primarily across northeastern
Colorado where MLCIN is weaker and deep layer shear around 40-50 kts
remains for organization.

..Thornton.. 07/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   37080418 37680334 38190314 38590314 39080304 39210309
            39850389 40230430 40460454 40850423 40820262 40670221
            40420172 39920089 39030059 37690109 37060166 36610212
            36440277 36450350 36560387 37080418 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

  MD 1635 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 501... FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA...WESTERN IOWA
MD 1635 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 1635
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Nebraska...Western Iowa

Concerning...Tornado Watch 501...

Valid 102345Z - 110145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 501 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across eastern Nebraska into
western Iowa.

DISCUSSION...Short-wave ridging that has been observed over the
lower MO Valley is shifting east as a secondary, notable short-wave
trough is advancing across central SD/western NE. Low-level warm
advection is focused into this region, just north of a boundary that
is draped from south of Grand Island-Omaha-north of Des Moines. This
warm-advection regime favors rotation, and a few slow-moving
supercells can be expected in advance of the short wave this
evening. While some supercell structures are possible, with time
convection may evolve into larger clusters, and possibly an MCS. LLJ
is forecast to strengthen across northeast KS into southwest IA
later this evening, and this should encourage more robust convection
to propagate into this portion of the MO Valley with time.

..Darrow.. 07/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   40409966 42579967 43069519 40889519 40409966 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

  SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0740 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL KANSAS....EASTERN
NEBRASKA...MUCH OF IOWA...PARTS OF NWRN ILLINOIS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development remains possible
this evening across parts of the central Great Plains into Upper
Midwest.  This could still include a slowly organizing cluster of
storms with potential for strong to severe surface gusts across the
eastern Nebraska into Iowa vicinity.

...01Z Update...
A belt of 20-30+ kt southerly/westerly lower/mid-tropospheric flow
across parts of the central Great Plains into portions of the Upper
Midwest may continue to enhance convective development, at least a
bit, this evening into the overnight hours.  In mid-levels, this
includes flow augmented by convectively generated cyclonic
circulations, but, in lower-levels, this includes a
south-southwesterly low-level jet associated with weak mid-level
troughing digging east-southeast of the Wyoming/Colorado Rockies. 
The low-level jet appears to be focusing a corridor of stronger warm
advection across parts of south central through eastern Nebraska,
where convective development may still consolidate and grow upscale
this evening.  Perhaps aided by forcing associated with the synoptic
perturbation, or another evolving MCV, it might not be out of the
question that activity may slowly organize and acquire increasing
inflow of seasonably moist boundary-layer air characterized by
sizable CAPE as it tends to propagate eastward overnight.  If this
occurs, there appears potential for sufficient intensification to
support an increasing risk for strong to severe surface gusts.

..Kerr.. 07/11/2025

 






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