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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 585 SEVERE TSTM KS 160010Z - 160600Z
WW 0585 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Kansas

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 710 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Cells should continue to merge into a loosely organized
cluster while posing some threat for scattered severe/damaging winds
across southwest Kansas this evening into early Sunday morning.
Isolated hail may also occur with the strongest cells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest
of Garden City KS to 65 miles south southwest of Garden City KS. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 584...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Gleason

  WW 0585 Status Updates
WW 0585 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 585

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LBL TO
40 SE ITR.

..THORNTON..08/16/26

ATTN...WFO...DDC...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC055-067-069-081-093-101-119-171-175-189-160340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FINNEY               GRANT               GRAY                
HASKELL              KEARNY              LANE                
MEADE                SCOTT               SEWARD              
STEVENS              


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0584 Status Updates
WW 0584 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 584

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW PUB TO
5 E LIC TO 15 ESE AIA TO 10 ENE BFF TO 15 SE LAR.

..THORNTON..08/16/26

ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...CYS...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 584 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

COC009-011-025-061-071-073-089-099-121-160240-

CO 
.    COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA                 BENT                CROWLEY             
KIOWA                LAS ANIMAS          LINCOLN             
OTERO                PROWERS             WASHINGTON          


NEC013-045-157-165-160240-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOX BUTTE            DAWES               SCOTTS BLUFF        
SIOUX                


WYC015-027-031-160240-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GOSHEN               NIOBRARA            PLATTE              
  No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Aug 16 03:03:02 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail will be
possible this evening across parts of the central Plains. Isolated
severe wind gusts may also occur this evening into tonight across
parts of the lower Missouri and Ohio Valleys.

...Central Plains/Lower Missouri Valley...
A mid-level shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over
eastern Colorado within west-southwesterly flow. Ahead of this
feature, a moist airmass is present across the central Plains.
Surface dewpoints in eastern Colorado and western Kansas are in the
60s F, and the RAP has MLCAPE in the 1500 to 3000 J/kg range. Along
the western edge of moderate instability, scattered thunderstorms
are ongoing from western Nebraska southward into the Oklahoma
Panhandle. In addition to moderate instability, RAP forecast
soundings early this evening downstream from the storms near Dodge
City and Hill City and have 0-6 km shear around 30 knots with 0-3 km
lapse rates near 7.5 C/km. The steep low to mid-level lapse rates
are evident on the Dodge City 00Z sounding. This environment should
support an isolated severe threat for several more hours this
evening as the storms move across the central Plains. Severe wind
gusts and hail will be the primary threats...see MCD 1992. During
the overnight period, a convective cluster or line segment is
forecast to move east-northeastward across northern Kansas and
southern Nebraska, potentially reaching far northwest Missouri late
in the period. Isolated severe gusts will be possible with these
storms.

...Ohio Valley...
A mid-level shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over
the Ohio Valley within west-northwesterly flow. At the surface, a
moist axis is located from central Illinois southeastward into
eastern Kentucky, along which surface dewpoints are in the 70s F.
Near the moist axis, the RAP has MLCAPE in the 2500 to 3500 J/kg
range. To the east and northeast of the strongest instability,
scattered thunderstorms are currently ongoing ahead of the shortwave
trough in western Ohio and northern Kentucky. The Wilmington, Ohio
00Z sounding has 0-6 km shear around 30 knots with a surface
dewpoint in the mid 70s F, and precipitable water near 2.15 inches.
This moist and unstable environment should support a potential for
isolated severe wet downbursts with the stronger multicells early
this evening.

..Broyles.. 08/16/2026

 






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