Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Mon Feb 02 2026

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. through tonight.

...Synopsis...
Mid-evening satellite imagery depicts a weak mid-level impulse
moving across TX with modest moisture return ongoing into central
TX. A cold front is noted in surface observations advancing
south/southeastward across the Plains. This feature should impinge
on the returning moisture across the Texarkana region between 9-12
UTC, and will promote a gradual increase in shallow convective
showers. However, warm mid-level temperatures will prevent deep
convection/thunderstorm development prior to 12 UTC. Elsewhere, cool
and dry conditions will preclude thunderstorms.

..Moore.. 02/03/2026