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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 51 SEVERE TSTM NC SC CW 121430Z - 122100Z
WW 0051 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 51
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern and Eastern North Carolina
  Eastern South Carolina
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1030 AM
  until 500 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A line of low-topped thunderstorms should continue to pose
a threat for mainly scattered damaging winds as it moves quickly
east-northeastward this morning into the afternoon. A brief embedded
tornado or two may also occur.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles northwest of
Florence SC to 80 miles east of New Bern NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
25040.

...Gleason

  WW 50 TORNADO GA SC 121110Z - 121700Z
WW 0050 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 50
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far Eastern and Southeastern Georgia
  Much of Central and Southern South Carolina

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 710 AM until
  100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Ongoing convective line is expected to continue
progressing eastward/northeastward into more of eastern/southeastern
Georgia and South Carolina this morning. Strong shear, particularly
in the low levels, will support a threat for damaging wind gusts and
brief line-embedded tornadoes for the next several hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northeast of Columbia SC
to 65 miles south of Vidalia GA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 49...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Mosier

  WW 0051 Status Updates
WW 0051 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 10

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW LUK TO
30 ENE EVV TO 40 NE EVV TO 10 SE SLO.

..HALBERT..02/20/26

ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...ILN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ILC023-025-029-033-035-041-045-049-079-101-139-159-173-200240-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARK                CLAY                COLES               
CRAWFORD             CUMBERLAND          DOUGLAS             
EDGAR                EFFINGHAM           JASPER              
LAWRENCE             MOULTRIE            RICHLAND            
SHELBY               


INC005-013-021-025-027-029-031-037-041-047-055-059-063-065-071-
077-079-081-083-093-097-101-105-109-115-117-119-121-123-133-137-
139-143-145-153-155-161-167-175-177-200240-

IN 
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTHOLOMEW          BROWN               CLAY                
CRAWFORD             DAVIESS             DEARBORN            
DECATUR              DUBOIS              FAYETTE             
FRANKLIN             GREENE              HANCOCK             
HENDRICKS            HENRY               JACKSON             
JEFFERSON            JENNINGS            JOHNSON             
  WW 0050 Status Updates
WW 0050 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 50

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE SAV
TO 20 W OGB TO 45 SSE CLT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0232.

..GRAMS..03/12/26

ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...GSP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

SCC009-015-017-025-027-029-035-055-057-061-075-079-085-121540-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAMBERG              BERKELEY            CALHOUN             
CHESTERFIELD         CLARENDON           COLLETON            
DORCHESTER           KERSHAW             LANCASTER           
LEE                  ORANGEBURG          RICHLAND            
SUMTER               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0049 Status Updates
WW 0049 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 49

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW PFN TO
25 E MAI TO 10 NNE ABY TO 20 W MCN TO 15 SW AHN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0230

..DEAN..03/12/26

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC005-013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-121240-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAY                  CALHOUN             FRANKLIN            
GADSDEN              GULF                JEFFERSON           
LEON                 LIBERTY             WAKULLA             


GAC009-017-019-021-023-027-071-075-079-081-087-091-093-107-125-
131-133-141-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-185-205-209-211-225-
235-237-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-289-301-303-309-315-317-
319-321-121240-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN              BEN HILL            BERRIEN             
BIBB                 BLECKLEY            BROOKS              
COLQUITT             COOK                CRAWFORD            
CRISP                DECATUR             DODGE               
DOOLY                EMANUEL             GLASCOCK            
  MD 0232 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 50... FOR EASTERN SC AND SOUTHERN/EASTERN NC
MD 0232 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0232
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0852 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Areas affected...eastern SC and southern/eastern NC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 121352Z - 121515Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind and brief tornado threats will shift across
eastern South Carolina into southern/eastern North Carolina through
early afternoon. A downstream watch issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Most prominent portion of a low-topped convective line
is across central to southern SC. It is expected to persist
east-northeast through midday into early afternoon, ahead of the
shortwave trough moving northeast in the Southeast. While MLCAPE
will remain meager, some cloud breaks ahead of the line will yield
modest boundary-layer warming. This should aid in damaging wind gust
potential, supported by the 00Z HREF strong to severe wind signal
from eastern portions of SC to NC. Low-level hodographs will remain
most enlarged within the ongoing tornado watch 50 through northeast
SC to southern NC. This region should have a persistent brief
tornado threat, downstream of transient mesovortices evident in
south-central SC.

..Grams/Gleason.. 03/12/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   33048165 34208124 34728089 35088017 35657910 35897775
            35957679 35617618 35087644 33897813 32767988 32628078
            32638145 33048165 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

  SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Valid 121300Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds
across parts of the Southeast this morning into the early afternoon.
A tornado can not be ruled out early with this activity. Strong wind
gusts are possible across the northern Plains this afternoon as
well.

...Southeast into the Carolinas...
Early-morning satellite imagery shows phased shortwave troughs
within the broad upper troughing across the eastern CONUS, with the
southern shortwave progressing through the Southeast and the
northern shortwave moving into the Middle OH Valley. A convective
line, aided by ascent attendant to the southern shortwave, continues
to progress eastward/northeastward across GA and the FL Panhandle. A
warm, moist, and modestly buoyant environment precedes this line,
with temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s and dewpoints ranging
from the low 60s across the Carolinas to the low 70s across northern
FL. Expectation is for this line to persist as it continues
eastward/northeastward, with perhaps some slowing of the southern
portion of the line as it becomes displaced south of the better
forcing for ascent. Central portion of this line nearest the
strongest forcing will likely have the deepest updrafts for the next
several hours before progressing northeastward of the better
moisture and buoyancy as it moves across NC. Robust low to mid-level
flow will remain in place, supporting the potential for damaging
gusts and brief line-embedded tornadoes through the afternoon.

...Northern Plains...
Intense mid-level flow (i.e. 100-120 kt at 500 mb) will spread
southeastward across the northern Plains this afternoon, in tandem
with a low-amplitude shortwave trough progressing through the
region. Forecast soundings suggest weak buoyancy will evolve south
of the front across the northern Plains such that shallow convection
is expected to develop, along with the threat of some lightning.
This convection could augment the already strong
westerly/northwesterly flow, resulting in strong surface wind gusts.
Significant wind gusts (65+ kt) are possible.

..Mosier/Dean.. 03/12/2026

 






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