No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 14 04:35:02 UTC 2026.No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 14 04:35:02 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0626 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026
Valid 140100Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
...01z Update - Florida...
The 00z RAOB from MFL showed modest instability, but warm
temperatures through 700 mb. This should largely limit thunderstorm
activity, especially inland. Nevertheless, a few lightning flashes
remain possible through tonight near the immediate coast or over the
offshore waters from the Keys through southeast FL.
..Leitman.. 01/14/2026
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across southeast Florida and the
Keys today.
...Synopsis...
A large-scale upper trough will deepen and pivot eastward over the
eastern half of the CONUS today. An embedded shortwave within the
base of the large-scale trough will move across the eastern Gulf and
FL today. This will provide large-scale ascent atop a stalled
frontal boundary across the southern FL Peninsula. Adequate moisture
will support modest buoyancy. However, lackluster lapse rates/warm
temperatures through the midlevels will preclude strong-storm
potential, though a few lightning flashes will be possible.
..Leitman/Lyons.. 01/14/2026
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