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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 27 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 072150Z - 080500Z
WW 0027 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 27
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South-Central Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
  1100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Storm will continue to increase and intensify across the
region through late afternoon and early evening, with the
environment being favorable for storms capable of large hail and
locally damaging winds.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west of
Cotulla TX to 45 miles east northeast of Victoria TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...WW 26...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Guyer

  WW 26 SEVERE TSTM LA MS 071915Z - 080300Z
WW 0026 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Louisiana
  Mississippi

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
  900 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue to slowly progress
southeastward with additional storm development ahead of it from
northeast Louisiana into Mississippi. Wind damage is the primary
hazard with the stronger storms.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Natchez MS to 35 miles north northeast of Meridian MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24...WW 25...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25020.

...Guyer

  WW 0027 Status Updates
WW 0027 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 27

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW LRD TO
15 ESE COT TO 25 NW NIR TO 30 N PSX.

..SPC..03/08/26

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 27 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC007-025-057-131-175-239-249-273-283-297-311-321-355-391-409-
469-479-481-080340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARANSAS              BEE                 CALHOUN             
DUVAL                GOLIAD              JACKSON             
JIM WELLS            KLEBERG             LA SALLE            
LIVE OAK             MCMULLEN            MATAGORDA           
NUECES               REFUGIO             SAN PATRICIO        
VICTORIA             WEBB                WHARTON             


GMZ231-232-236-237-330-080340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE 

CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS 

COPANO  ARANSAS  AND REDFISH BAYS 
  WW 0026 Status Updates
WW 0026 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 26

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S HEZ TO
35 ENE MEI.

..MOORE..03/08/26

ATTN...WFO...JAN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC023-031-061-065-067-077-085-080240-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE               COVINGTON           JASPER              
JEFFERSON DAVIS      JONES               LAWRENCE            
LINCOLN              


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0025 Status Updates
WW 0025 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 25

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW CRW
TO 30 SSW HLG TO 15 WNW PIT TO 20 SSW JHW TO 30 N BFD.

..KERR..03/07/26

ATTN...WFO...BUF...ILN...CLE...RLX...PBZ...CTP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC003-009-072240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY             CATTARAUGUS         


OHC167-072240-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WASHINGTON           


PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-047-051-053-059-063-065-083-
105-111-123-125-129-072240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGHENY            ARMSTRONG           BEAVER              
BUTLER               CAMBRIA             CAMERON             
CLARION              CLEARFIELD          ELK                 
  No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Mar 8 02:17:02 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

...SUMMARY...
A few storms may produce hail across southern Texas, with sporadic
wind damage still possible extending into parts of the Southeast.

...Discussion...
Scattered cells continue to develop near and north of the cold front
into southern TX, with areas of heavy rain and periodic strong gusts
moving across southeast TX and into southern MS and central AL. 

The 00Z CRP sounding shows substantial instability with MLCAPE
around 2000 J/kg. Low-level flow is relatively weak, but veering
with height which may aid updraft propagation to the east/southeast.
Moderate mid to high level winds are also elongating hodographs,
which may support favorable storm structure for large hail. 

Otherwise, an elongated line of thunderstorms extending from
southeast TX into the southern Appalachians may produce strong wind
gusts at times, with generally marginal shear profiles for anything
sustained. The loss of daytime heating will also support a weakening
trend during the evening.

..Jewell.. 03/08/2026

  SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 PM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

A mid-level cutoff low and upper trough will merge while ejecting
into the Plains, tracking toward the East Coast through the middle
of next week. Surface low development is expected across the central
U.S. with the passage of the merging upper troughs early next week.
This upper air pattern will support a few instances of regional dry
downslope flow, especially across portions of the central and
southern High Plains on Day 3 (Monday), where 40% Critical
probabilities have been introduced. Dry downslope flow may continue
across the southern High Plains on Day 4 (Tuesday), but possible
preceding rainfall and marginal RH precludes Critical probabilities
this outlook.

By the middle of next week into next weekend, a zonal upper flow
pattern will become established over the central U.S. with the
departure of the upper trough. A pronounced mid-level impulse and
accompanying rapidly eastward progressing surface low will support
widespread dry and windy conditions across much of the High Plains
on Day 6 (Thursday) given both strong gradient and downslope induced
surface flow. 40% Critical probabilities were introduced across
portions of the central and southern High Plains, where fuels are
most receptive to wildfire spread and are forecast to receive
minimal rainfall into next week.

..Squitieri.. 03/07/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

 






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