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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

No watches are valid as of Thu Oct 8 04:45:02 UTC 2026.No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Oct 8 04:45:02 UTC 2026.SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2026

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No severe threat is forecast across the U.S. this evening and
tonight.

...DISCUSSION...
A mid-level cyclonic flow pattern is in place over the northeastern
third of the nation, with west-northwesterly flow located over the
remainder of the U.S. At the surface, a moist airmass is located in
along the Gulf Coast, where isolated thunderstorms will be possible
this evening and tonight, mainly across the Florida Peninsula.
Scattered storms will also be possible ahead of a shortwave trough
in the Northeast, and across parts of the Four Corners region. No
severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. through
daybreak on Thursday.

..Broyles.. 10/08/2026

  SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2026

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
A jet streak will round the base of the upper-level trough over the
New England states later today. Meanwhile, a cold front accompanying
this system will continue progressing southeast through much of the
Northeast CONUS and Mid-Atlantic area by this evening. While
northwesterly winds behind the front could gust up to 20-30 mph,
these strongest speeds will likely remain constrained to the Great
Lakes region. Regardless, RHs struggle to drop below 30% behind this
frontal passage. Sub-critical fuels amid heightened humidity will
preclude any significant fire weather threat.

..Stearns.. 10/08/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

 






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