Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast.


..Darrow/Squitieri.. 12/30/2025

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible during the early morning of New
Year's Day along coastal southern California.

...Coastal southern CA...
A low-amplitude shortwave trough will approach but remain offshore
of coastal southern CA through 12Z Thursday. The compact mid-level
cold core might reach the Channel Islands, with generally slight
cooling farther east. This may be sufficient for charge separation
near the end of the period, as low-topped convection is expected to
increase overnight ahead of the trough. Despite modest low-level
hodograph curvature, weak effective bulk shear amid a meager
buoyancy profile suggests convection should remain too
shallow/disorganized for an appreciable severe threat.

..Grams.. 12/30/2025

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1247 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

...Synopsis...
A broad mid-level trough will prevail along the East Coast, with
broad northwesterly flow aloft expected to overspread much of the
central U.S. today. Embedded mid-level impulses pivoting around the
upper trough will encourage multiple southeastward surges of surface
high pressure east of the Mississippi River, with lee troughing
expected across the High Plains. Modest downslope flow along the
central and southern High Plains will promote low-end Elevated
conditions across western Oklahoma into northwestern Texas, where
localized wildfire spread will be possible given dry fuels. Offshore
flow due to the aforementioned surface high pressure surges will
continue to support dry, occasionally breezy conditions across
portions of the Southeast into the FL Peninsula, where low-end
Elevated highlights remain in place.

..Squitieri.. 12/30/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...