WW 444 SEVERE TSTM IA NE SD 030440Z - 031100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 444
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Iowa
Northern Nebraska
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1140 PM
until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Occasionally strong to severe thunderstorms are expected
to continue early in the overnight mainly across northern
Nebraska/far southeast South Dakota, but may further increase and
gradually organize as they progress east-southeastward into western
Iowa. Bouts of large hail and damaging winds will be possible, and
damaging winds could become a bit more prominent should a
well-organized cluster/linear MCS develop overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles south
southwest of Ainsworth NE to 50 miles east southeast of Storm Lake
IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 441...WW 442...WW 443...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Guyer
WW 443 SEVERE TSTM IA MN SD 022310Z - 030700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 443
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Iowa
Southwest Minnesota
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 610 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized/fast-moving line of storms will move into
southwest Minnesota, with additional development to the south across
southeast South Dakota, likely moving into northwest Iowa/southwest
Minnesota through tonight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Redwood Falls MN to 60 miles south southwest of Worthington MN.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...WW 441...WW 442...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Guyer
WW 442 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 022225Z - 030500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 442
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to increase in multiple
corridors across the region, with large hail and damaging winds as
the primary hazards, which includes the potential for multiple
linear clusters to develop and organize this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles south of Garden
City KS to 50 miles west northwest of Mccook NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...WW 441...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
WW 441 SEVERE TSTM MT ND SD WY 022205Z - 030500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 441
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM MDT Thu Jul 2 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Montana
Western North Dakota
Western South Dakota
Northeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
across the region into this evening, with large hail and
severe-caliber winds as the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northeast
of Baker MT to 10 miles south southwest of Rapid City SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
WW 0444 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0444 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
WW 0443 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 443
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/03/26
ATTN...WFO...FSD...MPX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-141-149-167-030540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON O'BRIEN PLYMOUTH
SIOUX
MNC015-033-063-091-165-030540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COTTONWOOD JACKSON
MARTIN WATONWAN
SDC009-023-027-053-127-135-030540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CHARLES MIX CLAY
GREGORY UNION YANKTON
WW 0442 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 442
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W RSL TO
50 NNW GCK TO 40 NW GCK TO 40 ENE LAA TO 50 ENE SNY.
..BROYLES..07/03/26
ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...DDC...GID...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 442
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-063-065-071-109-137-147-153-163-179-181-193-199-203-
030540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE
GRAHAM GREELEY LOGAN
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
ROOKS SHERIDAN SHERMAN
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
NEC019-029-047-057-063-065-073-083-085-087-111-135-137-145-
030540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CHASE DAWSON
DUNDY FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER HARLAN HAYES
HITCHCOCK LINCOLN PERKINS
PHELPS RED WILLOW
WW 0441 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW RAP TO
20 W RAP TO 45 N RAP TO 35 SSE Y22 TO 10 ENE Y22 TO 30 NNW 2WX TO
10 SSE BHK TO 25 W BHK TO 30 N MLS.
..BROYLES..07/03/26
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC019-021-025-083-085-091-109-030540-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DANIELS DAWSON FALLON
RICHLAND ROOSEVELT SHERIDAN
WIBAUX
NDC001-007-011-013-023-025-033-041-053-061-087-089-105-030540-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN
BURKE DIVIDE DUNN
GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER MCKENZIE
MOUNTRAIL SLOPE STARK
WILLIAMS
SDC055-093-103-137-030540-
WW 0439 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE MBG TO
25 ESE PIR TO 50 W 9V9 TO 35 WSW 9V9 TO 15 NE 9V9 TO 15 NNE HON
TO 25 NE BKX.
..BROYLES..07/03/26
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC003-005-011-015-035-043-061-065-067-073-075-077-079-083-087-
097-099-101-111-117-119-125-030240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE DAVISON DOUGLAS
HANSON HUGHES HUTCHINSON
JERAULD JONES KINGSBURY
LAKE LINCOLN MCCOOK
MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY
SANBORN STANLEY SULLY
TURNER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
MD 1461 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS...FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA...FAR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
Mesoscale Discussion 1461
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2026
Areas affected...Northern Illinois...Far Northwest Indiana...Far
Southwest Michigan
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 030443Z - 030645Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...The severe threat may continue for a few more hours across
parts of northern Illinois and far southwest Michigan. Isolated
severe gusts and hail will be the primary threats. The threat may be
enough to consider watch issuance.
DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows an outflow boundary
extending from eastern Iowa east-northeastward into northern
Illinois, along which an east-to-west corridor of strong to severe
storms is ongoing. The storms are located along a relatively tight
gradient of moderate instability, where MLCAPE is estimated by the
RAP in the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition, the storms are
located along the southern edge of a 40 to 50 knot mid-level jet,
which is providing enough deep-layer shear for organized storms.
Low-level lapse rates are still steep along this instability
gradient, suggesting that a wind-damage threat will continue to be
possible with the stronger storms. Hail could also occur. As
instability decreases in the early overnight period, the severe
threat should eventually decrease.
..Broyles/Guyer.. 07/03/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...LOT...ILX...DVN...
LAT...LON 41799016 42198865 42538656 42528599 42458571 42258558
42088564 41878595 41738638 41438761 41248855 40939034
40949089 41089109 41379103 41799016
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
MD 1460 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN MONTANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1460
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2026
Areas affected...Eastern Montana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 030340Z - 030545Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A wind-damage and hail threat will likely continue across
part of eastern Montana late this evening. The threat is expected to
become more isolated with time, and additional watch issuance
appears unlikely.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery over eastern Montana shows a
line of strong to severe thunderstorms ongoing about 70 statute
miles to the south of Glasgow. The storms are located just to the
northwest of a surface low in an area where surface dewpoints are in
the mid to upper 50s F, and MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP around
1000 J/kg. The line currently has a wind-damage threat, which is
being supported by very steep lapse rates in the low-levels. This
line may continue to remain intact as it moves toward the
Montana-North Dakota state line late this evening. Hail could also
occur within the strongest of cores. However, as instability weakens
across the region, the line of storms is expected to become more
disorganized with any severe threat becoming marginal and isolated.
..Broyles.. 07/03/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...
LAT...LON 46490592 46550508 46810433 47200393 47670402 48030441
48040521 47880604 47590649 47170666 46720636 46490592
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2026
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND EXTREME
NORTHWEST IOWA...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES AND WESTERN KANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms are still possible from the northern Plains
into the Midwest and Great Lakes regions this evening. More isolated
severe storms will be possible across the Central High Plains.
...High Plains into the Midwest...
Several clusters of thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of the
Dakotas into northern Iowa and southern Wisconsin/northern Illinois.
Across the western Dakotas, clusters of multi-cell and supercells
are ongoing. Given moderate instability and some supercellular
modes, large hail to very large hail and damaging wind will continue
to be a threat through the evening. Additional thunderstorms may
move out of Montana and or southern Canada through the evening with
additional chances for large hail and damaging wind.
A cluster across southeastern South Dakota moving into
Minnesota/Iowa has a history of producing significant gusts 90-100
mph. More recent observations have been around 60-70 mph. It is
likely that the damaging wind potential will continue downstream for
the next couple of hours, with potential for additional development
along the trailing outflow into northern Nebraska later this
evening. The 00z sounding from OAX sampled a large cape profile with
steep low to mid-level lapse rates.Confidence in exact evolution
remains low but some CAM guidance does suggest a secondary MCS
structure may move eastward later this evening across northern Iowa.
Given the large MLCAPE gradient extending across southern South
Dakota into northern Iowa and a continued reservoir of steep low to
mid-level lapse rates, this may pose additional potential for
damaging wind through the evening.
...Central High Plains...
A few isolated supercells are ongoing across portions of eastern
Colorado, southern Nebraska, and western Kansas. These have had
occasional stronger MESH cores around 2 inches. The 00z sounding
from DDC sampled strong instability and steep low to mid-level lapse
rates amid large dew point depressions within the near surface
profile. Given strong deep layer shear, inverted v soundings, and
moderate to strong instability, these supercells will continue to
pose a risk for large to very large hail and severe wind.
...Northeast...
A line of thunderstorms is sagging southward out of Quebec. These
may pose some potential for a few instances of strong to severe wind
through the evening. See MCD#1455 for more information.
..Thornton.. 07/03/2026
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