Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
850 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025
Day 3
Valid 12Z Wed Jul 02 2025 - 12Z Thu Jul 03 2025

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST US AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND
NEARBY SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

...2030Z Update...
Generally minor adjustments made to the overnight forecast,
including an expansion of the Marginal Risk into parts of the Mid-
Atlantic. Lingering heavy rainfall potential will remain as the
front slowly presses southeastward, driving additional showers and
thunderstorms with 90th percentile PWATs which could overlap with
heavy rainfall from days 1-2.

The Marginal was also expanded in the Southern Rockies based on the
uptick in QPF as an upper-trough approaches from the west, while
southeasterly flow ushers in 97th-99th percentile PWATs into the
region.

Asherman/Bann
Day 3 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/99epoints.txt