Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
416 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026
Day 2
Valid 12Z Mon Oct 19 2026 - 12Z Tue Oct 20 2026

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Most of the guidance from the 18/00Z cycle continues to keep the
system far enough away from the east coast to keep the excessive
rainfall threat off-shore. Even so...it should be acknowledged
that the probability of excessive rainfall is probably not zero
percent but not to the level of re-introducing a Marginal risk
area.

Bann


Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt