Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
415 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Day 2
Valid 12Z Mon Oct 12 2026 - 12Z Tue Oct 13 2026

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE GREAT BASIN AND THE SOUTHWEST...

...Great Basin into the Southwest...

While the remnants of Rachel will have accelerated rapidly
northeast day 1 away from the Southwest and Great Basin, a closed
low will settle southeastward day 2 across the Great Basin. This
will help maintain above average PW values to the east and
southeast of this closed low from Southern California into the
Southwest and Great Basin, although values will be lower than the
day 1 period. Model consensus is for additional moderate to heavy
precip totals from northwest Arizona into eastern Nevada and much
of Utah. While precip totals are much lower than the day 1 period,
a slight risk was maintained from northwest Arizona into much of
Utah along the Wasatch as there will likely be overlap of heavy
rain areas on day 1 with the potential day 2 moderate to heavy
totals.

Oravec


Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt