U.S. Alerts
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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 031650

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1050 AM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

   Valid 031700Z - 041200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No change to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook with benign fire weather
   and/or fuel conditions across CONUS. A southward progressing cold
   front moving through the Desert Southwest is initiating an offshore
   wind event across southern CA this morning. Surface high pressure
   settling into the Great Basin will maintain the offshore pressure
   gradient, supporting east-northeast winds within favored terrain and
   gaps through tonight. Despite elevated east-northeast winds of 15-25
   mph and relative humidity dropping to around 15%, relatively cool
   temperatures and marginal fuel dryness should mitigate significant
   wildfire spread potential.

   ..Williams.. 12/03/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   On the backside of a midlevel trough moving across the Four Corners
   region, high pressure over the Intermountain West will promote an
   enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern CA. While
   locally dry/breezy conditions are expected (especially across
   wind-prone mountains and valleys), marginal fuels should limit most
   fire-weather concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 031927

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0127 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook with minimal fire
   weather concerns across the contiguous U.S. An ongoing offshore wind
   event from the east-northeast will begin to wane Thursday afternoon
   across southern CA as surface pressure gradients relax throughout
   the day. Existing marginal fuel conditions should reduce wildfire
   spread potential, limiting impacts from the dry and locally breezy
   winds.

   ..Williams.. 12/03/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1148 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Surface high pressure over the Intermountain West will favor another
   day of locally dry/breezy offshore flow across portions of southern
   CA. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible,
   marginal fuels should limit most concerns.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 022058

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0258 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

   Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Cold surface high pressure should be the predominant feature across
   much of the Midwest, Great Lakes and Northeast as persistent
   northwesterly flow aloft remains over the eastern U.S. through early
   next week. Mid-level short waves interacting with deeper boundary
   layer moisture and surface frontal features should bring widespread
   precipitation to much of the Deep South through the weekend, further
   mitigating fire weather concerns. Farther west, complimentary
   upper-level ridging nosing into the CA coast should maintain above
   normal temperatures and minimal precipitation across much of the
   lower elevations of the Southwest, Great Basin and lower CO River
   Basin through early next week. However, multiple short waves within
   the broader northwesterly flow should bring ample mountain snow and
   lower fire weather concerns overall across the Intermountain West. 

   ...Day 5/Saturday - Southern Plains...
   Lee cyclogenesis across the central/southern Plains in response to
   increasing northwesterly flow over the central/southern Rockies
   could support dry and breezy conditions across portions of eastern
   NM/West TX on Saturday. However, forecast uncertainty remains
   elevated regarding strength and location of incipient surface low
   across the central/southern Plains Saturday. Marginal expected fuel
   dryness could also limit overall fire weather threat which precludes
   introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/02/2025
      




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