U.S. Alerts
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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 281518

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

   Valid 281700Z - 291200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The forecast remains on track as previously described with no
   changes necessary.

   ..Stearns.. 10/28/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1247 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns will remain low across the CONUS today.
   Low-amplitude upper troughing will continue across the northern
   CONUS while upper ridging begins to weaken over the Southeast. High
   temperatures in the 80s and minimum RH values of 25-30% will overlap
   drought-stressed fuels in the lower MS River Valley. However,
   lighter prevailing winds will limit a fire weather threat over this
   region.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 281826

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0126 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast remains on track as described with no changes
   necessary on Day 2/Thursday.

   ..Stearns.. 10/28/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1248 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Across the Interior West, westerly flow aloft will gradually
   transition to southwesterly as a mid-level trough amplifies over the
   Pacific Northwest. Resultant increasing cloud cover across much of
   the western CONUS, lighter prevailing winds, and a marginal fuel
   environment will limit fire weather concerns. Upper ridging will
   continue across the Southeast with surface high pressure centered
   over the TN Valley, allowing warm and dry conditions to prevail. A
   lack of strong wind where fuels are available to burn, mainly across
   the lower MS River Valley and southern Appalachians, will preclude
   any significant fire weather threat on Day 2/Thursday.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 272121

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0421 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

   Valid 291200Z - 041200Z

   A high amplitude trough will remain over the Pacific Northwest
   through at least Day 5/Saturday, leaving much of the western third
   of the CONUS under increased cloud cover, below normal temperatures,
   and periodic precipitation. The extended forecast period begins on
   Day 3/Thursday with nearly zonal flow atop much of the eastern half
   of the CONUS as the upper-level jet flows over the international
   border with Canada, promoting above normal temperatures from the
   Great Plains eastward. As the forecast progresses into Day 4/Friday,
   a subtle and transient ridge builds over portions of the Plains and
   South while a shortwave trough is expected to pass through the
   Southwest. The aforementioned resident trough over the West will
   begin to strengthen and nudge eastward on Day 6/Sunday, dragging
   cooler-than-normal temperatures and another round of widespread
   precipitation across much of the CONUS early next week. This will
   drop ERCs across the board even lower headed into next week. Areas
   with the driest antecedent conditions (generally over the lower MS
   River corridor), are anticipated to receive beneficial
   precipitation. Thus, any threat of significant fire weather remains
   low and will trend even lower by next week.

   ..Stearns.. 10/27/2026
      




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