ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150559

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough entering the Pacific Northwest along with a
   lee surface trough in interior WA and OR will support dry and breezy
   conditions across northeastern CA, south-central OR and far
   northwestern NV Thursday. A dry thunderstorm threat will also exist
   across much of interior WA as the trough pushes through the region.
   Farther south, dry and breezy onshore flow will continue to bring a
   fire weather threat to portions of the central and southern coastal
   ranges of CA and adjacent Central Valley.

   ...Northeastern California, northwestern Nevada and south-central
   Oregon...
   Increasing mid-level flow attributed to the Pacific Northwest trough
   atop an increasingly dry boundary layer via exiting monsoon
   moisture, will bring dry and breezy conditions to northeastern CA,
   south-central OR and far northwestern NV Thursday. Southwest winds
   of up to 15 mph and relative humidity of 10-15% will result in
   several hours of elevated fire weather conditions during the
   afternoon.

   ...Portions of central California and Central Valley...
   Dry and breezy westerly/northwesterly flow and resultant fire
   weather threat will once again impact portions of the central CA
   coastal ranges, southward into the southern Central Valley and
   adjacent Sierra Madre and San Rafael ranges. Wind speeds of up to 15
   mph (up to 20-25 mph in terrain gaps) combined with RH in the 15-20%
   range will lead to elevated fire weather concerns Thursday
   afternoon.

   ...Washington and far northern ID Panhandle...
   A dynamic upper low and attendant 50-60 knot mid-level jet will push
   into the OR/WA Cascades Thursday. Residual monsoon moisture with
   PWATs ranging from 0.70-1.0", daytime heating and resultant
   instability over higher terrain, will bring a dry thunderstorm
   threat to much of central/eastern WA and northern ID Panhandle.
   Fuels continue to dry with forecast ERC values remaining near the
   90th percentile as minimal rainfall is expected during the
   D1/Wednesday time period. LCL-EL layer northeastward velocities of
   30-35 knots suggests reduced residence time of rain cores which will
   enhance ignition potential. Gusty outflow thunderstorm winds are
   also possible aided by a dry, sub-cloud layer. Highlighted area may
   need future adjustments if localized heavier rains occur
   D1/Wednesday.

   ..Williams.. 07/15/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 142137

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0437 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026

   Valid 161200Z - 221200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong upper ridge will persist over the central/northern Plains
   through the end of this week into the early weekend. Following a
   northward progressing shortwave trough along the Pacific Northwest
   coast on Day 3/Thursday, ensembles indicate the upper ridge will
   then translate westward to encompass much of the western CONUS while
   the eastern US is expected to remain in a troughing pattern. Daily
   chances of thunderstorm activity are possible in the extended
   forecast period across the Intermountain West as monsoonal moisture
   advects northward once again. 

   ...Portions of northeastern California and the Central Valley,
   northwestern Nevada, and far south-central Oregon...
   Warm daytime temperatures and low RH will contribute to drying fuels
   across the California Coastal Ranges into the Central Valley. ERCs
   are forecast to approach the 90-95th percentile by late this week
   amid dry and breezy conditions, supporting any new ignitions and the
   emergence of lightning holdovers from wet/dry thunderstorms early in
   the forecast period. 40% Critical probabilities remain on Day
   3/Thursday to account for this threat. Farther north, strong
   south-southwesterly flow aloft behind a shortwave trough bypassing
   the Pacific Northwest will encourage dry and windy conditions across
   northeastern California, northwestern Nevada, and south-central
   Oregon on Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday. Preceding days of thunderstorms
   and pockets of heavier rainfall may alleviate some fuel concerns;
   however, a returning dry airmass and gusty winds may encourage any
   lightning holdovers to emerge.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/14/2026