U.S. Alerts
El Dorado Weather Logo
U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
Imagery from Canada Weather

U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 101645

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1045 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

   Valid 101700Z - 111200Z

   ...Southern Plains...
   A dry, post-frontal air mass continues to filter into the Southern
   Plains. Sustained north winds of 15-20 mph (locally 25 mph) combined
   and relative humidity falling to around 15% will support elevated
   fire weather conditions across a broad swath of the Southern Plains
   through the afternoon. The best alignment of breezy north winds, low
   relative humidity and dry fuels will be across south-central TX and
   the Edwards Plateau areas, where the lack of recent rainfall events
   have contributed to a more receptive fuelscape. Although some
   rainfall had fallen across portions of northwestern TX, TX Panhandle
   and southwestern OK in recent days, pockets of drier fine fuels that
   avoided wetting rainfall could support a locally elevated fire
   threat through the afternoon.

   ..Williams.. 01/10/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad mid-level troughing will intensify as it moves eastward across
   the US today and tonight. A cold front will sweep southeastward
   through the Plains and southeast States with showers and
   thunderstorms ahead of it. Strong high pressure will rapidly build
   over the Rockies and western states. A dry post-frontal air mass
   will develop in the wake of the front, with the driest portions
   expected across parts of the Edwards Plateau and the Rio Grande
   Valley. Downslope and gusty northerly winds of 20-25 mph will
   overlap with RH values as low as 15-20% this afternoon. While some
   rain has fallen over the eastern portions of south-central TX,
   overall fuels remain quite dry. This will promote a few hours of
   Elevated fire weather conditions in the Rio Grande Valley and
   Edwards Plateau this afternoon. Fire weather concerns will quickly
   diminish this evening as winds weaken and colder temperatures settle
   into region.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 101935

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0135 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...Southeast...
   An energetic mid-level trough accompanied by a robust surface cold
   front will move into the Eastern Seaboard Sunday. Latest model
   guidance depicts current band of showers and thunderstorms along the
   cold front stretching from the northern Gulf Coast into the
   Mid-Atlantic diminishing through tonight into D2/Sunday. A dry,
   post-frontal environment with downsloping support from the
   Appalachians will encompass the Southeast on Sunday. Northwest winds
   of 15-20 mph and relative humidity of 25-35% will allow for elevated
   fire weather conditions to impact southeastern Georgia and the
   Coastal Plains of the Carolinas Sunday, where precipitation will be
   absent or limited.

   ..Williams.. 01/10/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0102 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Troughing over the eastern US will continue to intensify as it moves
   offshore D2/Sunday. Strong west/northwesterly flow aloft will
   overspread much of the Mid Atlantic and southeast states through the
   day. Considerable rainfall associated with the trough and an
   advancing surface cold front will likely mitigate fire weather
   concerns from the northern Gulf Coast into the Mid Atlantic.
   However, rain  will be less common over portions of southern
   Georgia, the Coastal Plains of the Carolinas and northern Florida.
   As the front moves offshore, dry northerly flow is likely with gusts
   of 15-20 mph and RH below 35%. Brief, locally elevated fire-weather
   conditions are possible along the immediate coastal plain. However,
   fuels here remain only marginally receptive to fire spread in areas
   without recent precipitation. Thus, broader fire-weather concerns
   appear unlikely.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 092141

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0341 PM CST Fri Jan 09 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 171200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Dry conditions and gradually warming temperatures will likely
   dominate the western U.S. under a relatively stagnant upper-level
   ridging pattern across the region. Broad northwest flow and
   upper-level troughing across the eastern U.S. will continue to usher
   in periods of colder temperatures and some precipitation via frontal
   systems through late next week, although the High Plains should
   remain largely dry.

   ...Southern/Central High Plains...
   A dry return flow pattern should materialize early next week across
   the Southern Plains as surface high pressure settles into the
   southeastern U.S. Although dry conditions will persist, surface
   winds from the west/southwest should remain muted, limiting a
   broader fire weather threat. A more amplified upper-level pattern
   should emerge by Day 6/Wednesday accompanied by a broad cold front
   across the central U.S. This could present a fire weather concern
   for portions of the Southern Plains/TX. Increasing northwest flow
   aloft over the central/southern Rockies by Day 7/Thursday and
   another potential cold front will promote a favorable downslope wind
   set up in the lee of the central/southern Rockies. Some uncertainty
   in frontal timing limits predictability at this time with no
   critical probabilities introduced. 

   ...Day 3/Sunday - Southeast...
   Considerable rainfall associated with an upper-level trough and
   surface cold front over the weekend will likely mitigate fire
   weather concerns from the northern Gulf Coast into the Mid Atlantic
   for early next week. However, portions of southern Georgia, Coastal
   Plains of the Carolinas and Florida could evade heavier rainfall.
   This region could be exposed to dry, post-frontal flow from the
   northwest on Day 3/Sunday although marginal fuels precludes
   introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 01/09/2026
      




Contact Us Contact Us Thumbnail | Mobile Mobile Phone Thumbnail
Private Policy | Terms & Conds | Consent Preferences | Cookie Policy
Never base any life decisions on weather information from this site or anywhere over the Internet.
Site is dedicated to our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ | Random Quotes of Jesus

Copyright © 2026 El Dorado Weather, Inc. | Site Designed By:  Webmaster Danny