ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130541

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1241 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low over the Four Corners region will send an eastward
   progressing cold front into eastern AZ/western NM on Day
   2/Wednesday. High elevation snow is likely in southwestern to
   central CO with precipitation chances spreading into the central
   Plains as the trough lifts over northern CO. Farther west, an
   offshore gradient will begin to develop on Day 2/Wednesday
   afternoon, increasing east/northeast sustained winds to 15-25 mph in
   terrain-favored areas of western L.A. county into Santa Barbara
   county; thus, locally elevated fire weather conditions are possible
   where dry fuels exist. The pressure gradient will strengthen late in
   the Day 2/Wednesday period (early Thursday morning) leading into an
   offshore wind event late this week (see the Day 3-8 Fire Weather
   Outlook for details).

   Meanwhile, high pressure will transition over the Southeast,
   transporting rich Gulf moisture into the southern Plains and Ozarks.
   As a result, anomalously high PWATs ranging from 1.8-2.2" and
   afternoon large scale ascent are expected to promote areas of heavy
   rainfall along a sagging cold front. This system is expected to
   provide relief to drying fuels across the region, especially to
   areas categorized by extreme to exceptional drought.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 10/13/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122154

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0454 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough over the Four Corners region on Day 3/Wednesday
   will eject into the Plains and merge with a broader and intensifying
   trough over the Northeast by Day 5/Friday. A cutoff low is likely to
   evolve over Baja California while upper ridging builds back over the
   northwestern U.S. This upper level pattern, in addition to surface
   high pressure emerging over the Intermountain West and central U.S.,
   will support a period of dry, offshore flow across portions of
   southern CA Days 4-5/Thursday-Friday. A cold front will push into
   the Southeast by Day 5/Friday with dry, post-frontal flow bringing
   fire weather concerns to portions of the lower MS River Valley on
   Day 5/Friday.

   ...Days 4-5/Thursday-Friday - Southern California...
   A offshore wind event is expected to commence as early as Day
   3/Wednesday across portions of southern CA as expansive surface high
   pressure settles into the Intermountain West and central U.S.
   Upper-level support for appreciable offshore flow will also be
   present as a cutoff mid-level low across Baja CA and a building
   ridge to the north evolve through late this week. East-northeast
   winds of 15-25 mph with higher gusts are likely from western L.A.
   county westward into Santa Barbara county with fire weather impacts
   beginning Day 4/Thursday and peaking Day 5/Friday. Residual moisture
   from recent rainfall should subdue fire weather concerns farther
   east. These dry and breezy conditions combined with drying fuels as
   temperatures climb through the week prompted inclusion of 40%
   critical probabilities for parts of southern CA for both Thursday
   and Friday.

   ...Day 5/Friday - Lower Mississippi River Valley...
   An expansive cold front will push through the Southern Plains and
   Southeast by the end of the week, ushering in a dry, post-frontal
   air mass and modest northerly winds into the region. Well above
   normal temperatures under persistent ridging through midweek will
   continue to promote receptive fuels across the lower MS River Valley
   where forecast ERC values on Day 5/Friday near the 90th percentile.
   The preceding heat and its fuel preconditioning impact followed by a
   dry cold front will support elevated fire weather conditions for the
   lower MS River Valley region on Day 5/Friday where 40% critical
   probabilities have been introduced.

   ..Williams.. 10/12/2026