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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110703

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0203 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWESTERN
   SOUTH DAKOTA...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level shortwave trough embedded within westerly flow over the
   northern Rockies will aid in the development of a surface cyclone
   across the Northern Great Plains, bringing dry and windy conditions
   to portions of eastern Wyoming, Nebraska, and South Dakota today.
   Critical fire-weather conditions are forecast across portions of
   southeastern Wyoming and western Nebraska into southwestern South
   Dakota as the surface low and subsequent cold front progress towards
   the east.

   ...Eastern Wyoming into western Nebraska and southwestern South
   Dakota...
   From late morning into early afternoon, the surface low over western
   and central South Dakota is forecast to deepen and progress
   eastward. Prefrontal strong westerly downslope winds of 20-25 MPH
   are forecast with relative humidity of 15-20%, and postfrontal winds
   of roughly the same magnitude will be out of the north-northwest by
   mid-to-late afternoon. The dry and windy conditions will overlap
   with fuels that are critically receptive to wildfire ignition and
   spread, warranting the introduction of Critical highlights. Fuel
   receptiveness drops off fairly rapidly with eastward extent, so
   highlights were confined to where the meteorological and fuel
   conditions best overlap. 

   Further west into eastern Wyoming, winds will remain around 20 MPH
   but relative humidity should remain above 25%. Fuel receptiveness
   extends well into eastern Wyoming, so if forecast updates come in
   windier and dryer, there could be an extension of the Critical
   highlights westward.

   ..Halbert.. 09/11/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110707

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0207 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper low is forecast to move into portions of the Pacific
   Northwest on Saturday with a fairly strong 70 kt jet streak. As this
   jet streak begins to enter the Great Basin, the cross-range flow and
   boundary layer mixing will result in dry and breezy conditions
   supporting Elevated fire-weather highlights. 


   ...Northern Nevada into far southern portions of Oregon and Idaho...

   Westerly surface winds should become fairly gusty, reaching 20-25
   MPH and relative humidity of 10-15%. However, fuels are generally in
   the vicinity of the 50th-60th annual ERC percentiles, suggesting a
   lack of receptiveness to wildfire ignition and spread. In spite of
   the meager fuels, meteorological conditions will warrant at least
   Elevated highlights owing to the strong surface winds.

   ..Halbert.. 09/11/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 102046

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

   Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level low will enter the Pacific Northwest and Northern
   Rockies this weekend with an accompanying 60-70 kt jet over the
   Great Basin. This pattern may provide broader precipitation chances
   and much cooler temperatures to the northwestern CONUS, thus
   subduing fire weather concerns; however, strong southwesterly winds
   amid critically low RH values may support a broader fire weather
   threat in the Great Basin on Day 3/Saturday. As troughing departs
   into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region early next week, a
   very dry airmass and near normal temperatures will reside over the
   western CONUS. Simultaneously, ridging is forecast to build across
   the Southeast favoring drier conditions and above normal
   temperatures.

   ...Day 3/Saturday...
   A robust upper low will impinge upon the northwestern U.S. on Day
   3/Saturday, amplifying west-southwesterly flow over northern CA and
   the western Great Basin. Ensemble guidance depicts expansive 60-80%
   probabilities of wind speeds exceeding 25 mph amid critically low RH
   in northeastern CA, northern NV, southeastern OR, and southern ID.
   Despite modest ERCs, drought-stressed fuels could support new
   ignitions given the severity of meteorological conditions. As a
   result, 40% Critical probabilities were maintained across the
   region. Farther west, gusty west/southwesterly winds of 10-20 mph
   and RH values of 15-25% are expected in the Sacramento Valley.
   Marginal fuels preclude Critical probabilities at this time;
   however, new ignitions cannot be ruled out within localized dry
   fuels.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/10/2026
      




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