U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220554

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1254 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns will remain low across the CONUS today. An
   upper-level low and associated showers and thunderstorms across the
   Great Basin will push northeastward through today, farther into the
   Intermountain West. A corridor of stronger southwest winds under
   enhanced mid-level flow aloft is expected over portions of northern
   AZ, eastern UT and southern WY, but marginal fuels and limited
   overlap with low RH will suppress fire weather concerns over this
   region. A return of deeper subtropical moisture into the Southwest,
   together with an embedded MCV moving into southern AZ/NM later today
   should translate to widespread shower and thunderstorm activity
   (including heavy rain) across portions of NM and eastern AZ today,
   diminishing the overall fire weather threat. Receptive fuels persist
   across portions of the Southern Plains and lower MS River Valley
   where widespread rainfall has been limited. However, a slightly
   cooler, post-frontal air mass and light winds under a ridge aloft
   should prevent a broader fire weather risk for today.

   ..Williams.. 09/22/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 220556

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1256 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026

   Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Reduced fire weather concerns will linger into D2/Wednesday. Surface
   lee troughing is expected to evolve across the Northern High Plains
   as an upper-level trough translates northeastward into ND and high
   pressure settles into Ontario/Quebec. A resultant corridor of south
   winds of 10-15 mph (locally 20 mph) are expected over much of the
   Great Plains by Wednesday afternoon. Marginal fuels coupled with
   limited RH reductions should inhibit broader fire weather concerns
   across the region. Dry conditions including RH nearing 15% during
   peak afternoon heating will persist across CA and the Great Basin in
   the wake of a departing upper-level trough. However, marginal fuels
   and light surface winds precludes fire weather highlights.

   ..Williams.. 09/22/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 212102

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0402 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

   Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

   ...Discussion...
   An upper low will transition into the Great Lakes region and Ohio
   Valley on Day 3/Thursday, supporting precipitation chances and much
   cooler temperatures along/east of the Appalachians. Meanwhile, a
   shallow cold front will slowly progress southward through southern
   Texas and the Deep South. Hot and mostly dry conditions will
   continue across the lower Mississippi Valley through the forecast
   period as upper ridging rebuilds over the ArkLaTex, contributing to
   forecast ERCs approaching the 90-95th percentile; but, prevailing
   light winds should suppress overall fire weather concerns.

   Guidance is in general agreement for ridging to build over the
   central CONUS late in the workweek as an upper trough evolves across
   the Eastern Pacific and impinges upon the Northwest. The overall
   pattern indicates stronger southwest winds may return to the
   portions of the northern Great Basin, Pacific Northwest, and
   Northern Rockies on Days 4-5/Thursday-Friday; however, an expected
   marginal fuelscape should limit a broader fire weather threat. If
   fuels guidance trends drier, critical probabilities may be needed in
   future outlook cycles.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/21/2026
      




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