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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251623

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1123 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

   Valid 251700Z - 261200Z

   No changes were made to the existing fire weather outlook as a broad
   elevated fire weather threat commences over the northern Great
   Basin. West-southwest winds ahead of a cold front currently moving
   through northern CA into eastern OR will accelerate through the
   early afternoon hours across much of northern NV into adjacent
   southeastern OR and southwestern ID. Ample insolation aside from a
   few high clouds will promote a well-mixed boundary layer by
   mid-afternoon leading to west-southwest winds of 15-20 mph with
   higher gusts. These winds combined with dry conditions including RH
   as low as 15% will support an elevated fire weather threat over
   sufficiently dry fuels. A more limited fire weather risk is expected
   across far northwestern NV into southeastern OR as the front
   progresses southeastward through the day ushering in a
   west-northwest wind shift, increasing surface dewpoints/RH and
   additional cloud cover.

   ..Williams.. 09/25/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a robust midlevel trough moving eastward across
   the Northwest, 40-50-kt midlevel west-southwesterly flow will
   overspread the northern Great Basin today. Downslope-aided warming
   and drying will promote deep boundary-layer mixing, allowing
   stronger flow aloft to efficiently mix to the surface ahead of an
   eastward-moving cold front. As a result, a corridor of 15-20 mph
   sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will combine with 15-20
   percent RH across parts of northern NV, southeastern OR, and
   southwestern ID this afternoon. Given at least modestly receptive
   fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected.
   A northerly wind shift is expected behind the cold front this
   evening, though weaker post-frontal wind speeds should limit
   additional fire-weather concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251924

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0224 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   A mid-level trough in the northwestern CONUS will contribute to a 
   corridor of dry southwest flow over the southern/central Great Basin
   Saturday. Although south-southwesterly surface winds of 15-20 mph
   and RH reductions in the 15-20% range are expected across
   southern/central Nevada, recent rainfall and marginal fuels still
   precludes introduction of Elevated highlights for this event.

   ..Williams.. 09/25/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A midlevel trough will gradually amplify over the West on Saturday
   afternoon, resulting in strengthening deep-layer southerly flow
   across parts of the southern and central Great Basin. Deep
   boundary-layer mixing will support south-southwesterly surface winds
   of 15-20 mph amid afternoon RH of 15-20 percent. While locally
   elevated fire-weather conditions are possible across
   southern/central NV, marginal fuels should generally limit
   fire-weather concerns.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252121

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0421 PM CDT Fri Sep 25 2026

   Valid 271200Z - 031200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A weakening coastal low will likely bring additional widespread
   precipitation to portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through
   early next week while an upper-level trough amplifies across the
   western U.S. Dry and breezy conditions across parts of the Great
   Basin are expected on D3/Sunday within a strengthening southwest
   flow regime as the upper trough evolves. Northward transport of
   abundant remnant moisture from ongoing eastern Pacific tropical
   cyclone activity aided by the upper trough/low, is likely to promote
   widespread precipitation as far west as interior CA into much of the
   Southwest for Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday. Deeper moisture and related
   rainfall moves in the southern/central Plains Days
   6-7/Wednesday-Thursday as the upper trough progresses slowly
   eastward, providing temporary relief to an existing dry fuelscape.
   This pattern could also promote a period of dry, offshore flow
   across southern CA as early as D4/Monday. However, forecast
   uncertainty in expected upper trough position and potential rainfall
   reduces predictability of impacts.

   ...Day 3/Sunday - Great Basin...
   A strengthening upper trough moving into the Pacific Northwest and
   northern CA will bolster mid-level southwest flow over the Great
   Basin on Day 3/Sunday. A corridor of stronger southwest winds (20-25
   mph), southeast of a stalled frontal boundary amid RH reductions as
   low as 10% is likely by Sunday afternoon. This will promote a fire
   weather threat over sufficiently dry fuels across portions of
   central/eastern NV where 40% critical probabilities have been
   introduced.

   ..Williams.. 09/25/2026
      




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