ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100745

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will persist over the Plains as a mid-level trough
   amplifies off of the East Coast, and another upper trough impinges
   on the Southwest tomorrow (Wednesday). Surface high pressure will
   remain in place east of the Mississippi River, with surface
   troughing and some moist return flow likely over the Plains. The
   overall large-scale pattern suggests that quiescent fire weather
   conditions will be the norm across the CONUS on Wednesday, with no
   fire weather highlights needed.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/10/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 092141

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0341 PM CST Mon Feb 09 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 171200Z

   Progressive mid-level flow will continue over the US through next
   week. Strong westerly winds will continue to increase over the
   Rockies and Plains through this week and into the weekend. This will
   encourage westerly downslope flow and lee troughing late this week.
   By this weekend a more substantial trough should emerge and deepen
   over the southern US. Some potential for more active fire-weather
   conditions appears possible over southern TX through this weekend.
   The active toughing pattern should continue into next week.

   ...Southern High Plains D4/Thursday...
   With zonal flow increasing over parts of the southern Rockies mid to
   late week, a shortwave trough is expected to move into the southern
   High Plains. Strong westerly flow will support the development of a
   weak lee low D4/Thursday. South of the low, enhanced westerly
   downslope flow is expected from eastern NM into west TX. Bolstered
   by stronger westerly winds and deep mixing, afternoon gusts of 15-25
   mph appear possible. The strong winds will likely overlap with a
   warm and dry air mass with relative humidity below 20%. With little
   recent rainfall in the area, the overlap of dry fuels and elevated
   fire-weather conditions appear possible before a cold front moves
   south into D5/Friday. A 40% area has been added for D4/Thursday.

   ...Rio Grande Valley and South Texas D5/Friday-D7/Sunday...
   The more prominent upper trough over Baja CA and northern MEX will
   translate eastward D5/Friday into the weekend. Strong ascent will
   overspread the far Southern Plains into parts of South TX and the
   Rio Grande. A lee low will move off the MEX High Plateau supporting
   inland moisture advection over parts of south TX. Widespread
   precipitation (projected QPF in the 0.5-2 inch range) is expected to
   develop north of the surface low along a stalled front across
   portions of central TX into OK and the mid to lower MS Valley. This
   should largely limit fire-weather potential farther north.

   D6/Saturday, dry and breezy surface conditions may develop behind
   the departing low from the TX Big Bend to the Rio Grande Valley.
   Trailing the low, a Pacific Front will move east with much drier air
   mass behind it. Strong west/northwesterly flow on the backside of
   the low may mix down increasing surface winds to 20  mph. This could
   support the potential for fire-weather conditions
   D6/Saturday. However, model spread on the potential for
   precipitation, the frontal passage, and impacts to area fuels
   remains too uncertain to introduce probabilities at this time.

   By D7/Sunday, the upper trough and Surface low will move eastward. A
   temporarily cooler air mass will fill in, before southerly winds
   start to build again into next week. Strong troughing over the West
   should continue, spreading strong flow aloft over parts of the
   Southwest and Plains. This appears likely to support a general
   increase in fire-weather concerns with time through the remainder of
   the extended forecast period.

   ..Lyons/Elizalde-Garcia.. 02/09/2026