U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 071555

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0955 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

   Valid 071700Z - 081200Z

   No changes were made to the existing Elevated wind/relative humidity
   area this morning. The previously described Santa Ana Winds over
   southern CA remain on track with the latest forecast guidance.
   Off-shore winds sustained up to 15-20 mph will combine with relative
   humidity below 20% across the drawn area. While locally critical
   weather conditions remain possible, the brief extent in time and
   space, as well as live fuel loading from accumulated precipitation
   late last month will preclude the need for a higher fire weather
   risk.

   ..Stearns.. 11/07/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1225 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast today over a narrow
   section of Southern California. Portions of the San Gabriel, Santa
   Monica, and Santa Susana mountains, along with the San Gabriel
   Valley, will experience weak to moderate Santa Ana winds from late
   this morning into the afternoon. Sustained northeasterly off-shore
   winds of around 20 MPH (gusting to 30-40 MPH) are expected with
   relative humidity of 15-20%. Forecast fuels guidance has ERCs at the
   90th seasonal percentile for the region, driven primarily by
   critically-low 10-hour and 100-hour dead fuel moisture. Locally
   Critical conditions may occur where favored by terrain, but
   currently appear to be too localized to warrant additional
   highlights at this time.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 071853

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1253 PM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes were made to the existing forecast. As previously
   mentioned, fuels remain unreceptive across much of the CONUS due to
   recent precipitation. However, portions of the southern and central
   Appalachian Mountains continue to trend drier than normal. A
   tightened surface pressure gradient associated with a cold front
   progressing southeast across the Great Lakes region will support
   strong southwest winds (sustained up to 15-20 mph) from Ohio through
   western New York on Day 2/Sunday afternoon. Conversely, relative
   humidity (minimums near 40%) will remain well above necessary
   thresholds. Even so, fire risk will be non-zero across this area
   tomorrow afternoon, but will remain below elevated thresholds.

   ..Stearns.. 11/07/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1226 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A minimal fire-weather threat is forecast for Sunday owing to a lack
   of receptive fuels and relatively calm meteorological conditions.
   Conditions across the CONUS are predominantly characterized by high
   pressure, cooler temperatures, and generally weak surface winds.
   Recent rainfall over the last week will also serve to generally
   limit fuel receptiveness.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072103

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0303 PM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   A broad, but low amplitude, upper-level ridge will sit over much of
   the CONUS starting on Day 3/Monday with a trough in place over the
   Northeast and remnants of a weakening cutoff low over the southern
   High Plains. On Day 4/Tuesday through Day 5/Wednesday, the ridge
   will continue to amplify over the Intermountain West, leading to
   widespread well-above-normal (+15 to +20 degrees) surface
   temperatures over the northwestern quadrant of the CONUS. A
   significant trough from the Gulf of Alaska will move toward the
   Pacific Northwest by Day 8/Sunday, leading to the breakdown of the
   upper-level ridge over the West. While much of the Intermountain
   West has benefited from cool and wet conditions recently, portions
   of WY remain relatively dry. Thus, fuel moisture trends will be
   closely monitored as breezy to strong west-southwesterly winds
   combined with low relative humidity are expected over this region on
   Day 7/Friday and Day 8/Saturday. Meanwhile, offshore (northwesterly)
   flow on the downwind side of the ridge over portions of the
   Southeast will become another focus. Portions of GA through the
   Carolinas will not have received any precipitation in over a week
   amid drier-than-normal antecedent conditions, further increasing
   receptiveness of dead fuels there.

   ..Stearns.. 11/07/2026
      




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