ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260628

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1228 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level ridge will remain in place along with an embedded
   speed max across the central/southern Plains. The combination of lee
   troughing and mixing should allow for sustained winds of 15-20 mph
   to develop during the afternoon across the OK/TX Panhandles and
   vicinity. Despite somewhat marginal RH values, perhaps approaching
   the low to mid 20s, persistent dry conditions have led to
   dry/receptive fuels, which will promote a few hours of Elevated
   fire-weather conditions for this region.

   ..Karstens.. 12/26/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252128

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0328 PM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

   Valid 271200Z - 021200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level jet moving into the Southwest along with lee troughing
   across the Central Plains will support dry downslope flow and
   potential fire weather concerns across portions of the southern High
   Plains Day 3/Saturday. A positively tilted upper trough should move
   and deepen into the eastern U.S. through early next week. A
   corresponding strong cold front will erode the recent abnormally
   warm temperatures across much of the central and eastern CONUS
   through Day 6/Tuesday. Dry, post-frontal flow could support an
   increased fire weather threat mainly across the Southern Plains
   where minimal rainfall is expected. An evolving upper-level ridge
   should bring warming temperatures and dry conditions to the West
   through midweek.

   ...Day 3/Saturday - Southern High Plains...
   Fire weather threat is likely to remain across portions of the TX/OK
   Panhandles and adjacent areas owing to persistent westerly flow
   aloft and breezy west-southwest winds in response to lee troughing
   across the Central Plains. Some uncertainty exists regarding
   magnitude of surface drying with additional cloud cover hindering
   boundary layer mixing. However, with multiple preceding days of
   abnormally warm temperatures and multi-week rainfall deficits, fuels
   could remain receptive to spread within the breezy west-southwest
   winds despite limited RH reductions. Thus, a 40 percent critical
   area remains for the TX/OK Panhandles into southeast CO.

   ..Days 4-8/Sunday-Thursday...
   Primary effective fire weather feature will be a cold front sweeping
   across much of the central/eastern CONUS early next week beginning
   Day 4/Sunday. Latest model guidance still depicts some inhibiting
   factors that could reduce fire weather impacts. Expansive cloud
   cover and some precipitation in addition to rapidly falling
   temperatures within post frontal flow could limit a more significant
   fire weather threat across much of the South and Southeast. Less
   expected rainfall across the Southern Plains could support pockets
   of drier fuels but uncertainty in rainfall distribution precludes
   introduction of critical probabilities for Sunday and Monday.

   ..Williams.. 12/25/2025