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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100600

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An amplifying mid/upper trough will migrate slowly southward across
   portions of the Northwest, with strong southwesterly flow aloft
   extending from the Great Basin into the northern/central Plains. At
   the surface, an initially stationary boundary/slow moving cold front
   will extend from Northern California into the northern Great Plains.
   Dry and breezy conditions preceding this boundary will promote
   elevated fire weather conditions across portions of the Great Basin
   and central High Plains.

   ...Sierra Front into central/northern Nevada...
   As the aforementioned mid/upper trough digs southward into portions
   of the Great Basin, strong southwesterly flow aloft and related,
   induced surface pressure falls across the Great Basin will support a
   corridor of sustained southwesterly surface winds of 15-20 mph
   (locally up to 25 mph) from the Sierra Front into central/northern
   Nevada. Higher gusts of up to 35-45 mph (strongest along the Sierra
   Front) are also expected within this corridor between the
   southeastward-progressing cold front to the northwest and an influx
   of greater mid/upper level moisture and cloud cover associated with
   the remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel to the southeast. Coupled with
   downslope drying and boundary layer mixing yielding afternoon RH
   reductions to 10-15% and receptive fuels, an elevated fire weather
   risk is expected this afternoon from the Sierra Front into
   central/northern Nevada. Only minor adjustments were made with this
   update based on the latest guidance.

   ...Eastern Wyoming into far southwestern South Dakota and portions
   of the Nebraska Panhandle...
   Lee surface troughing and modest southwesterly flow aloft in advance
   of the deepening upper trough across the Northwest and an
   approaching surface cold front will continue to allow for dry,
   downslope flow across portions of the central High Plains. While
   some uncertainty exists regarding the timing of increasing cloud
   cover from the southwest and its impact on RH reductions, elevated
   fire weather conditions are expected across much of eastern Wyoming
   and adjacent areas of the central Plains where sustained
   west-southwesterly surface winds of 15-25 mph are forecast to
   overlap RH of 15-20% and receptive fuels.

   ..Chalmers.. 10/10/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100601

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0101 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough will remain in place across much of the
   western U.S. on D2/Sunday, aiding in the northward transport of
   deeper tropical moisture into southern California and much of the
   Intermountain West. At the surface, a frontal system will extend
   from southern California northeastward into the Great Basin and then
   eastward into the central Plains. In the wake of this front, mainly
   dry conditions will continue across the Columbia Basin and northern
   California, with dry and breezy northerly flow expected to bring an
   elevated fire weather threat to the northern Sacramento Valley
   Sunday afternoon.

   ...Northern Sacramento Valley...
   Following Saturday's cold frontal passage, strengthening northerly
   winds and dry conditions are expected to support an increasing fire
   weather threat for portions of the northern Sacramento Valley and
   adjacent foothills. Sustained northerly winds of 15-25 mph (with
   locally higher gusts) are forecast to overlap minimum RH values
   around 20% Sunday afternoon, with the gusty winds the primary driver
   of fire weather concerns where fuels are receptive.

   ..Chalmers.. 10/10/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 092138

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0438 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026

   Valid 111200Z - 171200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough will deepen across the western U.S. while
   aiding in the northward transport of deeper remnant tropical
   moisture into southern CA and much of the Intermountain West through
   D4/Monday. The resultant precipitation from the moisture-laden
   mid/upper trough across the West will tame fire weather concerns
   across southern CA and the Intermountain West. Mainly dry conditions
   will persist across the Columbia Basin southward into northern CA
   where dry, post-frontal northerly flow could bring a fire weather
   threat to the northern Sacramento Valley on D3/Sunday. Farther east,
   widespread rainfall from the remnants of Hurricane Isaias will
   similarly reduce fire weather concerns next week for the Southeast.
   Areas of receptive fuels in the lower Mississippi River Valley and
   Midwest are expected to remain in place through the middle of next
   week as above normal temperatures linger across the region. However,
   lighter surface winds under a prominent upper ridge will mitigate
   fire weather threat across this region. 

   ...Day 3/Sunday - Northern Sacramento Valley...
   Increasing northerly winds in a dry, post-frontal environment should
   facilitate an increasing fire weather threat for portions of the
   northern Sacramento Valley and adjacent foothills on D3/Sunday.
   Sustained north winds of 15 mph to locally 20-25 mph with higher
   gusts should evolve late D2/Saturday into D3/Sunday. Although much
   cooler temperatures behind the front could limit RH reductions to
   around 20% by Sunday afternoon, the gusty north winds will be a more
   pronounced driver of fire weather concerns where fuels are
   receptive. Introduced 40% critical probabilities for the northern
   Sacramento Valley and adjacent western foothills to cover this
   threat.

   ..Williams.. 10/09/2026
      




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