U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 011526

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 01 2026

   Valid 011700Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast remains on track. As mentioned, the driest
   fuels across the CONUS, over portions of the Arkansas Basin, are
   expected to receive beneficial precipitation. Thus, no changes are
   needed with limited fire concerns today.

   ..Stearns.. 10/01/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low over the southern Plains will transition into
   weakening upper troughing as it progresses northeastward this
   afternoon. At the surface, a slow-moving cold front will extend from
   the Great Lakes region into the Texas Hill Country. Widespread
   rainfall is expected along the front, bringing much-needed relief to
   dry fuels in the eastern Arkansas River Basin. Meanwhile, ridging
   will rapidly expand over the Desert Southwest, promoting
   above-normal temperatures and dry conditions in much of the western
   Great Basin and California. Fuels will continue to dry under these
   meteorological conditions, but light surface winds limit fire
   weather concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010445

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1145 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Reduced fire weather concerns will continue across the CONUS into
   Day 2/Friday. A cold front extending from the Ohio Valley into the
   ArkLaTex will slowly sag southward, bringing higher humidity and
   cooler temperatures. An expansive region of accumulating
   precipitation is expected along and ahead of the front, providing
   some relief to a rainfall-neglected fuelscape in the lower
   Mississippi River Valley. As upper ridging expands over the Great
   Basin, above-normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist;
   however, generally light surface winds will keep fire weather
   concerns low.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 10/01/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302123

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0423 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A southward progressing cold front will push into the Ohio River
   Valley and Southern Plains by Day 3/Friday as an increasingly
   diffuse mid-level trough lingers over the Southern Plains. The cold
   front will meet an air mass infused with anomalously high
   atmospheric moisture leading to wetting rains across parts of the
   Ohio River Valley and the Southeast. This should result in a
   contraction of receptive fuels and reduced fire weather concerns for
   the Ohio River Valley and Mid-South. 

   Forecast confidence remains high in the overall upper-level pattern
   evolution with a broad ridge gradually building across the western
   U.S. well into next week. Model guidance consensus still indicates a
   weak upper wave/low pushing into northern California and Oregon on
   Day 5/Sunday. However, limited moisture and instability in addition
   to marginally dry fuels should suppress dry thunderstorm potential
   and impacts in northern California Sunday. Otherwise, the primary
   effect of the ridge will be above normal temperatures and dry
   conditions with resulting drying fuels. Mid/upper troughing and
   associated enhanced winds could return to the western U.S. by late
   next week (beyond Day 8/Wednesday), potentially ushering in broader
   fire weather concerns into areas where multiple days of warm and dry
   conditions will have preconditioned the fuelscape.

   ..Williams.. 09/30/2026
      




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