ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 031925

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0125 PM CST Tue Feb 03 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Afternoon Update Southern CA...
   Offshore winds are expected to increase over parts of the Desert
   Southwest and southern CA late Day 1 Tuesday and continue through
   Day 2 Wednesday. Easterly pressure gradients of 5-7 mb will support
   gusts of 30-40 mph at ridge top level and through local terrain
   gaps. With poor overnight humidity recoveries below 30% expected,
   some localized fire-weather concerns are possible. However, fuel
   moisture remains high enough to limit a greater fire weather concern
   despite some alignment of dry/windy conditions. 

   ...Southern Plains and far south TX...
   A few hours of gusty winds are expected with the frontal intrusion
   across far south TX Wednesday and Wednesday night. With afternoon RH
   below 30% and winds occasionally gusting to 15-20 mph, some
   localized fire-weather concerns are possible within drier short hour
   fuels. However, more widespread dry fuels are lacking, and the
   arrival of a cooler air mass suggest the overall threat remains low.
   See the previous discussion for additional information.

   ..Lyons.. 02/03/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1235 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   The eastern trough/western ridge upper-level pattern on Wednesday
   will become more amplified. At the surface, high pressure is
   expected to become more entrenched over much of the CONUS.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Behind the cold front, northerly winds will spread across West Texas
   into parts of central Texas. Winds of 15-20 mph will be possible,
   though the strongest winds will occur where temperatures are cooler
   and RH is higher. Fuels are not overly receptive, but some localized
   concerns are possible.

   ...Florida...
   With a surface low evolving within the southern
   Appalachians/Piedmont, southwesterly winds will modestly increase
   across the Florida Peninsula. With a dry airmass in place, RH could
   fall below 30% as temperatures rise into the 60s F. Winds may still
   struggle to reach 10 mph. Only locally elevated fire weather is
   expected.

   ...Southern California...
   Dry and breezy conditions are expected to last into the afternoon.
   The strongest winds will occur during the early morning. RH of
   10-20% appears possible along with winds of 15-25 mph. Even with
   these conditions, fuel moisture remains high enough to limit a
   greater fire weather concern.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 032156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 PM CST Tue Feb 03 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   The mid-level flow pattern over the US is forecast to transition
   from highly amplified to predominantly zonal over the next several
   days. Eastern US troughing will persist through the remainder of
   this week and into the weekend. Thereafter weakening western ridging
   will shift eastward allowing stronger westerly flow and weak
   toughing to develop over the western US. As the pattern transitions,
   cool and dry conditions over the eastern half of the US should warm
   as high pressure develops across the east. Fire-weather concerns are
   possible over parts of FL and the Southeast initially with dry and
   breezy post-frontal conditions. However, fire-weather concerns are
   more uncertain into next week.

   ...Southeast and FL...
   Dry and breezy offshore winds are expected over parts of FL and the
   Southeast late this week and into the weekend. Upper troughing will
   deepen before moving offshore allowing a strong cold front to move
   south D3/Thursday. Behind this front, dry continental air and cooler
   temperatures may allow for occasional overlap of RH below 40% and
   winds of 10-15 mph. However area fuels remain only modestly
   receptive and fire-weather concerns are likely to remain localized
   through D5/Saturday.

   ...Southwest and Southern Plains...
   As the flow pattern transitions to more zonal flow later next week,
   the rerun of west/westerly flow aloft will support some lee
   cyclogenesis and strong surface winds over the Southwest and Plains.
   This could support some increase in fire-weather potential given
   recent dryness. However, precipitation and generally limited fuels
   cast significant uncertainty through the remainder of the extended
   forecast period.

   ..Lyons.. 02/03/2026