ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120652

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0152 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   As an upper-level trough and associated jet streak translates
   eastward across the Canadian Prairie on Monday, ridging will
   intensify over much of the Central US. Southerly and southeasterly
   flow around the western periphery of this ridge will transport
   monsoonal moisture northward into the Western US, resulting in a few
   pockets of dry/wet thunderstorms. Additionally, dry and breezy
   conditions across the central and northern High Plains will support
   Elevated fire-weather concerns. 

   ...Northern Colorado into Wyoming and portions of western South
   Dakota...
   Dry and windy conditions are forecast across portions of the central
   and northern High Plains on Monday, as surface winds respond to a
   lee trough. These winds are anticipated to be around 15-20 MPH, with
   relative humidity varying between 10-20%. Dead fuels guidance has
   ERCs in the 95th annual percentile range, but some semi-recent
   rainfall and live vegetation will serve to reduce some of the
   volatility of those fuels. At least Elevated fire-weather concerns
   are forecast at this time. 

   ...Southwestern Montana and Northeastern California/Northwestern
   Nevada...
   Monsoonal moisture transported northward along the western periphery
   of the mid-level ridge will bring showers and thunderstorms to
   portions of the Intermountain West. While anticipated to be a mix of
   wet and dry thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights were
   introduced to portions of northeastern California into northwestern
   Nevada on Monday. This mix of wet and dry thunderstorms will overlap
   with receptive fuels, and lightning on the periphery of the wetter
   downdrafts will still be capable of wildfire ignitions.

   In far southwestern Montana, a more classic isolated dry
   thunderstorm environment is forecast. Precipitable water content of
   0.5-0.75" is forecast where HREF/REFS guidance shows thunderstorm
   activity developing. Proximity soundings to this thunderstorm
   activity shows deep inverted-V profiles and relatively fast storm
   motions. This should result in limited precipitation efficiency of
   thunderstorm activity overlapping with critically receptive fuels.

   ..Halbert.. 07/12/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 112205

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0505 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

   A strong upper high will develop and persist over the
   central/northern Plains into the Midwest through at least midweek.
   Upper-level troughing will continue near and off the Pacific
   Northwest coast with monsoonal moisture streaming northward across
   much of the Intermountain West early to midweek. Daily monsoonal
   thunderstorms are likely across the Southwest into the Great Basin,
   but an upper-level trough is forecast to move into the Pacific
   Northwest and northern Rockies mid to late week that will help
   suppress moisture south and push it east late in the outlook period.
   A deep upper-level trough is likely to weaken the ridge over the
   Great Lakes as it moves into the Great Lakes and Northeast Day
   4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday. 

   Monsoonal moisture (PWAT values of 0.8-1.5") is pushing west and
   north across the Great Basin, eastern California, and into portions
   of the Inland Northwest and northern Rockies. On the
   western/northern fringes of the deeper moisture, a mix of wet/dry
   thunderstorms are likely. On Day 3/Monday, a 10% area for dry
   thunderstorms was introduced for portions of northeast
   California/vicinity and another 10% area was introduced on Day
   4/Tuesday from far northern California into central/northeast
   Oregon. Forecast PWAT values of 0.8-1" and surface dewpoints of
   35-50F will likely to lead to at least pockets of wetting rain.
   However, storm motions of 25-40 knots, probabilities of rainfall
   exceeding 0.1" mostly less than 30%, and receptive fuels lead to
   issuing the 10% areas. Additionally, deeper moisture will move out
   of these areas by mid-week with dry/breezy conditions likely to
   follow. 

   Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are likely across portions of
   eastern Wyoming, western South Dakota, western Nebraska and eastern
   Colorado Day 3/Monday through at least Day 5/Wednesday. Fuels will
   rapidly cure amid these conditions leading to at least elevated
   conditions through mid-week. While RH will recover overnight,
   south-southeast winds are likely to remain breezy overnight.

   Dry and breezy conditions may spread into northeast Minnesota Day
   3/Monday - Day 4/Tuesday. Winds will be stronger on Day 3/Monday,
   but RH will be higher, while lower RH spreads into the area on Day
   4/Tuesday with slightly weaker winds. Critical conditions are not
   expected, with locally elevated conditions more likely.

   ..Nauslar.. 07/11/2026