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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020550

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1250 AM CDT Wed Sep 02 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Southwesterly flow will spread across much of the Intermountain West
   today ahead of an approaching mid-level trough near the Pacific
   Northwest and an associated shortwave moving through the northern
   Great Basin. Ahead of the impending cloudy and cooler conditions
   anticipated to impact those regions, an area of warm and dry air
   will impact the Southwest to northern High Plains. However, recent
   rainfall and therefore less dry fuels over much of the Southwest and
   southern Great Basin will preclude any highlights over those
   regions. Meanwhile, critically dry fuels due to ongoing drought from
   recent drier and warmer than normal conditions are in place over
   portions of far western SD through central and southwestern MT. Over
   this area, southwesterly surface winds are expected to reach speeds
   of 15-20 mph amid low RHs of 15-20%. An area of particularly strong
   wind (near 20 mph) and dry RHs (near 10-15%) could promote brief
   localized critical fire weather conditions generally over portions
   of central/northeast WY. Though not anticipated to alter fuels
   receptivity, light rainfall associated with convection is possible
   over far northwestern (central MT) and far southeastern (southern
   WY) extents of the drawn Elevated fire weather risk area today.

   ..Stearns.. 09/02/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020552

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1252 AM CDT Wed Sep 02 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A corridor of dry southwesterly flow between the mid-level trough
   over the Northwest and the central US ridge will continue to present
   a fire weather threat to MT/WY and portions of the Great Basin on
   Day 2/Thursday. Fire weather concerns remain farther northeast along
   the axis of dry southwest flow across central WY where an Elevated
   risk area has been introduced. The threat is similar in time and
   space to the preceding Day 1/Wednesday Elevated risk. Southwesterly
   flow amid lee surface troughing, though slightly less strong of a
   surface pressure gradient versus Day 1/Wednesday, will still support
   surface winds of 15-20 mph coincident with daytime RHs of 10-20%.
   Similarly, southwest winds of 15-25 mph amid low daytime RH are
   likely across southeastern NV into southwestern UT on the afternoon
   of Day 2/Thursday. However, marginal fuels that have developed after
   preceding days of rain should help tame impacts of an otherwise
   critical fire weather event across the region. A localized elevated
   fire weather threat may be possible where pockets of relatively dry
   fuels linger.

   ..Stearns.. 09/02/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012151

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A large, upper-level trough will dominate weather across much of the
   northwestern CONUS through early next week. Cooler temperatures,
   cloud cover and rainfall should reduce fire weather concerns through
   early next week over much of the Pacific Northwest, northern CA and
   Northern Rockies. A swath of persistent dry, southwesterly flow
   ahead of this trough stretching from southern NV to the northern
   High Plains will likely present some level of fire weather threat to
   the Great Basin on Day 3/Thursday and northeastern WY/adjacent
   northern High Plains Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday. An upper-level ridge
   over the central U.S. will keep much of the Great Plains under
   anomalously warm temperatures and mostly dry conditions through the
   end of the week. Low-level flow trajectories will limit lower
   daytime RH to the high plains areas as gulf moisture streams
   northward into the southern/central Great Plains.

   ...Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday...
   A corridor of dry southwesterly flow between the upper trough over
   the Northwest and central U.S. ridge will present a fire weather
   threat to portions of the Great Basin and WY on Day 3/Thursday.
   Southwest winds of 15-25 mph amid low daytime RH are likely across
   southeastern NV into southwestern UT Thursday afternoon. However,
   marginal fuels that have developed after preceding days of rain
   should help tame impacts of an otherwise critical fire weather event
   across the area. A localized elevated fire weather threat is
   possible where pockets of drier fuels linger. Fire weather concerns
   remain farther northeast along the axis of dry southwest flow across
   central WY where a 40% critical area persists. 

   A surface low develops across eastern MT Day 4/Friday amid
   increasing mid-level southwest winds. Dry and breezy conditions
   south of this feature will promote fire weather concerns across
   northeastern WY, and portions of the northern High Plains where
   corresponding receptive fuels align. 40% critical probabilities were
   extended northward into far southeastern MT and adjacent SD/ND to
   message this fire weather threat.

   ...Days 5-8/Saturday-Tuesday...
   Predictability wanes over the weekend with a potential for deeper
   moisture from tropical cyclone activity in the northeast Pacific
   encroaching into Southern CA and the Southwest as early as Day
   5/Saturday. However, uncertainty looms in northward extent and
   magnitude of this moisture plume past the weekend. Larger scale
   troughing across the northwestern U.S. should subdue fire weather
   concerns for the region bringing reinforcing cloud cover, cool
   temperatures and potential rainfall.

   ..Williams.. 09/01/2026
      




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