ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130652

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0152 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Much of the Continental US will experience strong mid-level ridging
   on Tuesday. Northward transport of monsoonal moisture along the
   western periphery of the ridge will result in isolated dry
   thunderstorms over portions of the Pacific Northwest, and dry and
   breezy conditions across the northern High Plains will result in
   Elevated fire-weather concerns. 


   ...Northern High Plains...
   In response to a developing surface low in eastern Montana,
   east-southeasterly winds of 15-20 MPH are anticipated across the
   northern High Plains into central Wyoming. Combined with widespread
   relative humidity near 10-15% and critically receptive fuels, at
   least Elevated fire-weather concerns are forecast for Tuesday
   afternoon. 

   ...Southern and Central Oregon into portions of northeastern
   California and northwestern Nevada...
   Northward transport of monsoonal moisture along the periphery of the
   mid-level ridge will bring more isolated dry thunderstorms to
   portions of the Pacific Northwest on Tuesday. HREF/REFS calibrated
   thunder guidance shows convective activity occurring with
   precipitable water content of 0.75-1.0", suggesting a mix of wet and
   dry thunderstorms. However, forecast sounding profiles show deep
   inverted-Vs and LCL-EL mean wind speeds of 25-30 kts indicate
   limited precipitation efficiency. Given fuels guidance showing ERCs
   in the 80th-90th annual percentile range, lightning-based ignitions
   will be possible.

   ..Halbert.. 07/13/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122139

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0439 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong upper high will develop and persist over the
   central/northern Plains into the Midwest through at least Day
   5/Thursday. Upper-level troughing will continue near and off the
   Pacific Northwest coast with monsoonal moisture streaming northward
   across much of the Intermountain West early to midweek. Daily
   monsoonal thunderstorms are likely across the Southwest into the
   Great Basin, but an upper-level trough is forecast to move into the
   Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies beyond Day 4/Wednesday,
   helping suppress moisture south and eastward. Farther east, a deep
   upper-level trough is expected to weaken the ridge over the Great
   Lakes and Northeast as it digs southward on Days
   3-4/Wednesday-Thursday, leading to unsettled conditions across the
   region through the remainder of the forecast period.

   ...Northern California, much of Oregon, and northwestern Nevada...
   Monsoonal moisture (PWAT values of 0.8-1.5") is continuing to advect
   west and north across the Great Basin, eastern California, and into
   portions of the Inland Northwest and northern Rockies. On the
   western/northern fringes of the deeper moisture, a mix of wet/dry
   thunderstorms are likely. On Day 3/Tuesday, 10% dry thunderstorm
   probabilities were maintained across far northern California into
   central-eastern Oregon. Forecast PWAT values of 0.8-1" and surface
   dewpoints of 35-50F will likely to lead to at least pockets of
   wetting rain. However, storm motions of 25-40 knots, 30% or less
   probabilities of rainfall exceeding 0.1", and receptive fuels should
   uphold a concern for lightning ignitions. Additionally, deeper
   moisture will move out of these areas by mid-week with dry/breezy
   conditions to follow. 

   ...Central to northern High Plains...
   Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are likely across portions of
   eastern Wyoming, western South Dakota, western Nebraska and eastern
   Colorado on Day 3/Tuesday through at least Day 5/Thursday. While RH
   will recover overnight, south-southeast winds are likely to remain
   breezy amid dry fuels. 40% Critical probabilities have been
   maintained on Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday, and introduced on Day
   5/Thursday. 

   ...California Central Valley...
   Warm daytime temperatures and low RH will contribute to drying fuels
   across the Coastal Ranges into the Central Valley. ERCs are forecast
   to approach the 90-95th percentile mid-week amid dry and breezy
   conditions, supporting any new ignitions and the emergence of any
   lightning holdovers from sporadic wet/dry thunderstorms early in the
   forecast period. 40% Critical probabilities were withheld on Day
   3/Tuesday for now, but have been introduced on Day 4/Wednesday where
   ensembles depict a broader overlap of meteorological fire weather
   conditions.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/12/2026