U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300535

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1235 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

   Valid 301200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A ridge of high pressure will transition into the western CONUS,
   bringing warmer temperatures and a lighter wind regime to California
   and the western Great Basin today. The center of an eastward
   progressing mid-level low will enter New Mexico, gradually weakening
   as it becomes reincorporated within broader troughing. Southerly
   flow will deepen ahead of the low, providing ample moisture
   transport bringing PWAT values above the 95th percentile across much
   of the central CONUS into the Upper Midwest. This system will induce
   widespread precipitation over an environment stressed by long-term
   drought, particularly across portions of the southern Plains and the
   New Mexico/Colorado Rocky Mountains. Ahead of the advancing
   moisture, a residual hot and dry airmass will remain in place across
   the lower Mississippi River Valley and Mid-South where receptive
   fuels exist; however, light southerly winds of less than 15 mph
   should limit a broader fire weather threat.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/30/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300537

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1237 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low over the southern Plains will transition into
   weakening upper troughing as it progresses northeastward on Day
   2/Thursday. At the surface, a slow-moving cold front will extend
   from the Great Lakes region into the Texas Hill Country. Widespread
   rainfall will continue along the front, bringing much-needed relief
   to dry fuels in the eastern Arkansas River Basin. Meanwhile, ridging
   will rapidly expand over the Desert Southwest, promoting
   above-normal temperatures and dry conditions in much of the western
   Great Basin and California. Fuels will continue to dry under these
   meteorological conditions, but generally light surface winds should
   limit fire weather concerns.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/30/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292118

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0418 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level low over the southern/central Plains on Day
   3/Thursday will accelerate northeastward and merge into broader
   westerly flow across the Midwest and Northeast by Day 4/Friday.
   Widespread rainfall across the southern and central Plains and
   Midwest will reduce fire weather concerns across this region.
   Persistent warm and dry conditions amid very dry fuels across the
   Mid-South Day 3/Thursday will give way to increasing Gulf moisture,
   rising humidity and at least some rainfall across the region
   beginning Day 4/Friday as cold front moves into the Ohio and
   Tennessee River Valleys. 

   West of the Continental Divide, a building ridge through late week
   will support a considerable warming and drying trend across the
   Western U.S. although resultant weak surface pressure gradients and
   light winds will limit a broader fire weather threat. A weak
   mid/upper wave could bring a thunderstorm threat to the Oregon and
   Northern California vicinity on Day 6/Sunday although remaining
   forecast uncertainty in timing and convective coverage precludes
   introducing dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. The overall
   ridging pattern across the West is likely to extend into next week,
   resulting in drying/curing of fuels.

   ..Williams.. 09/29/2026
      




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