ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010629

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1229 AM CST Sun Feb 01 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   After upper-level ridging shifts into parts of the Plains on Sunday,
   a shortwave trough will lead to some breakdown of that ridge as it
   dives southeastward into the central Plains on Monday. At the
   surface, a modest lee trough/cyclone will develop in the central
   high Plains and shift southward. Fire weather risk will broadly
   remain low across a majority of the CONUS.

   ...Central/southern High Plains...
   With the development of the lee trough/cyclone, at least modest
   downslope winds appear possible during the afternoon. Winds will be
   more northerly in the central High Plains. Mid/upper clouds make RH
   reductions uncertain in this area. Farther south, winds in eastern
   New Mexico will more likely be westerly and RH could fall below 20%.
   In both areas, winds will be on the light side with around 15 mph
   expected (locally up to 20 mph). This overall environment will be
   conducive to fuel drying but is not expected to carry more than a
   localized fire weather risk.

   ...Florida...
   RH below 25-30% will again be possible during the afternoon. A more
   relaxed pressure gradient will mean lighter winds than the previous
   two days. Temperatures will be warmer, however. Without stronger
   surface winds, fire weather risk appears low. Localized concerns are
   possible where recent rainfall was not observed.

   ..Wendt.. 02/01/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 312147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad northwest flow with mid-level troughing is likely to persist
   across the eastern U.S. through late next week. Seasonably cold
   temperatures and additional opportunities for precipitation across
   portions of the Southern Plains and Southeast midweek should keep
   fire weather concerns minimal through much of next week. Ensemble
   model guidance continues to suggest a prolonged upper-level ridging
   pattern across the West, bringing above normal surface temperatures
   and dry conditions to much of the Intermountain West and High Plains
   through next weekend. 

   ...Day 3/Monday - Florida...
   Residual northerly flow and dry conditions across the FL Peninsula 
   should extend into Day 3/Monday. However, a more diffuse pressure
   gradient and resultant lighter north winds is expected as a surface
   high settles into the Gulf. Although low relative humidity and
   warmer temperatures are likely across the peninsula Monday, recent
   rainfall and diminished north winds should limit the fire weather
   threat across the area.

   ...Days 3-6/Monday-Thursday - Central/Northern High Plains...
   Fire weather concerns increase across the central and northern High
   Plains Day 3/Monday. An eastward propagating mid-level wave entering
   the Northern Plains and surface trough development in the lee of the
   central and southern Rockies, should support enhanced downslope
   drying and breezy conditions across the central and northern High
   Plains early next week. Degree of drying and magnitude of RH
   reductions is still uncertain, limiting confidence in introducing
   Critical probabilities at this time. However, unseasonably warm
   temperatures under high amplitude ridging, drying fine fuels,
   particularly across the northern High Plains where snow-free
   conditions exist, could increase wildfire risk in the coming days
   where dry/breezy conditions align.

   ...Days 5-6/Wednesday-Thursday - Desert Southwest and Southern
   California...
   Dry conditions and relatively warm temperatures will continue across
   the Southwest through the middle of next week under a building ridge
   over the West. Model guidance depicts a potential cut-off low
   developing near Baja California by Wednesday. Broad surface high
   pressure sliding southward into the Southern Plains midweek along
   with the favorably positioned mid-level low could support stronger
   easterly winds across the Desert Southwest and enhanced offshore
   flow across southern CA Wednesday and Thursday. However, marginal
   fuels could limit overall impact from dry/breezy conditions limiting
   predictability for the midweek time frame.

   ..Williams.. 01/31/2026