ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 301945

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0245 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   Minor changes were made to the existing Elevated area over far
   northeastern CA and south-central OR. The latest forecast guidance
   has maintained 15-20 mph southwest surface winds amid 10-20% minimum
   RH across the drawn area. While coincident elevated winds and low
   RHs may persist slightly farther east into the western Great Basin,
   recent rainfall and cool temperatures have reduced fuels below
   critical thresholds for now over much of NV.

   Meanwhile, the trough axis progressing across the northern tier of
   the CONUS on Day 2/Monday will lead to elevated westerly winds near
   15-20 mph amid low RHs down to 20-25% over portions of western ND
   and nearby areas. However, fuels remain marginally receptive
   (especially given preceding precipitation possible on Day 1/Sunday)
   across this area, leading to more of a curing event than an
   immediate wildfire risk. Given the continued above normal
   temperatures amid drier than normal conditions and periodic wind
   events, this region will be watched closely as troughing continues
   to impact the northern portion of the CONUS.

   ..Stearns.. 08/30/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1231 AM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad trough will persist across much of the West on Monday. A
   compact shortwave trough will move through the Great Basin through
   the day. In its wake, mid-level flow will relax before quickly
   increasing again into Tuesday morning. At the surface, a broad and
   modest surface trough will develop within the Northwest into the
   northern Great Basin. A small zone of favorable overlap of 15-20 mph
   winds with marginally lowered RH (15-20%) is forecast from northeast
   California into south-central Oregon. Here, marginally elevated fire
   weather concerns will exist during the afternoon given the very dry
   fuels.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302144

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0444 PM CDT Sun Aug 30 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A series of mid-level troughs will continue impacting the Pacific
   Northwest and neighboring areas of the western CONUS throughout the
   Extended Outlook time frame. This will leave the northwestern
   quadrant of the CONUS under periodically strong southwest to
   westerly flow throughout much of the forecast. Embedded disturbances
   will continue to move through the persistent troughing and along the
   northern periphery of the flattening/displaced upper-level ridge
   centered over the Midwest US. This will deflect monsoonal moisture
   to the south and east, but advect additional moisture onshore from
   the eastern Pacific. The general consensus does favor continued well
   below normal temperatures across the western third of the CONUS much
   of the week along with increasing likelihood for multiple days of
   accumulating rainfall over a good portion of the Pacific Northwest.

   ...Northwest, Northern Great Basin, and Northern California...
   Dry southwest flow aloft associated with continual troughing over
   the northwest CONUS will promote at least one more day of fire
   weather concerns into mid-week. 40% Critical probabilities have been
   maintained with minor adjustments for Day 3/Tuesday over
   northeastern CA, northwestern NV, and southeastern OR. West to
   southwest winds of 15-20 mph amid afternoon RH of 10-20% will
   continue elevated fire weather concerns over this region. Below
   normal surface temperatures will moderate the threat slightly, but
   conditions will remain conducive to wildfire spread until a
   significant precipitation event occurs. Increasing potential for
   accumulating (widespread wetting) rainfall is introduced mid-week
   over much of the Pacific Northwest.

   ...Central and Eastern Wyoming...
   Persistent above normal temperatures and strengthening drought
   conditions continue to promote fuel curing across central WY into
   portions of the western Dakotas and far southeastern MT. These
   antecedent conditions will combine with westerly winds (sustained at
   15-20 mph) as trough passages continue, to result in at least
   elevated wind/RH (minimums near 15-20%) combinations over this
   region. Both ERCs and BIs will climb above their respective
   90th-95th percentiles, indicating fuels receptivity is reaching
   critical levels across the region where not hampered by significant
   green up. Thus, the 40% Critical wind/RH probability was maintained
   and expanded in areal extent slightly on Day 4/Wednesday with an
   additional area introduced for some of the same region on Day
   5/Thursday. Depending on the evolution of the upper-level troughs
   that continue to progress across the northern CONUS, fire weather
   concerns could persist into Day 6/Friday. However, forecast
   certainty remains too low to introduce additional probabilities at
   this time.

   ..Stearns.. 08/30/2026