ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021838

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0138 PM CDT Fri Oct 02 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   No changes were made to the existing Elevated wind/RH area over far
   southern California on Day 2/Saturday. The previous forecast remains
   on track with RH minimums falling below 15-20% amid easterly winds
   of 10-15 mph across the drawn area tomorrow afternoon. The San Diego
   foothills could see wind gusts that exceed 40 mph during peak
   heating.

   ..Stearns.. 10/02/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Fri Oct 02 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   At least Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast for portions
   of Southern California on Saturday as an upper-level ridge
   contributes to dry and breezy easterly off-shore flow. Relative
   humidity minimums of 15-20% and winds of 10-15 MPH (potentially
   gusting higher in the vicinity of the San Diego foothills) should
   overlap with modestly dry fuels during the afternoon.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 022048

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0348 PM CDT Fri Oct 02 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

   An upper-level high centered over southern/eastern NV will continue
   on Day 3/Sunday before breaking down early next week.
   Simultaneously, as this break down occurs, westerly surface winds
   will become gusty, especially over the lee slopes adjacent to
   portions of the northern High Plains - particularly on Day 4/Monday
   and Day 5/Tuesday. However, while dead fuel moistures will be drier
   as a result of this event, the combination of antecedent fuel
   conditions and wind/RH is currently expected to remain below
   critical thresholds. After being suppressed by the passing trough
   over the northern tier of the CONUS, the ridge will build back
   farther east into the Intermountain West mid to late next week as
   the pattern remains unsettled.

   The upper-level high will contribute to easterly flow over southern
   coastal CA, supporting a stronger than average offshore flow regime.
   Given the warm and dry conditions preceding and following this
   event, fuels will remain receptive. The tightening pressure gradient
   will support breezy (10-20 mph) and gusty (30+ mph) offshore flow
   amid minimum RHs near 15-20% and well above normal heat over much of
   the highlighted area. Atypically, the strongest offshore winds are
   anticipated to occur during the daytime hours on Day 3/Sunday. Thus,
   40% probabilities of critical wind/RH remain in the forecast.

   ..Stearns.. 10/02/2026