U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 021628

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1028 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

   Valid 021700Z - 031200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook. Increasing westerly
   flow aloft south of an advancing mid-level trough along with a
   deepening lee surface trough along the central/southern High Plains
   will support a favorable environment for dry, downslope flow across
   east-central NM and the TX Panhandle through the afternoon.
   West-southwest winds of 15-20 mph combined with relative humidity as
   low as 15% are expected. However, the overall fuelscape remains
   unreceptive to significant wildfire spread although pockets of drier
   fuels/cured grasses could align with the dry and breezy conditions
   to support locally elevated fire weather concerns.

   ..Williams.. 12/02/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a gradually amplifying large-scale trough over
   the West, a belt of moderate midlevel westerly flow will overspread
   the southern Rockies and adjacent High Plains today. In response, a
   lee cyclone will deepen in the vicinity of northeastern NM. These
   factors will contribute to dry/breezy downslope flow from eastern NM
   into the TX Panhandle and South Plains during the afternoon. While a
   corridor of 20 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds are
   expected amid 15-20 percent RH, unreceptive fuels should limit most
   fire-weather concerns. East of the lee cyclone, dry/breezy return
   flow will develop across northwest TX into western OK. Similarly,
   marginal fuels should limit the wildfire risk.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021936

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0136 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook as minimal fire weather
   concerns exist across the contiguous U.S. An offshore pressure
   gradient across southern CA amplified by a surface high moving into
   the Interior West should increase Wednesday night into Day
   3/Thursday morning as a cold front presses through the Desert
   Southwest. This will result in east-northeast winds of 15-25 mph in
   wind-prone areas and terrain gaps coupled with relative humidity
   falling to 15-20% in some areas. However, fuels conducive to
   significant wildfire spread remain subdued, mitigating impact from
   the expected heightened fire weather conditions.

   ..Williams.. 12/02/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0141 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   On the backside of a midlevel trough moving across the Four Corners
   region, surface high pressure will build over the Great Basin. This
   will yield an enhanced offshore pressure gradient across southern
   CA. While locally dry/breezy conditions are expected (especially
   over the wind-prone mountains and valleys), marginal fuels and
   limited RH reductions should keep any fire-weather risk localized.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012115

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0315 PM CST Mon Dec 01 2025

   Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A generally benign fire weather pattern is expected across eastern
   CONUS through early next week as successive cold fronts and
   attendant precipitation along with cool/cold conditions mitigate
   significant fire weather potential. Limited atmospheric moisture and
   northward displacement of passing mid/upper level short waves should
   keep dry conditions in place across the Southwest and portions of
   the Southern Plains through the weekend. Latest model guidance
   suggests another offshore wind event across southern CA Day
   3-4/Wednesday-Thursday as surface high pressure settles into the
   Intermountain West. However, fuels are expected to remain
   unreceptive/marginal through the event, limiting the impact from dry
   offshore flow. Stronger lee cyclogenesis is possible on Day
   6/Saturday across the central/southern High Plains as a mid-level 
   wave descends southeastward from the Northern Rockies. The
   subsequent dry and breezy conditions from a tightening surface
   pressure gradient could bring a fire weather threat to portions of
   eastern NM and West TX, but uncertainty in timing/position of
   surface low and overlap with sufficiently dry fuels precludes
   introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/01/2025
      




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