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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 030630
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The upper level pattern today will feature a trough in the East and
a ridge in the West. At the surface, high pressure will be
reinforced within the West and the Plains/Upper Midwest.
...Central High Plains...
With a secondary cold front moving through the region, temperatures
should be slightly cooler than on Monday. Dry and breezy northerly
are again expected into late afternoon. The strongest winds (15-20
mph) will occur within the cooler air in northeast Colorado. Farther
south, 10-15 mph winds will occur within drier air (15-20% RH).
Given limited fuel receptiveness and marginally elevated conditions,
fire weather risk will likely be localized.
...Southern California...
With high pressure building into the Great Basin, offshore winds
will increase into Wednesday morning. Gusty, dry winds will occur
within the wind prone terrain areas. Current fuel information
suggests fire weather concerns will be limited.
..Wendt.. 02/03/2026
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 030635
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
The eastern trough/western ridge upper-level pattern on Wednesday
will become more amplified. At the surface, high pressure is
expected to become more entrenched over much of the CONUS.
...Southern High Plains...
Behind the cold front, northerly winds will spread across West Texas
into parts of central Texas. Winds of 15-20 mph will be possible,
though the strongest winds will occur where temperatures are cooler
and RH is higher. Fuels are not overly receptive, but some localized
concerns are possible.
...Florida...
With a surface low evolving within the southern
Appalachians/Piedmont, southwesterly winds will modestly increase
across the Florida Peninsula. With a dry airmass in place, RH could
fall below 30% as temperatures rise into the 60s F. Winds may still
struggle to reach 10 mph. Only locally elevated fire weather is
expected.
...Southern California...
Dry and breezy conditions are expected to last into the afternoon.
The strongest winds will occur during the early morning. RH of
10-20% appears possible along with winds of 15-25 mph. Even with
these conditions, fuel moisture remains high enough to limit a
greater fire weather concern.
..Wendt.. 02/03/2026
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 022159
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0359 PM CST Mon Feb 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 101200Z
An amplified and partially blocked mid-level flow pattern over the
US will persist much of this week before slowly devolving this
weekend. Broad troughing over the East will continue as a cold
continental air mass is reinforced by several frontal passages
emanating from southern Canada. At the same time, a rex block over
the West will keep relatively dry and unusually warm conditions in
place for the next several days. Thereafter western ridging should
slowly move eastward late this week as the overall flow pattern
transitions to more zonal flow. While fire-weather concerns appear
limited owing to below normal temperatures and recent precipitation
over much of the eastern US, some areas of the West and FL could see
dry/breezy conditions into next week.
...Southern CA...
Beneath the upper ridge over the West Coast, a developing mid-level
low near Baja California will encourage easterly low and mid-level
flow over portions of Desert Southwest and southern CA D3/Wed and
D4/Thursday. Ridge top gusts of 30-40 mph are possible early
D3/Wednesday lingering into D4/Thursday with poor overnight RH
recoveries below 30%. Although alignment of dry and breezy
conditions are probable, a marginally dry fuelscape should limit
more significant fire weather concerns. Thereafter, onshore flow
should return as the upper low lifts north, limiting the
fire-weather risk into the weekend.
...FL...
The passage of several dry cold fronts later this week and into the
weekend could support occasional dry/breezy conditions over parts of
FL. With gusty northerly winds and offshore trajectories, well below
average RH (20-30%) is expected D5/Friday and D6/Saturday. However,
this will also coincide with below normal temperatures. Some
fire-weather risk is possible late this week and into the weekend
over the FL peninsula where precipitation has been limited. However,
the overall threat for fire-weather activity is uncertain given only
modestly receptive fuels.
..Lyons.. 02/02/2026
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