ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051934

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 PM CST Thu Feb 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook. Post-frontal dry and
   breezy conditions including west winds of up to 15 mph, along with
   minimum relative humidity in the 30-35% range are expected across
   northeastern FL Saturday. However, recent rainfall from a cold front
   will temporarily mitigate fire weather concerns across much of the
   FL peninsula for Friday. Isolated areas that received less than a
   tenth of an inch of rain could harbor more receptive fuels, but a
   broader fire weather concern has been reduced.

   ..Williams.. 02/05/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1250 AM CST Thu Feb 05 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   With the upper-level ridge becoming more expansive across the CONUS,
   fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas on
   account of relatively weak winds. There will be pockets of
   dry/breezy conditions in north/central Florida, but recent and
   expected precipitation should keep any fire weather concerns
   localized at best.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052153

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CST Thu Feb 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A gradual breakdown of the highly amplified ridge across the western
   U.S. is expected through the weekend, with troughing becoming more
   established across the West by the middle of next week. An embedded
   mid-level short wave within the devolving ridge along with deepening
   lee surface troughing across the central/northern Plains will
   present an increased fire weather threat across portions of the
   central and southern Plains on Day 3/Saturday. Fire weather concerns
   could persist for portions of the Southern Plains early next week as
   surface troughing and subsequent stronger southwest flow affects the
   region. 

   ...Day 3/Saturday...
   Dry and breezy conditions within a favorable downslope regime are
   likely across portions of the central High Plains Day 3 Saturday,
   where westerly winds align with low RH and persistently dry fuels.
   Farther south, dry southwest flow south of a deepening lee surface
   trough across the central Plains should support a fire weather
   threat to portions of northeastern NM and the TX Panhandle. 40%
   critical probabilities were maintained for these areas for Saturday.
   An exiting mid-level trough and dry, post-frontal flow is expected
   across the Mid Atlantic/Carolinas region Saturday. However, recent
   precipitation and colder temperatures should mitigate a more
   significant fire weather threat.

   ...Day 5/Monday - Southern High Plains...
   Fire weather concerns could linger across the southern central High
   Plains into early next week as surface lee troughing expands across
   the central Plains in the shadow of increasing mid-level flow over
   the central Rockies. However, increasing ensemble member spread and
   uncertainty regarding the northern extent of return Gulf moisture
   into the southern Plains precludes introduction of critical
   probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 02/05/2026