ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051858

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1258 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are necessary to the previous forecast. While the
   previously mentioned northeasterly flow remains on track over parts
   of southern CA, recent accumulating rainfall will keep fuels below
   critical thresholds. However, this event (starting on Day 2/Friday)
   is likely to cure fuels in southern coastal CA, potentially
   presenting a higher fire risk should another offshore wind event
   emerge next week or beyond.

   ..Stearns.. 11/05/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1151 PM CST Wed Nov 04 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level ridge will strengthen over much of the northwestern
   U.S. D2/Friday as broad surface high pressure settles into the
   Intermountain West. Deep layer northeasterly flow will develop as an
   upper-level low moves into the Desert Southwest, supporting dry,
   offshore wind trajectories across portions of southern CA. The
   strongest east to northeast winds of 15-25 mph with higher gusts
   will favor terrain gaps while RH falls to around 15% during the day.
   However, recent rainfall and a marginal fuelscape will help reduce
   the overall impacts of the dry offshore flow, precluding
   introduction of broader fire weather highlights across southern CA.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper-level high pressure continue building across a large portion
   of the western U.S. on Day 3/Saturday. This will shift temperatures
   from below or near-normal to above-normal starting this weekend. The
   latest forecast guidance agrees that this high pressure, although
   not exceptionally intense, will remain in place through the middle
   of next week. A cold front will move off the East Coast on Day
   3/Saturday as an upper-level low pressure system deepens over the
   Great Lakes, delivering a final round of precipitation over the
   Northeast. Following this frontal passage, high pressure will
   establish itself across the eastern half of the country, keeping
   conditions mostly dry with a very slow warming trend to a few
   degrees above-normal next week.

   ...Southern California...
   An upper-level low pressure system transiting across
   western/northern Mexico on Day 3/Saturday will slow down and remain
   nearly stationary into early next week. This setup will promote
   easterly winds, leading to weak to moderate Santa Ana winds again on
   Day 3/Saturday. Top sustained wind speeds from the north to
   northeast are expected to be 15-25 mph (with isolated gusts up to 35
   mph) amid minimum RHs down to around 15-20% in areas prone to these
   winds. Breezy conditions could persist into Day 5/Monday, though the
   surface pressure gradient will start to decrease as the upper-level
   low weakens and slowly moves eastward. Despite the drier air, recent
   rain and higher moisture levels in vegetation are expected to
   prevent widespread fire weather risk. Nevertheless, in isolated
   locations that missed out on recent precipitation, a localized
   elevated fire danger could develop.

   ..Stearns.. 11/05/2026