U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310713

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0113 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A pronounced mid-level trough will progress south-southeastward
   while amplifying over the Northeast today, supporting surface
   troughing along the East Coast as surface high pressure overspreads
   the Midwest. Dry offshore flow should occur by afternoon peak
   heating from the Carolinas to the Florida Peninsula. 10 mph
   sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH will
   encourage localized wildfire-spread potential amid dry fuels, with
   Elevated highlights remaining in place. Surface lee troughing across
   the Plains will encourage breezy downslope conditions along the
   central and southern High Plains, though RH appears too high for
   Elevated conditions at this time.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/31/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310719

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0119 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper ridge over the Plains states will gradually flatten through
   the day tomorrow (Thursday) as a mid-level impulse impinges on the
   southern Rockies. Similar to Day 1, some dry downslope flow is
   possible along the lee of the Rockies, over the central and southern
   High Plains, with RH dipping below 20 percent in spots. Still,
   forecast surface wind fields should not be overly strong, so
   wildfire-spread potential should remain localized over the High
   Plains. Likewise, modestly dry conditions will persist along the
   Southeast Atlantic coastline, but the lack of an appreciable surface
   wind field precludes fire weather highlights, though wildfire-spread
   potential will locally be non-zero.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/31/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302154

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0354 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An embedded mid-level short wave moves into the Southwest Days
   3-4/Thursday-Friday as a more zonal flow pattern emerges across the
   central U.S. while more pronounced troughing continues across the
   Northeast. The arrival of stronger westerly flow aloft subsequent
   strengthening lee cyclone across the southern Plains could bring
   stronger winds to portions of the southern High Plains and West TX
   on Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday. A broad upper-level ridge builds over
   the central U.S. over the weekend into early next week straddled by
   troughing across the West and Northeastern CONUS.

   ...Southeast U.S....
   Although dry conditions across the Southeast will persist with
   minimal recent precipitation and moderately dry fuels in place,
   winds should be relatively light with a more diffuse surface
   pressure gradient in place. Increasing boundary layer moisture ahead
   of a surface cyclone on Day 4/Friday will further limit the fire
   weather threat across the Southeast and FL, with rainfall expected
   Day 5/Saturday as the surface low and frontal boundary translates
   eastward along the northern Gulf Coast.

   ...Southern/Central Plains...
   Lee surface troughing and increasing westerly flow aloft will
   promote enhanced surface winds across the Southern Plains on Day
   3/Thursday before a cold front moves through the region Day
   4/Friday. However, anomalously high mid/upper-level Pacific moisture
   and cloud cover being ushered into the Southwest could be a
   considerable mitigating factor in suppressing a greater fire weather
   concern in terms of RH reductions across the Southern Plains late
   this week, limiting predictability in a broader critical fire
   weather event. Ensemble guidance consensus continues to show an
   overall favorable mid/upper level westerly flow pattern for dry,
   downslope conditions across the central and southern High Plains
   early next week. However, timing and magnitude of surface cyclone
   development and return flow events is still nebulous, which
   precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/30/2025
      




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