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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 041650

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1050 AM CST Wed Feb 04 2026

   Valid 041700Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Southern California...
   A pronounced offshore pressure gradient continues to promote
   east-northeast winds of 15-20 mph (25-35 mph with higher gusts in
   favorable terrain corridors) amid relative humidity in the 10-20%
   range. Despite the dry and breezy conditions amid near record
   warmth, fuels remain largely unreceptive, mitigating a larger fire
   weather threat across Southern CA today. 

   ...Northern Florida...
   A surface low over GA will promote a subtle southwesterly flow over
   much of FL today. A residual dry air mass across northern FL will
   result in minimum relative humidity of 25-30% across the area.
   However, higher sustained winds of 10-15 mph are expected to be
   offset to the west of the drier conditions over northeastern FL,
   mitigating a broader fire weather concern. Beneficial rainfall from
   the surface low and trailing cold front are expected this evening
   across northern FL, temporarily alleviating fire weather concerns.

   ..Williams.. 02/04/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0106 AM CST Wed Feb 04 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   An amplified upper-level pattern with a ridge in the West and a
   trough in the East will evolve through the day today. A cold front
   will move off the Southeast coast and into the Florida Peninsula.
   Elsewhere, surface high pressure will be quite expansive across the
   CONUS.

   ...Southern Plains...
   Modestly dry and breezy conditions are expected from West Texas into
   parts of Central/South Texas. Winds will not be overly strong as
   around 15 mph (locally near 20 mph) can be expected. RH will also be
   marginally dry (25-30%). Given limited fuel receptiveness and these
   marginal conditions, only locally elevated concerns are anticipated.

   ...Southern California...
   15-20 mph winds (up to 30-40 mph in the terrain) will be possible
   during the morning and part of the afternoon. RH of 10-20% will be
   possible. Despite these otherwise favorable fire weather conditions,
   area fuels remain moist enough to mitigate greater fire weather
   concerns.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040722

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0122 AM CST Wed Feb 04 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper-level ridge will shift more into the Plains on Thursday.
   This will lead to warmer temperatures within the High Plains region.
   Some modestly dry north/northwest winds will occur over the High
   Plains and adjacent areas. However, winds of around 15 mph along
   with marginally lowered RH in most locations does not suggest more
   than a localized fire weather threat.

   ..Wendt.. 02/04/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 032156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 PM CST Tue Feb 03 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   The mid-level flow pattern over the US is forecast to transition
   from highly amplified to predominantly zonal over the next several
   days. Eastern US troughing will persist through the remainder of
   this week and into the weekend. Thereafter weakening western ridging
   will shift eastward allowing stronger westerly flow and weak
   toughing to develop over the western US. As the pattern transitions,
   cool and dry conditions over the eastern half of the US should warm
   as high pressure develops across the east. Fire-weather concerns are
   possible over parts of FL and the Southeast initially with dry and
   breezy post-frontal conditions. However, fire-weather concerns are
   more uncertain into next week.

   ...Southeast and FL...
   Dry and breezy offshore winds are expected over parts of FL and the
   Southeast late this week and into the weekend. Upper troughing will
   deepen before moving offshore allowing a strong cold front to move
   south D3/Thursday. Behind this front, dry continental air and cooler
   temperatures may allow for occasional overlap of RH below 40% and
   winds of 10-15 mph. However area fuels remain only modestly
   receptive and fire-weather concerns are likely to remain localized
   through D5/Saturday.

   ...Southwest and Southern Plains...
   As the flow pattern transitions to more zonal flow later next week,
   the rerun of west/westerly flow aloft will support some lee
   cyclogenesis and strong surface winds over the Southwest and Plains.
   This could support some increase in fire-weather potential given
   recent dryness. However, precipitation and generally limited fuels
   cast significant uncertainty through the remainder of the extended
   forecast period.

   ..Lyons.. 02/03/2026
      




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