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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040555

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1255 AM CDT Fri Sep 04 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough will remain in place over the Pacific
   Northwest today, with upper-level ridging located across the
   southern Great Plains. This will support the persistence of modest
   southwesterly, mid-level flow across the northern Rockies and
   northern High Plains while a surface low migrates slowly eastward
   across central Montana. This will promote another day of Elevated
   fire weather conditions across portions of the northern High Plains
   today.

   ...Portions of the Northern Rockies and northern High Plains...
   Elevated surface winds of 5-10 mph in conjunction with a modest
   strengthening of southeasterly 850 mb flow owing to a deepening
   surface low over western/central Montana will generally limit
   overnight humidity recoveries into this morning, with RH of 15-30%
   noted across the outlook area as of 0500 UTC. A very dry boundary
   layer will persist across the region today, with minimum RH values
   of 10-15% likely this afternoon across south-central/southeastern
   Montana, central Wyoming, and adjacent areas of the northern Great
   Plains. South-southwesterly surface winds of 15-20 mph aligned with
   low RH and receptive fuels will promote elevated fire weather
   concerns across this area today.

   The Elevated highlights were expanded slightly across portions of
   central Montana with this outlook based on the latest guidance and
   HREF wind/RH probabilities. Brief periods of locally critical
   conditions may be possible in the lee of the Big Horn Mountains
   where the latest guidance depicts the greatest potential for
   stronger sustained surface winds. However, confidence in a sustained
   period of 20+ mph winds is low at this time.

   ...Great Basin...
   Similarly dry, southwesterly flow is forecast today across the
   southeastern portions of the Great Basin. While localized elevated
   fire weather conditions may impact locations where recent rainfall
   was minimal and/or where pockets of dry fuels remain, generally
   marginal fuels across southeastern NV and southwestern UT should
   mitigate a broader fire weather threat.

   ..Chalmers.. 09/04/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040557

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 AM CDT Fri Sep 04 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Similar to Friday, upper-level troughing will persist across the
   Pacific Northwest, bringing cloud cover, cooler temperatures, and
   chances for rain. Upper-level ridging will also remain centered over
   the southern Great Plains, with modestly strong southwesterly flow
   aloft continuing over much of the Great Basin, northern Rockies, and
   northern High Plains. This troughing pattern and attendant
   precipitation are expected to largely mitigate fire weather concerns
   across the western U.S. for Day 2/Saturday. Elsewhere, upper
   troughing remaining over the Northeast along with a surface frontal
   system will continue to bring chances for rain to portions of the
   Midwest and East Coast.

   ...Great Basin into Central Wyoming...
   Dry, southwesterly surface flow will be maintained across the
   eastern/southeastern portions of the Great Basin and into portions
   of central Wyoming on Saturday. Locally elevated fire weather
   conditions may manifest across locations where recent rainfall
   was minimal and/or where pockets of dry fuels remain. Generally
   marginal fuels across this region are expected to preclude a broader
   fire weather risk at this time, however. While fuels are more
   receptive across portions of central Wyoming, confidence in an
   extended period (3+ hours) of overlap between 15+ mph surface winds
   and RH below 20% is lower compared to areas farther southwest.

   ..Chalmers.. 09/04/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 032126

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0426 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough bringing much of the northwestern U.S. cooler
   temperatures, cloud cover and rain will linger over the region
   through the weekend, ejecting into the Northern Plains by Day
   6/Tuesday. Subtropical moisture advecting into the Desert Southwest
   and Great Basin Days 4-5/Sunday-Monday will likely bring additional
   cloud cover and some rain to this region. This troughing pattern and
   attendant precipitation will largely mitigate fire weather concerns
   in the western U.S. through the middle of next week. Hot and dry
   conditions under a persistent upper ridge over the central CONUS are
   expected through the weekend although accompanied by relatively
   light surface winds.

   ...Southern Plains...
   As the upper-level trough and attendant mid-level jet accelerates
   into the northern Plains on Days 5-6/Monday-Tuesday, a surface low
   should evolve across the Northern Plains. The increasing pressure
   gradient will likely enhance southerly winds across the central and
   southern Plains where fuels remain very dry (forecasted ERC values
   in the 90-95th percentile range). This could pose a fire weather
   threat to portions of the central/southern Plains where rainfall
   deficits and cured/receptive fuels persist. However, forecast
   uncertainty in RH reductions and degree of a drier,
   downslope-enhanced southwesterly flow precludes introduction of
   critical probabilities with this outlook.

   ..Williams.. 09/03/2026
      




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