ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 040346
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Downslope flow off the southern Rockies and weak lee cyclogenesis
over the central High Plains will favor 15-20 mph sustained westerly
surface winds and 15-20 percent RH from east-central NM into the TX
South Plains during the afternoon. However, ongoing precipitation
atop marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns.
..Weinman.. 12/04/2025
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 032144
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025
Valid 051200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a large scale upper-level
troughing pattern should hold across the eastern U.S. through the
middle of next week. This should facilitate a mostly stable and
colder air mass across much of the eastern U.S., limiting the fire
weather threat. A mid-level jet and associated ascent in addition to
a frontal boundary meandering near the Gulf Coast should bring
several rounds of rain to much of the Deep South and Piedmont
regions, where severe/extreme drought lingers in portions of
southern GA/northern FL. Farther west, model guidance shows a
gradually expanding upper-level ridge across building into CA and
Desert Southwest through the weekend, allowing dry conditions and
above normal temperatures to develop. A short wave within the
broader northwest flow aloft translates southeastward into the
central/southern Rockies on Day 4/Saturday while a lee cyclone
evolves across the central/southern High Plains. Dry and breezy
conditions should develop across eastern NM and West TX on Day
4/Saturday but antecedent precipitation tonight into Day 2/Thursday,
including accumulating snowfall, should mitigate fire weather
impacts overall into the weekend. The Southern Plains will remain
the focus for fire weather concerns on Days 7-8/Tuesday-Wednesday
with potential lee cyclone/trough development along the
central/southern High Plains under robust northwest flow aloft.
However, uncertainty in fuels precludes introducing critical
probabilities at this time.
..Williams.. 12/03/2025