ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130525

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1125 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper trough will move through the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast on
   Sunday into Monday morning. The upper ridge in the West will expand
   into the Plains. A surface high pressure system will move
   southeastward and a cold front will move through much of the Gulf.
   Locally dry and windy conditions are possible in eastern Wyoming.
   Poor fuel receptiveness will preclude much in the way of fire
   weather concerns. Though temperatures will be cool/cold in the
   Southeast, gusty northerly winds and modest RH reductions will be
   possible. Recent precipitation in the past week has left fuel
   receptiveness marginal at best. This, along with the marginal
   temperatures, should preclude fire weather concerns.

   ..Wendt.. 12/13/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122107

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0307 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains limited
   across the country for much of the extended period, though localized
   concerns may emerge along portions of the High Plains during the
   middle of the upcoming work week. Long-range ensemble and cluster
   guidance shows strong agreement in the continuation of broad-scale
   northwesterly flow aloft over the CONUS through the weekend with a
   shift to a more zonal flow regime through the end of next week. This
   upper-level regime will favor cool conditions with sporadic
   precipitation chances from the Pacific Northwest into the northern
   Plains, Midwest, and Northeast. Much of the Southwest and southern
   Plains will likely see very limited rain/snow potential through the
   next 8 days with above-normal temperatures possible. 

   ...D6/Wed - Central to southern High Plains...
   Latest ensemble guidance shows strong consensus in dry conditions
   through the end of the upcoming work week for central and southern
   High Plains. After a brief cool down this weekend, temperatures are
   expected to return to the low 60s to low 70s by the middle of next
   week, which falls within the 75-90th percentile of normal for
   mid-December. Although ERCs are currently only in the 50-65th
   percentile range, a gradual uptick in fuel readiness is anticipated
   amid the dry/warm conditions. The upper-level flow regime aloft will
   favor the development of lee cyclones across the northern Plains
   followed by cold frontal passages during the D5/Tuesday to
   D7/Thursday period. Each of these cyclones/frontal passages may
   support sufficient winds for elevated to critical fire weather
   concerns from eastern NM into CO and southeast WY. 

   A few deterministic solutions hint that the best potential for
   elevated/critical winds may come on D6/Wed as a strong low develops
   over the northern High Plains. However, the overall synoptic regime
   favors lower-amplitude upper waves that have inherent lower
   predictability at this range - as evidenced by poor agreement among
   GEFS/ECENS members. Similarly, run-to-run variation remains somewhat
   high among long-range deterministic solutions over the past 24-48.
   While the potential for fire concerns is noted due to an
   increasingly receptive fuel landscape, risk highlights are withheld
   until a more clear consensus among solutions emerges.

   ..Moore.. 12/12/2025