U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050555

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1255 AM CDT Tue May 05 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Stronger southwesterly flow aloft ahead of an advancing upper-level
   trough will move into the Southern Plains through today. A cold
   front trailing behind an elongated surface low over OK should stall
   across the TX Panhandle and just south of the Red River Valley this
   afternoon. Farther east, a deepening upper trough over Ontario and
   Quebec and associated increasing southwesterly mid-level flow will
   encroach into the Northeast today. At the surface, drier pre-frontal
   southwest flow will affect much of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast.

   ...Mid Atlantic...
   Dry, southerly to southwesterly flow ahead of an eastward moving
   cold front across the OH River Valley is expected across the Mid
   Atlantic today. Limited boundary layer moisture, leading to RH
   reductions of 20-30%, and sustained south/southwest winds of around
   15 mph with higher gusts will evolve by mid-afternoon in the
   Carolinas and Mid Atlantic. A zone of minimal rainfall has resulted
   in lingering fuel dryness across northern NC into much of central
   and eastern VA. Elevated fire weather highlights where added to the
   aforementioned area where most likely alignment of dry and breezy
   conditions and dry fuels exist.

   ...West Texas...
   A 60-65 knot mid-level jet in advance of an upper trough will eject
   into the Southern Plains today. A cold front will stall across the
   northwest TX, inhibiting dry, downslope enhanced westerly flow from
   aligning with the more receptive fuels across the eastern TX
   Panhandle into southwestern KS. Breezy west winds of 15-25 mph amid
   relative humidity of around 15% are still expected across much of
   west TX. However, recent wetting rainfall in the region has
   mitigated the overall fuelscape, limiting impact from an otherwise
   elevated fire weather threat.

   ..Williams.. 05/05/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050557

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 AM CDT Tue May 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   An elongated upper-level trough deepens across the Great Lakes into
   the Southwest Wednesday, with a broad corridor of stronger mid-level
   winds over the Southern Plains. A related cold front stretching
   southwestward from the Northeast into TX gradually advances east
   through Wednesday afternoon before a marked southward acceleration
   takes place overnight across TX. A drying and warming trend
   commences Wednesday across the Intermountain West as an upper ridge
   pushes into the West Coast.

   ...Southern New Mexico into West Texas...
   Stronger mid-level flow will linger across portions of the Southwest
   and TX as a more robust jet core of 75-80 knots shifts into the OH
   River Valley. Stronger westerly winds of 15-25 mph south of an
   advancing cold front over the TX Panhandle and enhanced downslope
   drying should yield 15% RH or less across much of southern NM into
   West TX. However, recent rainfall has moderated fuels across this
   region, mitigating the overall fire weather threat.

   ..Williams.. 05/05/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 042130

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0430 PM CDT Mon May 04 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An expansive positively-tilted upper trough will extend across the
   Southwest to the Great Lakes region with an embedded shortwave over
   the Rockies on Day 3/Wednesday. Concurrently, a broad upper-level
   low over eastern Canada will encourage unsettled weather across the
   Northeast with a cold front transporting plentiful moisture to
   portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast through Day 5/Friday.
   Broader fire weather concerns may temporarily be dampened for much
   of the eastern U.S. for the duration of the forecast period, given a
   widespread transition to green up and expected appreciable
   precipitation. An upper ridge will build across the Pacific
   Northwest mid-week, resulting in above normal temperatures and dry
   conditions to prevail for much of the western U.S. through the
   weekend. 

   On Day 3/Wednesday, the upper trough will migrate atop the southern
   Plains and West TX as an area of surface convergence develops east
   of the Front Range. This feature is expected to send a cold front
   through the TX Panhandle, while downslope westerly winds and a dry
   airmass persists over West TX. Recent plentiful rainfall and
   marginal fuels precludes the introduction of probabilities. 

   Beneath an upper ridge and northwesterly flow aloft, above normal
   temperatures and a dry airmass will remain over much of the western
   CONUS with sporadic areas of breezy conditions. Localized fire
   weather concerns may emerge where terrain-induced winds and dry
   fuels align. Farther east, persistent upper-level troughing over the
   northern Plains and Upper Midwest will shunt most moisture chances
   south of the area. Mostly dry and occasionally breezy conditions
   will prevail, promoting localized fire weather concerns where fuels
   remain dry and the green up transition has not yet occurred.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/04/2026
      




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