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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 011527

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0927 AM CST Thu Jan 01 2026

   Valid 011700Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   Locally elevated conditions due to dry and breezy westerly winds are
   likely in portions of southeast Wyoming and perhaps along the
   eastern front of the southern Rockies this afternoon. Additionally,
   westerly winds of 10-15 mph with minimum RH of 30-40% are likely on
   portions of the eastern Florida Peninsula into north Florida and
   southeast Georgia resulting in locally elevated conditions.
   Otherwise, the forecast remains on track, and please see the
   previous discussion for more details.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/01/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0136 AM CST Thu Jan 01 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic as relatively zonal
   upper flow (with small embedded impulses) becomes established over
   the central U.S., and another mid-level trough approaches the West
   Coast today. A surface low will develop across the southern Plains,
   encouraging modest downslope flow across the central and southern
   High Plains. Despite the stronger (15-25 mph) sustained westerly
   surface winds expected across eastern New Mexico into western Texas,
   higher RH values will mix eastward with the stronger flow, dampening
   wildfire-spread concerns to some degree. While localized
   wildfire-spread potential is still possible, these conditions appear
   too limited for the introduction of Elevated highlights at this
   time.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 011929

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0129 PM CST Thu Jan 01 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   The Elevated area was made slightly smaller and shifted slightly
   farther south based on the latest high-resolution forecast guidance.
   RH may not meet Elevated criteria in portions of the Elevated area,
   but given the forecast sustained 15-25 mph westerly winds, much of
   the Elevated area was maintained.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/01/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CST Thu Jan 01 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will amplify across the central Plains, which
   will encourage the strengthening of a surface low along the Red
   River tomorrow (Friday). To the west of the surface low, dry
   downslope flow along the southern Rockies, in tandem with increased
   isallobaric flow, will support Elevated fire weather conditions
   across much of western into central TX Friday afternoon. 15-20 mph
   sustained westerly surface winds will coincide with 20-30 percent RH
   for several hours Friday afternoon, and will overspread dry fuels.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012146

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 PM CST Thu Jan 01 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

   Low amplitude ridging is expected to develop over the central US
   this weekend, with low amplitude ridging to quasi-zonal flow over
   much of the CONUS early to mid-next week. A jet will like likely
   extend east-northeast from off the southern California coast through
   the Colorado Rockies this weekend into early next week, which will
   increase downslope flow for portions of the southern/central Plains.
   While widespread precipitation is expected for the West Coast, much
   of the central US, especially the Plains, are likely to remain dry
   into mid-next week. Most of the Southeast will also receive little
   to no precipitation after Day 3/Saturday. 

   ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 6/Tuesday: central/southern High Plains...
   Downslope flow will increase across the central High Plains on Day
   4/Sunday as a westerly mid-level jet impinges on the
   central/southern Rockies. Elevated conditions are possible from
   southeast Wyoming into southern Colorado along and just east of the
   eastern slopes of the Rockies. However, current forecast guidance
   indicates misalignment of the strongest winds and lowest RH.
   Additionally, there is uncertainty regarding how far down the
   eastern slopes of the Rockies the stronger winds will extend.
   Despite recent precipitation, fuels remain historically dry for this
   time of year across portions of these areas. 

   On Day 5/Monday, downslope flow and subsequent lee troughing will
   likely result in elevated/locally critical fire weather conditions
   in the Texas Panhandle/vicinity as breezy west-southwest winds
   strengthen amid a dry airmass across portions of the southern High
   Plains. Forecast guidance indicates the possibility of elevated fire
   weather conditions continuing on Day 6/Monday in portions of west
   Texas extending into central/north Texas, but too much forecast
   uncertainty exists to introduce probabilities at this time.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/01/2026
      




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