U.S. Alerts
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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 041546

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0946 AM CST Thu Dec 04 2025

   Valid 041700Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes to the ongoing forecast.

   ..Wendt.. 12/04/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Expansive surface high pressure characterized by cold surface
   temperatures will limit fire-weather concerns across the CONUS.
   Locally dry/breezy offshore flow will continue across parts of
   southern CA, though marginal fuels and weaker surface winds compared
   to previous days should mitigate the overall risk.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040346

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0946 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Downslope flow off the southern Rockies and weak lee cyclogenesis
   over the central High Plains will favor 15-20 mph sustained westerly
   surface winds and 15-20 percent RH from east-central NM into the TX
   South Plains during the afternoon. However, ongoing precipitation
   atop marginal fuels should limit most fire-weather concerns.

   ..Weinman.. 12/04/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 032144

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0344 PM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

   Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a large scale upper-level
   troughing pattern should hold across the eastern U.S. through the
   middle of next week. This should facilitate a mostly stable and
   colder air mass across much of the eastern U.S., limiting the fire
   weather threat. A mid-level jet and associated ascent in addition to
   a frontal boundary meandering near the Gulf Coast should bring
   several rounds of rain to much of the Deep South and Piedmont
   regions, where severe/extreme drought lingers in portions of
   southern GA/northern FL. Farther west, model guidance shows a
   gradually expanding upper-level ridge across building into CA and
   Desert Southwest through the weekend, allowing dry conditions and
   above normal temperatures to develop. A short wave within the
   broader northwest flow aloft translates southeastward into the
   central/southern Rockies on Day 4/Saturday while a lee cyclone
   evolves across the central/southern High Plains. Dry and breezy
   conditions should develop across eastern NM and West TX on Day
   4/Saturday but antecedent precipitation tonight into Day 2/Thursday,
   including accumulating snowfall, should mitigate fire weather
   impacts overall into the weekend. The Southern Plains will remain
   the focus for fire weather concerns on Days 7-8/Tuesday-Wednesday
   with potential lee cyclone/trough development along the
   central/southern High Plains under robust northwest flow aloft.
   However, uncertainty in fuels precludes introducing critical
   probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/03/2025
      




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