U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 090528

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1128 PM CST Mon Dec 08 2025

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A strong shortwave trough will move across the northern Great Plains
   today within a northwesterly flow regime aloft.  In response at the
   surface, a low pressure system will track from southern Saskatchewan
   toward the Great Lakes, with a pressure trough extending southward
   through western Texas.  To the west of this surface trough, dry and
   breezy conditions will prevail within a downslope-flow regime across
   portions of western Texas and southeastern New Mexico. While
   localized elevated meteorological conditions are possible across
   this region, fuel indices are generally not supportive of large
   wildfires, precluding the need for fire-weather highlights.

   ..Jirak.. 12/09/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 090530

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1130 PM CST Mon Dec 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   On Wednesday, an upper-level trough will deepen over the eastern
   CONUS with strong northwesterly flow upstream.  At the surface, high
   pressure will build in over the central CONUS in the wake of a
   cold-frontal passage.  Despite a shift to northerly surface winds
   over southern Plains, temperatures are still expected to warm into
   the upper 50s F.  Given the strong northerly to northeasterly winds
   just above the surface, vertical mixing could lead to gusty winds
   around midday as RH values fall below 25% across portions of
   Oklahoma and northern Texas.  Even with dry and breezy conditions,
   fuels across the region are generally not receptive for large
   wildfires, limiting fire-weather concerns.

   ..Jirak.. 12/09/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082123

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0323 PM CST Mon Dec 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper and mid-level flow pattern will be characterized by persistent
   troughing across the eastern U.S. with ridging over the  West. An
   embedded mid-level short wave within the broad northwesterly flow
   regime along with a strong surface low moving through the Great
   Lakes region, will usher in a cold, continental air mass into much
   of the eastern U.S. behind a robust cold front Days
   3-4/Wednesday-Thursday. This should reduce the overall fire weather
   threat across east CONUS.

   The enhanced northwesterly mid-level jet over the central U.S. along
   with surface troughing in the High Plains will promote stronger
   downslope winds in the lee of the Central Rockies through Day
   5/Friday. Limited RH reductions coupled with an unsupportive
   fuelscape will likely mitigate a broader fire weather threat. Thus,
   introduction of critical probabilities were not warranted. 

   Forecast confidence remains high across the Southwest as dry
   conditions with above normal temperatures under an expanding ridge
   aloft persists across the West. However, generally weak surface
   pressure gradients and marginal fuels within the region will
   mitigate overall fire weather concerns west of the Continental
   Divide through early next week. The dry conditions will continue to
   exert influence on fuels across the Southern Plains which could
   contribute to increasing wildfire potential into eastern NM/West TX
   through this week. Some forecast uncertainty exists in strength of
   lee troughing and thus wind magnitude across the Southern Plains on
   Day 4/Thursday and Day 6/Saturday, precluding introduction of
   critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 12/08/2025
      




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