ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 210658

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns will remain low across the CONUS on
   D2/Tuesday. A trough will bring scattered thunderstorms across
   portions of the Great Basin. Though these thunderstorms are expected
   to be mainly wet, a few pockets of marginally receptive fuels and
   ERCs ranging from the 50-70th percentile across portions of Nevada
   may allow for lightning ignition.

   Elsewhere, a cold front will continue to stretch across the far
   southern Plains bringing shower and thunderstorm activity across
   portions of western and south-central Texas. Mid-level heights will
   begin to rise again across the central US with warming temperatures
   but generally light winds.

   ..Thornton.. 09/21/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202133

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0433 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

   Valid 221200Z - 281200Z

   ...Discussion...
   Weak mid-level impulses embedded within zonal flow will support
   precipitation chances across the eastern CONUS through Day
   4/Wednesday. Meanwhile, a shallow cold front will slowly progress
   southward across southern Texas and the Deep South, promoting
   isolated thunderstorm activity. Hot and mostly dry conditions will
   continue across the lower Mississippi Valley through next week,
   contributing to forecast ERCs approaching the 90-95th percentile
   beyond Day 4/Wednesday; but, prevailing light winds should suppress
   overall fire weather concerns. 

   A weak mid-level trough will traverse the Desert Southwest on Day
   3/Tuesday, bringing thunderstorms to Nevada. Some mixed receptive
   fuels may reside across portions of eastern Nevada, though forecast
   ERCs range from the 50-70th percentile. Ensemble guidance is in
   general agreement for ridging to build over the central-western
   CONUS late in the workweek as an upper trough evolves across the
   Eastern Pacific and impinges upon the Northwest. The overall pattern
   indicates stronger southwest winds could return to the northern
   Great Basin and Pacific Northwest beginning Day 5/Thursday; however,
   an expected marginal fuelscape should limit a broader fire weather
   threat. If fuels guidance trends drier, critical probabilities may
   be needed in future outlook cycles.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/20/2026