U.S. Alerts
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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251629

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1029 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

   Valid 251700Z - 261200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are necessary, and please see the previous discussion for
   more details.

   ..Nauslar.. 11/25/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0108 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns will remain limited for today across the
   country despite very strong winds across much of the central Plains.
   06 UTC surface observations show surface pressure falls across the
   northern High Plains associated with a developing cyclone. This low
   will undergo rapid intensification over the next 24 hours as it
   shifts east towards the Midwest. Strong, 20-30 mph northwesterly
   winds will overspread much of the central and southern Plains
   through late afternoon as an attendant cold front pushes southeast.
   Despite the strong winds, an influx of cold air will limit RH
   reductions to 35-50% over the windiest areas. This, coupled with
   unreceptive fuels after recent rainfall, will limit fire weather
   potential.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 251843

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1243 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are necessary, and please see the previous discussion.

   ..Nauslar.. 11/25/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0109 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   No fire weather concerns are expected for Wednesday. A strong
   cyclone that is currently developing over the northern High Plains
   is expected to move into the Great Lakes region by late Wednesday.
   This will support a broad swath of 15-25 mph across the Midwest and
   OH Valley, but recent rainfall and cold temperatures will limit fire
   concerns. Across southern California, a weak to moderate offshore
   pressure gradient is expected to gradually become established
   through Wednesday into early Thursday. While some areas may see
   winds increase to 15-20 mph, widespread recent rainfall has largely
   mitigated fuel concerns at this time.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252122

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0322 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

   Valid 271200Z - 031200Z

   Deep upper-level troughing is expected over the eastern US with well
   below normal temperatures amid a dry post-frontal airmass through
   the end of the week and into Day 5/Saturday. An upper-level short
   wave trough is likely to track from the northern Rockies into the
   central US before strengthening over the Midwest/Great Lakes this
   weekend. Deeper upper-level troughing is likely to develop over the
   West this weekend and early next week, but forecast uncertainty
   remains regarding the location and magnitude of this troughing. 

   ...Day 3/Thursday - Day 4/Friday: Portions of the Southeast...
   Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely along/east of the
   Piedmont and into southern Georgia and north Florida Day 3/Thursday.
   RH is expected to dip below elevated/critical criteria across these
   areas with 8-15 mph northwest-northerly winds overlapping. RH will
   likely be lower on Day 4/Friday in portions of southern/central
   Georgia into central/north Florida and possibly portions of South
   Carolina. Mitigating factors will be cooler temperatures, especially
   at higher elevations and farther north, and the potential for
   rainfall today/tomorrow. Locally elevated conditions are likely with
   portions of southern Georgia and north Florida currently favored,
   but given the forecast uncertainty, probabilities of critical fire
   weather conditions were not introduced.

   ...Day 5/Saturday: Southwest Texas...
   Dry/breezy conditions are likely in portions of southwest Texas Day
   5/Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. However, given the
   forecast uncertainty with track of the upper-level shortwave trough,
   frontal timing, and the overlap of critical winds/RH coincident with
   receptive fuels, probabilities were not introduced.

   ..Nauslar.. 11/25/2025
      




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