U.S. Alerts
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140559

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Isolated dry thunderstorms are forecast from the Four Corners region
   into the Great Basin this afternoon along the northern periphery of
   a moisture plume originating from Baja. Precipitable water content
   of 0.5-0.75 inches, deeply-mixed inverted-V boundary layer profiles,
   and LCL-EL mean wind speeds of 15-20 kts will all contribute to
   minimal downdraft precipitation efficiency with any storms that
   develop. With ERC fuel guidance showing widespread 80th-95th annual
   percentiles, lightning ignitions and erratic downdraft winds will
   pose fire-weather concerns. While the transition from dry-to-wet
   thunderstorms may occur further south of the current outlook area,
   some trimming was done to exclude areas that received prior-day
   wetting rainfall.

   ..Halbert.. 06/14/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140600

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast for portions of
   eastern Wyoming into Nebraska on Monday, as a dry and breezy
   post-frontal airmass produces 15-20 MPH winds with 15-20% relative
   humidity across the area. These conditions will overlap with
   generally critical fuels, as ERCs are forecast to be in the
   95th-98th percentile range. There is still some uncertainty in the
   overall coverage and duration of Elevated conditions, so expansion
   may occur in future updates.

   ..Halbert.. 06/14/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132152

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0452 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the northeastern
   CONUS through late next week as an upper low remains anchored over
   the southern Ontario/Quebec regions. An upper-level ridge will
   flatten over the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Tuesday, eventually
   breaking down and shifting eastward over the central CONUS as a
   trough moves onshore the West Coast by Day 6-7/Thursday-Friday.
   Consequently, dry and breezy conditions with above normal
   temperatures (and resultant dry fuels) will support expansive fire
   concerns through the remainder of the forecast period. While timing
   differences in various NWP guidance currently precludes the
   introduction of critical probabilities past Day 5/Wednesday,
   highlights may be needed across the Interior West and High Plains in
   future outlook cycles as details become better resolved. 

   ...Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday - Parts of the Intermountain West...
   Several days of well above normal surface temperatures will occur
   under the upper ridge through early next week, with record high
   temperatures forecast to be met or exceeded in portions of the
   Pacific Northwest. This anomalous, but short-lived, heat wave is
   expected to further dry dead fuels over much of the western CONUS -
   significantly so over the Pacific Northwest. 

   As the ridge dampens and begins to slide eastward, robust
   northwesterly flow aloft should foster breezy surface winds amid
   pre-existing warm and dry conditions. Thus, 40% Critical
   probabilities have been introduced to eastern Washington and
   southeastern Oregon on Day 4/Tuesday where confidence has increased
   in fire weather conditions overlapping a vast region of cured
   grasses. As robust northwesterly flow aloft overspreads the central
   Rockies and a dry cold front traverses the central Plains,
   heightened fire concerns should reemerge as ERCs approach the
   90-95th percentile. 40% Critical probabilities have been maintained
   across the region on Day 4/Tuesday and Day 5/Wednesday, though
   spatial extent may be adjusted in future outlooks with updated
   guidance and fuel progression.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/13/2026
      




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