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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300647

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1247 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

   Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad mid-level trough will prevail along the East Coast, with
   broad northwesterly flow aloft expected to overspread much of the
   central U.S. today. Embedded mid-level impulses pivoting around the
   upper trough will encourage multiple southeastward surges of surface
   high pressure east of the Mississippi River, with lee troughing
   expected across the High Plains. Modest downslope flow along the
   central and southern High Plains will promote low-end Elevated
   conditions across western Oklahoma into northwestern Texas, where
   localized wildfire spread will be possible given dry fuels. Offshore
   flow due to the aforementioned surface high pressure surges will
   continue to support dry, occasionally breezy conditions across
   portions of the Southeast into the FL Peninsula, where low-end
   Elevated highlights remain in place.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/30/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300657

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A pronounced embedded impulse, and accompanying 500 mb jet streak,
   will pivot southeast along the backside of the near-stationary East
   Coast upper trough, supporting continued dry offshore flow across
   the Southeast tomorrow (Wednesday). By afternoon peak heating, RH
   may dip below 30 percent over several areas, from the Carolinas to
   Florida. Surface wind fields will not be overly intense, with
   sustained northwesterly surface winds expected to be around 10 mph
   (perhaps 15 mph locally) across the Southeast. However, low-end
   Elevated highlights have been introduced given the dry low-level
   conditions amid curing fuels, which should support at least
   localized wildfire spread.

   ..Squitieri.. 12/30/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292136

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0336 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025

   Valid 311200Z - 061200Z

   Upper-level ridging will be over the West with upper-level troughing
   over the East for much of this week before more quasi zonal flow is
   likely to develop across the CONUS. A weaker closed low is likely to
   move into southern California mid to late this week then weaken as
   it traverses through the base of the upper-level ridging across the
   Southwest. Dry conditions will persist across much of the Southeast
   through Day 4/Thursday before moisture returns from the Gulf and
   increases chances of rain across the region Day 5/Friday - Day
   6/Saturday. Weak downslope flow is likely on portions of the central
   High Plains mid to late this week before a cold front slides south
   down the Plains late Day 4/Thursday into Day 6/Saturday. 

   ...Southeast...
   Elevated conditions remain likely in portions of the Southeast Day
   3/Wednesday, but the 40% area was reduced from yesterday's outlook.
   Breezy westerly winds will overlap a dry post-frontal airmass from
   southern Georgia/vicinity through the Carolinas, and RH will be
   below elevated criteria across much of the Southeast/Gulf Coast Day
   3/Wednesday. However, weaker flow will limit areas reaching
   elevated/locally critical criteria across the broader Southeast
   region. Locally elevated conditions are possible again Day
   4/Thursday from eastern Alabama into South Carolina and north
   Florida. While rain is likely across much of the Southeast Day
   5/Friday - Day 6/Saturday, most areas will not see heavy rainfall,
   including some areas seeing little to none (e.g., south Florida). 

   ...Southern/Central Plains...
   Dry/breezy conditions are possible Day 3/Wednesday - Day 4/Thursday
   on portions of the southern/central High Plains in a modest
   downslope flow regime. Additionally, drier and potentially breezy
   return flow may reach locally elevated thresholds in portions of
   Texas during these days before a cold front pushes south down the
   Plains. No precipitation is expected into the weekend for the
   southern/central Plains, the rest of Texas, and into the western
   Lower Mississippi Valley. These dry conditions will further cure
   fuels regardless if they meet elevated/critical criteria.

   ..Nauslar.. 12/29/2025
      




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