ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120649

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0149 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A closed mid-level low will progress slowly eastward across the
   Intermountain West on D2/Tuesday, with strong southwesterly flow
   aloft persisting from the southern Rockies into the central Great
   Plains and Midwest. This will help maintain a lee surface low across
   the central Plains, with a corridor of stronger southwesterly
   surface winds of 15-25 mph forecast from eastern New Mexico into the
   western TX/OK Panhandles, southeastern Colorado, and southwestern
   Kansas. Downslope drying will also foster RH reductions to around
   20% across this region, but poor fuel receptiveness (ERCs generally
   below the 50th to 60th percentiles) will temper overall fire weather
   concerns.

   Farther east, upper-level ridging will remain in place across the
   western Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi River Valley. Concurrently,
   a surface frontal system will progress southward across the central
   Plains and Midwest, bringing chances for precipitation. Coupled with
   lingering chances for rainfall and higher elevation snowfall across
   portions of the West, widespread fire weather concerns will continue
   to be largely suppressed across much of the U.S.

   ..Chalmers.. 10/12/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 112132

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0432 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level low and associated precipitation across the western
   U.S. will move into the Upper Midwest by Day 5/Thursday and merge
   with an amplifying mid-upper trough evolving over the Great Lakes
   and Northeast by Day 7/Saturday. Ridging will build back over the
   western U.S., supporting a warming and drying trend over the region
   through the weekend. An offshore wind event is likely across
   southern CA beginning Day 5/Thursday as broad surface high pressure
   moves into the central U.S. coupled with a potential cut off low
   setting up over Baja California. However, recent widespread
   precipitation across much of southern CA should have a lingering,
   mitigating impact on fuels late into the week where stronger
   offshore winds are more likely. This should temper fire weather
   concerns for this event. Farther east, the lower MS River Valley
   will remain mostly dry as ridging persists over the Deep South
   through midweek promoting a receptive fuelscape. A dry, continental
   air mass settles into the eastern CONUS Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday.
   The resultant post-frontal northerly flow and lack of preceding
   rainfall could bring fire weather concerns back into the lower MS
   River Valley on Day 6/Friday although some uncertainty in forecast
   wind magnitude precludes the introduction of critical probabilities
   at this time.

   ..Williams.. 10/11/2026