ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010711

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0211 AM CDT Fri May 01 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Mid-level troughing is forecast to intensify over the eastern US
   Saturday as southwesterly flow aloft also strengthens. This will
   drive a cold front into the Gulf, though gusty winds and dry
   conditions are expected ahead of it over parts of FL. To the west of
   the upper trough, northwesterly flow will persist over the Plains
   ahead of a ridge over the Great Basin. A dry cold front will move
   southward across the northern Plains supporting dry and breezy
   conditions into parts of the Dakotas/MT.

   ...FL...
   Another day of dry and breezy conditions is expected for portions of
   central and southern FL. Surface winds should be somewhat stronger
   than Friday as the upper trough over the eastern US deepens and flow
   aloft increases. Surface gusts of 10-20 mph are possible amid RH
   below 35%. Area fuels remain quite dry with little recent rainfall
   and ERC values above the 95th percentile. Fire-weather concerns
   should end with the frontal passage and some light rainfall possible
   into the evening and overnight.

   ...Northern Plains...
   On the backside of the broader eastern US trough, a subtle shortwave
   will support a weak surface cyclone along a cold front moving out
   southern Canada. Gusty northwest winds of 15-25 mph are expected
   with the front. With little surface moisture in place, afternoon RH
   values below 20% are likely. Combined with dry fuels, the dry/breezy
   conditions will likely support a few hours of elevated fire weather
   concerns across southwestern ND, northwestern SD and southeastern
   MT, where recent rainfall has been minimal and fuels remain dry.

   ..Lyons.. 05/01/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302119

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0419 PM CDT Thu Apr 30 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An amplifying upper trough across the eastern U.S. and deepening
   surface low near the Carolina Coast will lead to dry and breezy
   conditions south of a cold front, increasing the fire weather threat
   across FL on Day 3/Saturday. The cold front and associated rainfall
   will finally advance southeastward over the weekend, providing a
   temporary fire weather reprieve not only to Florida but to much of
   the Southeast and portions of the Mid Atlantic. A cold front
   sweeping southeastward under broader northeasterly flow should bring
   stronger west-northwest winds and low RH to portions of the northern
   Plains on Day 3/Saturday. Dry and breezy conditions return to the
   Southwest Day 4/Sunday and Southern High Plains Day
   5-6/Monday-Tuesday as upper low gradually shifts into the region.

   ...Day 3/Saturday...
   ...Florida...
   Stronger west winds of 15 mph (locally 20 mph) ahead of a cold front
   advancing southeastward from the northern Gulf Coast will bring a
   fire weather threat to the FL Peninsula on Day 3/Saturday. RH
   reductions could be limited to 35% locally due to increasing cloud
   cover but fuels remain very receptive amid expanding drought where
   40% critical probabilities remain. 

   ...Northern Plains...
   A mid-level short wave will translate southeastward into the
   Northern Plains from the southern Canadian Prairies on Day
   3/Saturday. At the surface, a cold front extending southwestward
   from a parent low across ND will sweep into the eastern MT and
   Dakotas. Dry and breezy conditions ahead of the cold front combined
   with dry fuels could allow for heightened fire weather concerns
   across southwestern ND, northwestern SD and southeastern MT, where
   recent rainfall has been minimal and fuels remain dry. 40% critical
   probabilities were introduced to account for this fire weather
   threat.

   ...Days 4-6/Sunday-Tuesday - Southwest and Southern Plains...
   Increasing southwesterly flow aloft should overspread the Southwest
   and Southern Plains as a lee surface trough develops across the
   southern Plains early next week. This will support dry and breezy
   conditions across the Southwest on Sunday, with downslope drying and
   enhanced winds evolving in the Southern High Plains Monday and
   Tuesday. However, preceding widespread rainfall in the tonight and
   Day 2/Friday time frame in addition to ongoing green up across the
   region should limit the impact of an otherwise enhanced fire weather
   concern.

   ..Williams.. 04/30/2026