ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 211944

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0144 PM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   A subtle mid-level short wave embedded within broad westerly flow
   aloft should move into the upper Missouri River Valley Monday
   afternoon. As a result, enhanced lee troughing across the
   northern/central Plains will expand southward into the southern High
   Plains as broader surface high pressure shifts east-southeastward
   into the Mid Atlantic. This will promote an increasingly favorable
   dry downslope regime across the southern High Plains and adjacent
   leeward locations of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and CO Front
   Range. Despite upper-level cloud cover,  near record warmth with
   temperatures in the 60s and 70s along with west winds of 10-15 mph
   and minimum relative values as low as 10 percent are possible in the
   lee of the Southern Rockies. Thus, Elevated highlights were expended
   to cover this threat amid increasingly dry fuels. A more expansive
   fire weather threat is still expected across eastern NM and the TX
   Panhandle where a low-level thermal ridge and subsequent well above
   normal temperatures in the 70s and 80s will align with west winds of
   around 15 mph (localized 20 mph) and 15-20 percent relative humidity
   by early Monday afternoon. Elevated highlights remain across this
   region amid dry fuels.

   ..Williams.. 12/21/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0132 AM CST Sun Dec 21 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper ridging will persist over the CONUS tomorrow (Monday), with
   surface lee troughing continuing over the Plains states. Dry
   downslope flow is expected across the southern High Plains, with
   15-20 percent RH becoming common over most locales as the boundary
   layer mixes Monday afternoon. Guidance consensus depicts a corridor
   of 15+ mph sustained westerly surface winds overlapping the
   aforementioned RH for several hours Monday afternoon across eastern
   New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Elevated highlights are
   warranted for these conditions given the presence of dry fuels.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202237

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0437 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

   Valid 221200Z - 281200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Increasing mid to upper-level heights are expected over the central
   and southern CONUS by early next week as a ridge migrates eastward
   over Chihuahua Mexico and into the Southern Plains. This ridge will
   continue to drift eastward through mid to late next week over the
   Gulf, while troughing begins to impact the Pacific Northwest.
   Persistent west to southwest mid-level flow across the Rockies will
   aid in lee troughing throughout next week, and the potential for
   some breezy winds at the surface across the Central and Southern
   High Plains.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Breezy westerly downslope winds are expected to impact the TX and OK
   Panhandles and east-central NM by Monday/D3. Low critical
   probabilities will remain in the forecast here, though there are
   some indications of only locally critical RH being reached.
   Decreasing surface wind speeds will accompany a decreasing surface
   pressure gradient Tuesday/D4 across this same region. By
   Wednesday/D5, however, increasing downslope flow will return as a
   lee trough deepens. This stronger surface flow will likely be more
   confined to the northwestern/western TX/OK Panhandles and far
   northeastern NM, where low critical probabilities remain in place
   from the previous forecast. In addition, fuels across this landscape
   will become more receptive to fire start/spread with very little to
   no sign of appreciable precipitation and above average
   temperatures/low relative humidity anticipated through the extended
   forecast.

   ..Barnes.. 12/20/2025