U.S. Alerts
El Dorado Weather Logo
U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
Imagery from Canada Weather

U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 121618

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1018 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

   Valid 121700Z - 131200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   Fire weather concerns remain limited for today. Breezy and
   marginally dry conditions are beginning to develop behind a weak
   cold front across portions of western TX. 15-20 mph winds coupled
   with RH reductions into the 25-35% range may support a few areas of
   elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon - mainly along the
   I-20 corridor. However, fuels across this region remain only
   modestly dry with ERC values near the 60-65th percentiles. As such,
   the overall fire weather potential remains too limited for
   highlights.

   ..Moore.. 12/12/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1139 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad, low-amplitude upper trough will be positioned from the
   northern Plains into the East today. In the West, a stationary upper
   ridge will be present. Cooler surface temperatures will exist across
   much of the CONUS east of the Divide. A modest cold front will push
   into the southern High Plains. Locally dry and breezy conditions can
   be expected in portions of the South Plains/Permian Basin. RH
   reductions will be rather marginal as will fuel dryness, precluding
   highlights.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120540

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1140 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   On Saturday, an upper shortwave trough is expected to amplify in the
   northern Plains/Upper Midwest. This will push colder air southward.
   Some increase in mid-level winds will occur in the central High
   Plains into parts of the northern Rockies. A modest surface low will
   develop/evolve southward within the High Plains. Dry and breezy
   conditions are probable in eastern Colorado into northeast New
   Mexico. Locally elevated meteorological conditions will be possible
   at least briefly over generally unreceptive fuels. Winds will be
   westerly/northwesterly but shift to northerly through the day as the
   surface low/cold front moves southward. Colder air will lag the
   shift to northerly winds.

   ..Wendt.. 12/12/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 112059

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0259 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

   Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

   Upper-level ridging will shift eastward and amplify over the West
   this weekend, but weak upper troughing and embedded upper lows are
   likely to traverse across the Intermountain West and eventually over
   the southern/central Plains early to mid-next week. A strong jet
   along with another strong atmospheric river will likely impinge on
   the northwestern US early next week, with heights forecast to lower
   and the jet shifting farther south across the West mid to late next
   week. The southern half of the West, southern/central Plains, and
   portions of the Southeast are likely to receive little to no
   precipitation during the forecast period. 

   ...Southern/Central High Plains...
   Locally elevated conditions are likely in portions of eastern New
   Mexico into west Texas Day 3/Saturday ahead/along an approaching
   cold front. Rain chances are likely to remain confined to portions
   of south/east Texas and along portions of the Gulf Coast into
   portions of the Deep South. Most of west/north Texas and portions of
   central Texas are likely to remain rain free, further curing fuels
   in these areas. 

   As stronger flow aloft spreads across the West and into the Rockies
   Day 6/Tuesday - Day 8/Thursday, chances for critical fire weather
   conditions increase. Increased downslope flow and lee troughing will
   increase winds amid a dry airmass around mid-next week for multiple
   days. The timing/location of these conditions still remain
   uncertain, precluding introducing probabilities at this time.
   However, if forecast trends hold, probabilities for critical
   conditions will likely increase enough around mid-next week on
   portions of the southern/central High Plains, with the southern High
   Plains currently favored, to include risk areas in future outlooks.

   ...Portions of the Southeast...
   Dry/breezy conditions are likely in portions of Georgia, South
   Carolina, Alabama, and Florida Day 4/Sunday as a cold front pushes
   through the Southeast. Additionally, post-frontal dry conditions are
   likely to remain into Day 6/Tuesday across portions of the
   Southeast. However, given the recent precipitation and limited
   overlap of elevated/locally critical winds/RH, no probabilities were
   included.

   ..Nauslar.. 12/11/2025
      




Contact Us Contact Us Thumbnail | Mobile Mobile Phone Thumbnail
Private Policy | Terms & Conds | Consent Preferences | Cookie Policy
Never base any life decisions on weather information from this site or anywhere over the Internet.
Site is dedicated to our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ | Random Quotes of Jesus

Copyright © 2025 El Dorado Weather, Inc. | Site Designed By:  Webmaster Danny