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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 241452
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0852 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025
Valid 241700Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous
discussion for more details.
..Nauslar.. 11/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1216 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today.
Widespread rainfall across the southern CONUS will limited fuel
status across a broad swath of the country where fuels had been
previously dry in recent days. Further north, an intensifying
cyclone over the northern High Plains will likely support strong
westerly downslope winds across portions of MT and WY. However, an
influx of cold air along with considerable cloud cover will limit RH
reductions. Dry conditions are expected to persist across the
Southeast, but weak winds should mitigate widespread fire concerns.
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 241804
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1204 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The forecast remains on track, and please see the previous
discussion for more details.
..Nauslar.. 11/24/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1217 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather potential will continue to be limited for Tuesday
despite widespread strong winds across the Plains. A surface cyclone
is forecast to develop today across the northern High Plains
followed by a period of steady intensification through Tuesday
evening as it shifts into the upper MS Valley/Midwest. Strong
northwesterly winds are expected to spread across much of the
central Plains behind an attendant cold front. Latest forecast
guidance suggests widespread winds of 15-25 mph (gusting to 35 mph)
are likely; however, an influx of continental air should modulate RH
reductions for most locations. Furthermore, the spatial extent of
dry fuels across NE into KS (where winds should be strongest)
appears limited due to rainfall over the past 72 hours.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 242103
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025
Valid 261200Z - 021200Z
Deep upper-level troughing over the eastern US and weaker
upper-level ridging over the West will continue through mid-week
before transitioning into quasi-zonal flow across the CONUS.
Upper-level troughing is likely to develop over the West this
weekend, but forecast guidance varies widely on the strength and
trajectory of the troughing over the West.
...Day 4/Thursday - Day 5/Friday: Southeast Coastal Plain into
Florida...
A cold front will push through the Southeast on Day 3/Wednesday -
Day 4/Thursday, with dry/locally breezy post-frontal conditions
expected. Elevated to locally critically winds/RH are possible from
the coastal Carolinas into the Florida Panhandle Day 4/Thursday,
with dry/locally breezy conditions likely continuing Day 5/Friday
and expanding into central Florida. Probabilities for critical fire
weather conditions were not added due to potential rainfall ahead of
the front and uncertainty regarding the overlap of critical
winds/RH. If the rainfall does not materialize or confidence grows
in areas that will receive little to no rainfall, probabilities will
be necessary in subsequent outlooks.
...Day 6/Saturday - Day 7/Sunday: Southwest Texas...
Dry/windy conditions are possible across southwest Texas this
weekend. However, given the aforementioned high uncertainty
regarding the potential troughing over the West and marginal fuel
dryness, no probabilities for critical conditions were introduced.
..Nauslar.. 11/24/2025
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