U.S. Alerts
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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 041635

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1035 AM CST Wed Nov 04 2026

   Valid 041700Z - 051200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The ongoing forecast remains on track with no changes; plentiful
   recent rainfall and increased live fuel moisture has yielded reduced
   fire weather concerns across much of the CONUS today. Where mixed
   dry fuels still exist within parts of the northeastern U.S.,
   forecast near-term (24-48 hour) precipitation should provide some
   relief to the fuelscape.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 11/04/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1159 PM CST Tue Nov 03 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Minimal fire weather concerns are expected across the CONUS for
   today. An upper trough and associated surface low will shift into
   the Upper Midwest through today, bringing precipitation and limited
   fire weather threat to portions of the Deep South, Ohio River
   Valley, Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. Pockets of receptive fuels
   exist across the northeastern U.S., but absence of overlapping dry
   and breezy conditions precludes introduction of broader fire weather
   highlights.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 041827

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1227 PM CST Wed Nov 04 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The forecast remains on track for Day 2/Thursday with reduced fire
   weather concerns across the CONUS.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 11/04/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1159 PM CST Tue Nov 03 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Limited fire weather concerns for the CONUS will carry over from
   D1/Wednesday into D2/Thursday. Precipitation associated with a
   surface cyclone and attendant cold front will push into the
   Northeastern U.S. This will aid in fuel recovery and reduce the fire
   weather threat across this region after consecutive days of above
   normal temperatures and low RH were observed.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 042132

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0332 PM CST Wed Nov 04 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper-level ridging will build in over much of the western U.S. on
   Day 3/Friday, transitioning temperatures from below/near-normal to
   above normal starting this weekend. Consensus of the latest forecast
   guidance is that this ridge, while not particularly strong, will
   persist through the middle of next week. A cold front will exit the
   Eastern Seaboard on Day 3/Friday as an upper low strengthens over
   the Great Lakes, bringing a final swath of rainfall from the
   Carolinas into Chesapeake Bay. Behind the front, high pressure will
   rebuild across the eastern CONUS, maintaining dry conditions and
   cooler temperatures through the weekend.

   ...Southern California...
   An upper-level low will emerge over Baja CA on Day 3/Friday,
   stalling over the region through early next week. This will support
   easterly flow and result in weak to moderately strong Santa Ana
   surface winds on Days 3-4/Friday-Saturday. Peak northwest to
   northeast winds of 15-25 mph (maximum gusts up to 35 mph) and
   minimum RH near 15% are possible in terrain-favored areas. Gusty
   winds may linger into Day 5/Sunday, though current guidance suggests
   the tightened surface pressure gradient should begin to relax as the
   upper low weakens. Even with drying conditions present as this
   system transits the region, recent rainfall accumulation and
   increased live fuel moisture are expected to limit a broader
   significant fire weather threat. However, in spotty areas that have
   not received as much recent rainfall, a locally elevated to possibly
   critical fire weather threat may evolve (especially in the
   wind-prone areas of L.A./Ventura counties).

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 11/04/2026
      




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