ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 270528

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1128 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough over the central/northern High Plains will
   shift east into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region throughout
   the day. At the surface, an area of low pressure will track from the
   central Great Plains to the Great Lakes region. In its wake, a cold
   front will sweep across much of the central CONUS, replacing near
   record warmth with more seasonal temperatures. 

   Model guidance suggests there could be a window of up to a few hours
   supporting Elevated fire-weather conditions associated with the
   pre/post cold front passage, mainly across portions of the southern
   High Plains. Pre-frontal residual dry air and diurnally driven winds
   should be present ahead of the front by early afternoon. Then,
   temperatures should remain above the minimum thresholds behind the
   front for another 2-3 hours amid gusty northwest winds despite
   rising RH values. Therefore, Elevated highlights have been
   introduced for a small portion of West Texas and far southeast New
   Mexico, confined to areas where fuels appear most receptive. The
   frontal passage may at least temporarily exacerbate any ongoing
   fires across the region as well.

   ..Karstens.. 12/27/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 262111

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0311 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025

   Valid 281200Z - 031200Z

   A longwave mid-level ridge has been in place over the central CONUS
   for the last several days. By early D3/Sunday, this feature will
   begin to move eastward with a shortwave trough digging across the
   northern and central Rockies on the western periphery of the ridge.
   This shortwave trough will move eastward through D4/Monday, pushing
   a cold front southward across the central and eastern CONUS.

   Brief Elevated fire weather conditions may occur across portions of
   west Texas and the Permian basin on Sunday with the cold front
   passage, however rapidly cooling temperatures and increasing RH
   behind the front is expected to inhibit a long-duration risk.
   Additional fire weather risk may be present in the post-frontal
   regime across central Texas on Monday afternoon. However, several
   factors preclude introduction of highlights in this area, including
   cool temperatures and uncertainties regarding cloud cover, which
   could keep temperatures cooler and RH higher. Additionally, fuels in
   the area are not particularly receptive to fire spread, and
   precipitation early in the day may reduce susceptibility even
   further.

   By D5/Tuesday, a longwave trough is expected to become established
   over the eastern half of the CONUS and remain there through the end
   of the period, promoting surface high pressure and light winds
   across the southern Plains. A shortwave trough embedded in the
   northwesterly flow may push another cold front southward sometime
   around D6/Wednesday or D7/Thursday, and this may carry some fire
   risk with it, as well. However, confidence in any particular outcome
   is not high enough to warrant highlights at this time.

   ..Supinie.. 12/26/2025