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U.S. & Canada 00-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 271606
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
The previous forecast (see below) remains on track.
..Squitieri.. 01/27/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0149 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026/
...Synopsis...
Dry post-frontal northwesterly flow across the southern Florida
Peninsula will bring a period of Elevated fire concerns today.
Relative humidity reductions to around 20-25% will overlap with
sustained northwesterly flow around 10-15 mph. Fuels in this region
are critically dry with ongoing drought conditions. The frontal
passage did bring some rainfall across portions of the peninsula but
little to no rainfall occurred across the far southern west coast,
where the Elevated was maintained with this outlook.
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 271740
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track. Dry, occasionally breezy
northwesterly surface flow is still expected across the Florida
Peninsula, which may promote brief periods of localized
wildfire-spread potential. Still, the surface winds appear too weak
for the inclusion of Elevated highlights at this time, though this
may change in future outlooks if a stronger surface wind field
becomes evident.
..Squitieri.. 01/27/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Wednesday. A
cool and dry air mass will remain in place across much of the CONUS,
with extensive snow pack reaching from the Southern Plains into
portions of the Northeast. Overall, the recent cold and wet pattern
has improved status of fuels in many areas. Some dry conditions will
continue across southern Florida but winds should be lighter,
precluding the need to include any areas.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 272156
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
A generally broad northwesterly flow regime will remain in place
over the CONUS through the middle of next week, with multiple
embedded impulses poised to amplify across the northern Plains and
approach the Atlantic coastline through the extended period. This
particular upper-air pattern will reinforce surface high pressure
and an associated sub-freezing airmass across much of the CONUS east
of the Rockies Days 3-8 (Thursday through next Tuesday). Fire
weather spread conditions should be limited over most locales, with
the Florida Peninsula being a possible exception later in the
extended period. Around Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday, a cold front should
surge southeast across the Florida Peninsula, with dry and windy
conditions possible in the post-frontal airmass. At the moment, some
disagreement exists regarding how dry/windy these conditions may
become between medium-range guidance members. If greater agreement
in dry/windy conditions becomes apparent in future runs, 40 percent
Critical probabilities may be needed in future outlooks (assuming no
appreciable rainfall happens in advance).
..Squitieri.. 01/27/2026
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