ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310547

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1247 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Overall, fire weather concerns are expected to be low for D2/Monday.
   An upper-level low off the coast of the Pacific Northwest will
   continue to wobble just offshore. Northwest breezes will continue
   across portions of Northern California but winds look to remain very
   localized and just below Elevated criteria.

   ..Thornton.. 08/31/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302109

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0409 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   A closed mid/upper-level low, initially located just off the Pacific
   Northwest coast at the start of Day 3/Monday, is forecast to begin
   retrograding farther westward into the Pacific Ocean by Day
   4/Tuesday. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge is forecast to continue
   quickly building north/northwestward across the Western US Day
   3/Monday and persist over the area through late next week. A compact
   mid/upper-level low is forecast to drift slowly north/northeastward
   from the Pacific Ocean and overspread portions of central/northern
   California Day 4/Tuesday and Oregon by Day 6/Thursday, while moving
   along the western periphery of the ridge.

   ...Day 3/Monday: Northern California, the inland Northwest, and the
   northwest Great Basin...
   Lingering dry and breezy conditions are expected across wind-prone
   portions of Northern California, the inland Northwest, and the
   northwest Great Basin Day 3/Monday owing to enhanced flow associated
   with the aforementioned closed low along the Pacific Northwest
   coast. Current ensemble forecasts suggest wind speeds remaining
   below critical thresholds on a large-scale basis, precluding
   critical probabilities.

   ...Day 3/Monday - Day 6/Thursday: Northern California and the
   Northwest...
   Hot, dry, and unstable conditions are forecast to develop across
   portions of Northern California and the Northwest Day 3/Monday and
   persist through much of the week as the aforementioned upper-level
   ridge builds into the area and a thermal trough strengthens. This
   may lead to an increase in fire activity from recent holdovers and
   also promote longer burn periods on any ongoing large fires.

   Lightning potential may also increase across portions of northern
   California into southern Oregon Day 4/Tuesday through Day
   6/Thursday, as the aforementioned compact upper-low drifts northward
   and increasing moisture interacts with a hot and unstable
   atmosphere. Primary forecast challenge remains the evolution of the
   low, with key differences still present in ensemble guidance
   regarding how quickly the low moves northward. These differences are
   enough to lower confidence in the timing, the location, and the
   coverage probabilities of thunderstorms, which precludes the
   introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. 
   Nevertheless, with fuels becoming increasingly receptive early next
   week, as drying intensifies with the upper-level ridge building into
   the area, a dry thunderstorm area may be needed as guidance comes
   into better agreement.

   ..Elliott.. 08/30/2025