ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051930

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0130 PM CST Mon Jan 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   Adjustments were made to extend the Elevated into the foothills in
   north-central Colorado. HREF signal shows decent probabilities of
   Elevated conditions amid dry fuels extending into this region by the
   afternoon. Otherwise, see previous discussion for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 01/05/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0142 AM CST Mon Jan 05 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Weak surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains
   tomorrow (Tuesday) beneath zonal westerly flow aloft. While dry
   surface air (i.e. 20-25 percent RH) will overspread the central and
   southern High Plains, westerly surface winds should be generally too
   weak to support widespread wildfire-spread potential over most
   locales. One exception may be portions of western Nebraska and
   immediate adjacent areas. Here the latest guidance depicts 15-20 mph
   sustained westerly surface winds overlapping the 20-25 percent RH
   for several hours Tuesday afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052132

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0332 PM CST Mon Jan 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   Fire weather concerns limited/low confidence through the extended
   period. A quasi-zonal flow pattern will be in place across the
   Plains D3/Wednesday with some lingering Elevated fire weather
   conditions across eastern New Mexico. 

   The next longwave trough will begin to progress out of the western
   US on D4/Thursday, with a surface low developing across the
   Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles into western Kansas. As this occurs,
   southerly flow will increase with moisture advection into the
   western portion of the Southern Plains and into the Mississippi and
   Missouri River Valleys. Guidance has continued to differ on exactly
   how far into the Plains this moisture reaches, but the trend
   continues to be for more widespread wetting rainfall D4/Thursday,
   which may aid in improving status of fuels and mitigating any
   widespread fire weather concerns. As it stands, guidance suggests a
   gradient in precipitation amounts extending from central
   Oklahoma/north-central Texas, with the heaviest amounts eastward. It
   is possible that portions of western Texas remain drier with less
   meaningful precipitation.

   There is some indication that on D5/Friday, strong and dry post
   frontal northwesterly flow will overspread the Plains behind the
   departing low. This may lead to some overlap of windy/dry conditions
   across portions of western and north-central Texas. Confidence is
   low in including any areas at this time with potential precipitation
   unknown on D4/Thursday. Should precipitation totals be light across
   portions of western Texas, an area may need to be included in
   upcoming outlook updates.

   ..Thornton.. 01/05/2026