U.S. Alerts
El Dorado Weather Logo
U.S. & Canada 12-UTC 48 Hour Surface Smoke Forecast
Map is in operation from early April through October 31
Imagery from Canada Weather

U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070656

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CDT Thu Aug 07 2025

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO
   THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...

   ...Synopsis...
   Within the base of a robust midlevel trough moving across the
   northern Rockies, a belt of enhanced deep-layer west-southwesterly
   flow will overspread the Great Basin into the central Rockies -- to
   the north of an expansive midlevel anticyclone centered over the
   southern Rockies.

   ...Great Basin into the Central Rockies...
   Diurnal heating will yield deep boundary-layer mixing into the
   enhanced flow aloft across the Great Basin into the central Rockies.
   As a result, widespread single-digit to lower teens RH will develop
   amid 20-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds. Given
   increasingly dry/receptive fuels, another day of critical
   fire-weather conditions are expected. 

   ...Dry Thunderstorms - Southwest into the Central Rockies...
   Within a plume of midlevel moisture extending from the Southwest
   into the central Rockies, diurnally driven high-based thunderstorms
   are expected -- with a focus over the higher terrain. These storms
   will be mostly dry, owing to inverted-V soundings (0.50 to 0.70 inch
   PW) -- posing a risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong
   outflow winds.

   ..Weinman.. 08/07/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070656

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CDT Thu Aug 07 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO
   THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...

   ...Synopsis...
   Moderate-strong midlevel westerly flow will be in place across the
   Great Basin into the central Rockies -- between a robust midlevel
   trough over the northern Rockies/High Plains and midlevel
   anticyclone over the southern Rockies/High Plains. 

   ...Great Basin into the Central Rockies...
   Similar to Day 1/Thursday, a diurnally deepening boundary layer will
   extend well into the moderate-strong westerly flow aloft. This will
   promote an expansive overlap of single-digit to lower teens RH and
   20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds (with higher gusts).
   These hot, dry, and windy conditions atop receptive fuels will lead
   to another day of critical fire-weather conditions. 

   ...Dry Thunderstorms - Southwest into the central Rockies...
   Diurnal heating/mixing beneath an established midlevel moisture
   plume from the Southwest into the central Rockies will favor another
   day of isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms during
   the afternoon. Associated inverted-V soundings and 0.50 to 0.75 inch
   PW will support mostly dry storms, capable of producing
   lightning-induced ignitions over dry fuels and gusty/erratic outflow
   winds.

   ..Weinman.. 08/07/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062037

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0337 PM CDT Wed Aug 06 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   A mid-level trough will gradually traverse the Interior West through
   the remainder of this week, ejecting into the Plains by this
   weekend. Thereafter, upper ridging will prevail west of the Rockies
   through most of next week. The passage of the mid-level trough on
   Day 3 (Friday) will encourage 20+ mph sustained southwesterly
   surface winds to overlap with 10-20 percent RH on a widespread basis
   across portions of the Great Basin into the Rockies. Given receptive
   fuels, up to 70 percent Critical probabilities have been introduced,
   particularly for areas expected to experience dry/windy conditions
   for several hours Friday afternoon. Across the Four Corners into the
   Southwest, enough mid-level moisture will linger each day through
   Sunday to support thunderstorm initiation given adequate mid-level
   buoyancy and orographic lift. These storms will develop atop a dry
   boundary layer, which should encourage at least a few dry strikes
   amid dry fuel beds, warranting 10 percent dry thunderstorm
   probabilities into the weekend.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/06/2025
      




Contact Us Contact Us Thumbnail | Mobile Mobile Phone Thumbnail
Private Policy | Terms & Conds | Consent Preferences | Cookie Policy
Never base any life decisions on weather information from this site or anywhere over the Internet.
Site is dedicated to our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ | Random Quotes of Jesus

Copyright © 2025 El Dorado Weather, Inc. | Site Designed By:  Webmaster Danny