Parkersburg, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

813
FXUS61 KRLX 050606
AFDRLX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
206 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated 06Z Aviation Discussion.

No change to previous forecast thinking.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Showers and storms, today into early next week. Not as hot
today.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Messy pattern continues across the area as ridge continues to break
down, with approach of a mid level wave, and surface low/cold front.
Showers and storms will continue to affect the area, particularly
during the afternoon and evening hours into early next week. Some
storms today could be strong to severe with plenty of instability in
place, but, threats for downburst potential have decreased, and SPC
has placed the area in a marginal risk. There will be a continued
threat for flash flooding with anomalously high PW air continuing to
remain in place, and overall light steering flow, and isolated flash
flooding will be a possibility in spots, particularly where
repetitive storms hit.

With the expected cloud cover and convection today, have elected not
to issue heat headlines, although warm and muggy conditions will
persist.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Bulk of shower and storm activity has decreased across the area
this evening, however, a cluster of storms to the south may
affect KBKW through 08Z, with brief IFR conditions.

Otherwise, most sites will start out VFR this evening, however,
after 08Z, expecting widespread MVFR and IFR fog, with
areas/local LIFR/VLIFR conditions in fog to develop and linger
through 12-13Z.

After 15-18Z, expect an increase in showers and storms again,
with brief IFR conditions expected in vicinity of storms.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog tonight may be denser and more
widespread than currently forecast. Timing and development of
storms Sunday may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                              SUN 07/05/26
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    L    L    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    L    L    M    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    L    H    M    L    L    M    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    L    L    L    M    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 06Z MONDAY...
IFR conditions associated with thunderstorms remains possible
early in the week due to localized reductions to CIGs/VSBYs.
Areas of fog or low stratus possible Monday and Tuesday
mornings.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SL
AVIATION...SL