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Tuckahoe, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Tuckahoe VA
National Weather Service Forecast for: Tuckahoe VA
Issued by: National Weather Service Wakefield, VA
Updated: 2:08 am EDT Jul 10, 2026
 
Today

Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light west wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Partly Sunny
then Showers
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light northeast wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely

Sunday

Sunday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Mostly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 86.
Partly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Partly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 90.
Sunny

Hi 92 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 82 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 90 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light west wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Monday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 86.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Thursday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Tuckahoe VA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
165
FXUS61 KAKQ 100701
AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
continues this afternoon and evening with scattered
showers/storms Saturday.

2) Slightly below normal temperatures are likely Sunday into early
next week before warmer temperatures potentially returns.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 300 AM EDT Friday...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
continues this afternoon and evening with scattered
showers/storms Saturday.

Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are possible again
today as a weak shortwave moves through the area ahead of a cold
front. The latest guidance shows isolated showers/storms that have a
marginal chance of becoming strong to severe. High temperatures will
similar to yesterday (in the lower to mid 90s), but the dew points
will be lower today in the upper 60s to lower 70s, which will cause
less instability (~500 J/kg MLCAPE). Additionally, wind shear is
limited. Isolated storms may still become severe with the main
threat of damaging winds and frequent lightning. SPC maintains
central VA and the Eastern Shore in a Marginal RIsk (level 1 of 5)
of severe storms today. With the lower dew points today, heat
indices will be lower in the 90s across most of the area and near
100F along the coast.

Saturday, the forcing looks to be better as a cold front pushes
through the area. The stronger forcing may provide a higher coverage
of storms than today, with scattered storms moving from the NW to SE
expected. Instability and shear looks slightly more favorable
Saturday. Damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rainfall from a
saturated atmospheric profile and ~2.00" PWAT are the primary
concern with any storm. SPC maintains the entire FA in a Marginal
Risk (level 1 of 5) of severe storms Saturday. Temperatures Saturday
will be near normal in the upper 80s to lower 90s with similar
apparent temperatures.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Slightly below normal temperatures are likely Sunday into early
next week before warmer temperatures potentially returns.

High pressure moves into the Mid-Atlantic, pushing southwards, late
weekend into early next week bringing drier and slightly cooler
conditions. The aforementioned cold front will keep temperatures
slightly below average in the lower to mid 80s on Sunday and mid to
upper 80s on Monday and Tuesday. Dew points will drop into the 60s
from a drier airmass, and combined with the "cooler" temperatures,
these days will feel quite pleasant. Later in the week, upper level
ridging will push eastward over the Eastern CONUS, potentially
allowing temperature to rebound to the 90s. Rain chances are quite
low with the drier airmass through most of the week.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 120 AM EDT Friday...

VFR conditions prevail for the 06z/10 TAFs. All convection has moved
offshore and FEW/SCT high clouds will continue through the night.
Winds will be light (~5kt) and variable overnight, becoming W or
W/SW around 5-10 kt Friday morning. Very low chance for a few
showers and storms to impact the Piedmont on Friday and potentially
into RIC and SBY but confidence is too low to mention in the
forecast at this time.

Outlook: Low chance of showers and storms Friday night with a higher
chance of more scattered showers and storms Saturday. Any shower or
storm could be degraded flight conditions. Trending drier and VFR
Sunday and Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 240 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages...

- Benign marine conditions prevail through Saturday. W-SW winds
  turn SSE this afternoon, before veering back offshore tonight
  and Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front.

- That front drops across the waters Saturday afternoon, with
  increasing chances for showers and storms once again.

- Behind the front, elevated onshore flow develops Sunday into
  Monday, with Small Craft Advisory conditions possible.

Latest surface analysis reveals a weak surface trough draped across
the southern waters and Currituck Sound early this morning. SSW
winds ~10 kt on either side of this boundary as of this writing,
with W winds 10 kt over the northern and central waters. This
same general pattern holds this morning, until the afternoon
seabreeze turns light winds to the S/SSE ~5-10 kt, becoming SW
once again late tonight/overnight. An approaching cold front
drops across the local waters Saturday afternoon, likely
bringing another round of showers and storms. Winds to become
NNW post- frontal Saturday night and Sunday.

Outlook: High pressure builds in from the north behind the
front Sunday into early next week. As this happens, the
pressure gradient between the high to the north and a weak
surface low developing along the front to the south should allow
for a prolonged period of elevated onshore (E-NE) flow from
Sunday afternoon through Monday evening, with gusts up to 25 kt
possible. The resulting E-NE wind wave should also allow seas
to build, approaching to 4-5 ft during this same Sunday evening
into early Monday period, 3-4 ft into the mouth of the Bay.
Accordingly, a brief period of SCA- level winds and waves/seas
is possible late Sunday into Monday, before winds diminish later
Monday and Mon night, as high pressure finally builds south
over the local waters.

Rip Currents: A LOW risk for rip currents through Saturday, with
onshore flow building rip current risk to MODERATE for Sunday.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KMC
AVIATION...KMC/RHR
MARINE...MAM
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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