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El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
National Weather Service Forecast for: 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX
Updated: 5:17 pm MDT Jun 17, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon.
Hot

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 79. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Mostly Clear

Juneteenth

Juneteenth: Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. East southeast wind 9 to 13 mph.
Hot

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 81. East southeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Mostly Clear

Friday

Friday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Hot

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 81. South southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly Clear

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 100. South southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. South southwest wind 8 to 10 mph.
Chance
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Lo 78 °F Hi 102 °F Lo 79 °F Hi 102 °F Lo 81 °F Hi 101 °F Lo 81 °F Hi 100 °F Lo 78 °F

Heat Advisory
 

Tonight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming east southeast in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 79. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Juneteenth
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. East southeast wind 9 to 13 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 81. East southeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Friday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 81. South southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 100. South southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. South southwest wind 8 to 10 mph.
Sunday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
Sunday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.
Monday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX.

Weather Forecast Discussion
044
FXUS64 KEPZ 172332
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
532 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 -  Temperatures will finally begin to retreat on Tuesday, though
    only by a few degrees. Heat Advisories remain in effect for El
    Paso and the Lower Valley Tuesday, then retreating to just the
    Lower Valley on Wednesday. A potential Heat Advisory may be
    issued for portions of El Paso and Hudspeth counties due to
    high temperatures nearing 105 degrees.

 -  Dry conditions will prevail this week. Rain chances will begin
    to increase during the weekend and into next week as an early
    monsoon moisture plume tries to set up. Areas near and east
    of the Rio Grande appear to be most favored.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1216 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Upper level high pressure stays centered to our west, more
specifically over Baja California, which will then migrate over
the Borderland by Thursday. High temperatures decrease just a
handful of degrees tomorrow due to a backdoor front that pushes in
overnight tonight.

Tomorrow conditions will stay relatively the same. Much of the
Lowlands will see temperatures in the triple digits with dry and
calm conditions. Expect wind gusts between 10 and 15 mph later in
the afternoon.

On Thursday the high pressure system to our west will become more
established over the borderlands increasing temperatures across
the Lowlands. A possible Heat advisory may be issued for El Paso
and Hudspeth counties with temperatures approaching 105 degrees
in the Rio Grande Valley and El Paso Metro. Mostly dry conditions
across the CWA except for possible pop up showers in the
Sacramento Mts. Going into late Thursday to early Friday morning,
the high pressure system will continue to move out of New Mexico
and into the Great Plains Region.

For the rest of the week conditions will remain hot and dry across
the CWA. Breezy conditions are expected on Friday and Saturday,
especially in the afternoon.

On Sunday a low pressure system will begin to form over the
Pacific Northwest, funneling in moisture from the Gulf of
California. The high pressure that was over the CWA earlier the
week before will establish itself over the midwest, drawing in
moisture from the Gulf of America. New Mexico will be caught in
an area of convergence caused by the two pressure systems
elevating the chance for showers in the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Combination of smoke from wildfires and blowing dust along
International Border creating very hazy skies at local terminals
this evening. Visibility remains VFR at the surface, but may fall
to 5SM at KDMN/KLRU next few hours. Surface winds are out of
the west with peak gusts to 40 mph today.

Winds remaining breezy overnight generally 270-300 at 15 to 20
knots with gusts to 30 knots. Skies clear with smoke/dust
obstructions. FROPA reaching local terminals around 12Z Wednesday
morning, shifting surface winds to the NW 020-050 at 8 to 12
knots. Dry conditions again tomorrow with a prevailing ENE flow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1216 PM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025

High pressure will continue to influence the area bringing warm
and very dry air leading to near critical thresholds. Min RHs stay
at critical thresholds or just above across the lowlands through
Saturday. During this time frame, expect surface winds to stay
10-15 mph each afternoon. A cool front will push in late
tonight/tomorrow morning bringing some moisture in behind it. The
front does not make it past the Sacramento Mtns, but max RH values
in the Sacramento Mtns will be around 40-50%, but better overnight
recoveries expected tomorrow morning where the Rio Grande and east
will see max RHs of 40-80%. Continued dry and warm conditions
through Saturday before rain chances are on the increase Sunday
and Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  77 104  78 105 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            69  98  67  96 /   0   0   0  10
Las Cruces               69 101  70 101 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               66 101  67  99 /   0  10   0  10
Cloudcroft               51  77  51  76 /   0  10   0  10
Truth or Consequences    71 100  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              63  95  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   66 103  69 104 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                64 101  67 103 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       76 101  78 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                68  99  69  99 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             71 105  73 104 /   0   0   0  10
Loma Linda               70  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   72 103  75 103 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             71 100  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           76 101  76 101 /   0   0   0  10
Jornada Range            65 101  69 101 /   0   0   0  10
Hatch                    66 103  68 103 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 73 103  73 103 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                68  98  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  55  85  55  86 /   0  10   0  10
Mescalero                54  88  56  88 /   0  10   0  10
Timberon                 54  85  54  85 /   0  10   0  10
Winston                  56  92  57  92 /   0   0   0  10
Hillsboro                66  99  66  99 /   0   0   0  10
Spaceport                64 100  67 100 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             56  97  60  96 /   0   0   0  10
Hurley                   62  98  65  99 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    60 102  64 103 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               60  97  63  98 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  65  97  67  97 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   65 101  65 103 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  64 100  66 102 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           66 100  67 103 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               66  95  69  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT Wednesday for Rio Grande Valley of
     Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley
     of Eastern Hudspeth County.

     Heat Advisory until midnight MDT tonight for Eastern/Central El
     Paso County-Salt Basin-Western El Paso County.

NM...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for South Central
     Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- Southwest
     Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- Southwest
     Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ.

&&

$$

FORECASTER...30-Dennhardt
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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