Denton, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

099
FXUS64 KFWD 112343
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
643 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

...New Aviation, Short Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Sunny, warm, and rain-free weather will prevail through the
  weekend into early next week

- Gusty winds and low humidity will lead to elevated fire danger
  west of I-35 on Sunday

- Low thunderstorm chances return over the latter half of next
  week

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:
No changes were made to the previous forecast. A mild night is
anticipated tonight with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Low
level moisture will begin spreading back into North and Central
Texas late tonight and on Saturday with dewpoints rising back into
the 40s/50s, with a weak dryline setting up across the Big
Country. However, no precip is anticipated with continued sunny,
warm and dry conditions, and highs on Saturday will warm into the
upper 70s to low 80s east and mid 80s to low 90s west.


Shamburger

Previous Discussion:
/Today and Tomorrow/

Yesterday`s cold front has resulted in rather pleasant weather
across North and Central Texas this afternoon. High temperatures
are still 5-10 degrees above normal, in the low 80s for most, but
nice enough to enjoy the evening outdoors. A high pressure ridge
is moving across the I-35 corridor this afternoon and will build
over the Eastern CONUS this weekend. Return flow will set up
tonight and remain in place for the next few days. Humid air is
displaced well into the central Gulf, so it will take some time
for it to get brought this far north. As a result, tomorrow will
be warm, dry and breezy. Areas across West Texas and the Big
Country will be exceptionally warm for this time of the year with
highs peaking about 15 degrees above normal--in the low 90s.

Bonnette

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 223 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025/
/Sunday Onward/

A blocking ridge will develop across the Western CONUS this
weekend and early next week. This will keep North and Central
Texas` weather quiet for most of the Long Term forecast period.

The most notable item to track is the increasing potential for our
first 100 degree day in the forecast area for 2025. Our current
forecast call for areas west of the Metroplex to peak in the upper
90s, just shy of 100 degrees. Most locations near and west of
US-287 and north of I-20 have a 40-60% chance of meeting or
exceeding 100 degrees Sunday afternoon. It will also be dry and
breezy, resulting in an elevated threat of grass fires across the
western parts of our forecast area Sunday.

A shortwave trough Sunday night/Monday will start to break down
the ridge and allow a cold front to move through early next week,
bringing temperatures down to a more rational value Monday and
Tuesday. Since the initial shortwave trough will only weaken the
ridge, its influence will remain in effect for most of next week.

Low rain and storm chances return to parts of North Texas late
Wednesday and continue sporadically through the end of the week.
Since it is spring in North Texas, we`ll have a cap in place and
if storms are able to poke through, they will have severe
potential. If not, expect only showers or no precip at all. It`s
far too soon to know if the cap will hold or break or to get into
specifics regarding convective mode and hazards, but is something
worth monitoring as we head into the early parts of next week.

Bonnette

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR conditions will continue this TAF period at all airports. SKC
is anticipated for the majority of the time although a few clouds
around 10k ft are possible on Sunday. Light north to northeast
winds early this evening will veer to southeast by late evening
into the overnight hours, then become southerly on Sunday with
gusts to 25 knots.

Shamburger

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    55  83  62  90  65 /   5   0   0   0   0
Waco                53  85  61  90  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               48  76  58  84  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              50  82  59  91  62 /   5   0   0   0   0
McKinney            50  79  60  86  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              55  83  62  90  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             50  79  59  85  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           53  82  60  88  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              53  86  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       52  89  61  97  63 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$