Denton, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

565
FXUS64 KFWD 211846
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1246 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New Long Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Pleasant weather will remain in place through the end of the
  work week.

- Above normal temperatures return this weekend with dry weather
  expected.

- Low rain chances return next Wednesday, but it`s too soon to
  know specific details about Thanksgiving Day itself.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1145 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024/
/Through Friday/

Pleasant and quiet weather will prevail as we close out another
work week, with a weak front expected to slide through the region
this afternoon. Given the lack of moisture, frontal passage will
remain rain-free and will go mostly unnoticed other than the
return of light north winds. High temperatures this afternoon will
peak in the mid 60s to low 70s.

Clear skies and light winds overnight will result in another
night of efficient radiational cooling. While a few isolated, low-
lying spots dipped near or slightly below freezing last night,
slightly higher dew points will make freezing temperatures rather
difficult to achieve tonight. Most locations will fall into the
mid to upper 30s, though perhaps some areas (particularly those
in river valleys) may drop to near or slightly below freezing.
Friday`s weather will be quite similar to today with sunny skies
and highs in the mid 60s to low 70s for most locations. The main
exception will be portions of North Texas where high temperatures
will likely remain in the low 60s.

Barnes

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
Update:

Little changes have been made to the long term forecast after
updating it with the latest data. This weekend will be warm and
breezy ahead of Monday`s cold front. A low pressure system and its
attendant cold front will move across the region Wednesday or
Thursday and bring low rain chances to the eastern half of our
area. It`s more likely than not (60% chance) that the cold front
will move through Wednesday night with Thanksgiving Day being cool
and breezy with increasing sunshine late in the day. If the front
does not move through (40%), Thanksgiving Day will be mild and
cloudy. Both solutions do keep a majority of the precipitation
north and east of our forecast area.

Bonnette

Previous Discussion:
/Friday Night Through Mid Next Week/

After a few days of below to near seasonal temperatures, a
warming trend will take place over the weekend. Daytime highs
will easily reach the upper 70s to low 80s by Sunday. Dry weather
will also continue, but another system is forecast to arrive
early next week. Not only this will this bring cooler weather,
but also bring low rain chances for portions of the region during
the mid-late week period.

The forecast for the weekend remains on track with a weakening
ridge/zonal flow aloft and a surface high pressure to our east.
Southerly winds will become established Friday night into
Saturday, with breezy conditions on Sunday. With that in mind, it
will be a good idea to secure any outdoor decorations given the
wind gusts could reach 25-30 mph during the day.

The next cold front is expected to arrive on Monday, bringing us
back to more seasonal temperatures. Daytime highs on Tuesday are
forecast to stay in the 60s across North TX and upper 60s to low
70s in Central TX. This front will be dry, but rain chances are
still looking to return on Wednesday for some of our eastern
counties. A little over half of the guidance is showing a large
scale trough over the central U.S during the mid-late week period
along with a another strong cold front moving south. While this
could represent cooler weather on Thanksgiving Day, uncertainty
remains high on the potential for rain in some locations. The
good news is that this scenario also keeps the most widespread
activity to our east. Keep checking back for updates!

Sanchez

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1145 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2024/
/18Z TAFs/

VFR will continue through the period. Winds are currently out of
the west but will shift out of the northwest around mid afternoon
behind a weak cold front, and eventually out of the north early
this evening. Wind speeds will remain below 10 knots through the
afternoon, with light winds (< 5kt) expected overnight through
Friday. Light SE winds will return late Friday afternoon.

Barnes

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    39  64  45  72  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                38  68  40  74  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               36  61  37  68  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              37  64  40  72  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            38  63  40  71  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              39  65  44  72  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             37  64  40  71  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           40  66  42  73  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              40  71  41  76  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       36  67  40  76  54 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$