Corpus Christi, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

672
FXUS64 KCRP 121747
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1247 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1225 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

- Isolated showers/storms possible daily through Thursday,
  potential increase in coverage Friday/Saturday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

Deep moisture has decreased a bit across the area today with
satellite derived values ranging from around 1.45" to 1.65" along
the coast. This has helped to limit any convection thus far today,
despite a weak shortwave rotating by. Still can`t rule out an
isolated sea breeze shower this afternoon, but not expecting much
activity with the below normal moisture.

An interesting scenario tonight as global models suggest a lobe
of moisture pushes south through Central Texas associated with a
mid-level shortwave, approaching our area overnight. Meso models
seem less gung-ho on this with only scattered activity, and having
it wane with the loss of heating. Think the most likely scenario
is that all convection remains north of the area, but models as a
whole have missed things like this a few times this summer, so do
not want to completely write off this option. Will maintain very
low (<10) pops at this time, but will have to keep a close eye on
it through the evening to see if updates will be needed.

Expect a fairly quiet Wednesday/Thursday with no notable triggers
for anything more than just a few sea breeze showers and storms.
By late in the week though we`ll be watching moisture associated
with a tropical wave in the western Gulf. This could bring an
increase in rain chances for mainly Friday/Saturday. At this time
have a low to medium chance (30-40%) for the eastern part of the
area.

Temperatures remain persistent through Thursday with above normal
temperatures. Friday/Saturday should see a drop off of a couple
degrees as the deeper moisture pushes into the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

VFR conditions persist through the period. Convection today has
been generally null, but can`t rule out an isolated shower/storm
with the sea breeze this afternoon. Have removed the mention from
CRP/ALI as moisture is lower here and should keep chances too low
to warrant a TAF mention. Left it in for VCT though closer to a
mid-level short wave and the better moisture. Still think coverage
will be limited, but there`s some potential.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

A light to gentle (BF 2-3) southeasterly breeze with 1-2 ft seas
will persist through Wednesday. By Wednesday night, winds will pick
up to mostly moderate (BF 4) strength, with seas increasing to
2-3 ft persisting through the remainder of the week. Low rain
chances (20-40%) will persist heading into the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    77  97  77  97 /  10  10   0  10
Victoria          75  98  76  98 /  10  30  10  20
Laredo            79 105  79 105 /  10  10  10  10
Alice             74 101  75 101 /  10  20   0  10
Rockport          80  93  81  93 /  10  20   0  10
Cotulla           78 103  79 104 /  10  10  10  10
Kingsville        74  98  76  98 /  10  10   0  10
Navy Corpus       81  91  82  92 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...PH/83