Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

500
FXUS64 KAMA 300539
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1239 AM CDT Fri May 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 215 PM CDT Thu May 29 2025

- Showers and thunderstorms will be possible this evening and
through tonight

- Multiple days of thunderstorms will be possible next week, with
some days of strong to severe thunderstorms possible

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Thu May 29 2025

Clouds are gradually clearing across the Panhandles this afternoon
with temperatures still widespread in the upper-50s to 60s. Visible
satellite imagery shows a shortwave trough moving toward the
Colorado Rockies, traversing southeastward this afternoon. The
shortwave trough will approach the Panhandles early this evening and
elevated showers and thunderstorms are expected to move through the
Panhandles tonight. Although not much rain is expected, some
locations may receive up to 0.2", with around a 10-30% chance to see
more than that.

The Panhandles will be on the backside of the shortwave trough on
Friday leading to clearing skies and temperatures will warm into the
70s. Chances for precipitation look to be around 10%, focused on the
far southern TX Panhandle.

Vanden Bosch

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Thu May 29 2025

Temperatures will warm into the 80s on Saturday as a ridge tries to
build into the area as a broad upper-level trough stays in place
over the Northeast/Great Lakes. A shortwave trough embedded in the
northwest flow aloft will travel through the Plains and bring the
potential for showers and thunderstorms Saturday night and into
Sunday morning. With that said, there are some disagreements
regarding the track of the shortwave trough such that the activity
could stay well off to the east of the Panhandles. NBM has less than
10% PoPs in for now which seems reasonable at this point, but may
need to increase PoPs if confidence increases in the track of the
shortwave being further west.

A ridge builds on Sunday ahead of an upper-level trough that tracks
northeast in from Baja California. Expecting around 10 mph south-
southeast winds with highs in the mid-80s to around 90 degrees and
dry conditions.

Will have to watch Monday for the potential for thunderstorms to
develop along a weak dryline set up over the central Panhandles, and
some of which may become strong to severe. At this point, the
dryline is favored to set up somewhere in the central Panhandles.

A cold front is expected to move in from the north on Tuesday which
will help push moisture out of the Panhandles. The NBM has the cold
front moving in later in the day which would result in widespread
80s to low-90s, but we will have to monitor this in case the cold
front trends quicker. This would cause temperatures to be quite a
bit cooler than what is currently in the forecast.

Another shortwave trough will move in on Wednesday and Thursday,
possibly causing showers and thunderstorms if sufficient moisture
can return. However, confidence at this range is too low to say much
more.

Vanden Bosch

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri May 30 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period at all
TAF sites. Some VCSH for KAMA through 09-10Z, but conditions
should remain at VFR levels. Winds will be out of the south and
southwest at 5-15 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                78  58  86  59 /  20   0  10  10
Beaver OK                  78  54  88  56 /   0   0   0  10
Boise City OK              82  53  84  53 /  10   0  10  10
Borger TX                  82  58  89  60 /  20   0  10  10
Boys Ranch TX              81  57  87  58 /  10   0  10  10
Canyon TX                  78  56  86  57 /  10   0  10  10
Clarendon TX               76  58  86  60 /  20   0  10  10
Dalhart TX                 80  52  84  54 /  10   0  10  10
Guymon OK                  81  53  87  55 /   0   0   0  10
Hereford TX                79  57  87  57 /  10  10  10  10
Lipscomb TX                77  56  87  59 /   0   0  10  10
Pampa TX                   78  58  86  60 /  20   0  10  10
Shamrock TX                77  57  86  59 /  10   0  10  10
Wellington TX              77  58  87  61 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...29