Nashville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

408
FXUS64 KOHX 061122
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
622 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 122 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Early this morning, temperatures are in the lower to mid 60s.
Dewpoint spreads are just a degree or two along the Plateau where
some light fog is being reported. Spreads are similar elsewhere but
vsbys are generally 6sm or greater. Patchy and areas of fog will
continue to increase in coverage through sunrise.

Looks like one more rather warm day coming up. Weak west to east
upper level ridging is established in the pre frontal sector across
our area. We are still expecting a dry cold front to move through
this evening. Other than a few added clouds not expecting any precip
other than a very brief reflectivity return which should not amount
to much if anything. Pops will be kept at 10% or less. Monday and
Tuesday, the new airmass will settle in and it will provide dry and
cooler weather.

Way on down to our south across the southern Gulf of Mexico, a
tropical system is currently developing. Nomenclature has been
established and is now technically referenced as Tropical Storm
"Milton". As we move through the week ahead, Milton is expected
to become a Hurricane and track toward the FL peninsula. The
northern extent of any moisture will only reach the far southern
reaches of the deep south. Thus, he`s a non-player for TN.

For the near term temps, again, a rather warm day ahead with highs
near 90F for many areas west of the Plateau. Following this, a
noticeable cool down with lower humidity can be expected. Highs
Monday and Tuesday will be in the mid 70s with dewpoints in the
40s. So, rather low humidity to go along with the sunny weather.
Northerly winds of 10 mph or so will also prevail during the
afternoons. Overnight lows by Tuesday morning will be in the 45
to 50 degree range for much of the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 122 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

In the extended forecast, the region of surface high pressure will
stay just off to our north through the period. Slow height rises are
indicated in the mid and upper levels. This equates to a
continuation of dry and seasonal weather with a slow warming trend
indicated for late in the week. High temps will be in the mid 70s
initially, warming to 75F to 80F by the weekend. Lows look like
mostly 45F to 50F, with perhaps a few lower 40s readings along the
Plateau at times.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Fog continues to impact terminals this morning, with LIFR fog at
KCKV and KSRB and MVFR fog at KCSV and KMQY. Fog should dissipate
after 13Z and bring VFR conditions for the remainder of the TAF
period. Westerly winds will be around 5 to 10 knots during the day
today, becoming northwesterly after 00Z and northerly around 06Z
as a cold front moves through the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      90  56  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    89  51  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     83  51  71  44 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       88  56  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     83  53  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      83  52  69  44 /   0  10   0   0
Lawrenceburg   87  56  74  48 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   88  56  75  48 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        88  57  75  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION.....Barnwell