Murfreesboro, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

449
FXUS64 KOHX 201711
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1211 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1206 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

- A Heat Advisory is in effect today through 8 PM, as well as for Monday
  through 8 PM. Heat Indices up to 110 degrees will be possible
  each afternoon.

- Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will continue through the week,
  with localized flooding, frequent lightning, and gusty winds
  possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1108 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

Currently got some low clouds on satellite this morning, with some
higher cirrus moving in from the northwest. Some showers are present
on radar as well, but are more isolated across middle and eastern
Tennessee. Today will be another hot one, with temperatures in the
low to mid 90s in areas west of the Cumberland Plateau, and mid 80s
to low 90s on the plateau itself. Given this and the moist air mass,
heat indices could reach up to 110 degrees in the afternoon. A Heat
Advisory is in effect for counties west of the Cumberland Plateau
through 8 PM this evening, and then again for Monday through 8 PM as
well. Not thinking an extreme heat warning will be needed for Monday
at this time, as heat indices that would meet that criteria look to
be more isolated right now in the guidance. We will continue to
monitor the need for that as we go through the day, however.

Rain chances today will be lower than what we have seen the past
week or so, but they will still be there. Expect diurnal showers and
thunderstorms in middle Tennessee this afternoon, and Monday
afternoon as well. Some of these could be stronger (not expecting
any severe right now), but the main threats from stronger storms
would be localized flooding from high rainfall rates, frequent
lightning, and possibly some gusty winds. For most though, these
will be run of the mill summertime thunderstorms. Some guidance is
showing a signal for morning convection Monday morning, so some
showers could be around as you head out the door for work. Looks
like a low chance at this time (~20%) but still worth it to pack the
umbrella considering the rain chances in the afternoon as well.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1108 AM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

An upper level ridge will stick around through the work week, and we
will be planted firmly under it starting on Wednesday. This will
work to decrease our rain chances at least for a few days, before
the ridge flattens into the weekend. Unfortunately, this also means
heat indices in the triple digits will be sticking around as well.
Heat Risk looks to start turning purple mid-week because of the
ridge`s influence, meaning heat illness will be more likely. Use
caution if you work outside and take plenty of breaks in the shade
or the A/C.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will develop through
the afternoon, however, coverage should be isolated and generally
favoring areas near the Plateau. Thus, only continued the SHRA in
the CSV and SRB TAFs with probability too low to include at other
terminals. Storm coverage should taper off around 00Z-02Z. Low
clouds and patchy fog will develop after 06Z with MVFR to IFR impacts
possible at CSV and SRB into early Monday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      78  97  76  96 /  10  40  50  30
Clarksville    77  95  76  93 /  10  30  40  20
Crossville     70  89  69  89 /  20  60  50  50
Columbia       75  96  74  95 /  10  30  40  30
Cookeville     72  91  71  90 /  20  50  60  40
Jamestown      71  89  69  88 /  20  60  60  40
Lawrenceburg   73  94  72  93 /  10  40  30  40
Murfreesboro   75  96  73  95 /  10  40  50  40
Waverly        75  95  74  94 /   0  30  20  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TNZ005>009-023>029-
056>062-075-093>095.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Monday for TNZ005>009-
023>030-056>063-075-077-093>095.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Clements