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Johnson City, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ENE Mountain Home TN
National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles ENE Mountain Home TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Morristown, TN
Updated: 7:28 pm EDT Apr 15, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunny

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Areas of frost after 5am.  Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear
then Areas
Frost
Thursday

Thursday: Areas of frost before 8am.  Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Areas Frost
then Mostly
Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph after midnight.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Slight Chance
Showers
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Slight Chance
Showers
Lo 40 °F Hi 61 °F Lo 36 °F Hi 69 °F Lo 47 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 56 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 60 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Areas of frost after 5am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
 
Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph after midnight.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Saturday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82.
Sunday Night
 
A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Monday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Monday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Tuesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles ENE Mountain Home TN.

Weather Forecast Discussion
475
FXUS64 KMRX 160135 AAA
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
935 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 932 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

No changes are needed to the forecast this evening. With sunset
and building high pressure, winds have dropped off in the last few
hours, and that trend will continue overnight. The lighter winds
tomorrow will be good news for fire weather interests, although
afternoon RH values will drop quite low again, in the 20-30%
range.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

Key Messages:

1. Breezy conditions the rest of the day today.

2. Gusty winds and low relative humidity values will lead to
dangerous fire weather conditions for areas that did not receive
rainfall overnight.

.SHORT TERM...

Currently very gusty winds across the southern Appalachian region as
deep mixing of the atmosphere is occurring under the clear and sunny
skies. This is allowing the strong winds of the mid/low level jets
to mix down to the surface. Sustained winds are hovering in the 10-
20 mph range, but gusts are causing winds to jump up an extra 10-20
mph above that. These strong winds, generally out of the west to
northwest are also brining in lower dew point values and in response
the relative humidity across the region this afternoon have really
dropped quickly. Many locations north of Interstate 40 received at
least some rainfall overnight, but areas to the south of Interstate
40 remained mostly dry. With the combination of low relative
humidities, gusty winds, and lack of rainfall we`ve issued a Fire
Danger Statement for southeast Tennessee and far southwest North
Carolina until 00z when the jet exits the region and the strongest
winds begin to decouple.

Overnight winds should calm down in all areas except for the highest
elevations of the Southern Appalachians which could still see some
elevated gusts as the jet slowly exits the region. Under the clear
skies, overnight lows will drop about 10 degrees cooler than what we
experienced this morning. Sunny skies expected again tomorrow, and
winds will eventually tick back up, especially across northeast TN
and southwest VA, but not expected to be nearly as gusty as what
we`re experiencing today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

.LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Tuesday)...

Key Messages:

1. Dry late this week with low rain chances over the weekend.

2. Warming trend through the weekend as ridging sets up across the
Southeast.

3. Potential system early next week as shortwave amplifies troughing
across the Mississippi Valley, but height falls across the Southeast
U.S. are more uncertain.

Discussion:

Surface high pressure and a clear sky Wednesday night will result in
conditions favorable to patchy frost, especially in sheltered
valleys of southwest North Carolina, northeast Tennessee, and
southwest Virginia.

High pressure slides eastward with southwest flow increasing on
Thursday. Heights increase as ridging builds across the Tennessee
Valley and Southern Appalachians with mostly clear conditions and a
warming trend into the weekend.

Considerable uncertainty exists for our expected weather this
weekend, especially on Sunday. A shortwave will amplify upper
troughing across the Great Plains with a surface front located near
the Mississippi Valley. The question is how quickly, and how far
eastward, this front will move. Most guidance is indicative of this
trough flattening the ridge with the surface cold front moving
across our region sometime between Sunday afternoon and Tuesday
morning. Depending on the timing and exact placement of this front,
there will be opportunities for severe weather across the Tennessee
Valley; however, higher probabilities exist to our west, and
uncertainty is high. Precipitation probabilities remain slight
chance/chance through the weekend into early next week because of
this uncertainty. We`ll likely be dry for most of the weekend with
higher probabilities for rain directly ahead of the cold front.

If this cold front does not stall out and makes it through the area,
we`d likely see a brief cool down with additional chances of frost
across the region. However, it must be emphasized that uncertainty
is high, and it`s not certain the cold front ever makes it through
our area if ridging remains strong across the Southeast CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 726 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

VFR conditions are forecast through this period. Winds this
evening will diminish in a few hours to under 10 kt sustained.
Winds tomorrow afternoon will be lighter, but may have some gusts
around 20-25 kt at TRI.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             43  70  44  76 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  41  66  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       40  67  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              39  61  36  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DGS
AVIATION...DGS
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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