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Collierville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Collierville TN
National Weather Service Forecast for: Collierville TN
Issued by: National Weather Service Memphis, TN
Updated: 4:45 pm CDT Jun 6, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Tonight

Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Heavy Rain
then T-storms
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 7pm and 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
T-storms
Likely

Sunday

Sunday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Slight Chance
Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Partly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. West southwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
Showers
Hi 90 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 66 °F Hi 85 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Tonight
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Saturday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 7pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday
 
A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. West southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Thursday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.
Thursday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Friday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Collierville TN.

Weather Forecast Discussion
137
FXUS64 KMEG 061928
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
228 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 227 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

- An active weather pattern will continue through the weekend.
  The primary concerns will be damaging winds, large hail, and
  heavy rainfall.

- Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue into next
  week.

- Temperatures will generally remain near normal this weekend
  through next week with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in
  the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

200 PM radar imagery depicts numerous thunderstorms firing across
the Mid-South, mainly confined to areas in west Tennessee.
Additional activity will form over the next several hours,
interacting with plentiful CAPE and bulk shear on the order of 35
kts. The main missing ingredient for today`s storms are
appreciable midlevel lapse rates. SPC Mesoanalysis suggests lapse
rates will begin falling below 6.0 C/km within the next hour or
so. This will greatly limit upscale storm growth, with damaging
winds remaining the primary concern. A secondary threat of large
hail will occur with any developing storms. However, the hail
threat will quickly subside as storms encounter less than ideal
lapse rates.

A rinse and repeat forecast is anticipated for Saturday with
severe storms once again plaguing the Mid-South. Shortly after
sunrise, a complex of decaying storms will approach the
Mississippi River. This activity will struggle to maintain any
severe strength due to lingering CIN. However, environmental
parameters become more favorable in the afternoon as SBCAPE rises
above 2500 J/kg in north Mississippi. In addition, midlevel lapse
rates will improve to around 6.5 C/km with bulk shear nearing 40
kts. The latest HREF depicts vigorous redevelopment of storms over
north Mississippi Saturday afternoon. These storms will pose a
risk of damaging winds and large hail. Due to increasing
confidence in severe storm impacts Saturday afternoon, the Storm
Prediction Center has upgraded portions of north Mississippi to an
Enhanced Risk (3/5). Storms will exit the area Saturday night,
with a few lingering rumbles of thunder possible through early
Sunday morning.

Slightly cooler temperatures are anticipated on Sunday as a weak
front pushes into north Mississippi before washing out. Relief
from the heat and humidity will be short lived as southerly winds
return on Monday. This stormy pattern will continue throughout
next week as an upper level low forms over Texas and pushes into
the Mid-South. Severe chances remain low next week, but cannot
rule out a marginally severe storm or two given plentiful CAPE this
time of year.

ANS

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

KNQA radar showed an eastward-moving convectively-generated low
pressure system north of LIT. This feature will likely aid
SHRA/TSRA development this afternoon. After this feature passes
and daytime heating weakens, the lower atmosphere should stabilize.
VFR and light winds are expected for the late evening MEM inbound
push.

Next round of TSRA will arrive around 12Z Saturday. This system
should be fairly progressive, developing a potential for strong
winds at TUP later in the morning. General TSRA expected to
develop over the Midsouth Saturday afternoon as the atmosphere
remains warm and quite humid.

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...PWB
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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