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North Charleston, South Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles SSE Charleston Air Force Base SC
National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles SSE Charleston Air Force Base SC
Issued by: National Weather Service Charleston, SC
Updated: 8:31 pm EDT Jun 14, 2026
 
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 8 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 106. West wind 8 to 10 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. West wind 8 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 5am, then showers likely after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southwest wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Mostly Cloudy

Thursday

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Mostly Sunny

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 78.
Partly Cloudy

Lo 77 °F Hi 96 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 73 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 78 °F

 

Tonight
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 8 mph.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 106. West wind 8 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday
 
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. West wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 5am, then showers likely after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
 
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 78.
Juneteenth
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93.
Friday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Saturday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles SSE Charleston Air Force Base SC.

Weather Forecast Discussion
378
FXUS62 KCHS 150114
AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
914 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated the Aviation section for the 00Z TAFs. The threat for
severe weather has ended across the area, and its key message
was removed. Tide levels along the Charleston/Colleton County
coasts have fallen short of reaching minor coastal flood stage,
and the Coastal Flood Advisory was cancelled.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1) Showers and thunderstorms expected to continue into early
  next week with a persistent summertime pattern.

- 2) Minor coastal flooding possible along the Charleston and
  Colleton County coasts during the evening high tide Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Showers and thunderstorms expected to continue
into early next week with a persistent summertime pattern.

A classic early-summer pattern will remain established across
southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia through early
next week. Atlantic high pressure will remain anchored offshore
while mid- lvl ridging across the western Atlantic periodically
interacts with embedded shortwave perturbations rotating around
the ridge periphery. Low-lvl flow remains generally south to
southwest, maintaining a rich maritime tropical airmass through
next week. This pattern will yield afternoon showers and
thunderstorms each afternoon and evening.

Similar to last couple of days, forecast soundings indicate
PWAT values ranging from 1.9 to 2.3 inches through the period
(near the 90th percentile for mid-June). This combined with
surface dewpoints in the low to mid 70s should yield SBCAPE
values between 2500-3000 J/kg amid peak heating. Mid-lvl lapse
rates remain relatively modest with values ranging from 5.5-6.0
C/km, suggesting pulse-type convection will dominate through the
period. Expect the afternoon seabreeze to push inland each day
and collide with other outflow boundaries, yielding the primary
focus for convection initiation.

As we head into early to mid-week, broad mid-lvl troughing will
likely encompass the eastern half of the CONUS. At the surface, a
weak cold front will approach the region on Monday, and then push
offshore by Tuesday evening. Convection coverage will likely
increase from late morning near the coastline before expanding more
inland in the afternoons. Highest PoPs will likely occur along and
west of I-95 corridor where seabreeze interactions maximize.

This pattern should remain active into the end of the week as this
broad mid-lvl troughing continues aloft, with another cold front
moving towards the area by late week/early weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Minor coastal flooding possible along the
Charleston and Colleton County coasts during the evening high
tide Monday.

Breezy south-southwesterly winds along with the lunar Perigee
(June 14th) and New Moon (June 15th) could result in elevated
tidal departures Monday, setting the stage for possible minor
coastal flooding along the Charleston and Colleton County coasts
during the evening high tide. Coastal Flood Advisories could be
needed for the Charleston and Colleton county coastlines.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
15/00Z TAF Discussion: Overnight, conditions should remain VFR
with slightly elevated SW winds. A second round of
showers/thunderstorms could approach the terminals tonight after
midnight, but there is moderate confidence in thier decay
before reaching the terminals. No mention of impacts in the TAFs
for now.

Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR conditions expected to prevail at
CHS/JZI/SAV terminals. However, brief flight restrictions are
possible with afternoon showers and/or thunderstorms through the
middle of this week.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight through Monday, the pressure pattern will support southwest
winds between 10 to 15 kts with gusts in the lower 20s. Wave heights
are forecast to remain between 2 to 4 ft. Winds should generally
continue tonight into Monday.

Tuesday through Friday: Expect generally south-southwesterly winds
with speeds ranging from 15 to 20 kts with gusts up to 22-24 kts as
Atlantic high pressure persists across the local waters. There could
be the need for Small Craft Advisories for Thursday evening into
Friday ahead of an approaching cold front. Seas should remain below
6 feet throughout the period.

Rip Currents: A Moderate Risk of rip currents is forecast Monday
along the southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia
beaches given the combination of elevated winds and a lingering
south-southwesterly swell.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High Temperatures:

June 15
KCHS: 98/2015

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 14
KCHS: 79/2010
KCXM: 81/2010

June 15
KCHS: 80/2010

June 18
KCHS: 78/2015

June 19
KCHS: 79/2025
KCXM: 81/2025
KSAV: 79/1881

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

BRS
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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