Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

947
FXUS61 KBGM 171059
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
659 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor changes to timing and coverage with showers and
thunderstorms today and on Wednesday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be around
through tonight.

2) A frontal system will move through midweek with the next round of
showers and possible thunderstorms. The end of the week will be
dry and cooler.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A cold frontal boundary will push through the region today.
Enough lift and moisture look to be present ahead of the front
to develop scattered showers this afternoon into the evening
hours. Some slight instability is modeled as well adding the
possibility of a few thunderstorms. Very little shear is
present, so severe weather is not a concern. QPF also looks
fairly light as well. Temperatures won`t fall much with the
frontal passage with highs both today and Tuesday in the 80`s
with lows around 60. High pressure looks to nose into the region
Tuesday and keeping it dry.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

A stronger cold frontal boundary looks to push through the
region Wednesday into Thursday. Once again ingredients look to
be in place for the development of scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Timing looks to favor CNY Wednesday afternoon and
evening then NEPA on Thursday with fairly high ensemble
agreement. Drier and slightly cooler air enter the region behind
the front by Friday. Timing is still somewhat uncertain on the
next potential system for the weekend. Temperatures still near
80 for highs and overnight lows in the mid 50`s to around 60.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Widespread IFR ceiling restrictions are expected this morning.
Patchy fog and associated visby restrictions cannot be ruled out
as well, but the large majority of restrictions will be from low
ceilings/stratus. Slow improvement in restrictions is expected
by the late morning. By the mid-late afternoon, all terminals
should return to VFR. Isolated showers are also possible this
morning, but confidence was only high enough to include at KRME
and KSYR.

Fog is expected to develop late tonight/early Tuesday morning,
which will likely result in IFR-or-worse restrictions at at
least KELM, and possibly KITH and KRME as well.

Outlook...


Tuesday through Wednesday morning...Mainly VFR. Some potential
for early morning fog, mainly at KELM.

Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night...Scattered showers
and chance of thunder with associated restrictions possible.

Thursday through Friday...VFR other than typical early morning
fog, especially KELM.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/MWG
AVIATION...BJG