Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

255
FXUS61 KBGM 092151
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
551 PM EDT Sat May 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Isolated thunderstorms added to the forecast this evening.
Frost mentioned Tuesday morning where the growing season has
started.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Showers and thunderstorms weaken as they move into the region
tonight.

2) A quiet stretch of weather is expected early next week;
frost is possible Tuesday morning.


3) An active pattern looks to return mid to late next week, as
the overall weather pattern begins to trend warmer into next
weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A favorable environment for showers and thunderstorms to
develop looks to be present across WNY and WPA late this
afternoon into the evening. However, we have been firmly under a
stratus deck today due to a warm front lifting northward. As a
result, the showers and thunderstorms should weaken quickly as
they move through the Finger Lakes eastward to the I-81 corridor
due to the loss of instability. The cold front will be slow to
exit the region so a few lingering showers Sunday in NEPA are
not out of the question. Warmer temperatures tonight given the
clouds and highs Sunday should get to at least 60.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure will slowly build into the region by Tuesday.
Winds have trended lighter for the early morning hours Tuesday.
With clear skies and temperatures falling into the low and mid
30`s, the potential for frost formation is present. If the
potential increases headlines may be needed for portions of the
Finger Lakes and Wyoming Valley where the growing season has
started.


KEY MESSAGE 3...

Temperatures slowly warm up for the remainder of the week.
However, a slow moving low pressure system looks to dive into
the Ohio Valley and off the Mid-Atlantic coast. While timing
differences are present within the ensemble suites, a fairly
uniform signal exists for more showers. Highest chances look to
be Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Fast-moving wave of low pressure that has produced a broad area
of rain this morning is finally exiting to the east this
afternoon. As the rain comes to an end there could be a brief
period of drizzle while fuel-alt req/MVFR CIGS lift to VFR.
Current thinking is that cloud cover will scatter out enough to
produce some weak boundary layer instability ahead of the next
short wave expected to swing through this evening and into the
early overnight hours. Isolated thunder cannot be ruled out but
confidence remains low enough not to include in TAFs at this
time. Have converted the prevailing SHRA to TEMPO groups...
with MVFR restrictions...due to uncertainty. After the
overnight showers, a drier air mass moves in with VFR conditions
and winds shifting to the northwest.

East to southeast winds at RME and SYR...and south/sw winds
elsewhere this afternoon will all become swly with gusts up to
20 kt for a brief period of time this evening. Winds will weaken
tonight and slowly veer before becoming w/nwly after 13Z Sunday
and gusts to 20 kt after 15Z.

Outlook:

Sunday afternoon and Sunday Night...A few scattered showers and
intermittent minor restrictions.

Monday through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday through Thursday...Showers likely with associated
restrictions as low pressure pivots into the region.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...BJT/MDP