Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

141
FXUS61 KBGM 271745
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
145 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes made to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The Nor`easter will continue to bring rain showers to the region
through Monday. Breezy winds are also expected through this evening.

2) High pressure builds into the region Tuesday with quiet weather
expected midweek. A frontal system will bring the next round of
rain late this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The center of the Nor`easter has just moved on shore. This has
pushed the main rain band northwest over the Mohawk Valley, Finger
Lakes Region, and central portions of the Southern Tier. Elsewhere,
steady rain has ended though drizzle and fog have taken its place.
MRMS shows some additional scattered showers over downstate NY and
NJ with an area of widespread rain about to push onshore. With the
low not moving much anytime soon, rain will continue this afternoon
and through the overnight hours. The low begins to weaken later
today resulting in the breezy winds gradually becoming calmer
tonight. Some clearing in sky cover across north-central NY may lead
to fog development. On Monday, the low will finally slide up the
coast as it continues to weaken. That will keep the highest rain
chances along and east of I-81. Additional rainfall between now and
early Monday evening will be less than a half inch across the region.

High pressure will slowly build into the region behind the departing
system Monday night, though there may be some stray showers as weak
waves try to take advantage of wraparound moisture. Otherwise, winds
will become calm and model soundings show low-level moisture in
addition to any moisture added from recent rainfall. This will
likely lead to widespread fog and/or low stratus Monday night into
Tuesday morning.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure will continue to build into the region on Tuesday.
This will bring a stretch of quieter weather conditions through
midweek. Southwest to westerly flow will advect in much warmer air
and push daytime highs into the 70s. Valley locations may even reach
80 on Thursday.

Rain will return late in the week though there remains uncertainty
with timing. A broad low pressure system will set up over Canada. A
frontal system will extend from the low all the way back into the
Midwest. This frontal system will push in as early as Thursday night
and move through on Friday. While there are some timing differences,
model guidance favor high pressure building in early Saturday behind
this front`s departure which would favor a dry yet cooler start to
the weekend. High pressure will stick around into Sunday though just
how long it can delay the arrival of the next system remains
uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A period of light to moderate rain is moving east to west across
the area early this afternoon with MVFR visibilities. After this
rain, expect periods of light rain and drizzle to continue into
the evening and likely overnight. CIGs will gradually lower,
becoming IFR to low end MVFR by 20z, then mainly IFR after
23/24z this evening. SYR and RME look to remain far enough
north to see generally only MVFR restrictions (although can`t
rule out a short, tempo period of IFR restrictions at these two
sites). Widespread IFR continues at the rest of our TAF sites
through the overnight and all of Monday morning. There could
also be intermittent fog/mist/drizzle bringing occasional IFR
visibilities overnight and early Monday morning.

Winds will be out of the NNW-NNE today sustained at 05-11kts
with gusts of 12-20kts across much of the region.  Winds should
lighten by the evening hours, and remain under 10 kts overnight
into Monday.

Outlook...

Monday afternoon through Monday night...showers will continue
with IFR ceilings and possible reductions to VSBY at times as
well in showers.

Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR after morning IFR restrictions
on Tuesday. Morning fog in the favorable areas will be possible,
causing localized restrictions.

Friday...Chance for scattered showers and associated
restrictions. Moderate confidence.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...JTC/MJM