Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

405
FXUS61 KBGM 251148
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
748 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to this forecast package.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure stays in control through most of the weekend.

2) The pattern becomes more active late Sunday with several chances
for showers and occasional thunderstorms throughout next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Surface high pressure will keep conditions dry throughout most of
the weekend. Warmer air will round the top of the ridge over the
Western US and filter into the region this weekend. This will
result in temperatures at least a few degrees warmer than
yesterday. Highs will be in the 80s today and Sunday. Despite
these warmer temperatures, dewpoints will be in the 50s to low
60s, so it will feel fairly pleasant. Overnight lows this
weekend will be in the 50s and 60s. Clear skies and light winds
will be favorable for patchy fog during the early morning hours.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

Surface high pressure will weaken Sunday, allowing for a couple of
passing waves to support isolated to scattered showers from Sunday
afternoon through Monday afternoon. Limited instability and weak
shear may be enough to support isolated thunderstorms as well. Late
Monday, the trough overhead begins to dig, opening the door for a
low to drop into the Northeast Tuesday. This will favor an
active pattern through Wednesday with multiple chances for
rain showers and thunderstorms across the region. With limited
showers in the morning and the potential for some clearing,
models are showing some instability each afternoon. However,
with weak flow aloft, shear is expected to be too weak to
maintain thunderstorms for any extended period of time. As of
now, severe chances look limited over the region and that seems
to line up with SPC`s thinking as we have been excluded from any
of their extended outlooks. Wraparound moisture from this
system will support additional showers through at least
Thursday, potentially into Thursday night. A weak ridge and
surface high pressure will build back into the region by the end
of the week, bringing an end to the showers.

With this early week system, PWATs will be modest at 1.4 to 1.8
inches, though some guidance show slightly higher values. If
the flow becomes oriented parallel with a passing frontal
boundary on Tuesday, that would lead to training showers and
storms. With multiple consecutive dry days leading up to this
system, hydro concerns are low at this time. Models vary greatly
with shower coverage throughout the event and where heavier
rainfall may fall. Still, WPC does highlight the region in their
ERO, highlighting the training potential.

Temperatures will generally be cooler than normal next week,
especially from Tuesday though the end of the week. With the ridge
building in on Friday, warming temperatures would be favored in time
for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR throughout the TAF period with light winds.

Outlook:

Sunday...Mainly VFR, although an isolated shower or thunderstorm
may result in brief restrictions.

Monday through Wednesday...Afternoon showers and/or
thunderstorms may result in occasional restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...MWG