Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

992
FXUS61 KBGM 100557
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
157 AM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The consistency in the overall weather pattern
appears relatively stable for the next several days with no major
hazards or changes to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure retreats to the east today allowing for a cold
front to pass by with some showers later today and tonight.
Cooler high pressure builds in on Saturday with breezy
conditions and potential fire weather concerns.

2) A warming trend with some unsettled weather occurs much of next
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Isolated showers will pass through the Finger Lakes region prior to
sunrise, then a more significant cold front is still on track to
move through the area later this afternoon with highest rain chances
beginning about 3 PM over the western and northern counties to
around 5 PM for the Twin Tiers and after about 7 PM in the Poconos.
There`s good agreement that the front and associated showers clear
the region between midnight and 2 AM. Ahead of the front,
temperatures should surge again into the 60s to around 70. High
pressure builds in for Saturday with a cooler airmass settling in
with afternoon highs about 20 degrees colder than Friday. Although
NW winds will likely gust up to around 25 mph on Saturday, the
cooler air will limit mixing out of the relative humidity and
that fire weather factor should remain above critical
thresholds. Fine fuels should also pick up a little moisture
from the prior day`s rain.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure again slides off to the east on Sunday setting the
stage for warmer return flow to set up for much of the upcoming
week. Deterministic models and ensemble suites agree on a broad
zonal solution with a primary frontal system poised just to our
north across lower Ontario. Some initial passing warm fronts on
Sunday and Monday may bring showers mainly for CNY and concentrated
for our northern and western counties...and then the details and
timing of weak upper waves in the flow becomes highly uncertain
through Wednesday. Will continue a gradient of PoPs for showers
favoring mainly CNY with lesser probability for rain over NEPA.
Temperatures are expected to be very spring-like, bordering on
summer with 70s and possibly near 80 a good bet for Tuesday and
Wednesday. Thursday is up in the air with the GFS and supporting AI
runs suggest a faster frontal passage than other models. Most are
lacking in overall QPF, but the EC and GGEM are slightly wetter.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected through at least 18Z at all
terminals. ELM has some LLWS tonight as winds have gone calm,
and winds at 2K to 3K feet are around 30 knots. All other
terminals have at least some wind so the difference is closer to
20 knots.

Tomorrow, a front moves in late in the day with rain moving into
ITH, SYR, and RME between 19Z and 21Z, then 21Z to 0Z at BGM and
ELM, and not till after 0Z at AVP. Cigs fall to low end MVFR
and potentially IFR as the rain moves through, especially at ITH
and BGM, being at higher elevation.

Behind the front and rain showers, MVFR cigs stick around
through at least 6Z tonight.

Outlook:

Friday night...A front continues to move through the region with
rain and restrictions.

Saturday through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Sunday night through Tuesday...Chances for showers, afternoon
thunderstorms, and associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JAB
AVIATION...AJG/BTL