Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

936
FXUS61 KBGM 290533
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
133 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Shower and thunderstorm chances have trended earlier for Sunday.
Showers and storms could hit as early as late Sunday afternoon
through Sunday evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mostly dry and pleasant conditions are expected through the
first half of the weekend with high pressure overhead. However,
showers and thunderstorms are now expected Sunday afternoon and
evening.

2) Active pattern sets up for next week, with several chances
for showers and thunderstorms. Will have to watch for potential
severe thunderstorms towards the middle of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure will be overhead this weekend. After morning fog
burns off this morning, expect mostly sunny skies with highs in
the mid to upper 70s. Overnight will be clear and cool again,
with lows into the low 50s.

High pressure slides east on Sunday and warm and humid
southwest return flow takes hold. Temperatures will rise into
the low 80s and dewpoint values into the mid 60s. Models have
sped up a midlevel impulse for Sunday afternoon/evening. Shower
and thunderstorm chances will be more likely now earlier in the
day Sunday, vs. previous model progs that were showing the wave
pushing through Sunday night into Monday.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

There is potential for showers and thunderstorms several days
next week. A large upper level ridge sets up over the Eastern
CONUS. Our area will likely be on the outer periphery of this
ridge with fairly strong westerly flow aloft. Several shortwave
impulses are forecast to traverse the outer ridge throughout
the week, and this will create the potential for ridge rider
thunderstorm complexes. Still too early to tell at this time,
but if the timing of one of the shortwave impulses aligns with
peak daytime heating, then severe thunderstorms will be
likely, especially with the strong west to northwest flow aloft.
At this time, the latest model guidance shows some potential
for this on Wednesday afternoon, but again, it is way too early
to forecast severe thunderstorm potential this far out, but this
will be something to watch over the coming days due to the
favorable pattern.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Clear and mostly calm winds across the area tonight under high
pressure. Patchy fog is expected to develop in the valleys late
tonight into the morning hours. ELM is the only terminal that
is expected to see IFR and lower restrictions. Winds have gone
calm and the temp is hovering near the dewpoint. Further cooling
tonight should allow fog to move into the terminal. BGM and ITH
could also have fog, but active winds should keep it at bay for
a while. There will be a chance for some patchy MVFR fog
starting just before sunrise. SYR/RME/AVP should remain VFR
through the night.

VFR conditions are expected at all terminals by mid-morning,
with mostly clear skies and light winds through the day.

Outlook...

Saturday Night through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Monday through Wednesday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible with associated restrictions, especially each
afternoon/evening.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DK/MPK
AVIATION...JTC