Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

261
FXUS61 KBGM 151134
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
634 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased temperatures early this morning and lowered snow
amounts. Lingered sprinkles and flurries into tonight and early
Monday morning. Also increased tonight`s forecast low
temperatures, again due to expected overcast conditions.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered rain and snow showers will be around through the day,
before tapering off to a few lingering sprinkles or flurries
overnight into early Monday morning.

2) High pressure builds into the area resulting in drier and warmer
weather for the upcoming week and into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Continued northwest flow with 850mb temperatures holding around -5C
today will allow scattered lake effect rain and snow showers to
persist this morning. The showers gradually taper off and decrease
in coverage this afternoon as it starts to slowly warm aloft.
Surface temperatures will remain at or above freezing for most
locations early this morning so snow amounts were lowered with this
update. Most locations won`t see any accumulation. A coating to
perhaps 1 inch of snow is possible for the higher hilltops of
Central NY; mainly in Cortland, Madison and northern Chenango
counties. Temperatures gradually rise into the upper 30s to mid-40s
this afternoon. Tonight`s low temperature forecast was increased,
into the low to mid-30s for most locations. The lake effect cloud
cover will remain widespread through the night, helping to keep the
temperatures more elevated.

The 850mb ridge axis does not pass through our area until Monday
night. Therefore, we remain locked in the cool, cloudy northwest
flow pattern on Monday. Wouldn`t be surprised to see pockets of
drizzle lingering into Monday under the thick stratus cloud deck.
Temperatures remain cool only in the 40`s on Monday.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

For Tuesday through Sunday: General upper level ridging remains over
the eastern US. There could be a very weak disturbance or front
passing through Thursday night or Friday. Otherwise, high pressure
looks to remain in control right through Saturday (if current timing
holds). By Sunday, a more well defined cold front will begin to
approach the area from the west. Some guidance keeps it slower and
back to the west, leading to one more very mild day in the upper 50s
to low 60s. We will have to keep an eye on the timing of this
frontal feature.

Temperatures will see a gradual warming trend through the
week, reaching about 15 degrees above average for daytime highs by
Friday through Sunday (50`s and low 60`s). With the generally clear
skies and light winds, overnight lows will be on the seasonably cool
side, mainly in the 30`s through the week. Overall a very pleasant
and fair stretch of late fall weather looks to be in store.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A persistent low stratus deck will continue to bring widespread
MVFR to Fuel Alternate ceiling restrictions through the large
majority of the current TAF period (at least through 12Z
Monday). Brief improvements to VFR are possible this afternoon
(especially at KAVP), but otherwise MVFR to Fuel Alternate
restrictions are expected to persist.

Outlook...

Monday...Lingering low clouds will likely result in continued
MVFR to Fuel Alternate ceiling restrictions, especially in the
morning.

Monday night through Thursday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM/MWG
AVIATION...BJG