Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

084
FXUS61 KBGM 231434
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
934 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Downgraded the Blizzard Warnings and Winter Storm Warnings to
Winter Weather Advisories that are in effect until 1 PM.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The lingering impacts from the winter storm are lessening
today for NE PA and portions of eastern Central NY. Lake effect
snow develops behind departing system.

2) A clipper system moves through the Northeast midweek with the
next round of snow.

3) The active pattern likely continues through the end of the week
with cold air returning next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Morning update...
A fairly significant subsidence inversion has set up on the back
side of the departing coast low and is causing a large dry
wedge with no or limited snow over most of central NY and ne PA.
There are a couple standing waves emanating from the coastal
low that have set up (north-south) across the region that will
provide enough forcing and tap into enough moisture to generate
some light snow through the morning. However, additional
significant snowfall is not expected. Therefore, the Warnings
have been downgraded to Advisories.

Previous Discussion...
The formed Nor`easter is currently impacting the Mid-Atlantic
and New England coast, and expands inland up to our area.
Earlier, the inverted trough brought some snow showers through
Central NY, which are slowly dissipating, and expected to be
fully dissipated by 7am. The impressive center has bombed out
currently at 972 mb, officially achieving "bomb cyclogenesis",
which is a rapidly intensified low pressure system where its
center pressure drops 24 mb in 24 hours. This impressive system
brings heavy snow and blizzard-like conditions along the coast,
which extends inland into the edges of our area. A few thin
mesoscale snow bands continue to move through NE PA and portions
of western Central NY, as well as gusty north-northwest winds,
which is contributing to reduced visibilities.

As this system slowly propagates north and east, conditions are
expected to improve going into the early afternoon. Even though
the snowfall is expected to taper off, tight pressure gradient
will keep persistent north-northwest winds through the rest of
the day, and taper off going into the evening hours. With these
general north-northwest winds, some light lake effect snow could
develop off of Lake Ontario, bringing up to an inch of lake
effect snow for the Finger Lakes and northern Central NY Monday
evening through early morning Tuesday.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

A clipper system will slide across the Great Lakes and move into the
Northeast early Wednesday morning. Initially, precipitation may
begin as light snowfall, but will start to mix with some rain as
temperatures increase during the day on Wednesday. The pressure
gradient will be tight on the leading edge of this system
leading to gusty winds and blowing snow, mainly for the Finger
Lakes and western Central NY. Areas of reduced visibilities and
drifting in open areas will be possible. Depending on how far
north this system tracks, there could be some warmer air
creeping in from the south. As of now, valley locations will
have highs near 40 and with milder conditions, snow would
transition to a rain/snow mix or even just rain.


KEY MESSAGE 3...

The pattern will remain active through the rest of the region. A low
pressure system will move through the region late Thursday into
early Friday though it`s track remains uncertain. Model guidance
is starting to agree better, with the system staying mainly to
the south of the area, or clipping NE PA with lighter
precipitation. We`ll continue to monitor trends of this system.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A smattering of VFR to IFR conditions across the area with a
large Nor`easter spinning to our east. Snow showers continue
across the region, with northerly winds providing lake
enhancement over the Finger Lakes. ITH looks to sit on the
eastern edge of these showers and could see some TEMPO MVFR
restrictions for a few hours this morning. ELM could see
periodic IFR restrictions through the morning as some heavier
showers work their way into the area.

Outer bands from the Nor`easter continue to skirt AVP, with
periodic MVFR restrictions expected through the morning.

BGM is currently in a subsidence zone between the Nor`easter and
the lake enhanced snow over the Finger Lakes. Snow should stay
mostly away but a few MVFR showers cannot be ruled out this
morning. MVFR/Fuel Alt Clouds should remain through the rest of
the TAF period.

This evening, lake effect snow will work its way into ITH then
slowly move to the NE, pushing near SYR late in the TAF period.
Conditions are forecast to be MVFR/Fuel Alt, but IFR visby
cannot be ruled out. Confidence is not high enough to include in
the TAFs at this time.


Outlook...

Tuesday morning through evening...Mainly VFR.

Late Tuesday night through through Thursday night...Occasional
restrictions with a couple waves of snow and/or rain.

Friday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ022-045-046-056-057-062.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJT/KL
AVIATION...JTC