Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

579
FXUS61 KBGM 020537
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
137 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Conditions will be warm and dry through the work week with upper
level blocking and surface high pressure in place.

2) A frontal system will bring the next chance for rain this
weekend, though temperatures will remain mild through the start
of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

An upper level trough will continue to be draped over the
eastern US today and part of tomorrow thanks to an Omega
blocking pattern. However, surface high pressure will keep
conditions dry throughout the entire week week. Today will be
mild and slightly warmer than yesterday with highs in the 70s
and lows in the 40s and 50s. This is just the beginning of a
warming trend as the blocking pattern will break down Wednesday
into Thursday as the trough drifts east and the ridge that was
parked over the Central US builds into the Northeast. Warm,
southwest flow will push temperatures into the 80s area-wide for
the second half of the week.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

The next chance for rain will come this weekend as a frontal system
approaches the region. This boundary will drop in from the north
Saturday and slowly move through the region throughout the weekend.
If the system stalls out, then rain will likely continue into early
next week as well. The GFS has trended with a stacked low stalling
with rain moving in slower but lingering longer. Solutions like the
ECMWF have the front moving out by early next week with high
pressure building back in early next week. PWATs will vary with this
system, ranging from 1.25 to 1.75 inches, which isn`t too
unusual for this time of year but higher PWATs could lead to
periods of heavier rainfall. Models over the last 24 to 36
hours have been consistent with a stripe of 2+ inch QPF
somewhere over the Northeast, so there is potential for a good
soaking rain after a week of receiving very little. With a
variety of solutions between guidance, there remains quite a bit
of uncertainty on how this system will evolve and how long it
sticks around. What does look to be certain is that temperatures
will trend slightly cooler under the cloudy, rainy conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours at most
terminals. Given the clear skies, there is a small chance of fog
at ELM though the short nights and no recent are working
against fog development tonight but still kept a tempo in. RME
also has a chance for fog but confidence is much lower so it was
omitted from the TAF. After 12Z, all terminals will be VFR with
no chance of restrictions.

Outlook:

Monday night through Friday...Mainly VFR, but isolated showers
each afternoon may result in brief restrictions.

Saturday...Restrictions possible from rain showers and storms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/MPK
AVIATION...AJG