Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

534
FXUS61 KBGM 311832
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The winter weather advisory for Steuben county has been
cancelled. Slight changes to the timing and snowfall amounts
with a band of snow showers and squalls tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A band of snow showers and squalls will move through the
region tonight.

2) Lake Effect snow showers continue from New Years into the
weekend.

3) Additional chances for snow showers and light snow early next
week, still uncertainity with timing and coverage.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Lake Effect snow has shifted out of the region this afternoon.
However, enough lift looks to be present ahead of a cold front
to generate a band of snow showers tonight. Model soundings do
show the potential for some strong wind gusts 20-30 mph to be
transported to the surface. Coupled with a slight amount of
instability this should promote a few snow squalls as well.
Guidance has slowed a bit with the timing with an early to mid
evening event in the Finger Lakes, not reaching NEPA till the
overnight. A general 1 to 2 inches (locally higher) of snow
should fall even with low QPF due to the higher snow ratios.
Additional lake effect snow showers should last in Oneida
county till the morning hours Thursday.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Continued westerly flow should continue off of Lake Ontario into
the weekend. The flow will likely favor Oneida county for some
light accumulations Thursday and Friday then shift southward
Saturday closer to the NY Thruway. The environment will
continue to favor high snow ratios around 20:1 so very light QPF
could result in a few inches for any particular day.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

Additional clipper systems look to move through Sunday through
Wednesday with the potential for snow accumulations. For now,
just mention of snow shower chances with each of them. Sunday,
Monday night and Wednesday look to have the highest chances. A
warming trend starts as well with perhaps temperatures getting
warm enough to be concerned about a rain/snow mix on Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Mostly light snow has developed over much of area ahead of the
anticipated clipper system that will move through tonight. Snow
this afternoon and early evening will lead to a mix of VFR to
locally IFR visibility over the next several hours at nearly all
the terminals. Between 22Z and 01Z, steady snow associated with
the clipper is expected to settle in with IFR visibility at the
terminals. The exception looks to be AVP where the snow is not
expected to by quite as intense and is expected to be mostly
MVFR tonight.

As the strong frontal boundary with this system moves from west
to east, there is potential for snow squalls to develop. Prob30
groups remain in the forecast identifying the mostly likely
timeframe for LIFR visibility and as previously mentioned, wind
shifts from the SW to the NW. The main timeframe for the snow
squall potential looks to be 00Z-09Z tonight. Lake effect snow
showers develop behind the front with additional restrictions on
occasion through 18Z due to both visibility and ceilings. SYR,
BGM and ITH have the greatest chance of at least MVFR
restrictions, with RME occurring likely after 18Z.


Outlook...

Thursday afternoon through Sunday...Restrictions possible as
lake effect snow showers are expected to continue, mainly for
the CNY terminals.

Monday...another potential clipper can bring additional snow
showers.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Thursday for NYZ009.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...DK