Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

962
FXUS61 KBGM 290528
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
128 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Ensemble guidance is trending drier for early next week across the
area. Otherwise, no significant changes were made to the current
forecast with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Warm and dry weather continues across the area today. There will
be a few rain showers dropping in from the north this evening into
tonight along a cold front.

2) Dry and seasonably warm weather returns for Friday, the weekend
and likely into early next week. There will eventually be increasing
shower chances toward the middle or end of next week as a slow
moving front approaches; uncertainty remains in the details though.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Today will feature very warm and mainly sunny weather as southwest
winds increase between 6-15 mph. This will advect in some very warm
air into the region, with 925mb temperatures approaching +16C over
the Finger Lakes and 850mb temperatures around +10C. This pattern
supports near record highs ranging from the mid-60s to mid-70s over
the region.

A weak, moisture starved cold front approaches from the north this
evening, dropping through the area overnight. This feature will
bring a narrow band of decaying showers along it, with less than a
tenth of an inch of rain over Central NY...fading to no
measurable rain expected over most of NE PA. Winds begin to
shift northwesterly late tonight, but overnight lows remain
above average in the mid-40s to lower 50s.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Friday features gusty west-northwest winds up to 25 mph and cooler
temperatures in the 50s to low 60s. There will be some lingering
clouds across Central NY through the day, with more sunshine for
NE PA.

High pressure builds over the area Friday night, Saturday and into
Sunday. This will bring seasonable and dry weather with some
increasing clouds possible by later Sunday.

Weak rounds of overrunning mid level moisture stream into the region
Monday and Tuesday night week. This will bring a bit more cloud
cover at times, but upper level ridging continues to redevelop over
the area during this time. This upper level subsidence, combined
with stubborn low level dry air will make measurable rainfall
unlikely during this time frame.

A slow moving upper level low looks to spin across the Midwest,
slowly heading east toward the middle and end of the upcoming work
week. There remains uncertainty in the timing of this frontal system
as it moves east. Eventually shower chances do increase in the
ensemble data, especially by next Thursday. We have plenty of time
to watch this system, but this could bring our next best chance for
measurable rain to portions of the forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected for most of the period. There is a
marine layer that is trying to work its way into NEPA and
potentially the Southern Tier. AVP may see some brief periods of
MVFR around 12Z, with a very low chance at MVFR at BGM but
confidence was not high enough to even have a tempo. With higher
humidity observed at ELM today, clearing skies and calming winds
could support IFR fog formation this morning. Rain showers move
into the northern terminals towards the end of the period,
potentially bringing MVFR restrictions.


Outlook...

Thursday Night through Monday...Mainly VFR. Potential front with
MVFR cigs Friday morning at CNY terminals.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...AJG/ES