Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

876
FXUS61 KBGM 031051
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
651 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes were made from the previous forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Temperatures will trend warmer through the start of the weekend
though shower chances remain in the forecast during this time as
well.

2) A strong cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms
Saturday evening through Sunday morning and this could cause
additional flooding problems due to already high water
conditions. Behind the front it will be much colder with a
chance for some light snow late Sunday into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Warm front will cross the region today and although it will
start off cool this morning, temperatures will climb into the
60s and possibly the low 70s by this afternoon. After a brief
period of dry conditions, a weak short wave will drop south
into the region this late this afternoon and evening with
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Conditions will continue to feel like early summer on Saturday as
temperatures once again surge into the 60s and 70s as warm front
pushes through. This front may kick off some some showers early
in the day. Otherwise, it is looking dry though some pop- up
showers cannot be ruled out ahead of an approaching cold front
for Saturday night.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

A strong cold pushes through the region Saturday night into
Sunday morning. Showers and thunderstorms are expected Saturday
evening through early Sunday morning. This system will be
pushing through at night, so although west of I81 is in an SPC
Marginal risk, the lack of instability will likely keep the
severe threat quite low. However, a moist airmass will be in
place out ahead of the cold front with PWATs close to 3
standard deviations above normal. The already wet antecedent
conditions combined with the potential for more localized
heavier rain will bring a threat for flooding once again.

In the wake of the front, much colder air will filter in on
Sunday. Snow showers will be possible, as wrap around moisture
from the surface low, a lingering upper trough, and west to
northwest winds over Lakes Ontario and Erie will support lake
enhanced precipitation. These snow showers will likely continue
into Monday as well. Significant snowfall accumulations are not
expected at this time, though light accumulations will certainly
be possible. A weak system will bring a round of light snow to
the region Tuesday before high pressure finally returns to dry
conditions out by midweek. Temperatures are forecast to stay
below normal through at least midweek with a warm up possible
Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MVFR to IFR or worse ceiling restrictions are expected to
remain in place through the morning hours along with isolated to
scattered showers. Showers are expected to be most numerous
around SYR/RME through about 14-15Z, and there can be an
embedded lightning strike or two. Winds out of the south to
southeast this morning will be becoming southwesterly for the
afternoon and increasing with gusts of 20 to 25 knots on
average. Southwesterly LLWS of about 35 to 45 knots is expected
to persist at most NY terminals through roughly 16Z.

Conditions gradually improve to MVFR, and eventually VFR this
afternoon as the clouds lift and scatter out. Another boundary
is expected to drop SE across CNY with a broken line of showers
and a couple of thunderstorms from about 19Z-20Z to 01Z-02Z, so
PROB30 groups were added to this update. Some low cigs are
expected to return behind the front, and winds will be easing as
they shift out of the NW.


Outlook:

Saturday...Isolated to scattered rain showers and a low chance
for afternoon thunderstorms; associated occasional restrictions
possible.

Sunday...A frontal system crosses the region with additional
showers and restrictions possible, especially early in the day.

Monday and Tuesday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of showers.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/MPK
AVIATION...DK