Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

135
FXUS61 KBGM 202352
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
752 PM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update. Added in areas
of fog tonight into early Saturday morning. Minor changes to
Pops and QPF through the weekend. Temperatures are trending a
little warmer on Sunday with the low pressure system tracking
slightly further north leading to lower chances for accumulating
snow. Some very minor snow accumulations are still possible
late Sunday night into Monday as the colder northwest flow develops.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A widespread rain event will move across the area into this
evening with a passing low pressure system. Conditions then out
overnight with possible patchy fog.

2) Seasonable and dry weather is expected on Saturday. Then, the
next low pressure system passes over or just south of the area
Sunday into Monday with a period of steady rain, potentially
changing to some snow early Monday morning.

3)Below average temperatures return for the early to middle portion
of next week, along with a chance of snow showers at times. Warming
trend by Thursday, with increasing precipitation chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A period of moderate rain will continue impacting the area the rest
of this afternoon and into the evening hours. Temperatures will hold
in the upper 30s to 40s, with some 50s for the Wyoming Valley.
Rainfall amounts will be between 1/4 to 1/2 inch for most locations,
with some locally higher amounts possible. The rain will exit off to
the east between 7-10 PM this evening, with just a few lingering
sprinkles or showers possible after that, until around midnight.
Expect dry conditions overnight, with mostly cloudy skies and a
northwest wind. Some patchy fog could develop if winds decouple
enough as the ground will be very saturated/wet after the recent
rainfall. Overnight lows dip down into the upper 20s to mid-30s
areawide.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Saturday starts off mostly cloudy to overcast with the cooler
northwest flow in place, as 850mb temperatures reach -5C over
Central NY. Eventually the atmospheric column will dry out as a 1018
mb high builds in from near Lake Ontario. This should allow for
gradual clearing, with partly to mostly sunny conditions in the
afternoon for most area. Latest guidance continues to be slightly
cooler for high temperatures compared to earlier guidance; so
looking at highs in the 40s, to perhaps low 50s in the Wyoming
Vallley...this is on par with average for late March.

A weak warm front lifts through the area Saturday night, which
initiate some light snow, or light rain/snow mix especially across
the I-90 corridor and perhaps south toward the eastern Susquehanna
region or norther Catskill. Precipitation amounts are light, mostly
under 1/10th of an inch and there could be some light, wet snow
accumulation under 1 inch in Northern Oneida County. Temperatures
drop into the 30s in the evening, then gradually rise late at night
into Sunday morning as the southerly flow and warm air advection
increases.

Current model guidance now mainly keeps the warm front mainly north
of our forecast area Sunday morning and perhaps early afternoon,
with an increasing southwest flow. This could allow temperatures to
rise up well into the 60s from the Twin Tiers south across Northeast
PA...with 50s further north to the I-90 corridor. Exact timing and
positions of the low pressure center and frontal boundary are not
yet known Sunday into Sunday night...but it seems as a wave of low
pressure rides east along the front, it may start to drop back south
toward Sunday afternoon or evening. This would allow colder air in
the low levels of the atmosphere to begin filtering in from the
north. As the sharp front drops south periods of rain will be
likely, with even a slight chance for a thunderstorm in NE PA. As
the front drops southward into NE PA Sunday evening or Sunday night
another wave of low pressure could ride along it. This looks to
bring a final round of rain, and perhaps some mixed precipitation to
the region overnight Sunday. Colder air in the low to mid levels
continues to filer in from the north late Sunday night and into
Monday, with chances for scattered snow showers or flurries. Lows
Sunday night/Monday morning are forecast to range from the upper 20s
to low 30s across Central NY...with low to mid-30s in NE PA. Staying
colder on Monday with highs in the mid-30s to mid-40s, as 850mb
temperatures hover near -10C.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

Slightly below average temperatures continue Monday, Tuesday and
Wednesday next week with a broad upper level trough in place over
the Northeastern US. High pressure will be in place Monday night
into Tuesday, likely keeping our weather dry and mostly clear. A
weak frontal system then swings through the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday bringing the potential for scattered snow showers.
Temperatures then look to trend warmer by Thursday, with chances for
rain or a brief rain/snow mix increasing especially overnight. It is
too far out in time to hone in on any more details for this mid to
late next week system.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Steady rain is still impacting AVP, but will be moving out
within the next 1-2 hours.

Overnight, low IFR to LIFR stratus moves in behind the
departing front. ITH and/or BGM could get close to Airport
Minimum CIGs for a few hours late this evening in the moist,
cool NW upslope flow. Otherwise SYR and RME look to remain IFR
through much of the overnight, perhaps coming back up to MVFR
Fuel Alt around 08-10z early Saturday morning. These two sites
scatter out and become VFR by 16/17z Saturday. ITH and BGM are
IFR or lower through 14/15z Saturday, then MVFR before the
clouds scatter out and become VFR by 17/18z Saturday.

ELM is likely to see IFR CIGs much of the night, from about 02z
until 14z Saturday morning. There could be occasional IFR vsbys
with patchy fog as well here overnight into early Saturday
morning. This site scatters out, and becomes VFR between 17-19z.

AVP is likely to see IFR stratus CIGs develop by around 02z this
evening, lingering until around 10z Saturday morning. These CIGs
gradually lift to MVFR Fuel Alt, the scatter out to VFR by
around 16z Saturday.

Outlook:

Saturday Night...Mainly VFR; except MVFR possible at RME and SYR
along a warm front.

Sunday...Restrictions possible as another front pushes through
the area from the NW with scattered showers and low potential
for thunder in the Southern Tier and south.

Monday through Tuesday...High pressure building in across the
Northeast with VFR conditions expected aside from the potential
for morning fog.

Wednesday...Another front begins to move in from the west with
potential restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MPK/MJM
AVIATION...AJG/MJM