Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

368
FXUS61 KBGM 291818
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
118 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Extreme cold warning issued for northern Oneida County through
Friday morning. After tonight, another warning or an advisory
will be needed for Friday night.

Cold weather advisory extended through Sunday morning for entire
area.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Lake effect snow showers continue through Saturday with
light accumulations over north central NY.

2) Arctic air over the region through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...

West northwest flow off of Lake Ontario will continue to produce
lake effect snow showers through Saturday mainly over north central
NY. Model guidance shows the band dropping into north central NY
this afternoon and continuing into Friday. With the cold air
mass in place snow ratios support a light fluffy snow.
Accumulations are mainly expected over Cayuga, Onondaga, and
Madison county. Areas slightly south of this could see a dusting
or so. With the west northwest orientation of the band,
Onondaga county could see snow totals near advisory criteria (2
to 4 inches). Continue to hold off on any advisory due to long
duration and intensity of the snow will be light.


Key Message #2...

Arctic airmass will be settled over the region the next several
days. Overnight low temperatures will be generally 5 to 15 below
zero tonight and again on Friday, with a few localized cold
spots making a run at 20 below zero. The cold weather advisory
has been extended right through Sunday morning and northern
Oneida County has been upgraded to an extreme cold warning
through tomorrow morning. Elsewhere, apparent temperatures could
also hit extreme cold warning criteria briefly tomorrow
morning, but the duration and coverage is not enough to increase
any other zones to a warning at this time. One area where this
is the case are the higher elevations in the Poconos for
southern Luzerne and Lackawanna County. Also, the criteria for
this area is only -20F for apparent T. However, values below
-20F here will only occur briefly and be confined to the higher
 elevations where some higher wind speeds are possible.

Otherwise, northern Oneida County will likely need at least a
cold weather advisory for Friday and Saturday night as the
extreme cold warning expires Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A arctic front pushing through this afternoon will kick off lake
effect snow showers which should push into CNY as the front
pushes through this afternoon. SYR will have the best chance for
prolonged IFR as the snow is forecast to impact the terminal
through the night and into the morning hours. MVFR should return
after midnight as the lake effect wobbles across the area.
RME will see IFR into the mid afternoon, followed by VFR
conditions as the winds become more northerly and cuts off
access to the lake. ITH should see periodic IFR and lower visby
this afternoon as snow pushes through with the front. ELM and
BGM could also see snow this afternoon, but confidence in the
snow being heavy enough to produce IFR conditions was too low to
include in the TAFs.

AVP will remain VFR through the period.

Outlook...

Friday afternoon through Saturday...On and off lake effect snow
showers may result in occasional restrictions at KRME and KSYR;
otherwise mainly VFR.

Sunday through Monday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM EST
     Sunday for PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Extreme Cold Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST
     Friday for NYZ009.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM EST
     Sunday for NYZ015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ES/MPK
AVIATION...JTC