Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

796
FXUS61 KBGM 121936
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
Issued by National Weather Service State College PA
236 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor adjustments were made to snowfall totals.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Colder air from the north will allow rain to transition to
snow later today into Friday.

2) Lake effect precipitation is expected for portions of the
region through the weekend.

3) Temperatures will trend warmer next week as an upper level
ridge builds in.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Periods of rain will continue to impact the area this
afternoon. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches have been observed
across NE PA, and the precipitation shield continues to drift
northward across the area.

With the center of the low sliding just to the south later today,
colder air will begin to fill in from north allowing rain to
become a rain/snow mix and eventually just snow overnight.
Timing of the precipitation type transition will depend on how
quickly the colder air moves in. Rain will change over to snow
in the higher elevations first but most valleys should see snow
by Friday morning. With surface temperatures stuck in the 30s,
snow continues through much of the daytime Friday thanks to
wraparound moisture on the back side of the low. As the low
drifts out to sea later on Friday, coverage will become more
scattered and showery in nature on the back side of the system.
Meanwhile, low-level flow will advect colder air over the Great
Lakes, generating lake effect snow.

Snowfall totals have been creeping upwards since the previous
forecast. Higher elevations of the Catskills still could see the
highest totals with localized amounts of 3+ inches. Other
higher elevations across the region could see an inch or more. A
coating of snow is possible elsewhere on colder surfaces but is
not expected to accumulate much on the warmer ground. If rain
transitions to snow quicker than expected, then final snowfall
amounts could end up higher. These forecasted totals are
approaching advisory level, but confidence remains too low for
any headline issuance at this time.

Temperatures through the end of the work week will be colder than
past days. Highs today will be in the 40s and 50s before falling to
near and below freezing tonight. Temperatures will struggle to warm
up Friday, only maxing out in the 30s to low 40s. Then sub-freezing
temperatures are expected Friday night and this could lead to light
icing on untreated, wet surfaces.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

Flow will become northwesterly and 850mb temperatures fall colder on
Saturday, leading to lake effect precipitation lingering into at
least Sunday. Along the northern areas of the Finger Lakes,
precipitation will be primarily rain showers or a rain/snow mix
due to slightly warmer conditions. Elsewhere, precipitation
will be mainly snow showers, at least on Saturday.

Eventually, drier air begins to move in early next week as an
upper level ridge approaches the region.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

After this brief sample of winter, weather conditions improve during
the midweek period. The aforementioned ridge builds into the region
Tuesday with high pressure present through at least Thursday.
Temperatures will trend warmer and back above average, at least
for daytime highs. The nights will remain cool with
temperatures near or below freezing.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Conditions will continue to deteriorate with periods of rain
and low ceilings. MVFR and eventually IFR conditions are
expected through the remainder of the day.

Wet snow could begin mixing in with the rain this evening,
before mostly changing over to light snow late tonight/early
Friday morning. Widespread IFR restrictions are expected to
remain across the area right through the end of the TAF period
(at least through 18Z Friday).

Outlook...

Friday through Saturday...A mix of rain/snow showers possible
and associated restrictions.

Sunday...Lingering rain and snow showers, mainly in the morning
with associated restrictions possible.

Monday-Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/CTP
AVIATION...BJG/CTP