Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

407
FXUS61 KBGM 260437
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1237 AM EDT Wed Aug 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The potential for severe thunderstorms has increased for
Thursday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Brief high pressure over the region today with quiet weather,
but showers and thunderstorms return Thursday into Friday. Some
storms could be severe.

2) High pressure and dry conditions return for the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure builds into the region today with seasonable
temperatures and mostly sunny skies.

The next system to impact the area will be on Thursday. Warm
southwesterly return flow will increase moisture and
temperatures out ahead of an approaching cold front Thursday. A
few showers will be possible as a warm front glides through from
southwest to northeast on Thursday morning. There should be
plenty of time for instability to build up by Thursday afternoon
after early morning showers. Latest model soundings are showing
decent instability with CAPE of 1500+ J/kg and 30+ knots of 0-6
km bulk shear. Timing of the surface cold front is looking to be
late afternoon to early Thursday evening, so the timing should
maximize instability during the peak heating of the afternoon.
SPC currently has a slight risk for severe thunderstorms across
a large portion of the CWA.

WPC has also highlighted our area under a marginal risk for
flash flooding. Overall the threat for flash flooding is
looking low. PWATs are not too out of the ordinary, at only 1 to
2 standard deviations above normal and storms should be
progressive.

Showers may linger into the overnight hours Thursday into Friday
morning as the front slowly pushes through and exits the region
early Friday morning.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure builds in behind the exiting cold front on Friday.
This should make for an excellent weekend with highs in the mid
to upper 70s on Saturday and into the low 80s on Sunday. The
next chance for showers will come on Monday as another front
sags south out of Canada.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The last of the showers have moved out of the region. Conditions
will be VFR this evening, though there is potential for fog at
all terminals late tonight and early Wednesday morning.
Visibilities would be reduced and the highest confidence for IFR
restrictions is at ELM and RME. Conditions may be slow to
improve in the morning with all terminals returning to VFR by
14z. Winds will become lighter later this evening and remain
calm through the end of this TAF period.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night through Thursday morning...Mainly VFR,
restrictions possible with morning fog.

Thursday Afternoon through Friday...Potential restrictions with
an incoming frontal system bringing showers and thunderstorms.

Friday Night through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MPK/MWG
AVIATION...BTL