Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

027
FXUS61 KBGM 260555
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1255 AM EST Thu Feb 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased PoPs for this evening with cold frontal passage and
potential snow showers and snow squalls. Also, lake effect snow
band tonight has been moved a bit further south with higher
snowfall amounts now across northern Onondaga County, but should
remain below advisory criteria.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Lake effect snow develops behind a cold front pushing
through this evening, targeting northern Onondaga, Madison and
Oneida County.

2) Widely varying temperatures this weekend with warm
conditions Saturday, followed by below average temperatures for
Sunday and the start of Meteorological Spring.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Temperatures have warmed into the upper 30s this afternoon
across much of the area. However, a cold front will pass this
evening and there is potential for a line of snow showers or
snow squalls to develop along and immediately ahead of the
front. The warm surface temperatures should alleviate potential
impacts for any squalls, but higher elevations from the Twin
Tiers northward, could see a quick 1 to 2 inches this evening.

Behind the cold front, westerly flow will induce lake effect
snow showers off Lake Ontario in the evening that will persist
into Thursday across the Mohawk Valley and across northern
Onondaga and Madison County after midnight tonight. The CMCReg
had a noticeable shift southward in the lake effect band
tonight, so decided to increase PoPs across northern Onondaga
and Madison County and also increased QPF by blending in the
Canadian. This brings about 1 to 3 inches in the Syracuse Metro
Area as well, but below advisory criteria. Snowfall totals have
come down for northern Oneida due to the shift southward, but
due to low to medium confidence in this shift, decided to leave
out the winter weather advisory there for now.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

All of our major models continue to advertise a strong high
pressure system building into the area on Thursday, keeping a
developing low pressure system south of the region. There is
still a small chance for a flurry into the Poconos, but for the
most part, the trend continues to be that precipitation stays
south.

High pressure to the east of us and a trough to the west will
funnel warm air into the region for the end of the week. Friday
should see temps in the low to mid 40s with Saturday about 5
degrees higher. This is not expected to last long as a strong
cold front will dive into the area Sat afternoon/evening. Lows
should fall into the upper teens to mid 20s Saturday night, and
not recover much during the day Sunday with highs expected to be
in the mid to upper 20s. The cold air might not creep all the
way down to the Wyoming Valley, so temps there may climb back
into the mid 30s. The return of really cold air comes Sunday
night with widespread lows in the single digits and N Oneida
possibly falling below 0.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Lake effect snow showers will be possible through the early
morning hours, potentially into midday at SYR. As a result,
restrictions are expected at SYR, RME, and ITH. SYR has the best
chance of seeing some IFR restrictions but we will also have to
keep an eye on RME. ITH is not expected to fall below MVFR as
any snow there will likely just be flurries. While BGM and ELM
should not see any snow showers, lake clouds may dip south and
bring MVFR restrictions to those sites as well. All sites should
be VFR by 12z or shortly there after with ceilings then
scattering out. Winds will be west-northwesterly at 5 to 10 kts.
Then around 00z, winds become light and variable.

Outlook...

Friday through Saturday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday Night and Sunday...Restrictions possible as a couple
of waves move through the region with snow showers.

Monday...Restrictions possible as another system approaches the
region.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for NYZ009.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JTC/MPK
AVIATION...BTL