Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

446
FXUS61 KBGM 270546
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
146 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Temperatures were lowered for tonight and Sunday night as skies are
expected to be mostly clear. Temperatures were also lowered for
Tuesday due to increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances. Due
to dry conditions on Monday, dewpoints were lowered.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure will generally keep conditions dry this weekend
though spotty showers are also possible, especially across Northeast
Pennsylvania.

2) Temperatures and humidity will increase next week leading to
elevated heat indices.

3) Showers and thunderstorms return by Tuesday with multiple rounds
possible through the midweek period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Surface high pressure will be in control through the weekend.
However, A frontal boundary south of the region will support
isolated to scattered showers today and tomorrow. The best chances
will be across Northeast PA and the Catskills, though some showers
could develop in the Southern Tier as well. Instability will be
quite limited both afternoons, though isolated non-severe
thunderstorms will be possible. Patchy fog at night will be possible
as skies will be mostly clear and winds become calm. Added moisture
from any rain showers should also aid in fog development.

Temperatures throughout the weekend will be near normal for this
time of year. Today will be fairly pleasant with highs in the 70s to
low 80s. Sunday will be a touch warmer with most of the region
reaching the 80s. Overnight lows will be in the 50s both nights.
Adjustments were made to lower the nightly temperatures as skies
will be clear and winds will be light.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

A ridge will begin to build into Eastern US this weekend and into
early next week. As it does, 500mb heights will rise to near 590dm
and low-level warm air advection increases. This will lead to a
significant warm up by midweek. Temperatures will be above average
throughout the week, climbing into the 90s during the midweek period
(Tue-Thu). After Monday, dewpoints rise to the 60s and 70s. This
will push heat indices several degrees above the temperatures,
potentially into the triple digits, and heat headlines will likely
be needed. There is uncertainty if cloud cover and showers will keep
temperatures slightly below the forecast. This uncertainty can be
seen in ensemble guidance as there continues to be large spread
between members.


KEY MESSAGE 3...

The hot and humid conditions will support an unstable environment
during the afternoon hours next week, especially Tuesday and
Wednesday. Model guidance show MLCAPE values of 2000+ J/kg for
in the region along with 20 to 30 kts of shear. Multiple
shortwaves moving through the region will support scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Models have an EML plume moving in on
Tuesday that could provide additional support for thunderstorm
development. Given the CAPE and shear values, stronger
thunderstorms will be possible with downbursts being the main
hazard.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Tricky aviation forecast for early this morning as a deck of
stratus clouds continues to be present across most of the
terminals. Confidence in seeing IFR fog/mist is decreasing due
to these clouds, but still cannot rule out MVFR visby
restrictions at the Central NY terminals, or even very brief
IFR restrictions if pockets of clearing develop. KAVP is
expected to remain VFR. Any early morning fog will dissipate
after 12Z, which will lead to a return to VFR conditions area-
wide.

Outlook:

Sunday through Monday...VFR likely during the day, valley fog
possible each morning.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Mostly VFR, but some restrictions
will be possible with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Current High Temperature Records:

6/30: BGM - 92 (1964), SYR - 94 (1971), AVP - 97 (1964)
7/1: BGM - 90 (2018), SYR - 94 (2018), AVP - 95 (2018)
7/2: BGM - 92 (1966), SYR - 96 (1963), AVP - 98 (1966)

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG/BTL
AVIATION...BJG
CLIMATE...BTL