Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

226
FXUS61 KBGM 130538
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
138 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast package.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mainly quieter weather expected into the first half of the
weekend as ridging increases and high pressure moves into the
region. The exception to this will be a passing trough that may
bring a few showers to the area Friday evening/night.


2) A potent shortwave trough and sfc low expected to move through the
region on Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Increased ridging and a sfc high building into the region out of
Canada will result in mostly dry conditions for today through
Saturday. Temperatures will cool a few degrees to the mid 70s to low
80s out ahead of the Canadian sfc high.

While mostly dry weather is expected, a few passing mid-level
troughs over or just south of the forecast area may cause showers at
a minimum, with a few thunderstorms also possible. Guidance is still
somewhat uncertain with timing or track of the passing troughs
within the northwest flow of the large ridge still over the
Central portion of the CONUS. The first trough there is some
better agreement that the trough will pass just south of the
forecast area later Thursday evening into early Friday morning.
Another trough will track across the region on Friday night into
Saturday morning, but guidance is still not in as much
agreement with track and rain potential. Timing and track of the
passing troughs will be important as the lack of daytime
heating and displacement from better moisture will help to
minimize rain potential and especially thunderstorm potential.
The best potential for showers/storms is expected for the Friday
evening/night trough.



KEY MESSAGE 2...

A potent shortwave trough and sfc low tracking across the northern
fringe of the large ridge over the Central CONUS will move into the
area on Sunday afternoon. While it is still too far out for the
higher resolution models, this setup within a northwest flow will
result in showers and thunderstorms at a minimum. As usual, timing
and amount of instability available, including cloud cover, will
factor in significantly for the potential for this system to cause
strong to severe thunderstorms for Sunday. Trends will be monitored
as more higher resolution guidance becomes available for Sunday
afternoon. An influx of moisture ahead of the approaching sfc low
will also help increase the potential for heavier rain within
showers/storms.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Restrictions are still expected to develop through the overnight
due to low clouds and fog. Most locations should get into the
MVFR and IFR categories. Potential for LIFR at KELM. These
restrictions should lift by 14Z with a VFR conditions and a
slight northwest breeze for the remainder of the day Thursday.

Outlook:

Thursday night... Areas of low clouds and fog possible after
midnight.

Friday and Saturday...Mainly VFR. Areas of low clouds or fog
and associated restrictions possible early each morning; low
chance for an isolated shower or storm Friday.

Sunday...Restrictions likely with showers and possible
thunderstorms.

Monday...A low chance for showers/storms and associated
restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SJW
AVIATION...MWG