Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

059
FXUS61 KBGM 150602
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
202 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast package. Took out chances for
precipitation and storms Tuesday afternoon for northern Central
NY as model guidance doesn`t reflect this, and confidence is
fairly low.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Beautiful weather expected for the beginning of the week
before an upper level trough brings rounds of showers and storms
starting on Wednesday and carrying through the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

After the passage of yesterday`s cold front, temperatures and
dew points drop into a much more comfortable feel, with high
temperatures in the low to upper 60s, and dew points in the mid
to upper 40s. Skies are expected to be partly cloudy with the
occasional northwesterly breeze up to 10 to 15 mph. Tuesday will
be just as beautiful with slightly warmer temperatures in the
low to upper 70s, with dew points still comfortably in the mid
40s to low 50s.

Active weather returns as an upper level trough situated in
Canada will be the driver of multiple shortwave disturbances
that will pass through our area starting Wednesday. Every day
from Wednesday and heading into the weekend will have some
chances for rain showers and afternoon storms. The day to watch
this week will be Thursday, as a more organized low develops and
moves across the Great Lakes, providing a stronger forcing
mechanism for strong storms to develop. Right now, details are
few and things are uncertain as each mid- to long-range model
guidance has their own interpretation of timing, strength, and
progression, but we`ll continue to monitor trends for Thursday.

Temperatures will be in a general slight warming trend from
today and through the rest of the week, though expected to be
around average or slightly above average during the second half
of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

Post-frontal lowering of ceilings is occurring, which is
bringing at MVFR Fuel Alt and IFR CIGs to all terminals. IFR
restrictions are most likely at BGM, ITH and RME through 09-12z
early this morning. TEMPO IFR CIGs are also expected at AVP and
SYR for the next 1-2 hours (07-08z).

Toward daybreak drier air works into the area which should
scatter out the CIGs for most locations. RME and SYR hold onto
MVFR clouds and CIGs the longest into the early afternoon hours.
Elsewhere ITH will be in the edge of the MVFR clouds through the
day, with BGM and ELM seeing SCT clouds (020-040 ft agl) at
times through the day. AVP will be mainly clear today, with just
a few clouds possible at times in the NW flow. All sites are
expected to go VFR after 17-19z this afternoon, with CLR skies
likely by this evening.

NW winds will become breezy between
10-20 kts by mid morning, continuing through late afternoon.
Winds then diminish quickly by evening, becoming light and
variable tonight.

Outlook:

Late Tonight through Tuesday night...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday through Friday...Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms especially each afternoon as multiple disturbances
pass through; associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...KL/MJM