Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

401
FXUS61 KBGM 052329
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
629 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Slight uptick in showers across NE PA/central NY over the next
  couple of hours with decreasing chances elsewhere.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Fall pattern continues with multiple chances for showers
through the weekend; however, no hazardous weather is expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Fall pattern continues with multiple chances
for showers through the weekend; however, no hazardous weather
is expected.

Current radar outlines some shower activity across the Poconos
and into portions of eastern New York and will likely continue
to bring some rain chances over the next couple of hours to the
eastern half of the forecast area. Recent surface analysis does
outline a cold front across a SYR-UNV-MRB line could bring some
additional shower activity over the next couple of hours further
west which is outlines fairly well in REFS guidance. Given this
potential, have added some shower chances across this region;
however, accumulations will generally be light and be nothing
more than some light, beneficial rainfall across the region.

As this cold front shifts east of the region tonight, drier air
begins to work into the forecast area, with mainly dry
conditions on tap for Friday. The area of low pressure stationed
across the Mid-Atlantic Coast and across the Great Lakes could
bring some light showers late Friday, but best chances appear to
be west/east of the area at this time. Shower potential
increases more markedly for the weekend, with an area of low
pressure moving across southwestern Ontario and into New York
State. All model guidance continues to point towards rainfall
being light with this system with periods of rain through Sunday
morning before another shortwave trough dips down across the
region and brings additional rain chances late Sunday and into
Monday. A slight reprieve from dry conditions appear possible
late Monday through Wednesday based on LREF ensemble guidance,
before an unsettled pattern takes hold of the region for later
in the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Conditions will be mainly VFR this TAF period. Models have some
showers popping up around AVP overnight and those could be
accompanied with MVFR to Fuel Alt ceilings. Given this, a tempo
group was added from 02 to 06z. In addition, fog may be possible
at ELM close to sunrise. Guidance does not show much for fog
and model soundings are dry for most of the overnight hours, so
confidence is low that there will be fog.

Winds are staying a bit more breezy than what guidance was
showing. Some gusts of 15 kt are possible yet this evening.
Winds are expected to become calm overnight. By midday,
southwest to westerly winds will pick back up to 5 to 10 kts.


Outlook...

Friday Night through Sunday...Showers may bring occasional
restrictions.

Monday...Mainly VFR though lingering showers also possible.

Tuesday...Mainly VFR with low chance for showers at RME.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJG/MPK
AVIATION...BTL