Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

119
FXUS61 KBGM 261905
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
205 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front crosses the region later this afternoon, bringing
showers and a sharp drop in temperatures this evening. Areas of
heavy lake effect snow are expected from Friday through
Saturday across western and north Central NY. Winds will also
increase heading into the Thanksgiving weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
An upper level trough and associated surface low over the Great
Lakes is currently keeping our area square in the warm sector,
increasing high temperatures well above average in the upper 50s
to low 60s. A cold front from this system is helping to
progress a line of showers and embedded storms west to east,
which will move through Central NY and NE PA later this
afternoon and early evening. The best chance for some rumbles of
thunder will be in NE PA, but any storm that develops is
expected to remain sub-severe. However, tight pressure gradient
with this line against the incoming cold front is allowing for
winds to gust up to 30 to 40 knots. Overall, expect gusty
showers with the possibility of hearing some thunder through
this evening. As this front progresses through the area,
temperatures will drop overnight into the upper 20s to low 30s.

The upper level trough center moves northeast into Canada, north
of NYS. Flow will switch southwesterly, and a pocket of much
colder air in the mid to upper levels moves overhead the area.
Lake effect snow is expected to begin development off of Lake
Erie overnight tonight. As the trough moves more east and north,
flow becomes west-southwest. The lake band from Lake Erie is
expected to fall southward and stretch into western Central NY.
The trough broadens and pushes north and east, and heading into
the Thursday, flow switches more westerly. For western Central
NY, more specifically Steuben County and portions of surrounding
counties, snow accumulation will begin from the lake effect band
from Lake Erie Thursday morning. A Winter Weather Advisory for
lake effect snow has been issued for Steuben County, in effect
Thursday morning through early Saturday morning, which over the
course of this time frame is expected to receive 3 to 7 inches
of snow. As flow switches more westerly, the snow that they
receive will actually start coming from a long lake effect band
connection, with Lake Ontario now being the bigger influence.
This will be discussed further in the Short Term discussion
below as this goes into Friday.


&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A more significant lake-effect event begins early Friday as the
upper trough passes and winds shift to the west-northwest.
Models consistently show two main lake effect bands, one from
Georgian Bay and another from Lake Huron. The Georgian Bay band
is expected to cross Lake Ontario and impact north-central NY.
The Lake Huron band has potential to bring light snow showers to
the Poconos Friday afternoon, but could still cause travel
issues including the potential for snow squall warnings. The
previous Watches have been upgraded to Lake Effect Snow
Warnings, for Onondaga-Madison-Oneida counties, in effect from 1
AM Friday through 7 AM Saturday. Total snow accumulations for
that period is expected to be 7 to 15 inches, with the most
intense snow fall possible Friday early to late morning.
Additionally, Winter Weather Advisories for lake effect as been
issued for Southern Cayuga-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego counties,
valid for the same time as the Lake Effect Snow Warnings. Total
snow accumulations between 3 to 7 inches can be expected. Winds
remain sub advisory, with gusts up to 40 mph, highest in the
northern Finger Lakes post front and over the Poconos on Friday.
In combination with lake effect snow showers, gusty winds could
produce blowing and drifting snow.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Lake effect snow showers will likely linger into Saturday
morning, possibly longer. There is a ridge of high pressure that
builds into the region on Saturday, and this will eventually
cut off any remaining lake effect snow showers going into the
afternoon. Additional light accumulations will be possible. The
quieter conditions will be brief as low pressure system moves
into the Great Lakes Region during the second half of the
weekend. A warm front will lift north and bring a chance for
rain and snow showers Sunday. In addition, temperatures trend
warmer as well. The cold front is not far behind, passing
through the region overnight and keeping precipitation around.

There is more uncertainty heading into early next week. Drier
air looks to return on Monday though lake enhanced showers north
will be possible. The next chance for more widespread
precipitation will be possible on Tuesday but guidance differs
on the timing and extent of this system.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Strong cold front will push through the region this evening with
scattered showers and gusty winds. These showers may bring brief
IFR restrictions, but capped any restrictions at MVFR for
visibility and ceilings for now.

Following a frontal passage this evening, winds become
southwest to westerly and more breezy. The highest gusts during
this TAF period are expected after 00z with peak gusts around 25
to 30 kt.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon through Friday night...Lake effect snow and
associated restrictions likely, especially late Thursday night
through Friday at KSYR, KRME, and KITH. Strong wind gusts at
all terminals.

Saturday...Some lingering restrictions possible in lake effect
clouds and flurries, otherwise gradual improvement.

Sunday and Monday...Occasional restrictions possible in
scattered rain and snow showers.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning from 1 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday
     for NYZ009-018-036-037.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday
     for NYZ017-044>046.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 1 AM EST
     Saturday for NYZ022.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KL
NEAR TERM...KL
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL/BTL
AVIATION...BTL/MPK