Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

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FXUS61 KBGM 151053
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
653 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rainfall amounts for Sunday have started to trend down some.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A split weekend is expected, as high pressure crosses the area for
today, followed by showers and thunderstorms for Sunday.

2) High pressure will move into the region, providing quiet weather for
Tuesday through most of Wednesday, followed by a quick passing cold
front and another round of showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure tracking just north of the forecast area and a ridge
building across the region will briefly provide for a pleasant day
today. Partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid 70s to low
80s expected today. Winds will also be light with the sfc high just
to the north.

The weather will become unsettled starting Sunday morning/afternoon
as a sfc low tracks over the area. The sfc low will track east
within a shortwave trough extending south out of Canada where
another sfc low will be found near James Bay. Out ahead of the
approaching sfc low, moisture will surge north, causing PWat values
to increase to around or above 2.00" by Sunday afternoon/evening.
With the forcing form the passing sfc low and trailing cold front,
showers will become better organized over the area, with heavy
rainfall possible at times. This will especially be the case for any
thunderstorms that may develop. Thunderstorm potential as of right
now looks minimal, but if shower development is delay to later in
the afternoon and there is a bit more clearing, then some better
instability may develop and increase the potential for some
thunderstorms. Timing among guidance is still in disagreement
between the morning and afternoon for onset time of the
showers/storms. More persistent showers will continue through the
first half of the overnight hours on Sunday night before shifting
off to the east. Scattered to isolated showers and a possible
thunderstorm will linger through the day on Monday. Rainfall amounts
are split among the guidance with a stripe of heavier rainfall more
consistently in the Pennsylvania portion of the forecast area. This
is the area where better forcing is expected with the moisture in
place. Rainfall of up to around an inch is possible for the northern
half of the forecast area, and closer to an inch and a half for the
southern half is possible. But again, rainfall amounts from guidance
are trending lower.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure will track across the Ohio Valley and to the Eat Coast
from Tuesday through Wednesday. This will allow for quiet weather
for the majority of both of these days. Afternoon highs in the mid
70s to low 80s can also be expected.

As of the latest guidance, a cold front will extend south from a
potent sfc low up near Hudson Bay. This front will track east across
the area late Wednesday through Thursday, bringing another round of
showers. Some guidance brings the front through quick, while other
guidance is a bit slower with the passage as a sfc low develops and
moves along the boundary. This far out, guidance is sure to flip
back and forth in time.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Morning fog/mist will result in LIFR visby restrictions at
least KELM this morning prior to 13Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected through most of the TAF period (at least through
12Z Sunday). Fog may once again develop at KELM late
tonight/early Sunday morning.


Outlook...

Sunday...Restrictions likely with showers, especially in the
afternoon/evening hours. Some thunder also possible.

Monday...A few isolated showers or thunderstorms possible with
associated restrictions.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Some potential for
early morning fog, mainly at KELM.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SJW
AVIATION...BJG