Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

473
FXUS61 KBGM 300551
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
151 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rain showers and light rainfall amounts were added to the forecast
for late Sunday as guidance has trended earlier and wetter.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) It will be cool and breezy today with spotty showers lingering
through the morning hours.

2) An upper level blocking patter develops this weekend and will
remain in place through much of next week. Conditions will be
mild yet mostly dry.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Colder air has filtered in behind a departing cold front. Most of
the region will see a 5 to 10 degree difference between the highs
today compared to what was observed yesterday. Conditions will
gradually become partly to mostly sunny after some lingering showers
dissipate this morning. Gusty winds will gradually become calmer as
well, though some peak gusts between 30 and 40 mph will be possible
yet through the morning hours as stronger winds above the surface
mix down. Model soundings show potential for wind advisory level
gusts in the higher elevations of the Poconos. However, there is a
small window where this would occur and all of those winds would
have to mix down to even reach criteria. Given this, no wind
advisory was issued. These strong winds will make conditions
blustery in the morning as the apparent temperature will be at least
a few degrees colder than the actual temperature. Overnight, skies
will be clear and winds become light. Expecting a good radiational
cooling night, temperatures were lowered below most guidance using a
blend of Conshort and NBM`s tenth percentile, resulting in
forecasted lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Higher elevations of
the Catskills could see a brief period (1-2 hours) of patchy frost.
Due to the brief duration and limited coverage, it was decided that
a frost advisory is not needed.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

An Omega blocking pattern develops this weekend and looks to remain
in place through much of next week. For the Northeast, that
means a trough will be over the region though conditions will be
fairly mild as daytime temperatures will be close to normal
with highs in the 60s and 70s. Nighttime temps will be near or
slightly below normal as lows will be in the 40s and 50s. Weak
disturbances will ride along the trough and support off-and-on
rain showers early in the week. These showers will be light and
not amount to much. Daytime heating may lead to just enough
instability for isolated afternoon thunderstorms as well.

Late in the week, the blocking pattern stays in place. Initially, it
looked like it would begin to erode, though the ridge extends well
north into Canada. For the Northeast though, the trough/low will
slide east, leading to more west to southwesterly flow and resulting
in a slight warm up and drier conditions. There does remain
uncertainty though as deterministic guidance continue to vary on how
exactly the pattern will look during the second half of the week. If
the trough/low stay closer to our region, then conditions will be
slower to warm up than forecasted.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MVFR cigs will rotate around the back side of a low tonight,
affecting all terminals at some point. AVP will have the most
intermittent MVFR cigs while ITH and BGM have the highest
confidence in persistent MVFR cigs. Day time heating and dry air
advecting in aloft will help scatter out the cigs by 18Z. High
pressure building in tonight will cause winds to weaken
considerably after sunset.

Outlook:

Saturday night through Sunday night... Mainly VFR.

Monday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR, but isolated showers
each afternoon may result in brief restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...AJG