Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

474
FXUS61 KBGM 241034
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
634 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered temperatures this morning to match trends overnight.
Temperatures tonight were also lowered a few degrees given
similar conditions tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure remains in place through Friday with
seasonably cool mornings.

2) Coastal low moves into the Coastal Mid Atlantic region with
some rain along and east of I-81 and breezy conditions this
weekend.

3) High pressure returns early next week with a gradual warm up
into mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A cold continental air mass along with a strong surface high
remains in place today. Clear skies and calm winds overnight has
lead to pockets of lows in the 30s while the rest of the region
fell into the low 40s. Today will be similar to yesterday
though some more high clouds sneak into the Northeast as a
coastal low deepens off the coast of the Carolinas. Dry air in
place and a similar set up tonight as last night, temperatures
will drop off with lows falling to almost identical values as
this morning. Some patchy frost is possible in elevated deeper
narrow river valleys of the Twin Tiers, Catskills, and Southern
Tug Hill.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Models continue to slowly hone in on the evolution of the
Noreaster this weekend. Trends overnight have concentrated the
low center a little farther to the west with the low occluding
off the Mid Atlantic coast rather than off the New England
coast. Precipitation chances were raised in the Catskills but
they were not extended west too much as dry air from the strong
high pressure to the west will help dry out the back side of the
precipitation shield. Winds look to be breezy Saturday and
Sunday with northerly winds of 10 to 15 mph and gusts up to 25
mph. Ensemble spreads in the low pressure centers is still very
high given how close we are to the system being near by but even
the farthest west solution would keep the heaviest rain and
strongest winds east of the Catskills. Overall impacts to our
region will be minimal with this noreaster.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

Once the noreaster occludes and moves out to sea Sunday night
into Monday, upper level ridging builds back in. Southwest flow
brings in a milder air mass aloft with a gradual warm up
expected into mid week. Subsidence aloft along with moisture
return taking its time post noreaster, precipitation chances are
low to none Monday through Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Current LIFR restrictions at ELM will clear out clear out by
mid-morning, along with the rest of the valley fog that has
formed. High pressure will bring VFR weather across the region
today. Another chance for fog at ELM tonight, with IFR and lower
restrictions possible after 08z.


Outlook...

Friday...VFR conditions expected.

Friday Night through Monday...Mostly VFR with a chance for
showers east of I81 corridor.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG
AVIATION...JTC