Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

516
FXUS61 KBGM 011713
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
113 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast package. Extreme Heat Warnings
continue through Friday evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Heat and humidity becomes unhealthy and dangerous in some areas
for the rest of this week.

2) Several rounds of scattered thunderstorms could occur through
the week and into the weekend. Severe weather and locally heavy
rainfall and flooding will be possible within the favorable
warm and humid conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A strong ridge of high pressure will continue to build northward
through the region over the next couple of days. Humidity will
increase a bit as well with the moist west-southwest flow.

Most locations should get into the low and mid 90s this
afternoon, coupled with the humidity this should get the top
heat index values above 100 to locally 110 degrees this
afternoon. Thursday looks like the warmest day with indications
a few locations may hit 100 degrees for the high temperature.
Temperatures then should drop slightly Friday, but still remain
very hot and muggy. Modeling shows a cold front bringing
potential relief to the heat wave by the weekend.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

Modeling continues to have a poor handle on the potential for
storms. Conditions are currently very ripe for storm
development, with many areas across the region already seeing
dewpoints in the mid-70s. We`ll continue to see the ridge-riding
MCS systems coming in from Canada, with their timing and
placement having low confidence. Though, we will be able to see
them well ahead of time, as they typically ride along the top of
the ridge and drop southward into our area. A cold front looks
to sag south into the region for the weekend increasing the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms, but also dropping
dewpoints.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF period. There is
a chance for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms this
afternoon. While confidence is low, tempo groups were added to
AVP, BGM, SYR, and RME for MVFR visibilities due to showers. If
a thunderstorm looks to impact a terminal, then an amendment
will be made. Guidance continue to favor MVFR fog at RME
tonight. Model soundings do show a shallow inversion so fog may
be possible at other terminals, especially if it rains, but
confidence remains too low to include fog elsewhere. Winds will
become light overnight before picking back up to 5 to 10 kts by
early afternoon Thursday.


Outlook:

Thursday...VFR conditions expected.

Friday through Sunday...Mostly VFR, but intermittent
restrictions will be possible with isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms each afternoon.

Sunday Night through Monday...Restrictions possible due to
widespread showers afternoon isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Current High Temperature Records:

7/1: BGM - 90 (2018), SYR - 94 (2018), AVP - 95 (2018)
7/2: BGM - 92 (1966), SYR - 96 (1963), AVP - 98 (1966)

Forecasts for 7/1 and 7/2 are at or just over the daily
records.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ038>040-043-
     044-047-048-072.
NY...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT Friday for NYZ009-015>018-
     022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...BTL
CLIMATE...MDP