Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

391
FXUS61 KBGM 061051
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
651 AM EDT Wed May 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Total rainfall today was lowered slightly as the steady rain is
expected to end a few hours earlier than previously expected.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A broad area of low pressure is moving through today, with
persistent light rain and cool temperatures.

2) Cool but drier NW flow tonight into the weekend brings below
average temperatures and a frost threat Thursday night into
Friday morning.

3) Active pattern returns this weekend into early next week,
but remaining cool as cold air aloft continues to move in from
the NW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A broad, elongated surface low coupled with being in the left
exit region of a 250 mb jet streak moving in sets us up for a
wet day today. Steady, stratiform rain moves in from SW to NE
early this morning and persist at least into the late morning or
early afternoon. Rainfall amounts were lowered slightly from
previous forecast, down to around a half inch to an inch for the
Finger Lakes into CNY, and between a quarter inch and a half
inch for the Southern Tier and south. The cold front associated
with the low is moving in faster, and some residual dry air may
slow the onset time later tonight some. The steady rain ends
from NW to SE as the cold front drops in and surface high
pressure builds in.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

With high pressure building in tonight and 850 mb temperatures
falling back to just below 0C, there will be a frost risk
tonight and Thursday night. Winds may be too high tonight, with
high pressure centered well to our west, helping to at least
keep a breeze going for the first few hours of the night.
Forecast soundings also keep a fairly shallow layer of moisture
near the surface behind the departing precipitation lessening
the efficiency of any radiational cooling. Tomorrow night looks
slightly better, though the center of the high is still west of
the region. With the shorter nights, it will take most of the
night too cool off and if the winds can remain elevated in the
evening for even a few hours, it may be enough to keep low
temperatures in the mid and upper 30s rather than low 30s.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

The northeast is looking like we will remain under a long wave
trough into next week. After the dry period behind the rain
today into the weekend, the weekend into next week is looking to
have more frequent chances of rain. High pressure over the SE
US moves off shore, allowing for gulf moisture to stream back
northward into the plains. This will give some higher
precipitable water values for shortwaves rotating around the
base of the long wave trough to have more precipitation with it.
The good news, the amount of cold air streaming into the
northeast is going to become more limited as warmer air is
slowly working its way into the cold air mass over Canada.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A cold front will push through the region today. This frontal
system will bring widespread rain and IFR restrictions this
morning through this afternoon. AVP is expected to remain VFR
the longest, with restrictions arriving by mid morning.
Conditions will improve later in the afternoon from north to
south, although restrictions will still likely be MVFR through
the remainder most of the forecast period with VFR conditions
possibly returning late tonight. However, there will be a chance
for fog overnight if skies clear, especially at ELM.


Outlook:

Thursday through Thursday night...Mainly VFR, though valley fog
possible in the morning hours at KELM.

Friday night through Sunday...Cool and unsettled period with
intermittent chances for showers and restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG/MDP
AVIATION...ES/MPK