Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

146
FXUS61 KBGM 160935
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
535 AM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Added in valley fog across the Twin Tiers, Catskills and
portions of Northeast PA this morning. Added a small chance for
pop- up storms for the Finger Lakes and northern Central NY for
this afternoon. Additionally, we increased wind gusts for the
incoming system Thursday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry weather continues today with temperatures around average.
A few pop-up storms possible for the Finger Lakes and northern
Central NY this afternoon.

2) An upper level trough will bring rounds of showers and
storms tomorrow through the end of the week. The best chance
for showers and storms will be on Thursday, along with breezy
conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Dry weather continues today, and temperatures warm to around
average. The main difference forecast-wise is the added
potential for pop-up storms in the Finger Lakes and northern
Central NY this afternoon. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies
expected.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Active weather returns as an upper level trough situated in
Canada will be the driver of multiple shortwave disturbances
that will pass through our area starting tomorrow. Every day
from tomorrow and heading into the weekend will have some
chances for rain showers and afternoon storms. The day to watch
this week will be Thursday, as a more organized low develops and
moves across the Great Lakes, providing a stronger forcing
mechanism for strong storms to develop. As guidance begins to
focus in on this system, a deepening center low tracks over the
Great Lakes in the morning hours Thursday, which will push a
frontal boundary through the area in the morning through the
afternoon, which would bring rounds of showers and storms.

Besides rain and storms, we see quite an impressive pressure
gradient pinch from the deepening low center that will help
increase winds across the area in the morning and afternoon
hours. This could result in wind gusts up to 40 mph, and could
be even higher in areas with complex terrain. Winds decrease
heading into Thursday night, and multiple shortwaves from the
aforementioned upper level trough will continue to push into our
area through the rest of the week, and heading into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

High confidence in VFR conditions at most terminals through 06Z
Wednesday.

The exception will be ELM, where dense valley fog has moved into
the airfield from the west early this morning, along the Chemung
River and Sing Sing Creek. Amended ELM TAF to include IFR Fog,
with TEMPO Below Airport Minimum CIG/VIS restrictions; mainly
from 9-11z this morning, with the fog likely to scatter out
between about 12-13z this morning.

By this afternoon, some mid level cumulus clouds are
expected to develop between about 050-070 ft agl across the
area. There is a slight chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm
across the Finger Lakes to Lake Ontario plain. Confidence was
not high enough to include in any TAF at this time.

Initial northwest winds become light and variable
overnight under a mostly clear sky, then roughly 4-8 knots from
the southwest later this morning and afternoon. Winds then turn
east-southeast tonight, under 5 kts.

Outlook:

Late Tonight...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday and Wednesday night... Restrictions possible from
scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon. Showers
with restrictions likely Wednesday night. Low level wind shear
also likely Wednesday night.

Thursday and Thursday night... Restrictions from showers and
thunderstorms likely. Very breezy, southwest winds become
westerly. Timing still uncertain with restrictions and wind
shifts.

Friday through Saturday...Possible intermittent restrictions
from scattered showers; breezy with westerly wind gusts each
afternoon.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL/MJM
AVIATION...MJM/MDP