Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

156
FXUS61 KBGM 071047
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
647 AM EDT Thu May 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased cloud cover and chances of precipitation tonight with
the passage of a shortwave visible in water vapor imagery in the
western Great Lakes. Temperatures were also increased so frost
was reduced in areal coverage in the weather grids.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cool today with a few isolated rain showers developing late,
patchy frost possible tonight.

2) Unsettled pattern this weekend with several low pressure
systems moving in, along with warmer temperatures.

3) A cold front sweeps through the region Sunday, with a cooler
air mass settling into the region through the early part of
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

With 850 mb temperatures back down around 0C, temperatures
today will struggle to get into the 50s. Water vapor imagery
this morning shows a shortwave moving through which helped keep
clouds and pockets of drizzle in the area, with temperatures
remaining a few degrees warmer than forecast. Once this
shortwave is through around sunrise, there will be a period of
sun, though this will not last long. Clouds move back in as
another shortwave moves in that is currently over the western
Great Lakes. Chances of precipitation were increased for late
this afternoon and tonight, mainly in the Finger Lakes region
into CNY given that models show some good amplification in the
shortwave despite the lack of low level moisture. With the
timing of the shortwave this evening, overnight lows were raised
a few degrees with the cloud cover now expected, so widespread
frost or a freeze is looking less likely.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

The trough in place flattens out Friday with return flow
developing in the lower atmosphere. An area of low pressure
moves in Friday night into Saturday with a warm front lifting in
with rain along it. Rain showers will persist through most of
the day Saturday as the center of the low passes through NY and
PA. Overall rainfall amounts will not be much as there is not a
lot of precipitable water available and overall lift is not
great to get higher rainfall rates. Brief ridging builds in
Saturday night into Sunday morning with warmer Southerly flow.
Unfortunately, the ridge breaks down faster with a cold front
moving in quicker so high temperatures were lowered almost 10
degrees from previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

The area of low pressure that moves through our region Saturday
will deepen into a stronger low in eastern Canada. This once
again brings in cold air aloft on the backside of the low, with
850 mb temperatures back below freezing leading to cooler than
average temperatures. Model RH fields at least show there will
be plenty of moisture so that could help prevent frost and
freezes in the overnight hours early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Mostly unlimited skies early will be defeated by advancing mid-
level VFR ceilings after 15Z today which will continue through
the rest of the period, lowering to around FL050 overnight.
Flight category restrictions are not anticipated at this time.

Generally West to Northwest winds 6-12 KTS with gusts up to 20
KTS becoming light again this evening.

Outlook:

Friday through Monday..Cool and unsettled period with
intermittent chances for showers and restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG
AVIATION...JAB