Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

376
FXUS61 KBGM 061040
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
640 AM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Sustained winds and wind gusts were increased across the area
through this afternoon from the previous forecast; otherwise,
just some minor adjustments were made to the timing and coverage
of the lake effect and lake enhanced rain/snow showers today
through Tuesday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Breezy and chillier today through Tuesday with isolated to
scattered rain and snow showers. Snow showers are expected to be
most widespread later tonight into Tuesday morning which can
result in minor accumulations.

2) High pressure and drier weather is expected for mid-to-late
week. Near to below average temperatures Wednesday will give way
to moderating conditions for the second half of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

An upper trough settling over the area will lead to a breezy
and chillier day with northwesterly flow in place. Temperatures
at 850mb continue to fall and are expected to dip to around -10C
this morning, and as surface temperatures continue to fall near
and below freezing to start the day, any mixed rain and snow
showers are expected change over to all snow. However, with
model soundings showing the moisture profile being pretty
shallow, the lake effect snow showers around this morning are
expected to remain light.

The snow shower activity early this morning is expected to
taper off a bit midday and early afternoon, however, with the
cold air aloft, some breaks of sunshine and steep low-to-mid
level lapse rates, there can be convective rain/snow showers
that develop during the afternoon and evening. NAM soundings in
particular even show a little bit instability during this time,
so a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out as the previous AFD
mentioned. Highs today range from the upper 30s to the mid 40s,
but the valley locations of NE PA can reach the upper 40s to
near 50 degrees.

A clipper system and supporting 500mb shortwave rounding the
base of a broad upper trough move in later tonight into
Tuesday, drawing down even colder air from the north and
bringing a more widespread round of mainly snow showers. Given
the late-night timing of this snowfall and lows falling back
into the 20s and lower 30s, there can be some minor
accumulations ranging from a dusting to an inch or two, with the
highest totals into early Tuesday morning mainly in the higher
terrain near and north of Route 20. Tuesday`s highs will be
mainly in the 30s, while overnight lows Tuesday night drop back
into the teens and low 20s giving us quite the winter chill
first thing Wednesday morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

As the upper level trough departs Tuesday night and high
pressure begins to build in, one of the longer stretches of
drier conditions it seems in recent weeks develops Wednesday and
Thursday allowing for area rivers, streams and lakes to start
to lower a bit.

With zonal flow and even a little ridging aloft setting up weak
warm advection, temperatures will be on the rise Wednesday
through Friday. High temperatures are expected to go from the
mid 40s and lower 50s Wednesday to the 60s area-wide by Friday.
While Wednesday night still looks chilly, overnight lows return
to the 40s Thursday and Friday nights. A frontal boundary looks
to approach the area later Friday or Saturday, but with high
pressure expected to be over the Southeastern U.S. blocking
moisture-rich air coming up from the south, this system looks to
become pretty moisture-starved by the time it reaches our area.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered lake effect snow showers continue across portions of
the area. MVFR ceilings at ITH and BGM should lift to VFR,
joining the rest of our terminals by mid morning.

Scattered rain showers are expected to move over the area in the
afternoon, but with dry air at the surface, most of the
precipitation is not expected to reach the ground. A low
pressure system is expected to into the area in the evening thru
the overnight hours. This will develop scattered snow showers
across much of CNY, with MVFR ceilings at all NY terminals by
midnight, lasting thru most of the overnight hours.

Winds are expected to be active into the afternoon hours, with
gusts between 20-25kts, dissipating by late afternoon.


Outlook:

Tuesday into Tuesday afternoon...A clipper system will bring
scattered snow showers with possible restrictions, as colder
air is reinforced across the area.

Late Tuesday through Thursday Night...Mainly VFR.

Friday...A weak frontal zone may encroach into the area with a
chance of rain showers and associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG/DK
AVIATION...JTC