Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

834
FXUS61 KBGM 272346
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
646 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Precipitation chances were slightly increased Saturday night into
Sunday morning for a cold front that will bring widespread
light snow showers to the region.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure will keep conditions mild and dry through the start
of the weekend.

2) A strong cold front will move through the region late Saturday
night with widespread snow showers. Below average temperatures are
expected through early next week.

3) The pattern will remain active throughout the rest of the week as
multiple systems will pass through the region. Temperatures will
trend warmer through the second half of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure remains in control through Saturday along with
southwesterly flow. Warm and dry conditions are expected today with
mostly sunny skies and temperatures warming into the low to mid 40s
this afternoon. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow with
slightly warmer temperatures in the mid 40s to low 50s. Partly sunny
skies will gradually fill as a short wave approaches the region.
This quick system will try to bring precipitation tomorrow
afternoon, but will have trouble materializing with dry air in
place. The best chances for rain and rain/snow mix will be across
north central NY including northern ares of the Finger Lakes
and up through the Tug Hill Plateau. Otherwise clear skies look
to hold over northeast PA.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A stronger cold front will move through the region Saturday night
into Sunday morning with snow showers. This front will bring
widespread accumulating snowfall to the region, though amounts will
be light. There are some differences in QPF with the GFS hinting at
higher amounts, but the ECMWF has a lighter amount. Kept the
NBM which has QPF ranging up to a tenth of an inch bringing a
quick 1 to 2 inches of snow to some spots, although most areas
look to remain under an inch. Following the front, northwesterly
flow will support some light lake effect snow showers, though
these will be short lived as high pressure returns. Overnight
lows will fall into the 20s Saturday night with even cooler
temperatures expected Sunday night with lows in the single
digits.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

A more organized low pressure system approaches the region from
the midwest with southwest flow out ahead of it. The track of
the low will be then have an influence on what precipitation
types are observed. If this low tracks more north, warmer
conditions would favor more rain though there would also likely
be an axis of a wintry mix that could include freezing rain. A
more southern track will favor more snow and potentially
widespread snowfall accumulations. With these uncertainties, the
forecast leans on NBM guidance for temperatures and timing of
this event. A rain/snow mix is used for any areas where a wintry
mix would be possible. Temperatures will then trend warmer
through the second half of the week as highs in the 40s return
on Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions expected across the region through the overnight
hours. An approaching trough will increase winds tonight with
LLWS developing at all CNY terminals up to FL020 out of the SW
at 40-45kts from around midnight to the early morning hours.
Light rain showers will develop along the leading edge of a
trough axis and weak cold front moving through the area in the
morning. IFR is not expected at this time. SYR/RME should see
some MVFR ceilings in the morning hours, but should become VFR
again in the afternoon.

AVP will be far enough south of this system that VFR conditions
will prevail and LLWS is not expected.

Outlook:

Saturday Night through Sunday Night...Occasional IFR
restrictions possible as snow showers move in from the west.

Monday through Monday Night...Mainly VFR; low chance of snow
showers during the day Monday.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Chance for rain/snow showers and
associated restrictions, especially later Tuesday into Wednesday

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/ES
AVIATION...JTC