Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

930
FXUS61 KBGM 280554
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1254 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Snow totals have increased across northern Onondaga County
tonight into Wednesday with the next lake effect snow band
expected to drop south, especially over NW Onondaga. If
confidence increases regarding the inland extent of this band, a
short fused winter weather advisory may be needed.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cold Weather Advisory through the Wednesday Morning Commute
in NEPA/Steuben county.

2) A few inches of lake effect snow tonight, mainly localized to
Northern Onondaga county with lighter snow just to the south and
east. Additional

3) An arctic blast will bring very cold temperatures and wind
chills to the region through Saturday. Nor`easter currently
looking to impact only areas east of our region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Yet another cold night is expected across the region tonight as
a cold front sweeps through. This will bring another shot of
arctic cold into the region. Cloud cover will be the biggest
challenge with temperatures again tonight. Lows look to fall to
around 0 again tonight in the Southern Tier of NY and NEPA where
clouds should break up some. Clouds further north should keep
the temperatures slightly warmer. With some light winds, wind
chills have the potential again to drop to -10 to 15F in Steuben
county and NEPA again. As a result, the cold weather advisory
has been extended.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Modeling has trended to a bit more organized west northwest
flow lake effect snow band into northern Onondaga county along
with clipping northwest Madison county and western Oneida
county. The most favorable timing looks to be this evening into
the overnight. With ratios still 15-20:1, fluffy snow is still
expected with only a few tenths of QPF yielding 4 or 5 inches
north of Syracuse. A winter weather advisory has been issued
with that in mind. Some additional lake effect snow showers are
possible again Thursday and Friday with another reinforcing
shot of arctic air.


Key Message #3

Temperatures look to trend even slightly colder Thursday through
Saturday. Current wind chill values could get as low as -15 to
-25F each night with only single digits and teens for highs.
 More cold weather headlines will likely be needed as we get
 closer in time. A nor`easter is still expected to track near or
 off the east coast this weekend. The majority of model and
 ensemble guidance continues to trend east with the GFS/GEFS
 trending west. The phasing is occurring much later with this
 storm waiting till reaching the southwest coast. Modeled height
 rises do not look sufficient enough to track this system close
 enough to the region at this time for a snow storm.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Lake effect snow continues for RME and SYR with IFR and LIFR at
times. The band weakens and drops south over the next few hours
so RME will get a reprieve while SYR still deals with IFR at
times.

The snow band lifts back to the north in the morning with
another round of IFR at SYR and RME through about 18Z before it
is north of the terminals.

Some brief MVFR cigs are possible at BGM and ITH being at higher
elevations mid day but otherwise all other terminals are VFR.

Outlook...

Thursday thru Saturday... A few rounds of light snow showers with
the potential for off and on lake effect snow showers at KRME and
KSYR. Occasional restrictions likely.

Sunday...VFR with medium confidence. Monitoring trends of
potential strong low pressure system moving northeast through
the Western Atlantic.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
     PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ018.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for NYZ022.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...AJG