Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

898
FXUS61 KBGM 291746
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
146 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Shower and thunderstorm chances have trended earlier for Sunday.
Showers and storms could hit as early as late Sunday afternoon
through Sunday evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry weather continues through most of Sunday morning.

2) Active weather returns starting Sunday afternoon, continuing
through much of the new work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The dry weather to start the weekend will continue into Sunday
morning for most areas. This will occur as high pressure tracking
across the area will slowly track off the coast through tonight. As
the sfc high pushes east of the area, temperatures and humidity will
increase some from previous days. A shortwave trough approaching
from the northwest will start to increase the potential for showers
with a few thunderstorms starting later Sunday morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Showers with some thunderstorms will increase in coverage for Sunday
afternoon and evening as a weak shortwave trough crosses the region
during the peak heating of the day. Another batch of more organized
showers will track across the area as another shortwave tracks
southeast along a stalled frontal boundary across the region. This
will become the theme for the coming work week as a ridge develops
over the Lower Mississippi Valley to the SE CONUS. Northwest flow
events over the region will continue along the northeastern
periphery of the ridge through the week. This will result in several
rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the week at different
times. The greatest potential for severe weather is expected for
Wednesday when a potent shortwave trough will dive southeast across
the region. This is still in day 5, so a lot can change and any
changes in the track of the trough are certainly possible, resulting
in storms further south or north of current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions will persist at most terminals through the next
24 hours as high pressure slowly slides to the east. The
exception will likely be ELM where another round of valley fog
should fill in late tonight/Sun morning. An area of 6-8kft SCT
to BKN clouds is pushing in from western NY, but should continue
to break up through the afternoon. Skies expected to be mostly
clear with thin high clouds after 02Z. The next push of mid/high
clouds arrives after 15Z. A SW wind behind the departing high
tonight will push clouds into the area and keep winds light.
More patchy valley fog is expected at ELM tonight. A few showers
could be in the vicinity of ITH and/or ELM by 16-17Z Sunday,
before a better chance after 18Z.

Outlook...

Sunday afternoon and Sunday night...Mainly VFR with scattered
showers and isolated storms and periods of MVFR or lower
restrictions in the rain.

Monday through Thursday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible with associated restrictions, especially each
afternoon/evening.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SJW
AVIATION...BJT/JTC