Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

407
FXUS61 KBGM 220632
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter Storm Watches were upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings.
Counties under a Warning include Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan
counties of NY, and Susquehanna-Wayne-Pike-Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Wyoming of PA. Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for
Bradford County of PA, and Broome-Chenango-Madison counties of
NY. All winter headlines are in effect from 1pm Sunday through
7pm Monday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A Nor`easter will develop to our south early Sunday and moves up
the coast through Sunday night bringing accumulating snowfall to the
region.

2) Active pattern continues next week with temperatures warming back
up to near normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The main concern in the forecast period will be the strong
Noreaster expected to impact the region starting this afternoon
through Monday. On mid-level water vapor, we can see the
beginning of the development of shortwave off of the coast of
South Carolina which will play a key role in the strengthening
of this system. Off to the west, a trough over the eastern Mid-
West is starting to deepen with an embedded shortwave starting
progressing along the trough. As the trough propagates
eastward, we begin to see the embedded shortwave and the off-
short disturbance phase, resulting in a strong coastal low that
will bring widespread heavy snow along the East Coast.

Although confidence is increasing, uncertainty remains where the
sharp gradient of heavy snow versus some lighter accumulating
snow may take place. Guidance is coming to a better agreement
regarding this sharp cut off. However, another consideration
would be any FGEN banding on Monday as the main storm exits
along New England, resulting in some locally higher snowfall
totals, as some of the mesoscale models have depicted.

The main widespread, heavy snowfall will concentrate in NE PA,
the Catskills, and slightly north up to Otsego County of NY
starting Sunday afternoon through Monday. Winter Storm Warnings
have been issued, as well as Winter Weather Advisories, for NE
PA and portions of Central NY. For areas under a Warning,
snowfall totals are expected to be between 7 and 16 inches, with
locally higher amounts in the Poconos. Additionally, if any FGEN
banding were to occur, these totals could increase.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

An active weather period this upcoming week can be expected with
a turbulent pattern. A clipper system will move through in the
midweek bringing light snowfall, and then another low pressure
system towards the end of the week. A warm front associated with
this system may push north into the region late Thursday with
milder air possible over the southern half of the region.
Precipitation would initially be rain but then would become snow
as colder air filters in. While there is some uncertainty with
this system, guidance has high pressure building in on Friday
and sticking around into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Ceilings have scattered out ahead of approaching snow showers
from the SW. SYR and BGM continue to have LIFR ceilings with
moisture trapped under an inversion. This should last the rest
of the overnight hours.

Widespread IFR conditions will return later this morning as
snow moves in from the SW. A dry slot works its way in from the
NE, lifting restrictions to MVFR at RME and SYR through the rest
of the TAF period. ITH and BGM will also see MVFR restrictions
this afternoon before falling back to IFR as more snow moves in
tonight. ELM and AVP should remain IFR through the afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday night...Snow and associated restrictions, especially for
KAVP and KBGM. Uncertainty regarding how far northwest the
heavier snow will get, so lower confidence across the rest of
the Central NY terminals. North winds increase overnight 8-15
kts, with gust 20-30 kts late (BGM and AVP)

Monday...Restrictions likely with lingering snow bands and
blowing snow; especially in the morning. Gradual improvement
through the afternoon hours.


Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday through Thursday...Occasional restrictions possible
with light rain/snow.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Monday for PAZ038.
     Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Monday for PAZ039-040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Monday for NYZ036-045-056.
     Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Monday for NYZ046-057-062.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...JTC