Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

045
FXUS61 KBGM 310528
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
128 AM EDT Sun May 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Precipitation chances were increased for today and Monday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) An upper level blocking pattern will be in control for most of
the week. Conditions will be mild and mostly dry.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

An upper level Omega block will be present over CONUS for much
of this week. With a trough over the Northeast, conditions will
be mild yet mostly dry. Temperatures will be near or even
slightly below normal through the middle part of the week as
daily highs will be in the 60s and 70s and overnight lows will
be in the 40s and 50s. The first of many weak disturbances will
move through this afternoon and evening with a line of scattered
showers. This line will dissipate as it moves through the Twin
Tiers with the Wyoming Valley and Poconos staying dry. Daytime
heating and weak forcing will trigger pop up showers Monday and
Tuesday afternoons as well. There may also be just enough
instability and shear to support isolated thunderstorms as well.
Showers that are able to develop will be light. Generally
though, surface high pressure will keep conditions mostly dry.

The pattern is expected to change during the second half of the
week, at least over the Northeast. While there will still be a low
over the west and a weakening ridge in the central US, the
trough/low over the east begins to fill as it drifts eastward
late in the week. This will lead to a more zonal pattern and
a slight warming trend into the weekend with highs in the 80s
for most by Friday. Mostly dry conditions are expected through
the end of the work week as well. A frontal system will
approach the region Friday with the next round of showers.
However, there remains quite a bit of uncertainty as guidance
differ on the timing and coverage.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Given the light winds and temperatures falling fast, fog chances
have increased at ELM and there is a chance that ITH may see
some fog as well. Confidence is low that the fog will become
persistent at ELM and may just become a mist but did get the vis
down to near IFR. The fog chances will be over within a few
hours of sunrise with VFR expected through all of tomorrow into
tomorrow evening.

Outlook:

Sunday afternoon and night... Mainly VFR.

Monday through Thursday...Mainly VFR, but isolated showers each
afternoon may result in brief restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...AJG