Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

226
FXUS61 KBGM 072310
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
710 PM EDT Tue Apr 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Dewpoint and relative humidity were lowered for Wednesday
afternoon and somewhat Thursday afternoon, along with a slight
bump up in temperature compared to prior forecast. These
adjustments are due to significant amount of dry air that will
mix down during peak heating hours.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Clearing, calming, and cold conditions tonight, will be followed
by moderating temperatures and dry weather for the next couple
of days.

2) A cold front with limited moisture, will pass through with
some showers later on Friday to temporarily dip temperatures
Saturday, but much warmer conditions arrive by early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
It has been a blustery day as a cold Canadian air mass advects
across the region, while picking up lake moisture to yield
snow showers and flurries. Gusts have been frequently in the
25-40 mph range; this morning there were even a few gusts above
40 mph including 48 mph in Penn Yan. Winds have just started to
diminish; high pressure will quickly move overhead this evening,
allowing the lake response to cease in favor of a clearing sky
and calming wind. Indeed the clouds have already dried up in the
Wyoming Valley, and the clearing trend will work its way north.
The incoming air mass is also remarkably dry, which will
promote radiational cooling and thus we continue to favor the
lowest end of guidance for forecast lows of mid teens to lower
20s by dawn. This is roughly 15 degrees below average yet still
8-10 degrees from daily records.

High pressure starts on top of us in the morning but shoves
offshore by late Wednesday afternoon, placing us in a light
southerly return flow. That, and abundant sunshine, will boost
temperatures into the upper 40s-mid 50s. Models typically
struggle to mix down low enough dewpoints during peak heating
hours this time of year, when there is very dry air above the
boundary layer. The forecast was adjusted accordingly, which
will send relative humidity values into the 20-30 percent range.
Our waterlogged soil could use all the help it can get for
drying out. Cayuga Lake and Onondaga Lake still have their
Flood Warnings with the persist water level hovering above flood
stage for at least the next couple of days. The return flow
increases a bit more Thursday, edging temperatures up another
5-10 degrees.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
A frontal boundary looks to sag through the region Friday-Friday
night, but with high pressure expected to be over the
Southeastern U.S. blocking moisture-rich air coming up from the
south. The front will trail from a distant low in the Canadian
Maritime Provinces, and will be shallow in nature. So while
showers are likely by Friday afternoon-evening especially in
Central NY, this system looks to have limited moisture by the
time it reaches our area. Forecast rain amounts are figured to
be only one to two tenths of an inch northwest to very little
southeast. With the status of our waterlogged lakes, the
relatively low expectations of this front is good news.

The fairly weak front will temporarily dip temperatures from
mainly 60s-near 70 Friday to upper 40s-upper 50s Saturday.
Significant ridging with a deeper southwest flow early next week
will then bring much warmer weather; 60s Sunday and widespread
70s next Monday-Tuesday. It would not be surprising to see a few
spots approach 80 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
00Z Update...
Some lingering flurries may continue over RME for the first hour
of the TAF period. Otherwise, no precipitation is expected
through 00z Thursday and all terminals will be VFR. Winds are
gradually becoming calmer and will become light and variable
overnight. For some terminals, southerly winds will pick up
Wednesday afternoon as sustained speeds will be near 10 kts.

Outlook:

Wednesday night through Friday morning...VFR conditions.

Friday afternoon through Friday night...A front will dip into
the region with a chance of rain showers and associated
restrictions, especially the NY terminals.

Saturday through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MDP
AVIATION...BTL