Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

391
FXUS61 KBGM 071334
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
834 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Some adjustments with shower coverage and wind gusts through
early next week. Temperature and precipitation coverage late
next week with possible Nor`easter.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Several disturbances within a broad northwest flow pattern
will produce mainly rain showers into early next week.

2) Model guidance has trended toward the development of a
possible Nor`easter late next week along with the first
potential snowflakes of the season for most of the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

An upper level low will pass over the region today bringing
additional scattered showers to the region. We will also start a
cooling trend given the change to a northwesterly wind pattern.
Some lake moisture may get pulled into the picture later today
into Sunday keeping the possibility for a few showers around.
Temperatures should generally be in the 40`s and 50`s through
Monday. A shortwave passing through the area Monday should
renew the potential for some showers likely aided by moisture
off of the northern most Great Lake. A brief break in the action
is possible Tuesday and Wednesday. Clearing may be slower than
forecasted on Tuesday given typical NBM biases. Winds look to be
gusty most days with modeled momentum transfer showing the
potential for 20 mph or higher gusts at times.



KEY MESSAGE 2...

Here is where things have been trending more interesting and
possibly impactful over the past couple of days. The previous
shortwaves should start of the process of sinking the baroclinic
gradient further south allowing some colder air to gradually
filter south later next week. A fairly potent clipper type
system is modeled to dive into the plains and Ohio Valley by
Thursday then complete a Miller B type transfer along the coast
Friday. Where and how that happens features quite a bit of
ensemble spread at this point and a high degree of uncertainity
with most weather elements. The NAO looks to trend favorable
from a modest negative state to slightly positive which would
support the Nor`easter potential. For now, rain chances have
increased some Thursday through Friday and temperatures do
suggest some wintry potential as well. If the track is to our
south, dynamical cooling may allow for a change to a period of
slushy snow. Higher elevations would be favored for any mix.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A frontal boundary with a nearby matured system will continue to
bring scattered rain showers and restrictions through the day
today. Coverage will become more isolated by midday today for
most terminals with ceilings also improving. Showers and
restrictions continue through the end of the TAF period for SYR
and RME and NW flow becomes dominant, resulting in scattered
lake effect rain showers.


Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday...Showers may bring occasional
restrictions.

Monday...Mainly VFR though lingering showers also possible.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR with low chance for
showers at RME.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...KL