Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

716
FXUS61 KBGM 260544
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
144 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes made to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Steady light rain moves in from the southeast this afternoon
associated with the Nor`Easter off the coast. The slow-moving
low pressure system will bring a broad area of rain over
northeast PA and central NY on going into Sunday. Gusty winds
will accompany the rain this weekend.

2) High pressure builds in Tuesday and Wednesday with quiet
weather before the active pattern returns later in the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The deepening area of low pressure off the coast will combine
with a surface high pressure over the Great Lakes to produce
increasing northeast winds over central NY and northeast PA
beginning early this morning, and continuing through the
weekend. This system is expected to take a meandering track to
the north today and hug the NJ coast Sunday before moving
northeastward across New England on Monday.

As this system has begun to take shape, confidence has
increased slightly that rainfall will spread slightly more
westward and inland than anticipated on Sunday. Though we`re
seeing a push more westward, the threat for flooding or
hydrological issues still remains low. With the bulk of expected
to fall on Sunday, overall rainfall amounts beginning this
morning through Sunday night is a half to three-quarter inch for
northeast PA, Catskills, and portions of the Southern Tier, and
less than a half inch elsewhere.

Meanwhile, wind gusts should top out around 20 to 30 mph for
most of the populated areas of central NY and northeast PA, but
some of the higher elevations could see occasional 30 to 40 mph
wind gusts through the weekend.

The event winds down later on Monday/Mon night as the low picks
up speed and lifts to the northeast. Rain will come to an end
Monday night and winds will subside.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A weak ridge of high pressure builds in across the Northeast US
Tuesday and Wednesday, which will cause large scale suppression
and usher in a gradually drying air mass. Skies should clear
out Tuesday night and continue into Wednesday. A warmer air mass
moving in combined with plenty of sun on Wed will allow
temperatures to climb into the lower to mid 70s.

There does appear to be another open short wave that attempts
to move in from the west Thursday or Friday, but the timing and
placement of the boundary is still in question. If the wave
holds back to the west, temperatures could climb again into the
70s. However if more clouds and rain move in quicker,
temperatures could be substantially cooler.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Fog has developed at ITH and is expected to continue through the
night, bouncing between IFR and LIFR restrictions. Guidance is
showing fog chances at ELM as well, but confidence is much lower
tonight than the past few nights given the stronger winds near
the surface. Temps should fall to the fog threshold tonight as
high clouds move east of the terminal. The big question will be
if winds become weak enough to allow for fog to develop. Current
thinking is that we will probably get TEMPO periods of IFR-LIFR
restrictions for a few hours around sunrise as winds will be too
strong to allow for fog to settle for an extended period of
time.

The rest of our terminals will be VFR through the TAF period,
with increasing NNE winds gusting up to 25kts across the region.


Outlook...

Saturday night through Sunday...Rain and associated
restrictions possible, especially on Sunday.

Monday...Some lingering morning restrictions possible with light
rain showers, then becoming mainly VFR.

Monday night through Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJT/KL
AVIATION...JTC