Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

441
FXUS61 KBGM 171733
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1233 PM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Milder weather is expected today and Thursday, with a few
scattered rain or snow showers possible across north Central NY
this afternoon. A strong frontal system passes through the area
Thursday night into Friday with a period of rain, gusty winds
and warm temperatures. After the cold front passes Friday
morning, temperatures drop through the day with rain changing to
snow showers along with continued gusty winds into Friday
night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A mix of clouds and some intermittent breaks of sun expected
today. It will be much milder with highs reaching the mid-30s to
mid-40s across the area.

A weak cold front sweeps through the northern portion of the
forecast area this afternoon and this may bring some isolated
rain/snow showers north of the US-20 corridor. Some light
wintry mix is also possible, but confidence was too low to keep
in the forecast at this time, as QPF amounts are very light and
may completely miss our CWA to the north. Will continue to
monitor this weak weather system, but at this time, any ice
accretion from freezing rain is appearing very unlikely

Warm air advection starts taking hold aloft tonight with upper
level ridging building in, and surface high nearby. Cold air
will likely remain at the surface through the night with lows in
the mid teens to low 20s.

Thursday features mostly sunny, breezy and warm conditions.
South winds do increase between 10-20 mph with gusts up around
30-35 mph possible by the afternoon hours. High temperatures
surge into the 40s during the daylight hours. High temperatures
will likely not be reached until Thursday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Strong cold front will push through the region late Thursday
night through Friday.

Non diurnal temperatures are likely with strong warm air
advection Thursday night into early Friday morning out ahead of
the cold front, temperatures likely surge into the mid-40s to
lower 50s during this time. Southerly winds really ramp up out
ahead of the incoming front to 15-30 mph, with gusts up to 40
mph by Thursday night.

Heavy rain moves in Thursday night and possibly could see a few
embedded thunderstorms. There is potential that rainfall amounts
will reach around or just over 1 inch. At this time, rainfall
and snowmelt does not appear like it will be enough to cause any
significant flooding issues. However, with the frozen ground and
likely up to 2 inches of SWE melting out, there could be minor
hydro concerns such as ponding of water in low lying areas etc.

A strong low level jet of 70 to 75 kts at the 850mb level
pushes in overnight, but forecast sounding are showing a fairly
strong low level inversion Thursday night and it will be tough
to mix winds down to the surface, but still think its possible
for occasional gusts up to 40-50 mph in any convective showers
or if gravity waves can develop. Stronger winds are expected on
early Friday morning with FROPA and advisory level criteria
could be met.

By Friday morning, the sharp cold front will be racing east
across the area, bringing falling temperatures through the day.
Any left over precipitation will eventually changeover to snow
showers by Friday afternoon as 850mb temperatures reach -11C by
sunset. There could be some minor snow accumulations, especially
for north-central NY into the NY Thruway corridor as some lake
enhancement develops into Friday night. Areas of blowing snow
are also likely, as the next surge of stronger winds moves
overhead Friday evening. After a lull in the winds Friday
morning and early afternoon (~10AM - 3PM) 850mb winds increase
back to around 50 kts late Friday afternoon and Friday evening.
Soundings show deep boundary layer mixing, with steep lapse
rates and strong cold air advection. West-northwest winds could
easily gusts 40-50 mph once again in this timeframe, and if
confidence remains or increases wind advisory may be needed.

The lake effect snow showers quickly taper off late Friday night
and end early Saturday morning as mid/upper level ridging
briefly builds, turning winds southerly by Saturday. Otherwise,
Saturday will see mainly cloudy skies with a slight chance for
late day snow showers along and north of I-90 as the next
clipper/warm advection system approaches. The clipper low
passes by well off to our north Saturday night, with scattered
snow showers possible over most of Central NY. Precipitation
and snow amounts look very light in our CWA at this time.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
No significant systems are expected in the long term period,
but several fast moving systems will be possible in zonal flow.

A cold front passes through Sunday morning, with much a colder
air mass settling into the area. 850mb temperatures fall to
around -15C later in the day. Sunday will feature some lake
effect snow showers around, and partly cloudy skies.

It will be much colder Sunday night and Monday behind the
front, with a few lingering snow showers possible. Highly
fluctuating temperatures are possible heading into early next
week, with quick moving frontal systems looking to pass north or
over the area. This type of pattern would bring some light snow
to the area, with brief warm ups as winds turn southerly, then
quick cool downs as winds veer northwesterly behind the fast
moving shortwave systems. The next best chance for more
widespread precipitation arrives Tuesday into Tuesday night,
with light snow or a wintry mix and even some rain possible.
Another quick and shallow cold front could move through next
Wednesday, keeping temperatures near average levels.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A cold front pushes through the area this afternoon and evening
and will bring near MVFR ceilings at the Central NY terminals,
with more persistent MVFR restrictions at KSYR and KRME.

Main impacts this forecast period will be developing LLWS out of
the southwest at 35-40 knots tomorrow morning.

Outlook...

Thursday night through Friday...Strong frontal passage with
rain showers, possibly mixing with or ending as snow showers
along with associated restrictions. Strong LLWS likely Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night.

Saturday...Mostly VFR

Saturday night through Monday...Scattered snow showers across
Central NY with occasional restrictions possible.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...MPK