Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

582
FXUS61 KBGM 092345
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
645 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes made from the previous forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Breezy with lake effect rain showers tapering off overnight.


2) More beneficial widespread rain possible Thursday and
continue to monitor the potential for a stronger low or
noreaster late this week into next weekend, but at this time,
impacts from this system are minimal in our area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Cool northwest flow pattern today with lake effect rain showers
and gusty winds continuing through this evening. Ridge of high
pressure will start to build in overnight with much improved
conditions for Tuesday. Expect decreasing clouds Tuesday across
much of the area, except for possibly the NYS Thruway corridor
on northward. Highs should top out in the upper 50s to low 60s
for most of the region. Wednesday should remain mostly dry, but
an incoming clipper system could start spreading rain showers
into the region by Wednesday evening.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

The pattern will turn much more active for the end of the week
and into the weekend. The guidance is in agreement that a large
upper trough settles over the Northeast U.S. Thursday into
Friday. However, some model guidance and ensembles try to
develop low pressure off the southern coast of New England or
Long Island. There remains quite a bit of spread on where/if
this system will develop and track. What does appear more likely
at this time is our region will be at least under the influence
of an upper level trough/low and cooler temperatures are likely
for the end of the week and this weekend. As for potential
snowfall, boundary layer temperatures at this time appear fairly
marginal, with the best chance for any snow accumulations to
occur during the overnight hours Friday into Saturday and most
likely in the higher elevation areas.

This upper level low could persist through the weekend and into
the first part of next week. This would keep conditions cool and
unsettled under northwest flow, with lake effect rain/snow
showers possible.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

Mainly MVFR CIGS continue into the late evening and first half
of the overnight period, under a cool northwest flow regime.
The exception to this is at AVP, where the lake showers and
moisture are a bit less; leading to VFR level stratus clouds
here.

Tonight, conditions will slowly improve during the late
overnight to early Tuesday morning time period. Lake showers
will scatter out and cloud bases will increase while also
becoming less dense in coverage. Mainly VFR conditions should be
in place by the second half of the overnight (after 06-08z),
with SYR & RME holding onto MVFR flight cats the longest (until
10-12z early Tuesday morning).

Tuesday, mainly VFR conditions expected with westerly winds
gusting to the 20 to 25 knot range once again.

Outlook...

Tuesday night through Wednesday...Mainly VFR with low
chance for showers at RME.

Thursday...Showers and associated restrictions possible.

Friday through Saturday...A mix of rain/snow showers possible
and associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MPK/MWG
AVIATION...MJM/SJW