Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

297
FXUS61 KBGM 011117
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
617 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes from the previous forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mostly dry conditions are expected through midweek with
temperatures running well above average for early November.

2) The next opportunity for rainfall looks to be Thursday into
Friday. Temperatures are expected to trend lower late in the
week, but still remain above average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure overhead early this morning will slowly shift
eastward this afternoon and evening and the flow aloft will
gradually turn more westerly. As a result, temperatures will
start to moderate today with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
A warming trend continues Monday through midweek with upper-
level ridging building in aloft and the flow becoming more
south-southwesterly. Afternoon highs Monday through Thursday
will be running well above average in the 60s with some valley
locations even making a run at the lower 70s, especially
Wednesday and Thursday. This is more typical for mid-to-late
September than the start of November. The same trend goes for
overnight low temperatures as lows go from the 30s and 40s
tonight and Monday night into the 50s again by midweek. While a
couple of sprinkles can`t be ruled out during the midday and
afternoon hours Tuesday around the Finger Lakes and Lake Plain
as a warm front lifts through the area, the next opportunity for
more meaningful rainfall looks to be Thursday into Friday.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

As mentioned above, the next chance for any appreciable rain
looks to be Thursday into Friday. A deep upper trough will move
into the Central U.S. with a surface low expected to form over
the Upper Midwest. The upper trough is expected to slowly push
east, while the surface low looks to gradually pass by to our
north and west, but drags a frontal boundary through the area.
Model guidance has trended a little slower over the past 24
hours with regards to the arrival of showers Thursday and the
speed of the front, so some uncertainty remains this far out.
Most deterministic and ensemble guidance also suggests a
secondary low forms near the mid-Atlantic coast come Friday.
Temperatures look to lower a bit late week and into next
weekend, but still remain above average for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions with light winds expected over the next 24 hours
across the region. Dry air continuing to mix in to the region
will likely prevent any fog tonight.

Outlook...

Monday through Wednesday night...Mainly VFR, potential for
morning fog at KELM.

Thursday...Scattered showers may bring occasional restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DK
AVIATION...AJG