Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

263
FXUS61 KBGM 271053
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
653 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes made to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The Nor`easter will bring gusty winds and rain showers to
the region today, and tapering off going into tomorrow. The
strongest winds are expected today.

2) High pressure builds into the region Tuesday and Wednesday
with quiet weather then expected until rain returns late in the
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The Nor`easter continues to spin off the coast of New Jersey,
with the low center beginning to move slowly westward through
the overnight hours. As it moves right along the coastline this
morning, it will push a heavier rain band north and west, moving
across NE PA and Central NY slowly through the day. Areas in NE
PA and the Catskills are expected to see heavier rainfall first,
with the rain band pushing north and west through the day.
Rainfall amounts have been the most difficult forecase-wise,
which was largely dependent on the speed of the main rain band
supplying the vast majority of the amount. The biggest change
has been decreasing rainfall amounts a little bit, which ranges
from a half to three-quarters inch for NE PA and the Catskills,
and a quarter to a half inch for areas in Central NY, which is
expected to fall over the course of 24 hours. Chances for
flooding and hydrological issues still remains very low.

As the center low pushes up along the NJ coast, the pressure
gradient will tighten, and gusty winds remain expected through
the day Sunday. Wind speeds are still expected to remain below
Advisory criteria.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure will build into the region by Tuesday and bring a
stretch of quieter conditions. With some weak ridging, peaks of
sunshine, and southwest to westerly flow will help bump up the
temperatures midweek with daytime highs near or in the 70s for
the majority of the mid-week.

These pleasant conditions will only last a few days as rain looks to
return late in the week. While models differ on the timing and set
up, a boundary will extend from the Midwest into the Northeast with
showers along it. Where this boundary sets up will determine the
coverage of showers and if conditions dry out in time to start next
weekend. Given the uncertainty, this forecast will maintain low
chance PoPs late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Rain has pushed into the eastern portion of the area and will
continue to spread west as the morning progresses. Conditions
will deteriorate with initial MVFR/Fuel Alt restrictions
thru mid-morning, falling to IFR restrictions by the early
afternoon hours at all terminals except for RME, where Fuel Alt
restrictions should remain thru the TAF period. SYR is not
expected to have prevailing IFR restrictions, but ceilings
could drop in and out of IFR this afternoon. Rain showers
should become isolated by mid to late afternoon but ceilings are
expected to remain IFR through the TAF period for all terminals
except RME and SYR.

Winds will be out of the NNE today sustained at 08-12kts with
gusts of 18-22kts across much of the region. Winds will be a
little stronger at AVP as the center of the low will be to the
south of the terminal. Winds should lighten by the evening
hours.


Outlook...

Monday through Monday night...showers will continue with IFR
ceilings and possible reductions to VSBY at times as well in
showers.

Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR after morning IFR restrictions
on Tuesday. Morning fog in the favorable areas will be possible,
causing localized restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...JTC