Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

906
FXUS61 KBGM 131020
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
620 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast package. While weekend weather
appears quiet tonight through midday Sunday, confidence is
increasing for another round of storms Sunday afternoon and evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Pleasant weather conditions are expected through at least
midday Sunday, until the next chance for showers and
storms appears likely to wrap up the weekend Sunday afternoon
and evening.

2) Benign weather expected through around mid-week next week,
before an upper level trough will support the next weather
system to bring rain showers and storms starting Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

After the passage of a cold front yesterday, relative humidity
values will become much more comfortable for the start of the weekend,
with dew points mixing down into the low to mid 50s under a dry
air mass. Surface high pressure is expected to hold through at
least Sunday morning, before the next system is expected to
bring rain showers and storms heading into the afternoon and
evening hours. Ahead of the system, we`ll see moisture
advecting in, and daytime heating will help increase
instability, with current modeled values are around 500-1000
J/kg, and 0-6 km bulk shear around 40-50 knots. With these
ingredients, there`s potential for strong to severe storms to
ride along the frontal boundary Sunday afternoon through
evening, with the main threats being strong to damaging winds
and hail.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Going into next week, an upper level trough situated over Canada
will be the driver for the upcoming week`s weather. For the
first portion of the week, slightly below average to average
temperatures can be expected, with weak surface ridging keeping
chances for precipitation low. However, the next system begins
to form off of this trough, swinging a large frontal boundary
into the area mid-week. Active weather is expected starting
Wednesday, and likely stretching through the end of the week as
the trough helps to propagate shortwaves into the area,
bringing chances for showers and afternoon storms. Temperatures
increase through the week thanks to relative southwesterly flow.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

VFR conditions expected to prevail over the next 24 hours at
all of our terminals. Just a few mid or high level clouds from
time to time over the area for the next 24 hours, otherwise
clear skies expected.

Wind are light and variable early this morning, becoming west
northwest at 6-15 kts, with a few gusts to 20 kts possible in
the afternoon hours. Winds quickly diminish and turn southerly,
less than 5 kts after sunset into tonight.

Outlook:

Sunday morning...Mainly VFR.

Sunday afternoon through early Monday...Showers and
thunderstorms with associated restrictions likely Sunday
afternoon-evening, followed by lingering low clouds/fog late
Sunday night-early Monday morning.

Midday Monday through Tuesday night...Mainly VFR, but an
isolated shower is possible Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday...Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms and
associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...MJM