Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

899
FXUS61 KBGM 011052
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
652 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The coverage of low chance PoPs was increased on Saturday,
mainly for the afternoon and early evening as there will likely
be scattered to numerous pop up instability showers, especially
across Central NY. The trend of increasing winds and lowering
dew points on Sunday was continued.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure briefly builds with clearing skies and light winds
allowing frost to develop across the area early this morning.

2) A cool air mass will remain across the region through the weekend
with scattered rain showers expected this afternoon through
Saturday. Snow may mix in across the higher elevations later
tonight. Overnight low temperatures will fall into the low to mid
30s through Saturday night, allowing for continued frost/freeze
chances in our growing zones into early Sunday.

3) Temperatures will be on the rise early next week. Despite the
warmer weather, there will be multiple opportunities for
showers through at least midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure briefly builds in across the area early this
morning and drier air moves in, especially at the mid-levels.
The lower levels remain rather moist, so continue to be a few
patchy clouds around and there can be some patches of valley fog
as well prior to daybreak. The Frost Advisory remains in place
until 9AM across the Finger Lakes region and Wyoming Valley
where the growing season has officially begun as of today, with
light to calm winds, especially across the lower elevations and
lows fall back mainly in the lower to mid 30s. While some
patches of frost are expected outside of the advisory area, the
growing season begins May 11th for the rest of the CWA, thus no
other areas will see any headlines early today or through the
chilly spell of weather expected through the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A broad upper level trough stretching from the northern Plains
to the Northeast with a closed upper upper low drifting slowly
from north of the Great Lakes to south of Hudson Bay will be the
main feature through Sunday. A shortwave embedded in the flow
and developing surface low will bring another round of showers
this afternoon continuing into tonight. Temperatures at 850mb
fall to around -3C to -4C late tonight into early Saturday
morning (although the GFS is a little quicker and more
aggressive pushing in the colder air faster and farther south).
Where showers linger into the overnight, primarily east of
I-81, there can be some wet snow that mixes in across the higher
terrain before tapering off prior to daybreak Saturday. Lows
will be in the 30s area-wide tonight.

With west to northwesterly flow continuing with cold air aloft,
additional instability showers are expected Saturday,
especially during the afternoon and evening. Highs will mainly
be in the upper 40s to the mid 50s. The broad upper trough will
become deeper and more amplified Saturday night into Sunday
allowing for the cold, Canadian air to dip even farther south
before the flow aloft becomes more southwesterly later Sunday
night into Monday. As a result, Saturday night is expected to be
the coldest night coming up with some clearing late and light
winds, allowing lows to fall into the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Additional frost/freeze headlines look likely at this time.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

Temperatures trend closer to average on Monday with the return
of southwesterly flow and a more zonal pattern aloft. Highs
Monday range from the upper 50s to the mid 60s with a low chance
of showers as a warm front lifts through. A deepening upper
trough over the Upper Midwest Tuesday will lead to stronger warm
air advection ahead of the associated cold front, sending high
temperatures into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Overnight lows
Monday and Tuesday nights return to the 40s and 50s.

Showers and embedded thunderstorms along and ahead of the cold
front are expected starting Tuesday and continuing into
Wednesday as the front slowly pushes east.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected until the late afternoon. A
batch of rain will move into the area after 21Z today, which
will bring MVFR to Fuel Alternate restrictions to all terminals
during the evening. Lingering low level moisture following these
showers will result in a further deterioration of ceilings and
potentially visbys late this evening/early Saturday morning. IFR
restrictions are possible at the Central NY terminals tonight.

Outlook:

Saturday through Monday... Mainly VFR, but restrictions will be
possible at times in isolated to scattered showers.

Tuesday...Scattered showers and associated restrictions
possible.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for PAZ044-047.
NY...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ015>018.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DK
AVIATION...BJG