Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

904
FXUS61 KBGM 281047
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
647 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes made to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered rain showers expected through the day today for
mainly the Catskills and areas in Northeast Pennsylvania. High
pressure builds in tomorrow, with quiet weather expected
midweek. A frontal system will bring the next round of rain late
this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

With the main system that brought the area rain today will
continue to weaken today, with scattered rain showers expected
mainly for the Catskills and NE PA. Additional rainfall amounts
are only expected to be a tenth to a quarter inch. Otherwise,
seasonable temperatures are expected today as well, with high
temperatures in the low to mid 60s.

High pressure will slowly build into the region behind the departing
system tonight. Winds will become calm, and with model
soundings showing low-level moisture in addition to any
moisture added from recent rainfall, this will likely lead to
widespread fog and/or low stratus tonight into Tuesday morning.

High pressure will continue to build into the region on Tuesday,
bringing a stretch of quieter weather conditions through
midweek. Southwest to westerly flow will advect in much warmer
air and push daytime highs into the 70s. Valley locations may
even reach 80 on Thursday.

Rain will return late in the week, though there remains
uncertainty with timing. A broad low pressure system will set up
over Canada. A frontal system will extend from the low all the
way back into the Midwest. This frontal system will push in as
early as Thursday night and move through on Friday. While there
are some timing differences, model guidance favor high pressure
building in early Saturday behind this front`s departure which
would favor a dry yet cooler start to the weekend. High pressure
will stick around into Sunday though just how long it can delay
the arrival of the next system remains uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered rain showers will continue through the morning, with
IFR restrictions expected at AVP/BGM/ITH. Restrictions should
climb to Fuel Alt by the late afternoon as the rain showers
become more isolated and the Nor`easter moves off to the NE.
There will be an abundance of low level moisture that should
lead to widespread IFR/LIFR restrictions tonight across most
terminals. Some uncertainty remains at a few terminals in
regards to the IFR tonight. Wind direction at AVP and SYR may
keep ceilings from falling to IFR. SYR may see some clearing
which could allow fog to develop, but confidence in this turning
to IFR is too low at this time to include in the TAF.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR after morning IFR
restrictions on Tuesday. Morning fog in the favorable areas will
be possible, causing localized restrictions.

Friday...Chance for scattered showers and associated
restrictions. Moderate confidence.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...JTC