Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

776
FXUS61 KBGM 191119
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
619 AM EST Mon Jan 19 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter weather advisory issued for northern Oneida county. Cold
weather advisory issued for portions of CNY and NEPA Tuesday.
Potential winter storm this weekend with higher confidence in
another round of bitter cold.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Some scattered snow showers, perhaps a squall or two this
afternoon into evening.

2) High confidence in strong winds and cold temperatures Tuesday
with a cold weather advisory issued.

3) Lake effect mainly stays north and west of our forecast area
early to mid week. Close call in northern Oneida county.
Clipper system dies as it reaches our area Wednesday with
another clipper later Thursday.


4) High confidence for another shot of bitter cold this weekend.
Potential winter storm as well.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Any flow off the Great Lakes today looks too
southwesterly to get into our area. However, a cold front
passing through looks to have enough lift and slight instability
to generate some scattered snow showers as it moves through this
afternoon into the evening. Some coatings are possible with
this activity with a few slick spots. Deeper moisture is
lacking for more widespread activity and we don`t have the
potential for a flash freeze so squalls look isolated at best.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

An arctic airmass will charge into the region behind the front.
This shifts the lake effect a bit more westerly providing a
narrow band to sag the band into northern Oneida county for a
few inches of snow. It should be noted, only about 50 miles to
the north snow could be measured in feet. So not a large room
for error with the snowfall forecast here. Leaned out the
usually reliable RGEM. Single digits and teens are likely for
temperatures. Coupled with the wind, we look to have wind chills
in the -5 to 20F range Tuesday morning. Cold weather headlines
have been issued for portions of the area.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

West-southwest flow should keep most of the lake effect snow
north and west of the region. Although, this wind direction off
of Lake Erie may send a few snow showers into CNY Tuesday. A
weak clipper looks to dry out as it tracks northwest of our
region later Wednesday. Moisture looks to be largely absent of
areas downslope of steuben county and south of the NY Thruway.
Another weak clipper looks to have more in the way of snow
showers and possible lake effect Thursday into Friday.


KEY MESSAGE 4...

Another shot of bitter cold is likely this weekend and even
colder than Tuesday. Below zero lows and highs in the single
digits are on the table with some wind as well. Confidence is
high for this bitter cold potential.

Confidence is much lower on a potential winter storm tracking
across the country this weekend. An interesting dynamic between
AI/EXP CMC/UKMET and the more traditional models/ensembles this
weekend. The AI modeling sends higher pressure down the plains
which increases heights enough for a major winter storm to track
closer to the region with widespread snow. Another solution is
for the storm to track well south of the region, missing us
entirely.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Confidence is increasing that morning snow showers will likely
be brief, bringing the possibility of a brief reduction in
conditions.

Late in the afternoon, a cold front moves in and brings a chance
of some heavier snow showers or perhaps some snow squalls. TEMPO
groups remain in for every terminal, between 19z and 23z.
Outlook...

Tuesday through Wednesday morning...Lake effect snow
showers/associated restrictions may visit SYR-RME at times but
otherwise mainly VFR for all terminals. Low confidence for SYR-
RME details.

Wednesday afternoon through Thursday...Stronger signal for a
low pressure system passing by with restrictions possible from
snow showers, especially the NY terminals. Medium confidence.

Thursday night through Friday...Mainly VFR, except intermittent
lake effect snow showers possible SYR-RME, low confidence.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST
     Tuesday for PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST
     Wednesday for NYZ009.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST
     Tuesday for NYZ015-022>024.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...KL