Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

677
FXUS61 KBGM 140642
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
142 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Minor adjustments to PoPs, QPF, temperatures and snow amounts over
the weekend with the periodic lake effect showers and weak shortwave
disturbances moving through.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cool, showery weather pattern continues through the weekend. A
cold northwest flow will bring on and off lake effect snow and rain
showers to the area. The shower activity will be further enhanced by
a shortwave disturbance moving through the area this afternoon and
evening.

2) Lingering clouds on Monday give way to a large ridge of high
pressure right through the end of next week. This will bring mainly
sunny skies and warmer than average temperatures to the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...

A slow moving, broad upper level trough is spinning over the
Northeast today. The low and mid level flow is out of the
northwest, and combined with 850mb temperatures of around -6C it
is cold enough for lake effect showers. The showers will be
mainly in the form of light snow early this morning, although
some rain, drizzle and even patchy freezing drizzle could mix in
at times. A stronger shortwave disturbance will drop south into
and across the area this afternoon and evening. This will
initiate widespread snow and rain showers. Boundary layer
temperatures will range mainly in the mid-30s to lower 40s this
afternoon, as 850mb temperatures hover near -5C. These
relatively mild temperatures should prevent much in the way of
any snow accumulation during the daytime hours today; even with
persistent showers around. After sunset into this evening and
overnight there could be some minor snow accumulations (< 1")
mainly over the higher elevations, as the northwest flow keep
lake effect/enhanced snow showers going. Overnight lows only dip
down into the upper 20s to lower 30s, so will again be
marginally cold enough for any accumulations. The cool northwest
flow and lake effect snow/rain showers persist right through
the day on Sunday. There will be little change to atmospheric
parameters and temperatures for this day. Increased PoPs above
the ensemble blend, as it appears quite likely scatter showers
and overcast conditions will be around yet again.

The lake effect showers should gradually taper off to sprinkles and
flurries heading into Sunday night.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

The 850mb ridge axis does not pass through our area until Monday
night. Therefore, we remain locked in the cool, cloudy northwest
flow pattern on Monday. Wouldn`t be surprised to see pockets of
drizzle lingering into Monday under the thick stratus cloud deck.
Temperatures remain cool only in the 40s on Monday.

For Tuesday through Saturday: General upper level ridging remains
over the eastern US. There could be a very weak disturbance or front
passing through toward Friday. Otherwise, high pressure looks to
remain in control right through Saturday (if current timing holds).
Temperatures will see a gradual warming trend through the week,
reaching about 15 degrees above average for daytime highs by Friday
and Saturday. With the generally clear skies and light winds,
overnight lows will be on the seasonably cool side, mainly in the
upper 20s to 30s through the week. Overall a very pleasant and fair
stretch of late fall weather looks to be in store.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mainly MVFR to Fuel Alternate restrictions continue early this
morning with occasional fluctuations up and down to VFR and IFR.
There are also some scattered lake effect snow showers around,
primarily impacting KITH and KBGM.

Morning snow showers will change to rain through the day from
the lower to higher elevations. A mixture of lower MVFR to IFR
CIGs/VSBYs expected, especially within showers, and over the
higher terrain. Restrictions are expected to last through the
entire TAF period (at least through 06Z Sunday).

Outlook...

Sunday...Lingering scattered rain and snow showers at the
Central NY terminals, mainly in the morning with associated
restrictions possible.

Monday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...BJG