Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

509
FXUS61 KBGM 220546
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
146 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor adjustments to PoPs, cloud cover and wind speeds today, as the
cool northwest flow takes hold behind the cold front. Added in more
valley fog into the forecast tonight and again Thursday night.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A gusty northwest flow, a few showers, and cooler
temperatures is expected today.

2) High pressure brings sunny and seasonable weather for Thursday
through Saturday.

3) Shower and chances for thunderstorms return to the forecast
Sunday into early next week as the next upper level trough moves
into the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Upper level trough is rotating through the area today with much
cooler 850mb temperatures advecting into the region. 850mb
temperatures fall to around +8C this afternoon, which is just cool
enough to create a limited lake effect response under the upper
level trough (lake temperatures are near +23C). Therefore, expect
scattered to broken clouds, and a few isolated showers today. The
cold front slides off to the south and east this morning, with
decreasing low level moisture as dew points fall into the 50s this
afternoon. NW winds will be breezy, between 10-20 mph and high
temperatures only reach the mid-60s to mid-70s, except upper 70s in
the Wyoming Valley.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure begins building into the area from the west tonight.
Winds gradually diminish, becoming light and variable toward
daybreak. Skies become mainly clear and areas of valley fog are
likely to form overnight. It will be cool and crisp, with lows
dipping down into the mid-40s to mid-50s areawide. Thursday sees
high pressure build overhead, with mainly sunny skies. Low humidity
continues and high temperatures are seasonably mild in the 70s. NW
winds will be lighter, under 10 mph through the day. High pressure
remains centered overhead Thursday night into Friday morning. This
brings idea radiational cooling conditions once again. Lows dip down
into the upper 40s to mid-50s with more valley fog expected.

Friday and Saturday look spectacular, with a zonal flow overhead and
a gradual warming trend expected. Skies remain mainly sunny both
days. Dew points stay low in the 50s, making it feel very
comfortable outside. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s to
mid-80s each day, with refreshing overnight lows in the 50s to low
60s forecast.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

The weather pattern will turn more active late in the weekend and
into early next week as a broad upper level trough digs into the
Northeast US. A new ridge develops over the western Plains by Sunday
evening, with a shortwave dropping into the amplifying trough over
the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic heading into Monday/Tuesday. Low
level moisture and instability gradually increases Sunday, but
especially heading into Monday and Tuesday. PWATs reach 1.50 inches
by Sunday evening, and 1.75 inches by Monday evening as surface dew
points also rise back into the 60s. Weak disturbances are expected
to initiate scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day.
A deeper, sharper trough may push into the area by Tuesday,
increasing chances for showers and storms once again. The exact
timing and details remain uncertain in the guidance this far out in
time. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s Sunday,
gradually dropping a few degrees early next week. Overnight lows
look to be seasonable in the upper 50s to low 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A stratus deck of clouds is expected to bring widespread MVFR to
Fuel Alternate ceiling restrictions for most of this morning,
before returning to VFR by the late morning. KSYR and KRME may
have these restrictions linger to the early afternoon with some
lingering lake effect clouds present. There may even be a few
isolated lake effect rain showers for KSYR and/or KRME this
morning into the early afternoon, but confidence is not high
enough to include in the TAFs at this time.

Northwest winds will become gusty later this morning into the
afternoon (occasional gusts up to 20-25kts), before becoming
light and variable this evening.

Outlook:

Thursday through Saturday...Mainly VFR; morning fog at KELM may
result in restrictions.

Sunday...Scattered afternoon showers and/or thunderstorms may
result in occasional restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...BJG