Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

929
FXUS61 KBGM 091113
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
613 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased wind gusts some this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon.
Trending slightly warmer with the system later this week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Several rounds of lake effect showers with northwest flow.

2) Watching the potential for a stronger low or noreaster to
potentially form late this week into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Several mid-level disturbances within a northwest flow pattern
will continue to bring unsettled weather into the region through
Tuesday. Enough lift and moisture looks present off of the
eastern most great lake to produce scattered light showers at
times. Temperatures still generally to be expected in the 40`s
and 50`s. Some areas across NEPA into the Southern Tier of NY
may reach 60 Tuesday if some more pronounced clearing occurs.
Weak high pressure overhead should allow for one somewhat decent
day Wednesday.

Increased wind gusts Monday and Tuesday afternoons based on
model soundings. Would not be surprised to see dewpoints trend
slightly lower with more mixing.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Still a decent range in spread with regards to a clipper
tracking through the Ohio Valley and then forming a miller-B low
along the coast Thursday and Friday. The operational GFS
continues to be on the far northern end of the spread with the
00Z 11/9 ECMWF far enough south to put us on the gradient with
steady precipitation. Enough lift and moisture ahead of the
primary low should still allow for some rain to develop over
the region Thursday.

Trends as mentioned previously are slightly
warmer, so any mix or changeover may not occur till daybreak
Friday and favor higher elevations. With the very warm ground
accumulations of snow would be hard to come by in the daylight
hours Friday even as some rain and snow continues. The
precipitation should become more lake effect showery on
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Lake effect rain showers and lowered ceilings will continue
maintaining restrictions at Central NY terminals through the
majority of the day. AVP is expected to remain VFR through the
period.

Winds turn more northwesterly heading into the late morning and
early afternoon, and remains gusty heading into the evening
hours.


Outlook...

Tuesday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR with low
chance for showers at RME.

Thursday...Showers and associated restrictions possible.

Friday...A mix of rain/snow showers possible and associated
restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...KL