Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

278
FXUS61 KBGM 041809
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
209 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes made to the previous forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Near average temperatures and drier this weekend into early
next week.

2) Mid next week there is the potential for a stronger area of
low pressure to pass north of the Great Lakes and bring a
seasonably strong cold front through.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

With the central US ridge retrograding back to the west, the
trough that is over New England is moving into the eastern Great
Lakes region. While it is still on the warmer side today, dry
air aloft is mixing down with dew points steadily falling early
this afternoon. There is still a small chance at some shower and
thunderstorm development, mainly for the far western Twin Tiers
into NEPA. Cooler air aloft tomorrow and still some residual
moisture could result in a couple of showers developing in the
afternoon, mainly over the Catskills. The Saturday through at
least Tuesday, surface high pressure builds in as well likely
keeping the region dry. Day time highs will be right around
seasonable averages with morning fog developing in the valleys.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Wednesday into Thursday next week will have a deeper shortwave
trough progressing through the Northern Tier of the US. Ensemble
member MSLP means and low pressure centers are hinting at a
stronger surface low developing and passing north of the Great
Lakes. With most of the ensemble members keeping the low to the
north, not much precipitation is anticipated outside of when the
cold front moves through. Deterministic models do have a stream
of higher PWATs and dew points advecting north ahead of the
front so depending on timing of the fronts passage, there could
be some stronger storms along it.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mainly VFR conditions this afternoon across the region and
expected to remain VFR at all terminals through at least 6Z.
After 6Z, fog begins to develop with highest confidence of IFR
or worse at ELM but BGM, ITH, and RME could see some IFR
restrictions with fog. Fog will lift shortly after sunrise with
VFR conditions expected tomorrow at all terminals after 14Z.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR; areas of low clouds and
fog possible early each day.

Wednesday...Potential cold front passage with wind shift and
showers.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG
AVIATION...AJG