Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

978
FXUS61 KBGM 021816
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
216 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered temperatures tonight a few degrees, but no other
significant changes were made.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Conditions will be warm and dry through the work week with surface
high pressure in place.

2) A frontal system will bring the next chance for rain this
weekend, though temperatures will remain mild through the start
of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure at the surface has now overspread the region, with
partly cloudy skies across the entire forecast area this
afternoon. The upper level trough that was overhead has pushed
to our southeast and is now being replaced with upper level
ridging. The ridge will continue to build over the northeast U.S
through the end of the week. Finally, the area will be in store
for warmer than normal temperatures and dry conditions.
Southwest return flow will also bring up humidity late in the
week, and high temperatures will soar into the mid to upper 80s
by Friday.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

The next chance for widespread rain will come this weekend, as
a frontal system approaches the region. This front is forecast
to drop down out of Canada on Saturday and slowly move through
the region throughout the weekend. Still quite a bit of
uncertainty on the timing and speed of this system. If the
system stalls out, then rain showers will likely continue into
early next week as well. The airmass out ahead of this system
will be warm and humid when compared to what we have been seeing
so far this summer, so there will be moisture to work with. If
the front does get hung up, then portions of the area could pick
up moderate to heavy rainfall from Saturday through Monday.
Forecast PWATs are about average for this time of year, ranging
from 1.25 to 1.75 inches, which is below one standard deviation
of normal. Since the antecedent conditions over the last week
have been dry, at this time, the risk for flooding appears low,
even if the front stalls over the region. The only concern at
this point in time will be when the front initially drops into
the region, because PWATs will be highest at this time and there
will be some instability to work with as well, so thunderstorms
will be likely. Higher rainfall rates in slow moving
thunderstorms could produce localized flash flooding if they
train over the same area for long enough of a period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours at all
terminals.

Outlook:

Tuesday afternoon through Friday...Mainly VFR

Saturday through Sunday...Restrictions possible from rain
showers and storms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL/MPK
AVIATION...AJG