Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

277
FXUS61 KBGM 281602
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1202 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered dewpoints for this afternoon as moisture is slower to
arrive than guidance suggests. Increased wind speeds for Friday
with NW flow behind the cold front.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1)Mostly dry weather with above normal temperatures will
continue through the weekend. A few light rain showers are
likely along and north of the Mohawk Valley Thursday night.

2) The next chance for rain showers will be for the early to middle
portion of next week; although great uncertainty remains with
the timing and track of the low pressure system.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Clouds will continue to stream over the area as SW flow pushes
a warmer and more moist airmass into the area. A few isolated
radar returns have popped up, but surface moisture is too low to
allow for any precipitation to reach the ground outside of a few
sprinkles over higher terrain. Cold air remains trapped in the
Mohawk Valley, with current temps in the mid 40s while much of
the area to the south is in the low to mid 50s. Temps will
continue to warm through the afternoon, with highs in the low
to mid 60s across the Finger Lakes and upper 50s to low 60s
across the rest of the region.

Mostly sunny skies should prevail on Thursday with southwest
winds increasing between 7-15 mph. This combined with 850mb
temperatures reaching +11C will allow for high temperatures in
the upper 60s to mid-70s, which is about 15 degrees above
average for the end of October.

A weak frontal boundary approaches Thursday evening into Thursday
night from the north. This will bring increasing clouds and a few
showers; mainly along and north of the Southern Tier, with the
best chance for a few hundreths of an inch along the I-90
corridor. Rain should dissipate before moving into the Twin
Tiers and NEPA. After the dry cold front moves through there
should be lake effect clouds over Central NY through much of
Friday. Breezy NW winds with gusts up to 25 mph are expected
across the region. The clouds and NW flow will bring cooler
temps, with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s, which is still
slightly above average for this time of year. High pressure
builds overhead Friday night through Sunday. This will set the
stage for a seasonable, dry and exceptional fall weather
weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A pattern shift looks to occur next week, with guidance showing
a chance for a return of showers sometime in the middle of next
week. The synoptic setup is quite intricate, with multiple
troughs moving into the west coast at the beginning of the week.
How these troughs phase and move is still very uncertain, while
a strong ridge of high pressure over eastern Canada will also
have a say in how quickly the weather system moves eastward or
if it tracks into the Great Lakes or is pushed into the SE US.
Confidence in the specifics of the system is low, but we have
enough guidance showing a system developing to mention the
chance for rain next week.


&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected at this time through the TAF period
at all terminals. Low potential for a marine layer of MVFR
clouds to form and move into KAVP,KBGM and KELM for a couple of
hours overnight.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday...Mainly VFR. Morning fog at
KELM possible each morning. Low chance for showers at KSYR and
KRME Thursday night with a cold front moving through.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JTC
AVIATION...ES/MWG