Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

861
FXUS61 KBGM 110515
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1215 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast package.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Today will be a warmer than average day with no precipitation
until tonight, where the next area of low pressure will bring
widespread rain showers that will continue into tomorrow.

2) The area of low pressure from today will deepen as it moves
just off the coast tomorrow night. With colder temperatures
filtering in, mixed rain and snow can be expected starting
overnight Thursday, and persisting into the early weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Today will be the last day of no precipitation to be expected
across the area. Slightly warmer than average temperatures can
be expected, with light winds. An Alberta clipper-like shortwave
will interact with another shortwave in the late morning/early
afternoon over the Great Lakes, which will lead to the formation
of a more organized system. As it approaches the area, it will
bring widespread rain showers to the area starting overnight
tonight, and lasting through the day tomorrow as it moves over
the area. Since temperatures will remain above freezing
overnight tonight and into tomorrow, precipitation will remain
as rain. Though, this won`t be the case heading into tomorrow
night as temperatures begin to drop, which will be discussed in
Key Message 2.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

As the main aforementioned low pressure system moves west to
east across the area tomorrow, we start to see temperatures drop
tomorrow night from northerly flow from Canada. As the system
continues to bring precipitation across the area, we`ll start to
see precipitation types vary as temperatures approach freezing,
and dip below freezing. Going into Friday, temperatures only
climb above freezing at peak heating times, but will drop back
below freezing later that evening. Through tomorrow night and
Friday, any snow accumulation will be up to an inch in higher
elevation areas, and up to a few tenths of an inch for most
other areas. However, with the ground remaining quite warm, it`s
possible for most places to see any frozen precipitation melt
pretty soon after hitting the ground, especially in the daytime
hours. For higher elevations, it may stick a little longer, but
with high temperatures on Friday being above freezing almost
everywhere, snow accumulation isn`t likely to stick well.

The center broad trough moves south and over the Great Lakes on
Friday and a portion of Saturday, which may elongate the time of
lighter precipitation, especially for Saturday.

High pressure builds in late this weekend into early next week
with a gradual moderation of temperatures while remaining mostly
dry.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Conditions will be VFR at all terminals this TAF period.
Guidance has MVFR ceilings near RME and even ITH between 06 and
12z. With it being closer to RME, the tempo group was kept in
with this update. Rain showers will move in from the west after
00z Thursday. There will be restrictions as well though guidance
does not bring them in until after the end of this TAF period.

Winds have become calmer though there continues to be a few
rogue gusts, mainly at BGM. By 10 to 12z, winds are expected to
be light and variable.


Outlook...

Thursday...Showers and associated restrictions possible.

Friday through Saturday...A mix of rain/snow showers possible
and associated restrictions.

Sunday...Perhaps a few lingering showers, otherwise mainly VFR
expected.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...BTL