Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

027
FXUS61 KBGM 052324
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
724 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes made to the previous forecast. Minor
adjustments to cloud cover and PoPs this afternoon and early
evening were made. Fog was added to the forecast Monday night
into early Tuesday morning. Temperatures are trending warmer for
Wednesday next week out ahead of an incoming front.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry, fall like pattern with near average temperatures this
weekend into early next week.

2) Mid next week there is the potential for a stronger area of
low pressure to pass north of the Great Lakes with a brief warm
up ahead of it along with thunderstorm chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Upper level trough has moved in with drier NW flow in place.
Some moisture around today will help a few light rain showers
develop, mainly across higher terrain of CNY and the Catskills.
Day time highs in the low to mid 70s and morning lows in the low
50s and upper 40s will make it feel a bit more fall like over
the next few days. Fog formation in the deeper river valleys of
the Twin Tiers and Catskills is likely the next few nights.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Upper level ridging looks to briefly build back in Tuesday into
Wednesday with temperatures warming back above normal. A
stronger low pressure system forms in the lee of the northern
Rockies and moves north of the Great Lakes Wednesday into
Thursday. The low has trended a little weaker and farther north
so the cold front associated with it is not as strong as
previous days. Still, there is some model agreement of some
instability and shear ahead of it so if the frontal passage can
be in the afternoon on Wednesday then there is a chance for some
stronger storms. Timing is still uncertain with the frontal
passage as the ensemble peak CAPE + Shear bullseye is more in
the Ohio River Valley into western NY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

VFR conditions are expected through this evening. Guidance
continues to show a strong signal for restrictions developing
overnight as fog and low ceilings form at most terminals, with
SYR and AVP the main exceptions. BGM/ITH and ELM have the
greatest potential for IFR restrictions overnight. Conditions
should gradually improve after 13/14Z Sunday morning, with VFR
returning toward the end of the period.

Outlook...

Sunday afternoon through Tuesday...Mainly VFR; areas of low
clouds and fog possible early each day.

Wednesday through Thursday...Potential cold front passage with
wind shift and showers. Highest chance for showers later
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AJG/MJM
AVIATION...ES/MWG