Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

616
FXUS61 KBGM 051037
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
637 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes made to the previous forecast. Minor
adjustments to cloud cover and PoPs this afternoon and early
evening were made. Fog was added to the forecast Monday night
into early Tuesday morning. Temperatures are trending warmer for
Wednesday next week out ahead of an incoming front.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Near average temperatures and drier this weekend into early
next week.

2) Mid next week there is the potential for a stronger area of
low pressure to pass north of the Great Lakes and bring a
seasonably strong cold front through Wednesday night or
Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A nearly stationary upper level low centered over the Canadian
Maritimes will bring cooler air aloft today. Shortwaves rotating
around the western edge of this low will drop down through
southern Quebec and into northeastern NY/New England later this
afternoon and evening. These weak features will interact with
some residual moisture, which could result in a couple of
isolated to scattered showers developing in the afternoon,
mainly over the Catskills and higher elevations of Central NY.
Otherwise, skies will be partly sunny today and north winds a
little breezy between 7 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Temperatures
will be cooler, but near average for early September.


Then, for Sunday through Tuesday surface high pressure builds
in likely keeping the region dry and mostly sunny. Daytime
highs will be right around seasonable averages with morning fog
developing in the valleys. It will be quite cool Sunday night,
with good radiational cooling conditions. Lows are forecast to
dip down into the mid-40s to low 50s in most locations, a few
areas could be even cooler in the low 40s early Monday morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Upper level ridging amplifies over the area Tuesday night and
early Wednesday. This will bring a deep, moist southwesterly
flow to the region. Wednesday afternoon into Thursday will have
a deeper shortwave trough progressing through the Northern Tier
of the US. Ensemble member MSLP means and low pressure centers
are hinting at a stronger surface low developing and passing
well north of the Great Lakes. With most of the ensemble
members keeping the low to the north, not much precipitation is
anticipated outside of when the cold front moves through. The
exact timing of the cold front remains uncertain, but is likely
to be sometime between early Wednesday evening and midday
Thursday. Deterministic models do have a stream of higher PWATs
and dew points advecting north ahead of the front so depending
on timing of the fronts passage, there could be some stronger
storms along it, producing some heavy rain and gusty winds.
Temperatures look to warm into the 80s on Wednesday out ahead of
the front, then cooling back into the 70s on Thursday, and
eventually in the mid-60s to low 70s by Friday for daytime
highs. It will be quite humid on Wednesday, with dew points
likely to be in the mid-60s to low 70s. Dew points fall through
the 60s on Thursday and become much more refreshing in the 50s
by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected across the region today at all
terminals as high pressure sits overhead. With skies clearing
out this evening into the overnight hours, patchy fog is
expected to develop. ELM should see IFR or worse restrictions
tonight with periodic IFR restrictions at ITH. Some signs for
IFR conditions at BGM and RME, but confidence is not high enough
to include them in this TAF set.


Outlook...

Sunday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR; areas of low clouds and
fog possible early each day.

Wednesday...Potential cold front passage with wind shift and
showers.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...JTC