Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

533
FXUS61 KBGM 232339
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
739 PM EDT Thu Jul 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast package.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure will offer mostly sunny/clear skies and seasonable
temperatures into early Sunday. Morning valley fog is likely
throughout the Susquehanna and Upper Delaware river basins.

2) Showers and thunderstorm chances return to the forecast
Sunday afternoon through the middle of next week as the next
upper level trough moves into the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure will reign over the region through Saturday. With
nights starting to get a little longer and some boundary layer
moisture in place, areas of valley fog will develop in the
overnight hours, lasting through sunrise. Daily high
temperatures expected to be 80s Friday through Sunday. Due to
good radiational cooling expected tonight, we have blended the
NBM10 guidance into the minimum temperature guidance to account
for more cooling than an average forecast.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Model ensemble guidance indicates that a broad upper level trough
will become established during first half of next week with
seasonable to slightly below average temperatures and higher chances
for precipitation. CAPE and shear values increase and combine from
Sunday afternoon through Tuesday enough to flag that time period for
thunderstorm activity. The most active day appears to be Tuesday as
low pressure drags a frontal system across the area. Convective
parameters look weaker than recent setups that produced severe
weather in our region, but the trends bare watching closely. The
broad trough will keep a risk of showers going through the end
of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals but ELM. Given
clear skies and dry air aloft coupled with light winds, fog
likely develops after 9Z and will burn off shortly after sunrise
around 12Z. Tomorrow is looking VFR at all terminals with high
pressure remaining in place.

Outlook:

Friday through Saturday...Mainly VFR; morning fog at KELM may result
in restrictions.

Sunday into Tuesday...Scattered afternoon showers and/or
thunderstorms may result in occasional restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JAB
AVIATION...AJG/JAB