Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

986
FXUS61 KBGM 210555
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
155 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor changes to the timing and coverage of showers and
thunderstorms were made through tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon and evening. Some of the thunderstorms may contain
gusty to damaging winds.

2) Showers will linger into at least the first half of
Wednesday, followed by drier weather through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Cloud cover has increased across the region early this morning.
Enough lift and moisture should be present to form some spotty
showers across NE PA northeastward into the Western Catskills as
we head toward sunrise. Just how fast these clouds clear out
will determine how unstable the environment will become.

Modeling has trended faster with the main round of showers and
thunderstorms. This activity should move into our region early
in the afternoon then exit by early evening. This limits the
window for instability compared to previous model cycles. Still,
some instability coupled with modest shear should allow for
strong to severe thunderstorms. The highest chances continue to
be in NE PA with more uncertainity the further north you go. The
main concern looks to be from gusty to locally damaging winds.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Additional showers and clouds should linger through Wednesday
with an upper level low passing to our north. High pressure then
builds into the region for the remainder of the week with a
cooler refreshing airmass. This will give way to slowly
increasing heat and humidity. Our next chance for showers and
thunderstorms will be ahead of a cold front Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through this morning,
although a round of a few showers between 10Z and 13Z may result
in occasional/brief MVFR restrictions. While mainly VFR
conditions will be present this afternoon, a round of showers
and thunderstorms is expected to move through the area from west
to east. PROB30 groups for thunder were added to the TAF for
each terminal, with a four hour window where thunderstorms are
most likely (generally from the mid to late afternoon).

After the bulk of the showers and thunderstorms move east of
the area in the mid to late evening, a deck of lower clouds is
expected to move in and result in at least MVFR restrictions
(mainly after 03Z).

Winds will generally be south-southwesterly throughout the TAF
period. Winds will be less than 10kts this morning, before
becoming around 10kts and occasional gusts up to 20kts this
afternoon. Locally higher gusts are possible in any
thunderstorms.

Outlook:

Wednesday...Lingering ceiling restrictions possible in the
morning; otherwise becoming VFR.

Thursday through Saturday...Mainly VFR; morning fog at KELM may
result in restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJG/MWG
AVIATION...BJG