Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

658
FXUS61 KBGM 130552
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor adjustments were made to snowfall totals for additional snow
today and through the weekend.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Snow showers will linger through today as a low pressure system
exits the region.

2) Lake effect precipitation develops this afternoon and will
continue through the weekend.

3) Warmer and drier conditions return next week with the return of
high pressure.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

The narrow bands that brought heavy snow to the higher elevations in
portions of Central NY have since dissipated and snowfall has become
lighter. Light to moderate snow showers will continue this morning
and gradually end from north to south throughout the day as a
surface low pressure system pulls away from the coast. Some valley
locations across Northeast PA have yet to transition to snow due to
milder conditions. With temperatures climbing into the upper 30s and
low 40s at these locations today, snow may mix with rain but little
snowfall is expected in these areas. Through the early afternoon
hours, an additional of 1 to 2 inches of snowfall will be possible
in the higher elevations. Elsewhere, snowfall amounts will be
minimal.

Temperatures today will max out into the 30s and 40s. Breezy winds
will make it feel a bit blustery as wind chills will be in the 20s
and 30s this afternoon.


KEY MESSAGE 2...

Low-level flow will become more north to northwesterly this
afternoon as the low pressure system drifts eastward. Temperatures
at 850mb will drop to around -7 deg C. With this cooler air passing
over the Great Lakes, lake effect precipitation will develop this
afternoon and continue through Sunday night. As tonight`s
temperatures fall below freezing, this precipitation will start out
as snow. Diurnal temperature changes will favor rain during the day
and snow at night through the weekend. Bands of precipitation will
occasionally extend down into Northeast PA even though the bulk of
it will be in portions of Central NY. Additional snowfall
accumulations will generally be a half inch or less and with the
transition to rain during the day, any nighttime accumulations will
not last long. Narrow bands that line up over the Cortland Hills
area could lead to accumulations around an inch or slightly more.
Heading into Monday, CMC guidance does keep the precipitation going
through the morning while most other guidance end the showers due to
drier air moving in. This forecast did bump up PoPs and QPF amounts
for the weekend using blends of Consall, CMC, and NBM guidance. Even
with these adjustments, PoPs remained below slight chance (< 15%)
for Monday.


KEY MESSAGE 3...

A ridge of high pressure will build into the region early next week.
Lake clouds will prevent little sunshine from peeking through on
Monday but sunny skies return on Tuesday. Daytime temperatures will
trend warmer throughout the week with the potential for some 60s on
Thursday and Friday. Nightly temperatures will stay cool, often
falling below freezing. Despite this, most of next week will be dry
with surface high pressure in control. Models do show a system that
passes just to the north late on Friday and could clip some of our
counties with precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Fluctuating restrictions between MVFR and IFR are present across
most of the terminals as lingering precipitation has
transitioned to light snow, with lower ceilings present as well.
The exceptions are at KSYR and KRME with mainly MVFR
restrictions present and most of the snow located south of those
terminals. Those two terminals are expected to return to VFR at
or around 12Z, but the rest of the terminals will likely have
lingering MVFR restrictions through most of the day.

Outlook...

Saturday...A mix of rain/snow showers possible at the Central NY
terminals (especially KSYR and KITH), with associated
restrictions.

Sunday...Lingering scattered rain and snow showers at the
Central NY terminals, mainly in the morning with associated
restrictions possible.

Monday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...BJG