Shawnee, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

152
FXUS64 KOUN 111923
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
223 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 220 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

- Warm temperatures expected this weekend before cold front
  arrives on Sunday.

- Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions return this
  weekend.

- Low chances for showers and storms return middle of next week
  with near average temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Weak northerly winds will veer through the day as a surface high
moves across the central Plains into the Midwest. Even then,
afternoon highs will only get into the mid 70s across the area.
Clear skies overnight will allow temperatures to get down into the
upper 40s to low 50s.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Mid-level ridging will build into the area this weekend. Lee
troughing along the Rockies will foster a return to southerly
surface winds across the southern Plains. Breezy winds and warm
temperatures are expected on both Saturday and Sunday, with Sunday
afternoon highs exceeding 90 degrees for a majority of the area.
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
over the weekend, especially across western Oklahoma and western
north Texas. A cold front is expected to make its way into
northern Oklahoma Sunday evening, pushing through the area by
Monday morning. Cooler temperatures behind the front are expected.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Increased cloudiness and cooler temperatures are forecast on Monday
following FROPA. A flattened ridge sets up over our region towards
the middle of next week and winds return to the south by Tuesday night.
The return to the WAA regime will allow temperatures to gradually trend
upwards through Wednesday. There is considerable uncertainty with
regards to high temperatures for middle to end of next week, with
10 to 15 deg model spreads within the 25th to 75th percentile
(most reasonable set of solutions).

Low shower and thunderstorm chances return next Tuesday night and
remain through Thursday.

Thompson

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Surface winds have become southeasterly across western
Oklahoma while a north to northeast wind prevails elsewhere.
A moderate to strong low level jet will develop tonight with
the strongest winds expected across West Texas and western
Oklahoma. Will add a mention of LLWS at CSM and WWR as near
surface winds should remain around 15 to 20 knots. After 9Z
Saturday, scattered mid-level clouds may increase, especially
across south central Oklahoma.  A few models hint at some
weak elevated instability, but will not mention showers
at DUA at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  50  80  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         51  87  60  94 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  52  88  63  95 /  10   0   0   0
Gage OK           51  88  58  92 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     46  80  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         48  78  60  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...06