Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

093
FXUS61 KCLE 261922
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
322 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the previous forecast. Still anticipating
a prolonged period of heat and humidity next week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Periodic rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue
through Saturday. No significant impacts are expected.

2) There is high confidence for a prolonged period of heat and
humidity to arrive across the region beginning on Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Starting to see some radar returns arrive northeast into the
area this afternoon, though upstream observations reveal much of
this activity remains light and generally a few hundredths or
less. Mainly light and periodic rain showers and isolated
thunder will continue through Saturday as waves of weak
isentropic ascent overrun the stationary front just south of the
area. There is a low chance for some heavier rain later this
evening and overnight near the US-30 corridor as the low- level
jet increases to around 20 to 25 knots, though not anticipating
any significant impacts.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
There continues to be high confidence in a prolonged period of
heat and humidity arriving into the area beginning on Monday as
a large upper-level ridge develops across the eastern CONUS.
Currently, we are anticipating daily highs Monday through Friday
in the 90s and can`t rule out a few spots briefly hitting 100
across Northwest Ohio at times. Humidity will also be on the
rise, with heat indices generally ranging between 100 to 105.
Given the prolonged nature of the heat and humidity and minimal
nighttime relief with lows in the 70s, heat headlines will be
needed across most, if not all areas beginning Monday.

Given the location of the ridge axis and associated subsidence, rain
chances through much of the week will remain low. At this time, rain
and thunderstorm chances appear more favorable towards the end of
the week as some guidance begins to break down the ridge, though
confidence remains low.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Friday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Expecting low level clouds to fill in across the south, building
northward, through the remainder of the daytime hours today.
Ceilings then fall into MVFR with showers also building in from
the south after 03Z tonight. Expect low end MVFR ceilings or
terminals like MFD, FDY, and YNG to reach IFR ceilings tonight,
and possibly MVFR during shower activity at all terminals except
TOL/ERI where rain chances are not quite high enough. Slow
improvement of ceiling expected after 12Z Saturday. Surface
winds less than 12kts.


Outlook...Non-VFR continuing with scattered rain showers on
Saturday. Non-VFR possible in fog/mist Sunday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Northeast winds 10kts this evening will increase to 10-20kts
Saturday and corresponding wave heights to 2-3ft for the western and
central basins of Lake Erie, and 1-2ft further east. Winds then ease
back to 10kts Sunday and wave heights around 1ft. Winds more light
and variable Monday, but could set up for a lake breeze and
afternoon chop 1-2ft in the nearshore zones would become possible.
Offshore winds Tuesday 10-15kts, mainly southwesterly, and wave
heights 2ft or less in the nearshore zones.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kahn
AVIATION...26
MARINE...26