Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

406
FXUS61 KCLE 061735
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
135 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Accumulating snowfall in Northeast Ohio and Northwest
Pennsylvania is likely late tonight into Tuesday morning, with a
few inches possible across higher elevations of Erie County in
Pennsylvania.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Below normal temperatures through Tuesday, with periodic
precipitation chances today through Tuesday morning. Transition
to snow expected tonight, with potential for accumulating snow
in the higher elevations of the primary snow belt.

2) Dry conditions and warming temperatures midweek, with
precipitation chances returning late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Main weather feature of concern early in the forecast period is
embedded shortwaves/attendant surface low rotating east
southeast through the Great Lakes in broad mid/upper troughing
over the region. First shortwave will cross the lower Great
Lakes this morning, ushering in shower activity from west to
east across the area, as currently noted upstream on radar near
southern Lake Michigan. These showers could contain some frozen
hydrometeors (graupel, etc.) as freezing levels remain near
2.5kft.

A stronger wave and surface reflection will move southeast
through the Great Lakes this afternoon and evening, which will
shunt a majority of the shower activity and synoptic moisture
off to the east this evening into tonight, as a cold front
pushes south across the area. Thermal profiles will support a
transition to snow this evening and tonight, with some lake
enhancement/effect and upslope across the higher terrain of the
snow belt possible, especially late tonight into early Tuesday
morning. Most areas will see under an inch if any accumulation,
but some of the higher terrain, especially in far eastern Erie
County, could see a couple of inches of accumulation, mainly on
grassy and elevated surfaces. Snow will quickly end Tuesday
morning as ridging builds east across the lake.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
A quieter pattern influenced by strong high pressure building
across the region Tuesday night through Thursday will help usher
in a quick moderation of temperatures back to above normal
Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front will sink south towards the
region late Thursday and Friday which brings our next chance for
showers and some storms across the area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/...
Predominately VFR conditions are expected through this period
with the exception of periodic MVFR ceilings associated with
lower lake enhanced clouds downstream of Lake Erie. At these
terminals, ceilings gradually range from 2-3kft. As a secondary
cold front pushes south across the area this evening, colder
temperatures will result in the potential for lake enhanced
rain/snow showers, primarily impacting KERI. There may be other
impacts to KCLE and KYNG, although confidence is lower there.
Visibilities within snow showers may drop to 4SM at times, but
overall impact should remain minimal. By 15Z Tuesday, high
pressure should limit moisture available for snow showers and
conditions across all terminals should improve to VFR.

West-northwest of 10-15 knots will persist through this
afternoon with gusts up to 20-25 knots. The strongest winds are
expected near the lakeshore and across western terminals. These
winds will quickly weaken on Tuesday as high pressure pushes in
and allows winds to gain a more northerly component at 5-10
knots.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely Monday night into Tuesday morning in
rain and/or snow showers, particularly across the snowbelt.
Non-VFR may return in scattered rain showers Thursday night into
Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
As a secondary cold front pushes south across Lake Erie today,
west-northwest winds will increase to 15-25 knots allowing waves
to build to 4-6 feet. These winds will persist into mid Tuesday
morning. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the Islands
to the east into Tuesday morning. On Tuesday, high pressure will
become dominant across the region, allowing for northerly winds
to weaken to 55-12 knots, gradually veering throughout the day
to become southeasterly by Wednesday morning. On Thursday, a
warm front will shift north of the area, shifting winds to
south-southwesterly and once again increasing them to 15-20
knots. Will have to monitor conditions Thursday for any need for
a small craft, but given off shore flow, it should be really
marginal. The associated cold front will push east on Friday,
shifting winds to northwesterly at 5-10 knots which will persist
into Saturday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT
     Tuesday for LEZ144>149.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...03
AVIATION...04
MARINE...04