Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

719
FXUS61 KCLE 251814
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
214 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Not much has changed from previous forecast. Cool weather this
weekend followed by a brief warm up early next week. A cooler
weather pattern will return for the end of next week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure and cool weather expected for the rest of this
weekend.

2) There will be a brief warm up ahead of a cold front Monday
into Tuesday. An upper level trough will develop over the Great
Lakes region and bring below average temperatures for the end
of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Weak high pressure is building down from Ontario Canada this
weekend. Skies will stay pretty much overcast today through
early Sunday with gradual clearing by Sunday afternoon. There
will be a northeast to easterly flow today through Sunday that
will keep temperatures on the cooler side. Temperatures will
range from the middle 50s near the lakeshore to the middle 60s
closer to central Ohio today. High temperatures on Sunday will
range from the upper 50s near the lakeshore to middle to upper
60s closer to central Ohio.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
A low pressure system will track northeastward through the
Midwest into western Great Lakes on Monday with a trailing cold
front. Southerly winds will return on Monday and warmer
temperatures with high temperatures in the lower to upper 70s.
Most of Monday will be dry with partly cloudy skies. Later
Monday night, scattered showers and isolated thunder will move
in from west to east ahead of the approaching cold front. The
actual cold front will move across the area by Tuesday
afternoon. Additional scattered showers and isolated thunder
will be likely on Tuesday. Temperatures will still be warm on
Tuesday in the lower to middle 70s. An upper level trough begins
to take shape over the Great Lakes region for the middle and end
of next week with a cooler weather pattern. A wave of low
pressure will track across the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic
region on Wednesday with additional chances for scattered
showers over the area. Much cooler temperatures will arrive
later next week with highs in the 50s and overnight lows in the
30s and 40s. We will have to keep an eye on a couple nights late
next week for the possibility of frost and or freezing
temperatures in regards to the growing season.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
At the surface, a high pressure ridge builds gradually from
James Bay and vicinity through 18Z/Sun as a trough axis remains
nearly stationary over western NY and western PA. Our regional
surface winds veer gradually from NW`erly to NE`erly and trend
5 to 15 knots through the TAF period. Widespread low clouds and
resulting MVFR to LIFR ceilings persist for the time being as
lingering moisture at/near the surface remains trapped beneath
a low-level inversion accompanying the building ridge. These low
clouds may produce occasional sprinkles or drizzle.

Subtle breaks in the low clouds, weak surface winds, and the
lingering low-level moisture should allow mist/fog to form
after ~05Z/Sun, especially roughly along and east of the
longitude of KCAK. However, persistent onshore surface flow
associated with low-level cold air advection across ~49F Lake
Erie should contribute to mist or fog lingering along and near
the lakeshore from roughly the longitude of KBKL and points east
this afternoon into Sun morning. Following the onset of daytime
warming and resulting convective mixing of the boundary layer,
any lingering mist/fog should dissipate by ~14Z/Sun. The same
processes should allow lingering low clouds to become scattered
to broken in coverage and any lingering ceilings should rise to
the 2kft to 4kft AGL range between ~14Z/Sun and 18Z/Sun.

Outlook...Periodic rain showers with non-VFR are expected
Monday night through Thursday. Occasional thunderstorms are
expected Monday night through Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
A cold front moving east overnight will shift winds north-
northeast with speeds of 5-10 knots. Northerly winds will
increase across the central and eastern basin Saturday and
Saturday night, with winds between 10 to 15 knots and waves 2-4
feet. A strong low pressure system moves through the western
Great Lakes region for the start of next week, and winds will
increase to 15-20 knots for a period of time late Monday into
Tuesday. A a Small Craft Advisory may be needed.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...Jaszka
MARINE...27