Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

545
FXUS61 KCLE 081713
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
113 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Warm and dry conditions midweek onward with occasional shower and
thunderstorm chances returning Friday and continuing through early
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Quiet, dry, and warmer today as high pressure begins to push
eastward and usher in southerly return flow. Highs today will
be roughly 15-20 degrees warmer compared to Tuesday as they top
out in the mid to upper 50s. As the high exits to the east,
surface low pressure and accompanying shortwave aloft will
glide east across the Northern Great Lakes tonight. The low will
introduce a cold front to the region by Thursday before the
front stalls in the vicinity of Lake Erie. Showers with
afternoon thunderstorms will be possible Thursday and Thursday
night ahead of the cold front. Another shortwave aloft will
move overhead on Friday which will allow for the cold front to
glide southeast across the forecast area. Additional chances for
showers and thunderstorms remain in place on Friday with the
frontal passage. QPF amounts with the frontal passage remain
generally under 0.50 inches across the entire forecast area.

High pressure returns for the weekend behind the cold front with
highs in the upper 50s Saturday warming into the mid 70s by
Sunday. Warm but unsettled weather is expected early next week
as multiple shortwaves aloft move through the region with
afternoon highs remaining in the 70s through Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
VFR conditions are expected for this TAF update. Isolated to
scattered mid level clouds FL080-120 this afternoon with a dry
warm front lifting northeastward through the southern Great
Lakes. Winds generally less than 12kts, but the isolated gust to
15-17kts not completely out of the question for the western
terminals this afternoon during peak heating. Low level jet
moves in tonight, and with the decoupling from a surface
inversion, will add LLWS to the forecast until heating mixes the
boundary layer tomorrow and it becomes gusts at the surface,
which could be in the range of 20-30kts towards the end of the
forecast period.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in rain showers Thursday night
through Friday evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Marine conditions are expected to become breezy with offshore
winds increasing tonight into Thursday ahead of an approaching
cold front. Southeasterly winds this afternoon and evening will
be 10 to 15 knots. Overnight southerly winds will increase 15
to 20 knots by early Thursday morning and remain breezy into
Thursday. We will watch the trends for a possible SCA but it may
be a marginal situation. The frontal boundary will sag towards
Lake Erie by Thursday evening but slow down as a wave of low
pressure tracks along the front Thursday night into Friday
morning. The cold front will eventually push across the lake
later on Friday. Winds will continue southwesterly Friday 10 to
20 knots followed by a wind shift from the north 5 to 12 knots
Friday night. High pressure will be near the lake this weekend
with a light northeasterly to easterly flow expected on
Saturday. A return flow of southerly winds will be back by
Sunday morning, increasing during the day 10 to 20 knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...77
MARINE...77