Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

936
FXUS61 KCLE 210413
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1113 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winds across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania trended
slightly higher this afternoon. We expanded the Wind Advisory
for all of northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Gusty winds are expected behind a cold front this afternoon.

2) More seasonable temperatures and potential for accumulating snow
return to the area this weekend into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
The cold front has completely pushed through the area as of
midday. Strong, gusty winds have followed behind the cold front
with measured wind gusts between 45 to 55 mph areawide. We
expanded the Wind Advisory for all of northern Ohio and
northwest Pennsylvania in effect until 7 pm this evening. High
temperatures for today have already occurred this morning
reaching the middle to upper 50s. The milder weather is now gone
for a while. Temperatures are crashing behind the front and will
fall into the 30s this afternoon. Scattered snow flurries will
move in from west to east across the area this afternoon and
evening. There is the potential for some scattered lake effect
snow showers to develop this evening and overnight for the
snowbelt of far NEOH and NWPA. A dusting to an inch or two is
possible towards NWPA by Saturday morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
The colder and more winter like weather pattern will return
this weekend into early next due to an upper level trough that
will develop over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region.
Saturday will be mostly dry but overcast and chilly. High
temperatures will be in the 30s. The upper level trough really
sharpens up by Saturday night and Sunday. Colder flow will move
over the Great Lakes. The ice on Lake Erie has opened up quite
a bit away from the lakeshore. We will see scattered light snow
showers areawide starting Saturday night and continue through
Monday. Scattered lake effect or lake enhanced snow showers will
develop and favor both the primary and secondary Snowbelt Sunday
morning through through Monday night. Snowfall totals will
average 1 to 2 inches for areas outside of the snowbelt. Areas
in the Snowbelt may see 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts up
to 6 inches possible. High temperatures will generally be in the
30s and overnight lows in the teens and 20s. A broad trough will
continue over the Great Lakes region by the middle of next week
with temperatures moderating into the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
A vertically-stacked and weakening low at the surface and aloft
should remain nearly-stationary in vicinity of central Lake
Huron through 06Z/Sun as the associated surface trough lingers
over northern OH and NW PA. Our regional surface winds trend
SW`erly to W`erly around 5 to 15 knots through the TAF period.
Periodic gusts up to about 20 to 30 knots are expected prior to
12Z/Sat. Widespread low clouds persist through 06Z/Sun. The
bases of these clouds should vary between 1kft and 3.5kft AGL.

Primarily dry weather and VFR visibility are expected through
06Z/Sun. However, disturbances embedded in W`erly flow aloft
will generate periodic and primarily light snow in far-NE OH and
NW PA through ~09Z/Sat, including at/near KERI. This snow
should be lake-enhanced and therefore steady at times. Primarily
MVFR visibility is expected in this snow. In addition, as a
stronger disturbance aloft approaches our region from the Upper
Midwest and vicinity Sat evening into early Sun morning,
widespread snow, steady to heavy at times, should blossom over
northern OH between 02Z/Sun and 06Z/Sun. Visibility should vary
between mainly MVFR and LIFR in this snow.

Outlook...Periodic snow with non-VFR expected Sunday through
Tuesday night. Periods of snow, mixing with or changing to rain,
and resulting non-VFR are possible this Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
A low pressure system will continue to slowly drift east today
into tonight, keeping elevated winds possible across Lake Erie.
Observations this afternoon are generally from the southwest
sustained at 20-25 knots, gusting up to 35-40 knots at times.
These strong winds are expected to persist through the evening,
keeping the risk of ice floes across Lake Erie elevated. Any ice
that breaks/shifts has the potential to strand people who are on
the ice or close shipping lanes. It is still strongly encouraged
to stay off the ice today.

As this low shifts east, a lingering surface trough will result
in winds shifting to become northwesterly by Sunday at 10-15
knots. This surface trough will merge with a strong low pressure
system that is expected to move up the East Coast Sunday into
Monday, gradually increasing the gradient across Lake Erie.
Winds from the north-northwest will increase late Sunday into
Monday to be sustained at 20-25 knots. These winds will weaken
on Tuesday as a surface ridge nudges north to be sustained at
10-15 knots. Another low pressure system is expected to impact
the region midweek.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Low Water Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for LEZ142>144-
     162>164.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...Jaszka
MARINE...04