Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

291
FXUS61 KCLE 311202
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
702 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure moves across the eastern Great Lakes today and will
drag a cold front across the local area this evening into Thursday.
Weak ridge of high pressure will build into the region from the west
on Thursday and persist through the weekend. A weak low will track
across the eastern Great Lakes early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
700AM Update...
Updated the forecast to include a brief period of FZDZ this
morning. Locations in western and central Ohio have reported
periods of freezing drizzle and, though isolated in northern
Ohio, will continue to be possible through mid-morning.

Previous Discussion...
Active winter weather continues through the duration of the near
term with winter weather headlines in effect across Northeast Ohio
and Northwest Pennsylvania through Thursday and Thursday evening.
Headlines remain unchanged with this forecast update.

Two initial areas of snowfall to focus on in the immediate term the
first being a weak clipper system tracking across the region.
Areawide light snowfall between 1 and 2 inches is expected through
this morning with this system. The weak clipper will allow for
lingering lake effect snow showers to focus in on the lakeshore from
Lake County OH east into northern Erie County PA early this
morning and continue through much of the day today. Snowfall
amounts along the lake shore through this afternoon range
between 5 and 8 inches. Periods of moderate to heavy snow will
be possible this afternoon across northern Erie County PA where
HREF guidance hints at snowfall rates of 1"/hr. Given the long-
fetch single band along the lakeshore under westerly flow, there
will be a sharp snow gradient with locations south of the main
band receiving a significantly lower amount of snowfall.

A stronger clipper and cold front will sink south across the region
late this afternoon/early evening. Another glancing blow of 1 to 3
inches of snowfall is expected outside of the Snowbelt with this
system this afternoon and evening. An additional 5 to 10 inches of
snow is expected in the snowbelt. Highest amounts likely across
the higher terrain of Northwest Pennsylvania where a Lake Huron
connection is expected to develop. Additionally, there
continues to be a concern for snow squalls this afternoon and
evening. The threat for squalls exists across the entire region
though the highest chance will be across portions of Northern
Ohio, Northeast Ohio, and Northwest Pennsylvania. Snow squalls
can result in brief whiteouts and rapidly deteriorating road
conditions. Snowfall rates may reach 1-2 inches/hr at times this
evening. Lake effect will gradually diminish across much of the
Snowbelt through the day on Thursday as a narrow ridge of high
pressure dries out low levels.

Highs in the upper 20s today ahead of the cold front. Much cooler
tonight behind the cold front with lows in the single digits to low
10s. Sub-zero wind chills will be likely across much of the region
Thursday morning. Highs on Thursday will remain cool in the upper
teens to lower 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Some lingering lake effect snowfall may continue across Northwest
Pennsylvania through Friday as an upper trough digs across western
NY. However, expect greatest snowfall accumulations to occur closer
to the trough axis across western NY. Dry weather is expected
outside of any lingering lake effect snow showers as high pressure
remains overhead. Remaining chilly with lows each night in the teens
and wind chills in the single digits. High temperatures on Friday
and Saturday remain in the mid 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Slight chance to chance PoPs return Sunday night through Tuesday
downwind of Lake Erie as a weak area of low pressure moves through
the Great Lakes region. Highs in the upper 20s on Sunday will warm
into the mid 30s by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Across the region ceilings are primarily MVFR with some sites in
western Ohio dropping down to IFR. Snow showers can still be see
across the majority of sites though have largely slowed and impacts
are not as great. Outside of KERI and possibly KCLE, sites should
see a lull in the snow showers during the day today before picking
up again this afternoon as a cold front moves across the region.
With this cold front conditions will drop down to IFR as it moves
through. There is potential for sites, mainly in eastern Ohio and
western Pennsylvania that could drop down to LIFR visibilities in
possible snow squalls. Behind the cold front, conditions should
begin to improve. Only KERI will continue to see snow through the
TAF period, elsewhere, visibilities will improve around 07-09Z.
Winds currently are out of the west between 6-12 knots across the
region but will increase ahead of the front and for a period
afterwards. During this time, winds will shift to be briefly out of
the northwest at 15-20 knots and gusting around 25 knots. They will
back to being more westerly and weaken to around 10-15 knots towards
the end of the TAF period. KERI will still see elevated winds
through the TAF period and see winds gusting around 30 knots this
afternoon with the front.

Outlook...Non-VFR conditions expected across the region today
through Thursday evening. Prolonged non-VFR conditions likely across
the snow belt due to lake effect snow into Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Conditions will continue to improve across Lake Erie through this
afternoon. In the western basin, the Small Craft Advisory will be
allowed to expire at 4AM with winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots and
waves diminishing to around 2 feet. For the rest of the lake, the
Small Craft Advisory remains valid and will be extended through 09Z
Saturday morning when winds and waves will begin to diminish below
criteria. Until then, winds will generally be out of the west and
stay at 15 to 25 knots. There`s a short time period starting this
evening through midnight tonight where winds will increase to 20 to
25 knots across the central and western basin. As a result, waves
will build back up around 7 to 9 feet before beginning to diminish
Thursday morning. There is about a period tonight where in the
western basin winds could reach Small Craft criteria, though
confidence is low in that time period being long enough to warrant
an issuance of an advisory.

Afterwards, winds will begin to weaken through the remainder of the
weak and waves will diminish as well across Lake Erie. High pressure
will build into the region to start this weekend and quiet
conditions are expected.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST
     Thursday for OHZ010-020>023-031>033.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for OHZ011.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 AM EST Thursday for
     OHZ012>014-089.
PA...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 PM EST Thursday for
     PAZ001>003.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for LEZ145>149.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13/23
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23