Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

383
FXUS61 KCLE 282308
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
708 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes made to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Low rain chances remain for eastern areas tonight before
more widespread rain enters for Wednesday.

2) A cool weather pattern will take hold for the end of the week
into the weekend with low confidence and low coverage rain
chances and the potential for frost/freeze.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front continues crossing the forecast area this
afternoon and will exit this evening. Along and ahead of the
front, there is a more robust, diurnally-driven cumulus field
that has occasionally overachieved into spotty showers. With
some areas of NE OH and NW PA reaching the upper 60s to lower
70s, there could be some scattered rain development until the
front passes and will keep a 20-40% PoP over the next couple of
hours. For tonight into Wednesday, a low pressure system will
develop over the southern US and move northeast along the cold
front and into the region. Widespread showers are expected with
this system and have maintained categorical PoPs for much of the
area. Rain should generally be one inch or less and does not
pose a significant flooding threat at this time. The forecast
area will be on the cold side of the low and cold front and
thunderstorm chances are low and are favored to the east.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
The pattern for Thursday and beyond will be a cool, Spring
pattern with a closed upper low over the Great Lakes region and
eastern Canada through the weekend. This system will allow for
temperatures to remain below normal. Some waves of energy with
this low will move through the region and could spark some
isolated rain chances but there is low confidence in potential
and coverage at this time. The cooler temperatures across the
region with the upper low will allow for lows in the 30s and
this could allow for some frost/freeze chances nightly. True
frost chances could be limited with clouds across the region but
temperatures dipping into the lower 30s would present the freeze
opportunity for some folks.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
VFR conditions are expected this evening but MVFR ceilings will
move in by Wednesday morning. Lower end MVFR to IFR ceilings and
conditions are expected later Wednesday morning through
Wednesday afternoon. Widespread rain showers are expected to
move in Wednesday morning through the afternoon with 2sm to 5sm
visibilities. Winds will start out northwesterly 5 to 10 knots
this evening. Winds will shift around to the north and northeast
on Wednesday 5 to 12 knots.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely in showers possible on Thursday
night/Friday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and waves across Lake Erie have continued to subside this
afternoon into the evening and drop below Small Craft criteria.
Overnight, winds will become light at less than 10 knots across the
lake and veer to be out of the north. By tomorrow evening, winds
will increase slightly to 10-15 knots out of the north-northwest.
Waves will build as a response to around 3 feet in the near shore
with the on shore winds. Through the end of the week, quiet marine
conditions are expected with winds varying between north to
northwest at 5-10 knots and waves being less than 3 feet. Over the
weekend, winds should back to be out of the west at 10-20 knots as
high pressure moves to the south of the region.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sefcovic
AVIATION...77
MARINE...23