Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

497
FXUS61 KCLE 291857
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
257 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Parts of Northwestern and Northern Ohio have been upgraded into an
Extreme Heat Warning beginning tomorrow. The Heat Advisory has been
expanded to include Northwestern Pennsylvania.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Hot and humid conditions will continue through much of the week
as high pressure builds in to the southeast.

2) Precipitation chances return to the region on Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A warm front will continue to move north across the region this
evening into the early overnight hours. High pressure builds in
southeast of the area early tomorrow and will persist through much
of the week. As a result, there will be west to southwesterly flow
across the region that will bring in warm moist air with
temperatures and dew points climbing as a result. High temperatures
will rise up into the upper 80s to low 90s this evening then into
the mid to upper 90s through Thursday. With dew points climbing into
the upper 60s to mid 70s, heat indices will be in climb over 100
degrees for all of the region. Northwest and Northern Ohio will
climb above 105 starting tomorrow and have been upgraded to an
Extreme Heat Warning. Overnight lows will be mild throughout the
week will lows in the mid to upper 70s providing little relief to
the heat related impacts.

The upper level ridge begins to break down towards the end of the
week. Temperatures are still expected to be above average with highs
in the upper 80s to low 90s through the weekend. Heat related
headlines may need to be extended across much of Ohio. Though,
depending on how the precipitation unfolds late this week will
determine how warm some areas get.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
As the upper level ridge breaks down and the surface high pressure
weakens, precipitation chances will return to the region beginning
on Friday. Global models show a shortwave across fairly zonal flow
moving through the region on Friday, though there has been quite a
bit of variance in the models. Will need to continue to monitor
this time frame to see how convection will impact our region
Friday night into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/...
Generally VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
Can not rule out an hour or two of MVFR visibilities between
10-12Z Tues morning but confidence is not very high. Otherwise
scattered cumulus clouds this afternoon will tend to clear
tonight. Expecting to see clouds increase in the 2500-4500 range
between 14-18Z tomorrow and may be broken for an hour or two
before scattering out. We will also have occasional high clouds
moving overhead.

Winds will be out of the south to southwest today except near
Lake Erie where lake breezes out of the north are already
occurring at ERI and will reach CLE by 19Z. Land breezes will
prevail tonight out of the south/southeast with southwesterly
winds returning on Tuesday.

Outlook...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally light wind conditions of 15 knots or less expected
this week. Onshore flow today will shift to southwesterly on
Tuesday. Occasional lake breezes are possible between Cleveland
and Erie. Otherwise, chances of thunderstorms return to the
forecast beginning Thursday night and continue through the
Holiday weekend. Showers and thunderstorms could lead to erratic
wind and wave conditions at times.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Hotter and more humid weather is expected this Monday through Friday.
Record warm high temperatures may be challenged. Here are those records
for each of our climate stations:

Date    Toledo         Mansfield      Cleveland      Akron          Youngstown     Erie
06-29   100(1952)      96(1934)       94(2012)       98(1952)       99(1933)       90(2021)
06-30   97(1953)       94(1970)       95(1941)       96(1913)       94(1942)       92(1930)
07-01   98(1931)       98(1931)       95(2002)       97(1931)       96(1931)       94(2018)
07-02   98(2011)       97(1931)       97(1954)       98(1931)       98(1931)       94(1963)
07-03   100(1911)      93(2020)       98(1949)       97(1911)       98(1898)       93(1934)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Heat Advisory until noon EDT Tuesday for OHZ003-006-017.
     Extreme Heat Warning from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday
     for OHZ003-006>011-017>019.
     Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
     OHZ012>014-020>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
     PAZ001>003.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION...10
MARINE...10