Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

256
FXUS61 KCLE 071140
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
740 AM EDT Tue Apr 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Chilly with light lake effect snow showers with minor
accumulations through this morning.

2) Warm and dry conditions midweek onward with occasional shower and
thunderstorm chances returning Friday and continuing through early
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Broad upper level trough will continue to swing across the Lower
Great Lakes through tonight. Lake effect rain/snow showers continue
under broad northwesterly flow and a chilly airmass characterized by
850mb temps of -10 to -15C. Overall accumulations and impacts will
be minimal given road temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s
across the region. Anticipate for any lingering rain/snow showers to
quickly diminish late this morning as high pressure builds overhead
from the west and ushers in a much drier airmass. Remaining cooler
today with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and overnight lows in
the 20s tonight. Traditional cooler spots may dip into the teens
across interior Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
High pressure overhead on Wednesday will push east through Thursday
bringing a warming trend to the region. Will need to keep an eye on
any fire weather concerns on Wednesday as minimum RH values fall
into the 20-30% range. However, repeated rounds of rainfall over the
past week will keep 10-hr fuels above the Red Flag Warning criteria
of 8% for Ohio and 10% for Pennsylvania.

An upper shortwave and surface cold front will approach from the west
on Thursday. The cold front will eventually sink south across the
forecast area on Friday with showers and thunderstorm chances
possible Thursday and Friday along and ahead of the front. High
pressure returns this weekend behind the frontal passage before
unsettled weather returns early next week as a series of upper
shortwaves move through the Ohio Valley.

Highs in the mid to upper 50s on Wednesday will rise into the 60s by
Thursday and Friday as the high pushes east. Slightly cooler behind
the frontal passage on Saturday with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s
before highs rebound into the 70s by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Snow showers continue across NE OH and NW PA this morning
impacting terminals in those locations. Both KYNG and KERI
could see showers over the next few hours though confidence is
low that it will bring conditions down to non-VFR. Snow Showers
should end by midday with high pressure building in to the
region. Elsewhere, VFR conditions are seen and will continue
through the TAF period.

Winds from KCLE eastward are sustained at around 10 knots and
gusting to 15-20 knots out of the north. To the west, gusts have
subsided and winds are around 10 knots sustained. By 16-18Z
gusts across all terminals should begin to subside. Tonight,
winds will become light at less than 5 knots and variable but
generally have an easterly component. By the end of the TAF
period, winds will shift to be out of the southeast but remain
light.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in scattered rain showers on Thursday
night through Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds remain elevated across Lake Erie early this morning and
are currently 15-25 knots gusting up to 30 knots with waves at
4-7 feet. High pressure will build in today and winds will begin
to diminish throughout the day to be around 10 knots out of the
north by late this afternoon. Winds will veer around to be out
of the east to southeast by Wednesday morning at 5-10 knots. Low
pressure will move north of the lake on Thursday and winds will
increase to 15-25 knots out of the south. With the offshore
winds, the highest waves at 3-5 feet, should stay over the open
waters and the need for a Small Craft Advisory should be low. By
Friday, the low pressure will move off to the east and winds
will shift to be out of the southwest at5- 15 knots. A cold
front will pass through later in the day shifting winds to be
northwesterly, but should stay on the lighter side at 5- 10
knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for
     LEZ143>149.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23