Lorain, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

165
FXUS61 KCLE 291142
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
642 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure lifts north through the Great Lakes this morning
while dragging a cold front across the area. A trough sets up over
the Great Lakes behind the front this afternoon and will persist
through the middle of the week. Another low pressure system moves
across the Great Lakes Wednesday and will move a cold front across
the local area. High pressure builds overhead Friday and lasts
into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Active near term in store behind a strong low pressure system and
strong cold front. Multiple hazards including plummeting
temperatures, strong winds and gusts, the potential for snow
squalls, and accumulating lake enhanced snow are possible through
the near term.

Cold front will continue tracking east across the local area through
daybreak this morning. Scattered rain showers ahead of the front
will exit to the east over the next few hours. Behind the cold
front, strong cold air advection will bring much cooler air to the
region. Regional temperatures recorded in the 50s to 60s around
midnight will continue to plummet into the 20s near daybreak today.
Remaining chilly on Tuesday with highs in the 20s. There will likely
be a brief lull in precipitation behind the passing cold front early
this morning and before the strong surface trough moves into the
Great Lakes.

Surface westerly winds and wind gusts will continue to quickly ramp
up through the early morning hours today behind the cold front. Wind
Advisories and High Wind Warnings remain in effect across the entire
forecast area through tonight as wind gusts reach between 50 and 60
MPH. Winds will decrease tonight but breezy conditions and
northwesterly wind gusts 25-35 MPH are expected to linger through
Tuesday.

The aforementioned surface trough will introduce a window of lake
enhanced snow showers coming off both Lake Michigan and Lake Erie
impacting the region into tonight. Strong winds will lead to blowing
snow and the potential for snow squalls to develop. Latest HREF
guidance hints at a window late this afternoon/early evening in the
Snowbelt where snowfall rates may reach or exceed 1"/hour. Whiteout
conditions and difficult travel are possible across the warning area,
especially Monday evening when winds will still be gusting between
45 and 50 mph. There remains the potential for inland portions of
Geauga/Ashtabula County to reach or exceed 6" of snow, though opted
to maintain the Winter Weather Advisory as there is a high likelihood
that total snow accumulations may be negatively impacted by strong
winds and blowing snow.

Lake enhanced snow will transition to pure lake effect snow late
tonight and persist through Tuesday. Current suite of Lake Effect
Snow/Winter Weather Advisory headlines remain in effect through
Tuesday afternoon. Flow backs southwesterly late Tuesday pushing
lake effect into western NY allowing for a brief reprieve ahead of
the next system.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A clipper will move into the Great Lakes on Tuesday night into
Wednesday while dragging a cold front across the local area.
Accumulating lake effect snow returns with the cold front where
portions of Northwest Pennsylvania could receive another 8-10 inches
of snow through Thursday morning. Elsewhere, expect at least 0.5" to
1 inch of snowfall with the clipper. Highs in the upper 20s
Wednesday fall to the upper teens to lower 20s by Thursday.
Overnight lows in the tens Wednesday with wind chill values in the
single digits Thursday morning. Coldest temperatures will be late
Thursday night into Friday morning with the potential for wind
chills in the low single digits to near zero.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Quieter through the long term period as areas of high pressure build
into the region Friday through the weekend. Temperatures will
gradually warm through the long term with highs in the mid 20s
Friday increasing to near freezing by Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Widespread MVFR conditions are seen across the region behind the
cold front that is departing out to the east. A trough will be
sweeping through the region today as the strong low pressure
system to the north moves to the northeast. This will bring
strong winds with snow across the area for the majority of the
TAF period causing IFR conditions. Snow can be seen entering
western Ohio this morning with generally IFR visibilities,
though there are some pockets of heavier snowfall bringing
visibility down to LIFR. This will continue across northern
Ohio into Pennsylvania impacting all TAF sites. Currently only
have a TEMPO group at KERI for LIFR visibilities, but it will
be possible across the region in the heavier pockets of snow and
snow squalls if they develop.

Snowfall should start to taper off for much of the region by
this evening and conditions will start to improve to MVFR. Some
locations in northwestern Ohio could even see VFR conditions by
the the end of the period. Prolonged snowfall will be possible
across the eastern half of TAF sites due to being down wind of
the lake enhanced snow, but conditions should still improve
slightly. KERI will see continued snowfall and IFR conditions
through the TAF period.

Winds during the majority of the period will be out of the west
and gusting up to 50 knots for sites along the lake shore and
up to 45 knots elsewhere. By around 00Z, winds will begin to
subside, though it will be a slow progression and should expect
winds gusts of 30 knots and above through the TAF period.

Outlook...Non-VFR ceilings and visibilities will continue into
Monday night and Tuesday. Non-VFR conditions across Northeast
Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania in lake effect snow showers
through at least Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
A strong cold front continues to quickly move eastward across the
region this morning and should clear Lake Erie by daybreak. The
accompanying low pressure system will move across the Great Lakes
today and push off to the northeast into eastern Canada by this
evening. Behind the front, winds have begun to increase out of the
west with sustained winds 25-30 knots gusting upwards of 35 knots.
Winds will continue to increase throughout the day peaking around
midday at around 50 knots. The Gale Warning is in effect for the
entirety of the lake through 8 AM this morning when the Storm
Warning goes into effect for the central basin and 10 AM for the
eastern basin. The western basin will continue to be under a Gale
Warning as winds are not expected to reach storm criteria. Waves
today will also build to 8 to 12 feet with occasional waves around
15 feet for the western basin and 15 to 20 feet with waves
occasionally around 26 feet for the central and eastern basins. As a
result of the strong, sustained westerly winds, water levels in the
western basin will fall well below the critical mark for safe
navigation today. Currently, the water levels are 1.5 inches above
low water datum and are forecast to fall to around 4 feet below low
water datum. Winds will continue to stay elevated through Tuesday
and will need to additional marine headlines once the threshold for
the Storm Warning is no longer met after this evening. Additionally,
with the strong influx of cold air and elevated winds, freezing
spray will be a concern across the central and eastern basins
through Wednesday morning.

Gales will begin to subside from west to east during the day Tuesday
as the low pressure system continues to depart northeastward.
Elevated winds of at least 20 to 30 knots are expected to continue
through Wednesday night across much of the central and eastern
basins. Waves will begin to slowly subside as well through the week
but will generally be 5 to 9 feet through Wednesday night.
Afterwards, quieter marine conditions are expected with high
pressure building into the region.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...High Wind Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for OHZ003-
     006>009-017>019.
     High Wind Warning until 1 AM EST Tuesday for OHZ010>014-089.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 PM EST
     Tuesday for OHZ011>014-021>023-089.
     Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for OHZ020>023-030>033-
     038.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for OHZ027>029-036-
     037-047.
PA...High Wind Warning until 1 AM EST Tuesday for PAZ001-002.
     Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for PAZ003.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     Tuesday for PAZ001.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EST
     Tuesday for PAZ002-003.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Tuesday for LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Low Water Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for LEZ142>144-
     162>164.
     Gale Warning until 8 AM EST this morning for LEZ145>147-
     165>167.
     Storm Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for LEZ145>147-
     165>167.
     Gale Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ148-149-168-
     169.
     Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 9 PM EST this evening
     for LEZ148-149-168-169.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23