Jacksonville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

938
FXUS62 KMHX 060702
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
302 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will approach from the west today and move through
the area late tonight into Sunday bringing shower and
thunderstorm chances to the area. High pressure will build in
late this weekend into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 215 AM Saturday...Clear skies and calm winds have allowed
for good radiational cooling early this morning and have begun
to see patchy shallow fog develop at a few locations east of
highway 17. Most HiRes guidance is showing the fog will continue
to expand through daybreak but will dissipate quickly after
sunrise. Some areas may see locally dense fog with vsbys less
than 1 mile at times.

A broad upper trough continues to reside over the eastern CONUS
through the short term. An embedded shortwave moving through
the flow aloft and attendant sfc cold front will slowly approach
the area today with the front moving into the central Carolinas
this afternoon. In addition, a coastal trough will remain off
the coast through the short term. Generally expect mostly
sunny to partly cloudy skies today with precip chances remaining
west of the area or off the coast closer to the aforementioned
frontal boundaries. Low level thicknesses increase several
meters over yesterday so expect temps to be a few degrees warmer
than yesterday with highs in the low 90s inland and mid to upper
80s along the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 245 AM Saturday...The cold front will slowly push across
the area tonight reaching coastal sections late. Could see a few
showers pushing into the western coastal plain this evening but
upper level support will remain limited until later on Sunday,
so will be keeping PoP below mentionable for most of the area.
With increasing low level moisture guidance is suggesting patchy
fog developing late tonight but clouds will be gradually
increasing curtailing radiational cooling. Lows tonight expected
around 70 inland and low to mid 70s along the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 215 AM Fri...

Key Messages

 - Cooler and unsettled late this weekend into next week

The front will move through early Sunday. High pressure will
build in from the north Sunday and early next week. Weak wedge
looks to set up behind the front into next week, as front
lingers offshore (waves developing along it) and potential
coastal troughing, which would give way to NE flow, more clouds
than sun and increased shower chances...with best chances along
the coast. Best chances for scattered showers and storms will be
Sunday afternoon and evening. High temps will fall back into
the upper 70s to low 80s, and lows in the 60s-70 deg. Another
front will approach the area late week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 230 AM Saturday...Calm winds and clear skies is allowing
for good radiational cooling this morning with many area at or
near saturation and begun to see patchy shallow fog developing
at OAJ and EWN with vsbys occasionally dropping a low at 1/2SM.
Expect fog coverage to expand through the early morning hours
with greatest coverage expected east of highway 17. The fog will
dissipate fairly quickly after daybreak. Otherwise pred VFR
conditions expected today. A cold front will slowly approach the
area today and push across rtes tonight. Shower/thunderstorm
chances remain low across most of the area but could see and
isolated storm moving into the western coastal plain this
evening. Some guidance is suggesting patchy fog possible late
tonight but radiational cooling will be curtailed by increasing
clouds so not expected widespread fog.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Tuesday/...
As of 215 AM Fri...A cold front will move through Saturday
night and early Sunday. Widespread sub-VFR cigs may develop
behind the front Sat night and Sunday, potentially lingering
into early next week. Scattered showers and storms expected
Sunday afternoon and eve.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 3 AM Saturday...A cold front will slowly approach the
waters today and push into the area late tonight. Light and
variable winds this morning will become southerly around 10-15
kt late this afternoon and evening then will become SW to W
around 5-10 kt late tonight. Seas will be around 2-3 ft today
with some 4 ft seas developing across the outer waters tonight.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Tuesday/...
As of 215 AM Fri...

Key Messages:

- Prolonged period of SCA conditions likely to develop early
  next week

The front will move through the waters Saturday night and early
Sunday. Moderate NNE flow will develop behind the front Sunday
10-15 kt, increasing to 15-25 kt Mon and Tue. Seas will remain
at 2-4 ft this weekend, building to 4-8 ft Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...SK
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM...RJ
AVIATION...SK/RJ
MARINE...SK/RJ