Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

633
FXUS62 KRAH 092331
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
630 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* A Frost Advisory has been issued for tonight across most of
  central NC.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 145 PM Monday...

1) A Frost Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 8 AM Tuesday across
much of central NC, with the exception of our far SE.

2) Cold front will bring low-end rain chances on Thursday, followed
by the coldest air so far this season for the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 145 PM Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A Frost Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 8 AM
Tuesday across much of central NC, with the exception of our far SE.

Cool surface high pressure will remain over the Southeast US through
tonight, with any cloud cover associated with a shortwave
disturbance remaining well to our north over the Northeast US. Given
W/NW winds turning mainly calm and a stout surface inversion
developing after dark, the stage should be set for ideal radiational
cooling conditions tonight. Low temperatures this morning were in
the mid-30s in some outlying areas (including 33F at Burlington and
Siler City), and while low-level thicknesses will be about 5-10 m
higher tonight, winds should be calmer given the surface high nosing
farther NE into the region. So expect lows in the mid-to-upper-30s
across most of central NC outside of urban areas and the far SE
where they should be closer to 40. Thus issued a Frost Advisory from
1 AM to 8 AM Tuesday for all our counties except the far SE from
Scotland east to Sampson counties.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Cold front will bring low-end rain chances on
Thursday, followed by the coldest air so far this season for the
weekend.

A cold front will sweep across central NC during the daytime
Thursday.  Given the antecedent dry air and modest pwat and limited
prefrontal moisture advection, PoPs assoc with the fropa will remain
sub-50%. For areas that do receive some rainfall, amounts will be
less than 1/2 inch.

Vigorous CAA is expected behind the cold front, with H8 temps
falling from around +10C pre-frontal to around -4C post-frontal by
Friday night. This will be the coldest airmass so far this season.
With high pressure building over the Carolinas by Sunday, low temps
Sunday morning will be the coldest in this string of cold days, with
at- or sub-freezing low temps expected Sunday morning which will end
the growing season across central NC.  To summarize post-frontal
temps... look for highs in the 50s Friday through Monday, with low
temps in the lower 30s Saturday morning, Sunday morning and Monday
morning.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 630 PM Monday...

VFR conditions and clear skies will prevail across central NC
through the next 24 hours. Calm conditions tonight with light and
variable wind on Tuesday.

Outlook: VFR conditions are expected through much of the TAF outlook
period. There may be a few showers Thursday into early Friday,
bringing a low chance of sub-VFR restrictions. Gusty winds can be
expected Friday after a cold frontal passage. VFR conditions will
return on Saturday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 8 AM EST Tuesday for NCZ007>011-021>028-
038>043-073>078-083-084.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Danco/np
AVIATION...Badgett/Danco