Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

632
FXUS62 KRAH 310700
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
259 PM EDT Sun May 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* No significant changes at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 259 PM Sunday...

1) A chance of showers return later tonight into Monday, mainly
south and east.

2) A period of below normal temperatures, rising back to the 90s by
this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 259 PM Sunday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A chance of showers return later tonight and
Monday, mainly in the south and east.

High pressure will dominate today and then shift east. Partly sunny
skies today will yield highs around 80.

This will be followed by an upper level disturbance in the NW flow
aloft that will approach late tonight and pass overhead Monday
afternoon and evening. A weak surface trough is expected to develop
over the Piedmont Monday, with a weak wave of low pressure expected
to track from the Gulf Coast states across SC and offshore by Monday
night. Although most of the convection will be to our south again,
there appears to be a window of opportunity for scattered showers
and thunderstorms, especially over the southern and eastern part of
central NC late tonight, Monday, into Monday evening. The higher
instability and moisture will develop from Charlotte to Raleigh
south and east Monday. This is where the higher probabilities of
scattered thunderstorms will be (Southern Piedmont, Sandhills, and
Coastal Plain). QPF is variable as is typically the case with
scattered convection. Thus, expect little to nothing NW and 0.10 to
0.25 south and east, with a few locals of 0.5 to 1 inch in
thunderstorms - mainly over the Coastal Plain. POP will ramp up very
late tonight and Monday, peaking in the south and east Monday
afternoon and evening. Lows in the 60s tonight and highs Monday
expected to reach the lower to mid 80s.

This will be followed by a cool and dry weather with the anomalous
NE upper trough and strong (for June) surface high pressure building
south from the Great Lakes Tuesday into mid-week.

KEY MESSAGE 2 ... A period of below normal temperatures, rising back
to the 90s by this weekend.

After Monday`s cold frontal passage, Tuesday and Wednesday will
remain about 5-10 degrees below normal as high pressure starts to
build in west of the region. This equates to highs in the 70s on
Tuesday, rising a few degrees into the mid-to-upper 70s on
Wednesday. The high looks to pass over the region on Thursday,
allowing for winds to shift out of the south. This should allow
highs to return to the upper 80s to low 90s on Friday, rising to the
low 90s on Saturday. A few showers may be possible as the front and
potential coastal low continue to exit the area on Friday, otherwise
mainly dry conditions are expected as the high pressure moves
through the region.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 259 AM Sunday...

VFR conditions are expected today and tonight.

Outlook: A chance of MVFR conditions with showers/storms arrive
Monday into Monday night - mainly from KFAY to KRDU eastward.
Otherwise, generally VFR conditions expected.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/LH
AVIATION...Badgett/MWS