Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

600
FXUS62 KRAH 231833
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
233 PM EDT Mon Mar 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 233 PM Monday...

* No significant changes from previous forecasts.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 233 PM Monday...

1) There is an increased fire danger today from 3 PM to 10 PM in
areas west of I-95, due to the expected combination of very dry
fuels, blustery winds, and falling humidity.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 233 PM Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... There is an increased fire danger today from 3 PM
to 10 PM in areas west of I-95, due to the expected combination of
very dry fuels, blustery winds, and falling humidity.

Sfc flow has largely turn wnwly this afternoon as the front
continues to sag south through central NC. Some stronger gusts are
starting to show across northern stations into the 25 to 30 mph
range. Expect these stronger gusts to surge south and peak in the
southern Piedmont later this afternoon and evening. Forecast
soundings indicate continued mixing through much of the overnight
period with gusts of up to 20 mph possible through sunrise.

Weak instability has formed in our Sandhills/southern Coastal Plain
this afternoon. However, weak forcing has largely precluded
convective initiation. Given latest trends, think the rain chances
(which were already slim) are pretty low the rest of today. Best
chances for an isolated shower/storm would be in the southern
Coastal Plain (better chances into the Wilmington CWA).

Dew points across our area are largely still in the upper 40s to mid
50s with drier air further upstream. With time, the RH should drop
into the upper 20s/lower 30s across portions of the western and
southern Piedmont. There still appears to be a short window where
increased fire danger conditions will result later this
afternoon/early evening. Burning is discouraged today.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 233 PM Monday...

VFR conditions continue this afternoon as the cold front sags south
into the area. KINT/KGSO have started to see some higher gusts the
past hour or so. Expect these higher gusts to spill south to the
other terminals over the next few hours. Continued mixing should
occur some overnight before winds diminish and turn nely Tuesday.

Rain chances look limited, but can`t rule out an isolated
shower/storm at KFAY this afternoon.

Looking beyond 18z Tue, VFR conditions will dominate through much of
this week, although the chance for sub-VFR conditions in rain will
increase late Fri as another cold front approaches from the N.


&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

March 23:
KFAY: 86/1948

March 27:
KGSO: 86/1921
KRDU: 87/2007
KFAY: 87/1946


Record High Minimum Temperatures:

March 27:
KGSO: 60/2007
KFAY: 65/1949

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$
DISCUSSION...Luchetti
AVIATION...Luchetti/Hartfield
CLIMATE...RAH