Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

572
FXUS62 KRAH 280525
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
125 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Lowered the dew points a few degrees each afternoon from today
  through Wednesday given the continued dry NW flow pattern and good
  mixing each day.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 125 AM Monday...

1) Overall dry and increasingly warm weather through the upcoming
week, with the next chance of showers not until next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 125 AM Monday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Overall dry and increasingly warm weather through
the upcoming week, with the next chance of showers not until next
weekend.

Low pressure will slowly lift NE near the New England coast through
Tuesday, as weak high pressure dives down from the Northern Plains
to the OH Valley. This will result in continued dry NW flow across
central NC. There will continue to be some stratocumulus/altocumulus
cloudiness that may make it into the N-E portions of hte area, but
the winds will be lighter than in previous days. Highs around 80 can
be expected today and Tuesday, with mid 80s by Wednesday.
Significant warming will continue late week as the mid/upper ridge
aloft takes hold. Highs of 85-90 can be expected Thu-Fri.

A mid/upper trough will approach from the west sometime this
weekend, resulting in increasing shower chances. However,
significant timing differences persist between the GFS and ECMWF,
with the ECMWF much slower with the trough and thus keeping us
mainly dry until late Sunday. The GFS, on the other hand, brings
showers into the area as early as Friday, though it continues to be
an early wet outlier compared to the ensembles. We have POPs ramping
up from around 20-30% on Friday to 30-40% on Saturday and 40-50% on
Sunday. One last very warm day is expected on Friday with highs in
the mid 80s to around 90 with lows in the mid to upper-60s.

Behind a cold frontal passage on Friday night, temperatures will
turn much more seasonable again over the weekend, with highs in the
70s, with some 60s when/if rain/showers arrive by Sunday in the NW.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 115 AM Monday...

TAF period: Dry VFR conditions through the next 24 hours. A few mid-
level clouds are expected this afternoon associated with the
Nor`easter that continues to hug the coast. Light and variable winds
overnight with light northwesterly winds throughout the day.

Outlook: Dry, VFR conditions should prevail most of the upcoming
week. An unsettling pattern will move into the region by late Friday
with sub-VFR conditions expected through the weekend.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High Temperatures:

September 30:
KGSO: 89/1954
KRDU: 89/1954

October 1:
KGSO: 90/1986
KRDU: 90/1986

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett
AVIATION...CA
CLIMATE...RAH