Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

682
FXUS62 KRAH 232358
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

*  Severe Thunderstorm Watch has ended.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 800 PM Tuesday...

1) Cold front will shift south of the region by late evening. A
comfortable night ahead.

2) Excessively hot weather is possible again on Friday-Saturday and
especially by Sunday-Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 800 PM Tuesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Cold front shifting south through the region at
mid-evening. A comfortable night ahead.

The southward moving cold front will shift completely through our
region exiting the SE counties by late evening. Winds shift to the
north behind the front. A period of variably cloudy skies just
behind the front will linger for several hours before clearing out.
It will be much more comfortable tonight as the northerly flow will
sweep out the 70+ dew points replacing them with dew points in the
50s to lower 60s late tonight. Lows will dip into the 50s for the
northern counties with 60-65 SE.

Gradual warming will occur through Thursday with hot weather again
especially Friday and Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Excessively hot weather is possible again on Friday-
Saturday and especially by Sunday-Monday.

An elongated sub-tropical jet is expected to buckle north of the
Carolinas on Fri and spread anomalously warm 850mb temps (~20C) and
mark the return of excessively hot temperatures into the weekend. A
strong mid/upper level low is forecast to dig from the PacNW into
the Northern Rockies by Sun morning. The downstream response will
build a strong mid/upper level ridge and high-latitude omega
blocking pattern that will persist through the forecast period,
although wobbling eastward with time.

This pattern will favor a potentially prolonged period of
excessively hot temperatures over the Carolinas, only briefly
interrupted by a weak backdoor cold frontal passage and
isolated/scattered cold frontal convection Sun into Sun night with
not-as-hot temperatures and northeasterly flow lingering into
Monday. Temperatures in the mid/upper 90s to around 100 will become
common Fri and Sat, and perhaps lingering into Sun towards the NC/SC
border. The one saving grace is humidity doesn`t look overly
oppressive during the period, with dew points in the mid-to-upper-
60s during peak heating. Still, heat indices approaching 105 will be
possible from the Triangle south and east by Saturday, and Heat
Advisories may be needed.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 800 PM Tuesday...

A period of MVFR may linger at RWI till 00-02z, though VFR
conditions are expected to dominate tonight through Wednesday.
North winds will diminish tonight as high pressure settles
into the area.

Outlook: VFR conditions are expected Wed through Thu. A return to
isolated or scattered diurnal convection is favored Fri-Sun with
another frontal system, as well as the potential for early morning
stratus late in the week and upcoming weekend

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

June 26: KFAY: 101/1951

June 27: KRDU: 104/1954 KFAY: 102/1998

June 28: KRDU: 100/1959


Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 23: KFAY: 77/2024

June 26: KGSO: 74/2010 KRDU: 77/2024 KFAY: 76/1997

June 27: KGSO: 76/1969 KRDU: 76/1952 KFAY: 77/1998

June 28: KGSO: 76/1969 KRDU: 76/1952 KFAY: 78/1914

June 29: KGSO: 74/2024 KFAY: 76/1969

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AK/AS/Badgett
AVIATION...Badgett