Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

268
FXUS62 KRAH 140914
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
414 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong Arctic cold front will move southeast through the area
today. Frigid high pressure will build over the region Monday, then
move to our south Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 320 AM Sunday...

* A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for all of central NC from
  Sun evening to mid morning Mon, for wind chills as low as 3F-10F.
* Sustained winds of 15-25 mph and gusts up to 25-35 mph expected
  this morning through this evening.
* Light rain possible through 13Z today along and ahead of the
  front.

As of 07Z, the cold front was crossing the Appalachians. Scattered
pockets of light rain were seen on radar along and just ahead of the
front.  The front and light rain are expected to sweep across
central NC between 10Z and 13Z today, followed by a rapid change in
sfc wind to NW along with increase in speeds to 10-20kt with gusts
up to 30kt.  Skies will clear from NW to SE as winds turn to a
downsloping NW direction along with drier and colder air rushing
into central NC from the N and NW. High temps today will occur
between now and 10Z, then temps will actually fall through the 30s
during the sunny daytime hours, and continue to plummet tonight with
readings dropping into the teens. The wind will make it feel even
worse with wind chill values plungING through the day, reaching the
single digits in many areas by early evening, supporting the cold
weather advisory starting at 6 PM and running through Mon mid
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 350 AM Sunday...

Behind the departing mid/upper trough, NW flow aloft will bring
sunny skies and dry weather to central NC on Monday. At the surface,
a nearly 1040 mb Arctic high will shift from the central/southern
Appalachians early Monday to the southern Mid-Atlantic and Southeast
US on Monday night. This will bring continued very cold temperatures
on Monday with highs only in the mid-to-upper-30s (13 to 20 degrees
below normal). But winds will at least be much lighter thanks to a
weakening of the pressure gradient. This will translate to very good
radiational cooling conditions on Monday night, with the possible
exception of some high clouds particularly in the NW. Still, expect
widespread lows in the lower-20s, with isolated upper-teens possible
in outlying areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 400 AM Sunday...

As the surface high moves east and offshore on Tuesday, S/SW return
flow will bring milder temperatures to central NC, though still
slightly below normal. Forecast highs are in the mid-40s to 50 and
forecast lows in the upper-20s to lower-30s.

The warming trend will continue on Wednesday and Thursday as
temperatures turn above normal with strengthening S/SW flow.
Wednesday`s forecast highs are mid-to-upper-50s and lows in the 30s.
Thursday`s forecast highs are upper-50s to lower-60s and lows in the
lower-40s to lower-50s. A weakening shortwave may move through on
Wednesday, but any precipitation should dissipate as it crosses the
Mountains and the only effects here will be some mid and high
clouds.

The next real chance of rain comes late Thursday/early Friday as a
vigorous shortwave and associated surface low move E then NE across
the Upper Great Lakes and southern Ontario and Quebec. This will
drag a cold front that crosses central NC on Thursday night and
Friday morning. The 00z ECMWF and GFS and their respective ensemble
members have come in better agreement on timing, so POPs on Thursday
night have increased to high chance to likely. And the GFS has
trended toward the deeper trough depicted on the ECMWF, though it is
still drier. Still, total rainfall amounts look like they will be
limited by the progressive nature of the system, very marginal (if
any) instability, and strongest height falls occurring well to our
north. So overall impacts should be minimal. Friday and Saturday`s
temperatures will drop back closer to normal, with highs in the 50s
and lows Friday night in the upper-20s to mid-30s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 320 AM Sunday...

Through 06Z Monday... MVFR cigs and patchy light rain will spread
west to east across central NC over the next few hours ahead of the
cold front.  Then the front will cross central NC between 10-13Z
today, quickly followed by improving cigs but a rapid increase in
winds in the wake of the front. Winds will become NW behind the
front with speeds of 13-25kts and gusts up to 30kts which will last
during the entire daylight hours. We`ll see the gust diminish after
sunset, but speeds will remain 10-15kt overnight.

Outlook: VFR conditions appear likely through Thursday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory from 6 PM Sunday to 9 AM EST Monday for
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...NP
NEAR TERM...NP
SHORT TERM...Danco
LONG TERM...Danco
AVIATION...NP