Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

961
FXUS62 KRAH 251807
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
207 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* No appreciable changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 1236 PM Friday...

1) Seasonal temperatures and pleasant conditions will gradually
trend above normal towards the middle to latter part of next week.

2) Dry weather overall, with a slight signal for increased rain
chances late next week or weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 1236 PM Friday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Seasonal temperatures and pleasant conditions will
gradually trend above normal towards the middle to latter part of
next week.

An early season Nor`easter presently over the western Atlantic will
track towards New England this weekend and linger over that region
into early next week. In time, the system will eventually get kicked
eastward as ridging develops over the central and southern US and
tracks eastward into the Carolinas during the middle to latter part
of next week.

Gorgeous weather is expected the rest of today through early next
week. Daytime highs are favored in the upper 70s to some low 80s
during this stretch. These temperatures are right about average.
Correspondingly, dry air with dewpoints in the 40s will make for
that comfortable fall feel. Low temperatures tonight and Saturday
night are favored to be in the mid 40s to low 50s, about 5-10
degrees below normal. Even a few low 40s cannot be ruled out in
outlying areas of the Piedmont tonight.

We can expect a gradual warming trend toward the middle to latter
part of next week as ridging builds in from the west. Rising
thicknesses and heights will favor a trend to above normal highs in
the mid to upper 80s Wednesday through Friday.


KEY MESSAGE 2... Dry weather overall, with a slight signal for
increased rain chances late next week or weekend.

Overall dry conditions are expected through the middle of next week.
A dry northwest flow will exist at mid-levels through early next
week, effectively shutting off our moisture source for rain. We
could see some increased clouds Sunday and Monday as the Nor`easter
tracks into New England and portions of the Mid-Atlantic states, but
any rain stays off to our north and east.

Our best chance of a return to unsettled weather may not come until
late next week Friday or the following weekend. Ensemble guidance is
mixed on the overall pattern tied to an approaching system. Overall
confidence is thus low, dependent upon the degree of ridging
expected late next week. For now, our forecast calls for low-end
rain chances by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 PM Friday...

While there was a fleeting MVFR ceiling at RWI in the last hour,
that has since lifted and scattered out, and VFR conditions are
expected to prevail across central NC through the TAF period. After
some 4-8 kft ceilings in the Coastal Plain this afternoon, skies
will become mostly clear everywhere for the remainder of the 24-hour
TAF period.

Northerly winds this afternoon around a deepening area of low
pressure east of NC/VA will continue to gust up to 15-20 kts at
times, before diminishing after dark. A decent surface inversion and
northerly LLJ of 35-40 kts at 2 kft will then set the stage for
potential low-level wind shear tonight across mainly the eastern TAF
sites (RDU, FAY and especially RWI). Any wind shear will end by 12z
Saturday as we begin to mix and NW surface winds gust up to 15-20
kts (mainly east).

Outlook: A dry/continental airmass will remain over cntl NC and
favor VFR conditions for at least the next several days.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kren
AVIATION...Danco/MWS