Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

960
FXUS62 KRAH 082345
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
645 PM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 150 PM Sunday...

* Thursday is trending drier with increased chances Saturday and
  Sunday for precipitation.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 150 PM Sunday...

1) Above-average temperatures are expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

2) Multiple rounds of precipitation are expected mid to late week.
Rain is likely Wednesday, followed by increasing uncertainty Friday
into the weekend as a wedge pattern may allow periods of rain and
snow, with the greatest chance for wintry precipitation near the
VA/NC border.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 150 PM Sunday...

Key Message 1: Above-average temperatures are expected Tuesday and
Wednesday.

As a warm front lifts north late Monday night, surface high pressure
over the Southeast will promote south to southwest flow across the
region on Tuesday. High temperatures are forecast to run around 10
degrees above normal, ranging from the low 60s across the north to
the mid and upper 60s across the south. This marks the first period
of above-normal temperatures since early to mid January (Jan 4-11
and Jan 22-23). A cold front will begin to move across the region
Wednesday with slightly cooler temperatures. Highs Wednesday will be
in the upper 50s/low 60s across the north and mid/upper 60s in the
south. Overnight lows will remain well above freezing, with lows
Tuesday night in the low 40s north to mid/upper 40s in the south.
Depending on the timing of the cold front passing through Wednesday,
lows are expected to range from the low 30s north to mid 30s south.


Key Message 2: Multiple rounds of precipitation are expected mid to
late week. Rain is likely Wednesday, followed by increasing
uncertainty Friday into the weekend as a wedge pattern may allow
periods of rain and snow, with the greatest chance for wintry
precipitation near the VA/NC border.

Several shortwave disturbances will move across the region mid to
late week, resulting in multiple rounds of precipitation. The first
occurs Wednesday, when temperatures in the 60s will support all
liquid precipitation. Recent model runs have delayed the second wave
slightly, with much of Thursday now expected to remain dry.

Forecast uncertainty increases Friday as a low pressure system
tracks across the southern Mississippi Valley and into the
Southeast, while surface high pressure builds over the Northeast and
Mid-Atlantic and wedges southward along the eastern slopes of the
Appalachians late week into the weekend. Temperatures will be below
freezing Friday morning, allowing for a rain/snow mix at onset.
Daytime temperatures rising into the 40s to near 50 across southern
areas should support a changeover to all rain Friday.

The strength and persistence of the wedge will be critical Friday
night into Saturday morning, as temperatures may fall below freezing
across much of central NC, resulting in another period of rain/snow
mix, with a greater likelihood of snow near the VA/NC border. As the
surface high shifts northeast and the parent low continues across
the Gulf states, another surge of moisture is expected Sunday. With
temperatures remaining just above freezing, rain will be the
dominant precipitation type, though a few flakes cannot be ruled out.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 645 PM Sunday...

VFR conditions are likely across central NC for the next 24 hours,
with high confidence. Surface high pressure centered north of the
area will drift slowly eastward through Mon as it noses southward
through central NC. Mid level clouds in VFR range (primarily based
at 6,000-9,000 ft AGL) will stream across mainly W and S sections
through this evening, then again areawide during the day Mon,
producing periods of cigs, but no vsbys restrictions or sub-VFR
clouds are expected. Surface winds will be light and variable
through Mon.

Outlook beyond 00z Tue: VFR conditions are expected to dominate
through Fri, although isolated shallow ground fog may occur around
daybreak Tue, and a period of sub-VFR cigs with spotty rain is
possible Wed.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CA
AVIATION...Hartfield