Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

634
FXUS62 KRAH 131132
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
631 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* The Freeze Watch for the northern and western Piedmont has been
  upgraded to a Freeze Warning for tonight.

* A Frost Advisory has been issued elsewhere for tonight.

* A Freeze Watch has been issued for all areas Saturday night.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 135 AM Friday...

1) A reinforcing cold front will move through the region tonight.
Ahead of it this afternoon and evening, expect some gusty winds and
a few light showers.

2) A Freeze Warning has been issued for the western and northern
Piedmont tonight, with a Frost Advisory elsewhere.

3) A Freeze Watch has been issued for all counties for Saturday
night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 135 AM Friday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... A reinforcing cold front will move through the
region tonight. Ahead of it this afternoon and evening, expect some
gusty winds and a few light showers.

Another cold front will move through the region Friday night which
will bring additional cold and dry air after Thursday`s front. Ahead
of the fropa, a shortwave trough looks to move through the region
this evening. This should allow for a few light showers Friday
evening/night. The most favored location for any rain looks to be
east of the US-1 corridor, but not everywhere in this area will
receive rain. Precipitation amounts should generally just be a trace
to a few hundredths. Gusty winds will be possible again this
afternoon ahead of the front, with northwesterly gusts up to about
20 mph possible.


KEY MESSAGE 2... A Freeze Warning has been issued for the western
and northern Piedmont tonight, with a Frost Advisory elsewhere.

The Freeze Watch previously issued has been upgraded to a Warning
for tonight. This will include most of the Piedmont. Lows tonight
will dip into the upper 20s to lower 30s in the Warning area. The
only exception will be in the urban areas where lows will be a few
degrees warmer. Regardless, most areas will see their first 32
degree reading in the Warning area. There will be some lingering
cirrus in the lee of the mountains for a time tonight. However, most
models suggest that the skies will clear between 03z and 06z leading
to better potential. In addition, winds are expected to become light
after 06z, with good radiational cooling. Therefore, scattered frost
can be expected in the rest of the region as lows dip into the mid
30s.


KEY MESSAGE 3)... A Freeze Watch has been issued for all counties
for Saturday night.

The lows on Saturday night are expected to dip into the mid 20s to
lower 30s. Thus, a widespread freeze is expected. Generally clear
skies and light wind with frost points (dew points) in the 20s will
lead to a fairly long duration freeze for most areas. With the winds
going to light (less than 6 mph) very good radiational cooling will
lead to at least scattered frost as well. So, the double whammy of a
freeze and frost will definitely end the growing season.

In addition, expect the cold high pressure to continue to extend
into the region into mid-week. This will lead to well below normal
temperatures in the 25-32 range at night and generally 50-55 during
the day. A gradual moderating trend is expected by Thursday and
Friday as highs return to the mid to upper 60s with lows in the mid
to upper 30s by late week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 630 AM Friday...

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Late this
evening into early tonight there will be another chance of a few
light rain showers. Confidence is still too low to put rain at any
certain TAF sites at a certain time, but no restrictions are
expected if/when it does rain. Otherwise, only some mid and upper
level ceilings are expected through the day today, clearing out
tonight behind a frontal passage. This afternoon into the evening
expect northwesterly gusts up to around 15-20 kts, with a chance of
some infrequent higher gusts. Highest gusts look to be in the Triad
this afternoon.

Outlook: VFR conditions should prevail through early next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Saturday for NCZ007>011-
021>026-038>040.
Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning
for NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Saturday for NCZ027-028-
041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Badgett/LH
AVIATION...LH