Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

069
FXUS62 KRAH 310500
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
100 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
As of 100 AM Tuesday...

* Minimal changes were made to the forecast over the next seven
  days.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 100 AM Tuesday...

1) Increased fire danger continues today. A statewide burn ban
remains in place, which prohibits all open outdoor burning until
further notice.

2) Mainly dry conditions expected, with daily isolated to scattered
shower chances returning on Wednesday, and especially Friday until a
frontal passage Sunday night into Monday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 100 AM Tuesday...

KEY MESSAGE 1...
Increased fire danger continues today. A statewide burn ban
remains in place, which prohibits all open outdoor burning
until further notice.

While relative humidity values will be slightly higher today than
yesterday, with most locations dropping to around 40% RH in the
afternoon, today`s forecast calls for wind gusts out of the south-
southwest to be between 15 and 25 mph. The North Carolina Forest
Service burn ban across the state remains in effect until further
notice.


KEY MESSAGE 2...
Mainly dry conditions expected, with daily isolated to scattered
shower chances returning on Wednesday, and especially Friday
until a frontal passage Sunday night into Monday.

A weak short-wave will push across eastern Canada Wednesday while
the southeast US remains under the influence of an anomalous mid-
level ridge.  While any stronger sfc or upper forcing should remain
well to our north, isolated mountain convection will be possible
amongst persistent, moist swly flow aloft Wednesday afternoon. Some
of this convection could trickle into our western areas late
Wednesday afternoon or evening.  Additionally, isolated sea-breeze
induced convection could reach our southeast Wednesday afternoon.

On Thursday, the anomalous mid-level ridge will re-amplify over the
northeast US as the center retrogrades closer to the Carolina coast.
This setup will yield increasing subsidence and lower rain chances.

The center of the ridge will then migrate further east on Friday and
Saturday, but convection will largely again be focused along the
mountains, possibly spilling east into our western areas each
afternoon and evening.

Better chances for widespread rain and a cool down may happen Sunday
into Monday as guidance is hinting at a potentially stronger cold
front approaching/moving through central NC.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 100 AM Tuesday...

TAF period: High confidence in VFR conditions through the next 24
hours. The wind is the primary driver of this TAF issuance. While
some minimal low-level wind shear cannot be ruled out through the
beginning of the forecast period, it appears that 2000 ft wind
should not exceed much more than 30 kt, so LLWS was not added to the
TAFs. Gusts will pick up out of the southwest with daybreak,
reaching as high as 20 kt. Most sites will keep a sustained wind
around 8-10 kt after sunset although gusts will come to an end.
Cloud cover will primarily be diurnal cumulus.

Outlook: Scattered showers will be possible at INT/GSO Wednesday
afternoon and at all terminals except RWI both Friday and Saturday
afternoons. The best potential for any restrictions would be
Thursday morning at INT/GSO.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

April 1:
KGSO: 90/1910
KRDU: 89/1974
KFAY: 87/2010

April 2:
KGSO: 87/2010
KRDU: 90/1967
KFAY: 90/1974

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

April 1:
KGSO: 63/2016
KRDU: 67/2016
KFAY: 67/2016

April 2:
KGSO: 61/1979
KRDU: 66/2024
KFAY: 66/2024

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Green/Luchetti
AVIATION...Green
CLIMATE...RAH