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Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Garner NC
National Weather Service Forecast for: Garner NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
Updated: 6:13 pm EDT May 19, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.
Partly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely

Wednesday

Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming west in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Thursday

Thursday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunny then
Slight Chance
Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Partly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Mostly Clear

Lo 60 °F Hi 82 °F Lo 65 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 54 °F Hi 74 °F Lo 51 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
 
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 74.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Memorial Day
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 79.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Garner NC.

Weather Forecast Discussion
517
FXUS62 KRAH 192325
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
725 PM EDT Mon May 19 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak front to our south will dissipate later today. A backdoor
cold front will drop in from the north tonight and stall out over
the Carolinas through Wednesday. Low pressure tracking along the
front will bring unsettled weather Tuesday through Wednesday. A
cooler and less humid air mass will build in gradually from the
northwest Thursday through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 110 PM Monday...

Still anticipating isolated showers and storms across our SW from
very late afternoon through mid evening, as an area of convection
and its resultant MCV tracks SE, along the thermal wind, from
central and E TN/SW NC southeastward across SC and srn NC. The RAP
surface theta-e analysis still shows the weakening frontal zone just
to our S and SW while a very small and weak high sits over our area.
But RDU-area ACARS soundings indicate good mixing, with high-res
models favoring a continued dissolution of the front through the
afternoon. With dry air in place through the column and surface
dewpoints in the 50s, we`re lacking SBCAPE, however this will change
as low level flow becomes WSW and draws in higher dewpoints, and the
RAP shows SBCAPE rising to 500-1500 J/kg over our SW and effective
bulk shear up to 35-40 kt toward evening, which would support at
least isolated convection. Coverage will be limited by the modest PW
in place outside of the far SW, a steady weakening of the MCV, and
loss of heating, so have kept pops at isolated for now, until mid
evening. The next backdoor front, evident near the Mason-Dixon line
currently, is expected to push SSW into and through the area later
tonight, resulting in a wind shift back to northeasterly, while
upstream multi-layer convective debris clouds continue to spread
across our area, over the W and S in particular overnight. Lows from
the mid 50s N to mid 60s S. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 PM Monday...

Tue/Tue night: The front is expected to be along our S and SW edge
around daybreak Tue, as a small area of high pressure over MD - an
extension of a stronger high pressure area centered well N over
Canada - extends down through central NC. As this mesohigh shifts
slowly E and offshore during the day, the front is expected to lift
back NE, placing all but perhaps our far NE in the warm sector by
late afternoon, although this could be delayed a bit if the RAP`s
depiction of a surface low (attending an MCV) tracking E along the
front Tue morning comes to pass, as this could result in a brief
return to NE flow. As the longwave trough over the Plains shifts
eastward in a dampened state through the Miss Valley, it will nudge
east and flatten the Southeast ridging, allowing for the arrival of
late-day DPVA accompanied by a return to slightly above normal PW.
Most CAM output shows convective initiation in a NW-SE oriented
broken band over N SC by midday lifting NNE into Srn/Wrn NC, where
the HREF shows the joint probability of CAPE>500 J/kg and bulk shear
>30 kts rising above 75%. After a largely dry morning, will bring in
chance pops in our S and W areas through the afternoon. Highs mostly
in the 80s with some upper 70s far N. As the flattening longwave
trough draws closer Tue night, with accelerating low- and mid-level
flow over central NC, increasing upper divergence, and improving
moisture through the column, the chance for showers and storms will
ramp up to good chance to likely, with categorical pops in the NW.
Later hours of recent CAM runs support this scenario, with a
convective line arriving from the W Tue evening and night. Several
models continue to hint at a triple point surface low tracking
through NC overnight, which if it occurs would lead to a backing of
surface flow just as a 25-35 kt low level SW jet arrives, resulting
in low level curvature in the previous long/straight hodographs.
While the nocturnal timing is not as favorable for severe storms and
the HREF shows a downturn in CAPE overnight, we could still see a
strong to severe hail- or wind-producing storm or two in this
environment, with a potential tornado threat near any retreating
frontal zone. Lows upper 50s to upper 60s.

Wed/Wed night: High coverage of showers and storms will linger
through the morning, esp over the N and E CWA, with a continued non-
zero risk of strong storms as the occluded surface frontal system is
pushed slowly E through the region within cyclonic (but flattening)
WSW to W steering flow. Will maintain high pops mainly N/E into
early afternoon, with low chance SW. We could see additional
afternoon convection over the N and NE along the occluded front
trailing from the exiting triple-point low, where lingering mild and
high-dewpoint air will foster an uptick in CAPE amidst still-
favorable bulk shear, so will keep chance pops into the afternoon
over the NE, although the drier air spreading in should limit late-
day coverage somewhat. We`re likely to see deep mixing over much of
the area, which would tap into higher winds aloft, thus frequent
gusts of 20-30 mph are possible. Pops should dwindle toward evening,
with dry weather overnight within falling PWs and subsidence. Expect
highs in the 80s to around 90, followed by lows in the mid 50s to
low 60s as cooler air builds in gradually.

Thu/Thu night: Drier air will continue to feed in, as surface high
pressure centered well to our NW extends toward the area. A few
rounds of shortwave energy are expected to sweep through the region
within the base of the broad longwave trough over the E NOAM with
fast cyclonic flow Thu afternoon and evening. With low PWs in place,
much of the area will stay dry, however a few spotty showers or
storms can`t be ruled out along and ahead of an approaching
reinforcing surface front that drops SSE through NC late Thu
afternoon through Thu night. Expect highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s then lows in the 50s as we finally see markedly cooler air
advecting into the region. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1125 AM Monday...

* Cooler and generally fair weather is expected through the weekend
  with temperatures ranging between 5 and 10 degrees below average.
* Lows on Saturday and Sunday morning will be chilly and range in
  the mid 40s to lower 50s.
* Mainly dry weather is expected for Friday through the weekend with
  clouds increasing on Sunday and especially Monday. A small risk of
  a shower or storm returns on Monday.

The long term weather pattern will largely be driven by an eastward
transitioning mid and upper level cyclonic circulation across North
America. This will result in a west to mainly northwesterly flow
aloft and below normal heights across the Carolinas and North
America through most of the period. At the surface, low pressure
will develop off the mid-Atlantic coast on Thursday night and move
into the Canadian Maritimes on Friday resulting in a cool
northwesterly flow. Chilly high pressure centered across the upper
Midwest and even the Canadian Prairie will extend southeast into our
region over the weekend before a warm front lifts north from the
Deep South into the TN Valley and GA/SC on Monday.

The pattern will be reminiscent of a cool season regime with
disturbances aloft moving across the region in the northwest flow
and periods of stratocumulus clouds during the afternoon on Friday
and Saturday before clouds increase on Sunday and especially Monday.
Deep layer moisture values as noted by precipitable water values
will range from 40 to 60% of normal for Friday through early Sunday
and then begin to increase on Sunday night and Monday as the warm
front approaches from the south.

Highs on Friday and Saturday will range mainly in the lower to mid
70s, perhaps a few upper 60s near the VA border and some upper 70s
in the Sandhills and near the SC border. Highs will moderate on
Sunday and Monday with highs in the mid 70s in the Triad to the
lower 80s in the Sandhills. It will be chilly on Saturday and Sunday
morning with lows on these days ranging in the mid 40s to lower 50s
with morning lows moderating into the 50s on Sunday and Monday.
-Blaes

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 725 PM Monday...

TAF period: High confidence in VFR conditions over the next 24
hours. No low clouds are expected, only high clouds should be
present. A brief shower cannot be ruled out at RDU or FAY this
evening. Winds will primarily be out of the west this evening,
veering to the northeast overnight into Tuesday. Think that there is
the potential for a shower at INT/GSO/FAY towards sunset on Tuesday,
but confidence was not high enough to include a mention in the TAFs.

Outlook: As a warm front approaches the region, a chance of showers
and thunderstorms will move in from southwest to northeast, with
showers likely at all terminals except FAY Tuesday night.
Restrictions will likely not develop until Tuesday night, but should
bring IFR conditions to all terminals overnight into Wednesday. The
chance of showers will decrease Wednesday, and after a potential for
fog/stratus Wednesday night, the rest of the extended period is
expected to be dry with VFR conditions.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield
SHORT TERM...Hartfield
LONG TERM...Blaes
AVIATION...Green
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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