Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

385
FXUS62 KRAH 281126
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
700 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold high pressure will build in from the Midwest through Saturday,
then track east off the New England coast Saturday night. A cold
front will move south through the region Sunday, before settling
just to our south Sunday night. A more significant storm system is
expected to develop along this front over the northern Gulf on
Monday, then track northeast along the Coastal Plain of the
Carolinas Monday night through Tuesday night. Chilly high pressure
will then build in from the west on Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 150 AM Friday...

* Dry and breezy conditions expected.

* Cold temperatures, with highs and lows 10-15 degrees below normal.

The mid/upper level trough will continue to pivot across the
northeast US while surface high pressure starts to move into the
region from the west. This will allow for a tight pressure gradient
to set up over the region, leading to gusty winds across central NC,
especially in the north. Northwesterly winds will gust between 20-25
mph, with isolated gusts up to 30-35 mph possible from mid-morning
through the afternoon. This will also help to keep the region dry
and bring additional cold air into the region. High temperatures are
expected to be in the 40s region-wide, with low 40s in the north to
upper 40s in the south. Friday night, winds should be light to calm
as the high starts to reach the region. Low temperatures should drop
to the coldest of the season thus far, with mostly low to mid 20s
expected. The coldest locations look to dip into the upper teens.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 150 AM Friday...

* Continued cold and dry weather.

On Saturday the surface high pressure will cross central NC. This
will allow for continued dry conditions and mostly sunny skies
through the day on Saturday. Winds will also be lighter than Friday
as the high pressure will be overhead and the pressure gradient will
relax. This will allow high temperatures to remain in the 40s for
the entirety of the CWA. The high will move offshore Saturday night
as a front starts to approach the region from the west. Thus, cloud
cover will start to increase Saturday night, which will help
moderate temperatures a few degrees from Friday night. Thus, low
temperatures are expected to dip into the mid 20s to the low 30s,
which will be about 5-10 degrees below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 400 AM Friday...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A chance of mostly light showers and milder Sunday as a cold front
 moves through the region.

- Cold and dry high pressure will follow the front on Sunday   night
and Monday.

- A strong mid/upper level trough will approach from the Plains
states late Monday night and Tuesday, aiding in the development of a
storm system along the Gulf Coast states Monday night.

- A cold rain is expected to develop/overspread much of NC Monday
night night and Tuesday as the low pressure tracks NE along the
Coastal Plain of the Carolinas. Rain lingers Tuesday night.

- At the current time, it appears that the coldest arctic air
associated  with the high pressure as it moves progressively from
the Great Lakes   to off the New England coast - as the rain
develops and spreads into   central NC - will remain just north of
our region.

- P-Type is expected to be all rain at the current time, supported
by the coldest air remaining just to our north (partial thicknesses
that support snow/sleet remain north), warming in the mid levels to
(50+ degrees at 5K feet) and a progressively moving high with the
main precipitation event - essentially support cold rain and any
freezing rain at the beginning of the event Monday night a fleeting
non-hazardous issue.

- Remaining chilly with drier weather and some modification in
temperatures with the sun returning Wednesday and Thursday.

LONG TERM DISCUSSION DETAILS...

Sunday will be milder with a chance of light showers with the
passage of the cold front. Highs in the 40s west and 50s east. Some
in-situ CAD in the Piedmont will keep it chilly there.

Conditions then turn chilly and if this were early January, we would
have significant p-type issues. Still, this is a favorable pattern
for p-type problems in the winter season and will have to be
watched.

Trends continue to be wetter with widespread QPF of 1 inch currently
indicated from late Monday night through Tuesday night as the low
pressure tracks NE along the Coastal Plain of the Carolinas from the
Gulf Coast states. For snow/ice, we would need the current arctic
surface high pressure to drive more of the low level cold air deeper
into the region Monday and Monday evening. It appears that the near
surface and deeper cold remain just to our north. The high is also
progressive - and the CAA ends as the precipitation begins. Another
red flag.

Bottom line... Expect a cold rain late Monday night through Tuesday
night. We will watch the forecast storm track and the arctic air
mass over the coming runs to see if we need to trend toward some
freezing rain mention over the Piedmont Damming region of north-
central NC. Otherwise, it will be cold with the rain. Some areas
hold in the 30s Tuesday.

After the system lifts out to the NE, expect a continuation of
chilly conditions with some modification with the addition of
sunshine by mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 700 AM Friday...

VFR conditions will persist across central NC over the next 24
hours. Surface winds will be from the WNW at 10 to 20 kts with gusts
up to 20-25 kts from around 14z to around 20z today.  Winds will be
light tonight.

Looking beyond 12z Sat, VFR conditions are likely through at least
Saturday night, then the chance of a shower and potentially a period
of sub-VFR conditions Sunday. Then VFR for Sunday night through
Monday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Badgett/Hartfield
NEAR TERM...LH
SHORT TERM...LH
LONG TERM...Badgett
AVIATION...Badgett