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Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Garner NC
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Garner NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Raleigh, NC |
| Updated: 6:47 am EDT Jun 16, 2026 |
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Today
 Cloudy
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Tonight
 Cloudy
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Wednesday
 Becoming Sunny
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Wednesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Thursday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Thursday Night
 Showers Likely
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Juneteenth
 Chance Showers then Showers
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Friday Night
 Showers then Chance T-storms
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny
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| Hi 83 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 99 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today
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Cloudy, with a high near 83. North wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. |
Tonight
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Cloudy, with a low around 66. Light southwest wind. |
Wednesday
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Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 94. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 72. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. |
Thursday
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Southwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Thursday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Juneteenth
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A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 91. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Friday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 66. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 92. |
Sunday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Monday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Garner NC.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
080
FXUS62 KRAH 161055
AFDRAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
655 AM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Update the aviation discussion to reflect the 12z TAFs.
* No major changes with the early morning forecast update.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 115 AM Tuesday...
1) Potential for hazardous heat appears likely on Thursday for
the Coastal Plain and Sandhills.
2) The best chance of showers and thunderstorms appears to be late
Thursday into Friday night (centered on Friday). However, the window
of time for much needed rainfall appears limited to late Thursday
into Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 115 AM Tuesday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Potential for hazardous heat appears likely on Thursday for the
Coastal Plain and Sandhills.
A significant area of low pressure (sub 990 at times)
traversing the Great Lakes will advect anomalously warm 850mb
temps over the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas from the central
Plains by Thurs. This would bring back the risk for hazardous
heat on Thurs. A potential failure mode will be the chance for
upstream convection to shift into the region from the Ohio
Valley. This leads to a low confidence temperature forecast
across the Piedmont. Although confidence is increasing that the
Coastal Plain and Sandhills will remain dry through the daytime
hours.
Thurs will feature the best chance for hazardous heat to develop
when 20-22C 850mb temperatures spread across the area, and
would support 2m temperatures of upper 90s to around 100, given
sufficient insolation and limited convection/outflow. HeatRisk
highlights widespread Major category is likely for the eastern
Piedmont, Sandhills and Coastal Plain, indicating that not only
is this heat particularly unusual, it is correlated with high
levels of heat illnesses as noted by historical CDC heat-health
data, and this heat could produce health impacts on all
populations, especially those without adequate hydration and
cooling.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The best chance of showers and thunderstorms appears to be late
Thursday into Friday night (centered on Friday). However, the
window of time for much needed rainfall appears limited to late
Thursday into Friday.
Unfortunately the way it appears at the moment, the potential
Gulf Coast system may very well track too far to our south to
give us much needed rainfall. This will be watched.
However, as of the current models. They indicate a strong
"kicker" upstream in the form of a strong short wave that will
arrive with the next northern stream trough Friday. Thus, the
gulf moisture would have only a small window of time to arrive
in our region. In fact, we may have to rely on the short wave
trough and its moisture and lift for even scattered
thunderstorms as it appears now. In addition, as the trough
moves through late week, it will shut off any deep moisture
influx over central NC and force it east and south of the
region. This would bring rapid drying again behind another cold
front late Friday, with dry weather for next weekend.
So, as of this moment the best chance of showers/storms will
likely be with the approaching trough from the Midwest and TN
valley late week. If the gulf coast system does develop more
than currently anticipated, it could potentially bring needed
rain. Otherwise, the window of opportunity will be slammed shut
again by another northern stream trough, with only scattered
storms late Thursday into Friday. Obviously not what the drought
ravaged areas need. Even if it is stronger than anticipated,
the "kicker" from the Midwest may very well keep the system well
to our south.
Even though we are advertising relatively high POP Thursday
night and Friday - the QPF is currently low. And, these POPs
are likely overdone as they have been lately by the models.
No rain at most locations in the past 15-20 days. Maybe the models
will catch on eventually?
&&
.AVIATION /11Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 650 AM Tuesday...
Northeasterly surface winds at the start of the 12z TAFs will veer
toward easterly and eventually southwesterly by this afternoon.
Thick and lowering mid/high clouds will prevail throughout the day
with virga and perhaps some very light rain possible at FAY at
times. VFR conditions are expected to prevail.
Outlook: Moisture return may bring an isolated shower and brief sub-
VFR conditions late Tue night into Wed morning, most favored at FAY.
Latest probability of MVFR cigs at FAY is roughly 40% by 12z Wed.
Breezy southwesterly winds of around 15 kts and gusting to 25-35 kts
are expected Thu into Fri, maximized with daytime heating. A late-
week cold front and surface wave will favor a return of
showers/storms and sub-VFR conditions in the Thu/Fri time frame,
although confidence remains low on timing and location.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Record High Temperatures:
June 18: KGSO: 100/1944 KRDU: 98/2015 KFAY: 102/1944
Record High Minimum Temperatures:
June 18: KGSO: 73/2018 KRDU: 77/2025 KFAY: 76/2017
June 19: KGSO: 77/1970 KRDU: 73/2025 KFAY: 77/2017
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AS/PWB
AVIATION...AS/Kren
CLIMATE...RAH
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