Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

481
FXUS62 KRAH 140659
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
200 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* No changes to the Freeze Watch or Freeze Warning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

1) Frost/Freeze headlines remain in place tonight, with a Freeze
Warning for all of central NC Saturday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Frost/Freeze headlines remain in place this
morning, with a Freeze Warning for all of central NC early Sunday
morning.

Frost/Freeze headlines have remained unchanged into early this
morning. While the aforementioned shortwave and cold front moving
into the region early this morning will increase cloud cover, still
expect clouds to weaken and disperse through the early morning hours
today. Some light stirring may also inhibit lows from getting below
freezing widespread in the Warning area, but given little change in
guidance with respect to lows, decided to keep frost/freeze
headlines intact.

The more widespread freeze is expected late tonight into Sunday
morning. A Continental Polar high of around 1030-mb will settle
across the Mid MS valley region. Although not in the most ideal
position, the pressure gradient should relax, allowing winds to go
calm. Coupled with low-level thicknesses of 1304-1310m, should
support a widespread freeze of mid/upper 20s to low 30s, coldest
across the Northern Piedmont. Given the consistent signal in
guidance, decided to keep the entire area under a Freeze Warning
Sunday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

24 hour TAF period: High confidence in VFR conditions prevailing
across all terminals through the 24-hour TAF period.

Lingering upper level energy pushing east across the Coastal Plain
will keep a chance of light rain showers/sprinkles occurring near
RWI and RDU early this morning, though ceilings and visibilities are
expected to remain VFR. Further west at INT and GSO, precipitation
has ended with just scattered mid level clouds remaining.

Precipitation will clear over the next few hours, then leaving
scattered clouds for the rest of the day. Light north/northwesterly
winds overnight will pick up out of the northwest by late morning as
daytime mixing develops, with afternoon gusts around 15 to 20 kt.
Skies will continue to scatter out through the afternoon, and gusts
will subside around sunset as winds relax to 0-5kts.

Outlook: Dry VFR conditions are forecast to continue into next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Saturday for NCZ007>011-021>026-
038>040.
Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM EST Sunday for NCZ007>011-021>028-
038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Saturday for NCZ027-028-041>043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CA
AVIATION...CA