Garner, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

830
FXUS62 KRAH 231818
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
218 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* Nothing appreciable

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 200 AM Friday...

1) The persistent pattern of dry and seasonable weather will
continue over the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 200 AM Friday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... The persistent pattern of dry and seasonable
weather will continue over the next 7 days.

The mid and upper level weather pattern through the weekend will be
dominated by a high amplitude upper level ridge extending from the
western Gulf north into the western Great Lakes with a general
northerly flow across the Carolinas. Disturbances in the flow
including a series of moisture-starved shortwave troughs will move
across the Carolinas tonight and early Sunday. Deep layer moisture
will be lacking as precipitable water values will remain low through
the period ranging between 30-60% of normal.

A reinforcing surface high pressure system will progress east from
the Great Lakes into the the Canadian Maritimes over the next few
days. This high will extend into our region behind a dry cold front
that will move across the Carolinas this morning. A slightly cooler
airmass will arrive today and a northeasterly flow will spread
shallow moisture and generate some fair weather stratocumulus clouds
across the area during the today and Saturday, especially eastern
areas. These will be the first notable clouds in central NC since
Monday. Temperatures will generally range near and slightly below
average through the weekend.

The mid and upper level ridge will begin to weaken early next week
with another short wave trough moving across the region during the
middle of the week. The airmass will moderate on Monday and Tuesday
with temperatures warming up a few degrees before a slightly cooler
airmass arrives for Wednesday an Thursday. Dry weather should
continue for through Thursday although there are signals that a more
southwesterly flow will result in an increase in deep layer moisture
and perhaps the need to consider limited rain chances next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 215 PM Friday...

24 hour TAF period: High confidence VFR conditions will prevail
through the next 24 hours. Expect nly-nely winds to become
occasionally gusty into the teens to 20 kts mainly at FAY and RWI,
possibly RDU, with daytime heating today and Sat. Some stratocumulus
clouds have developed in the onshore flow over northeast NC, and
should spread swwd across the area this evening and through the
weekend. While most cloud bases should be above 3 kft and generally
few to scattered in coverage, some brief periods of MVFR ceilings
are possible, especially during the morning hours.

Outlook: Aside from the aforementioned small chance of sub-VFR
ceilings in nely flow this weekend, dry, VFR conditions are expected
to persist for at least the next several days.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Blaes
AVIATION...10/MWS