Asheville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles N Asheville NC
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles N Asheville NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg, SC |
Updated: 1:50 pm EDT Aug 12, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 T-storms Likely
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely and Patchy Fog
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Wednesday
 Chance T-storms and Patchy Fog then T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Showers Likely
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Thursday
 Slight Chance T-storms then T-storms Likely
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Thursday Night
 Chance T-storms then Mostly Cloudy
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Friday Night
 Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Hi 80 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
This Afternoon
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4am. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 11am. High near 82. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 4pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. North northwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Friday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Friday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. |
Saturday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Sunday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. |
Sunday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. |
Monday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles N Asheville NC.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
455
FXUS62 KGSP 121804
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
204 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Abundant moisture over the Southeast will keep scattered to numerous
showers with mainly afternoon thunderstorms through Thursday. As a
somewhat shallow upper ridge builds over our region during the
weekend and early next week, temperatures warm to near normal.
Afternoon thunderstorms become more isolated to scattered by the end
of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 143 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
1) Muggy conditions continue through the near term.
2) Widespread rainfall expected tonight, with isolated flash
flooding concerns possible.
Not much change to a murky pattern, the western periphery of
Bermuda High edging into the area beneath subtropical ridging aloft.
Most of the forecast area remains socked into patchy fog and low
stratus owing to deep moisture advected off the Atlantic coast.
A zonally-oriented shortwave managed to eek up quite a bit
of rainfall the first half of the day, especially over the NC
Piedmont, but this has largely pulled northeast of our forecast
area, replaced by a relative lull in showers for most zones.
With little synoptic forcing to go off of, we`ll have to rely
on outflows from ongoing intiation over northern Georgia and
the Savannah River Valley instead this afternoon. Surface-based
instability looks appreciable enough for robust convection, but
without any clear focus for initiation, confidence remains quite low
on how any convection may evolve. None of the 12z HREF membership,
nor any recent runs of the RRFS, depict much coverage at all this
afternoon...except over the NC mountains...with the main concern
being that redevelopment along cold pools from the activity along
our far southwestern tier could spur some unanticipated development
over the Upstate this afternoon. Even in this case, shear and
dCAPE parameters look low enough for a muted severe response.
The bigger story still looks like it`ll unfold tonight...with
renewed upper energy rounding the axis of ridging over the Southeast
making its way into the western third of the forecast area by late
evening and the first part of the overnight. A weak ~15-20kt LLJ
is even depicted in some operational guidance advecting even more
low-level moisture into the region. This is almost reminiscent
of the "mesohigh" type Maddox pattern, in which an upper ridge
axis interacts with low-level moisture convergence to enhance
heavy rain response. Indeed, PWs across the I-26 corridor and
points west into the Smokies and Balsams should be well into the
2-2.25" range for much of the overnight. The 12z HREF points to
just enough storm motion that only isolated areas, mainly in the
southwestern NC mountains, are progged to receive enough rainfall
for a real flash flooding concern. Expect, therefore, for hydro
issues to remain isolated.
Rainfall should generally wrap up by daybreak Wednesday as the
upper energy translates east of the area. Another lull is expected
during the morning and early afternoon hours, with some of the CAMs
depicting another line of convection arriving late in the afternoon.
This is contingent, however, on morning fog and stratus scattering
out fast enough for destabilization to occur...and as such,
confidence on tomorrow`s forecast remains lower.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 140 pm Tuesday: Heights will rise across the Southeast
during the short term, with a low amplitude trough shifting
into the western Atlantic, while an anticyclone centered over the
northern Gulf gradually strengthens/expands. The result in terms of
sensible weather for our forecast area will be a transition back
to a typical mid/late summer pattern, with temperatures forecast
to return to near-normal levels by Friday, and convection becoming
more isolated-to-widely scattered in nature. The convective cycle
will be largely diurnal in nature, but a gradual transition to a
(weak) NW flow aloft could result in some convection wandering into
the mountains later in the evening and perhaps into the overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 150 pm Tuesday: Upper anticyclone centered over the Southeast
during the short term, will continue to strengthen/expand while
steadily retrograding during the extended, becoming quite prominent
and centered near the Mid-Miss Valley by the end of the weekend. The
axis of an associated ridge is forecast to extend across our near
our forecast area through much of the period. This is forecast
to keep conditions seasonably hot and muggy through early next
week. Diurnal convection will continue, but coverage is expected to
limited by the slightly unfavorable synoptic pattern...with mostly
isolated showers and storms forecast each afternoon across the
Piedmont, and widely scattered activity across the mountains. Weak
NW flow could bring the stray shower or storm into the NC mountains
at night, but convection should otherwise by strongly diurnal
in nature.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Finally seeing more widespread improvement
in restrictions, which have remained IFR to LIFR for much of
the morning and early afternoon. Most terminals should improve
to VFR within the next 1-2 hours. Isolated TSRA is underway in
the Savannah River Valley already. Guidance depicts a fairly
muted convective response for much of the afternoon; however, it
remains possible that the cells already developing will provide
a focus for cold pool-redevelopment...so PROB30s/VCSH have been
left intact for CLT and the Upstate sites. Still expect the
more widespread rainfall overnight tonight, with all terminals to
expect SHRA (perhaps even periods of +SHRA) and another round of
LIFR restrictions. The bulk of models once again depict fog and
low stratus lingering into much of the day Wednesday...which in
this regime...is to be expected. Winds to remain SSW through the
period...except at AVL, where they`ll favor SSE.
Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions
are expected across the area each day this week. Morning fog/low
stratus is also possible, especially across the mountain valleys.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JDL
AVIATION...MPR
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