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Truth Consequences, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Elephant Butte NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Elephant Butte NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
| Updated: 11:26 pm MST Mar 6, 2026 |
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Tonight
Mostly Clear
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Saturday
Sunny
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Saturday
Night
Mostly Clear
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Sunday
Sunny
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Sunday
Night
Mostly Clear
|
Monday
Sunny
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Monday
Night
Showers
Likely
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Tuesday
Chance
Showers
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Tuesday
Night
Slight Chance
Showers then
Mostly Clear
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| Lo 35 °F |
Hi 67 °F |
Lo 38 °F |
Hi 74 °F |
Lo 44 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 44 °F |
Hi 68 °F |
Lo 45 °F |
|
Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 35. North wind around 9 mph. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 67. North northeast wind 7 to 11 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 38. East southeast wind around 6 mph becoming north after midnight. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind around 7 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 44. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming south 11 to 16 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. |
Monday Night
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Showers likely, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. West southwest wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. South southwest wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 45. West wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
Wednesday
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Sunny, with a high near 78. |
Wednesday Night
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Clear, with a low around 43. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 77. |
Thursday Night
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Clear, with a low around 44. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 84. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Elephant Butte NM.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
239
FXUS64 KEPZ 070440
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
940 PM MST Fri Mar 6 2026
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 849 PM MST Fri Mar 6 2026
- A weak cold front arrives from the east Saturday morning, with
gusty east winds but minimal changes to temperature.
- Rain chances return early next week, with scattered rain
showers Monday evening and Tuesday.
- Drier and warmer weather will return for the middle and end of
next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 930 PM MST Fri Mar 6 2026
Our weather this weekend, will be quiet and seasonal as the next
upper level storm system gets organized off the west coast of Baja
California. The only weather of note this weekend will be a weak
back door (east to west) cold front that will push across the
region Saturday morning. I hesitate to call it a weak cold front
since there is almost no change in temperatures from Friday to
Saturday. What will be noticeable about the cold front will be
the brisk east winds that come in with the front. We will see
gusty winds from the east Saturday afternoon, with the strongest
gust along the west slopes of area mountains. Saturday`s highs
will run near seasonal averages, and Sunday`s highs will be a few
degrees above average.
On Monday the upper level trough off the west coast of Baja
California will begin to move in our direction. Initially we will
be too dry for any rain chances, but as we move into Monday night
we will see a chance for rain showers, mainly west of the Rio
Grande. Tuesday will be our active weather day. As the low moves
pretty much right over our region, we will see a chance for some
rain showers and maybe even some high elevation light snow. Along
with the precipitation chances we will see some breezy to windy
(but not too windy) conditions Tuesday afternoon. High
temperatures on Monday will run 10 degrees above average, but
highs on Tuesday, with the clouds and rain chances, will run a
little below average.
For Wednesday and Thursday, a flat upper level ridge will try and
push into the desert southwest. The ridge will return us to our
normally dry conditions for this time of year and it will keep us
clear of any high wind afternoons. High temperatures will run 5
degrees above average on Wednesday and then 8 to 12 degrees above
average for Thursday and Friday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 930 PM MST Fri Mar 6 2026
We will have VFR conditions tonight and Saturday. Our low end
gusty winds have dropped off and we will have light and variable
or light north winds tonight. Our winds will come around to the
east on Saturday morning as a weak back door cold front moves
across the area. We could see another round of low end gusty
winds, but from the east Saturday afternoon. We will see off and
on high clouds (more off than on), so our ceilings tonight and
Saturday will be unlimited.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1000 AM MST Fri Mar 6 2026
Near Critical Fire Danger today with breezy west winds 15 to 25
mph and Min RH 10-15%. Red Flag Warning in effect for
Capitan/Sacramento Mountains until 7 PM where conditions are
meeting Critical thresholds for a few hours this afternoon.
Cold front arrives out of the northeast Saturday morning,
shifting winds 180 degrees from today. East winds 10 to 20 mph
tomorrow afternoon with gusty conditions over mountain ridges and
west slopes. Ventilation remains Good to Very Good. Higher
moisture with Min RH 15-25% will lead to Elevated Fire Danger. No
Red Flags expected tomorrow.
Low Fire Danger on Sunday due to light winds and higher moisture.
Scattered rain showers Monday/Tuesday will also keep fire danger
low and may provide some wetting rains over the local forests.
Winds becoming breezy out of the west again by Tuesday, but no
fire headlines expected at this time. Dry and warmer conditions
return Wednesday into next weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 42 71 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 40 66 40 71 / 0 0 20 20
Las Cruces 35 68 38 71 / 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 34 68 36 72 / 0 0 0 10
Cloudcroft 23 45 28 52 / 0 0 0 10
Truth or Consequences 35 65 39 72 / 0 0 0 0
Silver City 30 60 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
Deming 35 70 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 31 66 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
West El Paso Metro 45 70 47 74 / 0 0 0 0
Dell City 37 68 36 73 / 0 0 0 10
Fort Hancock 42 75 43 78 / 0 10 20 10
Loma Linda 41 63 42 69 / 0 0 0 10
Fabens 42 73 46 78 / 0 0 10 10
Santa Teresa 39 69 41 74 / 0 0 0 0
White Sands HQ 41 68 44 73 / 0 0 0 10
Jornada Range 31 68 35 73 / 0 0 0 10
Hatch 32 70 35 75 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 38 71 43 75 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 37 66 38 72 / 0 0 0 10
Mayhill 27 54 30 65 / 0 0 0 10
Mescalero 26 56 30 63 / 0 0 0 10
Timberon 30 53 33 60 / 0 0 0 10
Winston 22 56 27 64 / 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 34 63 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
Spaceport 30 66 33 72 / 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 25 58 31 67 / 0 0 0 10
Hurley 29 62 36 69 / 0 0 0 0
Cliff 27 66 34 75 / 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 27 63 34 71 / 0 0 0 0
Faywood 35 62 39 68 / 0 0 0 0
Animas 33 68 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 32 67 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 34 69 39 73 / 0 0 10 0
Cloverdale 36 64 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...15-Brice
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