Sunland Park, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

196
FXUS64 KEPZ 141209
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
509 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

 - Pacific storm will exit the area on Saturday with near-seasonal
   temperatures and breezy west to northwesterly winds.

 - Warm and dry conditions resume on Sunday and Monday with
   temperatures back to well above the seasonal average. Winds
   will be low-end breezy each afternoon.

 - A more Spring-like pattern will settle in across the region for
   the majority of next work week. Each afternoon will offer
   breezy to windy conditions. Low chances of precipitation mainly
   focus over the Gila on Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1022 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

The storm system that brought precipitation today across the
forecast area will progress eastward across NM early Saturday
morning, with dry subsident northwest flow settling in across the
region in it`s wake. Precipitation chances will be zero by mid-
morning. Upper level ridging will quickly move in from the west on
Saturday, with fair, dry, and quiet weather conditions. Winds will
be low-end breezy during the afternoon timeframe, out of the west to
northwest. Temperatures on Saturday will top out right around the
seasonal average for mid February. Ridge axis with increasing SW
flow will be overhead on Sunday, raising temperatures back in the
upper 60s to low 70s Sunday afternoon.

...NEXT WEEK...

Next week looks to be the start of an active weather pattern setting
up across western CONUS. Consistent troughing will dominate the
Intermountain West as a series of Pacific storm systems move
onshore. Model and ensemble guidance shows, with fairly good
confidence that the specific storm track off to our north over
northern AZ/NM and southern UT/CO. The first spoke of energy
(shortwave trough) will eject across the southern Great Basin and
Central/Southern Rockies on Tuesday. Corresponding lee-side surface
low development over the Central High Plains will promote breezy
winds across the CWA.

The next spoke of energy approaches the region on Wednesday/Thursday
timeframe , giving the area another shot of breezy to windy
conditions. However, there still remains uncertainty between model
guidance and their respected ensemble suites. As of now, each system
that moves across the region look to be mostly dry, offering little
precipitation chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

The upper level storm system that has brought clouds and rain
showers to the area is currently centered directly over south
central New Mexico. This system will continue to push to the east
today and take the clouds and rain chances with it. We will
continue to see a chance for rain for the next hour and then we
should be dry across the area for the rest of the day. Ceilings
will improve as we move through the morning into the afternoon and
we will have unlimited ceilings tonight. Winds will be a little
gusty on the back side of the system today, but by early evening
the gusty winds will drop off and we will have light west or
northwest winds tonight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

An upper level storm system was moving across the area this
morning and as the system continues to move east, it will take the
rain and clouds with it. We will see warmer and drier conditions
for Sunday and Monday. Min RH`s by Monday will range from 10 to
15% in the lowlands and in the 20`s in area mountains. Winds
Monday afternoon will be breezy. Winds will approach critical
levels on Tuesday, but min RH`s come up a bit. We will continue to
see breezy to windy conditions for most of the days next week. Min
RH`s for Wednesday through Friday will range from 13 to 18% in the
lowlands and in the 20`s in area mountains. We will likely see
elevated fire conditions a few afternoons next week, but right
now critical fire weather conditions are not expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  42  73  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            37  68  41  77 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               36  68  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               35  69  39  74 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               27  50  34  54 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    38  68  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              35  62  38  65 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   36  71  39  76 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                35  68  37  71 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       44  72  46  77 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                35  70  38  78 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             40  75  43  84 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               40  65  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   40  75  42  81 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             38  70  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           42  69  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            34  70  37  74 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    35  71  37  76 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 39  70  40  77 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                37  69  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  30  65  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                29  61  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 33  57  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  27  63  29  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                37  67  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                33  68  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             30  64  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   34  64  36  69 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    32  70  34  71 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               32  66  35  65 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  37  63  40  68 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   36  71  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  35  69  37  74 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           35  71  38  74 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               38  65  43  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...15-Brice