Lovington, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

237
FXUS64 KMAF 141112
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
612 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 559 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025

- Cold front arrives today bringing cooler temperatures and
  breezy conditions

- Hot and dry conditions return Thursday, raising fire weather
  concerns.

- Precipitation chances slim to none before increasing late in the
  week/next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025

Current satellite imagery and observations show a cold front moving
southward in the Texas Panhandle. This front is expected to arrive
in the region this morning across the Permian Basin and southeast
New Mexico, eventually sweeping its way into the Big Bend by
midnight tonight. The cooler air behind the front is going to filter
in quicker for the northern half of the forecast area. Locations
across southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin are forecasted to
be in the mid 70s to mid 80s, while areas elsewhere (excluding the
higher terrain) will see highs in the upper 80s to 90s today. Breezy
northeasterly winds are also expected today behind the front for
many locations. No chances for rainfall across the forecast region,
given the lack of moisture associated with this system.

Tonight, the breezy winds stick around shifting more easterly after
sunset as the surface high transitions southeastward into the
northern Southern Plains and Ozark Plateau. The breezy winds and
cloud cover will keep low temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 60s
areawide. More breezy to stronger winds continue heading into
Tuesday, thanks to being wedged between a surface high to the east
and a developing broad area of low pressure off to the west. Tuesday
high temperatures are expected to remain a touch cooler compared to
today`s temperatures.

Lamberson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025

After a cooler start to the week warm temperatures return the rest
of the forecast period. Mid level ridging slides east as a trough
settles into the West. Southwesterly flow will increase aloft
helping to induce leeside surface troughing. This will bring gusty
south and southwest winds each afternoon with an increase in fire
wreathe concerns mainly west of the Pecos River. Highs Wednesday and
Thursday will climb back into the 80s/90s with 100s along the Rio
Grande. Even with an increase in low level moisture in eastern
portions of the area, the atmosphere will remain well capped rain
chances nil. A shortwave approaches the region Friday helping to
bring our next chance of showers and storms. Right now, the wave
looks fairly week with models indicating storms forming along a
retreating dryline late in the evening. It`s a little far out in
time to get into many details, but there looks to be enough
instability and sheer for isolated severe storms across eastern
areas. The main trough lifts out of the SW U.S. next weekend, but
models differ on the exact track. The Euro and Canadian are slower
and deeper and indicate a good chance of showers and storms Saturday
afternoon. Other models are faster with lifting the wave into the
Plains, keeping our area much drier with more wind. Given it will be
Easter weekend, you`ll want to check back often as the forecast
evolves.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Winds
pick up and shift northerly to northeasterly this morning upon the
frontal passage. Occasional wind gusts up to 30 kts are also
expected during the morning and afternoon hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               79  54  77  57 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                 83  54  75  54 /   0  10   0   0
Dryden                   96  63  82  60 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            91  59  80  60 /   0  10  10   0
Guadalupe Pass           78  54  69  56 /   0  10   0   0
Hobbs                    78  50  74  53 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    87  53  76  54 /   0  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     81  55  77  58 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                   81  56  77  58 /   0  10   0   0
Wink                     86  56  80  58 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...11