Winnemucca, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

518
FXUS65 KLKN 062019
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
119 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

 * This afternoon there is a 15-30% chance of thunderstorms along
   and south of the US-50 corridor

 * Warming trend through Tuesday

 * Shower chances decrease for the weekend

 * Precipitation chances increase across Northern Nevada early
   next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 113 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Saturday

The upper level low over coastal central California will continue
to influence central Nevada as a stalled boundary will serve as a
focus for moisture aloft to generate a few isolated thunderstorms
this afternoon and the evening across the US-50 corridor and
points south. While overall chances are low at about 10% to 30%, a
few storm have formed in northern Nye and far southern White Pine
counties. Hazards will include brief heavy rain, gusty outflow
winds, and a few lightning strikes. Otherwise High pressure to the
north of the upper low will keep northern Nevada under NW flow
aloft which should keep any moisture for storms limited to central
Nevada today. Highs Friday afternoon will range in the upper 70s
to upper 80s with a light west to NW winds at 5 MPH to 15 MPH for
northern NV, while similar temperatures and light SW to south
winds of 5 MPH to 15 MPH will be possible for central NV.
Overnight lows tonight into Saturday morning will drop into the
upper 40s to upper 50s under mostly clear skies. Saturday, the
upper low will weaken some but keep its position over coastal
central California, and the upper ridge to its north will become a
bit more assertive over Nevada as height rises overspread the
State, and shifting the boundary further south and dropping
precipitation chances. Depending on how far the boundary shifts
showers and storms will be possible again for central Nevada, but.
Overall chances will be limited to 10% to 20% with the best
probability of seeing a storm occur, will be at the far southern
extent of our CWA, being along and south of US-6. With drier air
filtering in. High temperatures will be warmer for Saturday as
highs range from the low 80s to low 90s, with westerly winds of 5
MPH to 15 MPH with a few gusts to 25 MPH possible.

.LONG TERM...
A ridge of high pressure will build northwestward across the
Silver State this weekend. High temperatures both Saturday
afternoon and Sunday afternoon will be around ten degrees above
normal for this time of year. Here are probabilities of maximum
temperatures of 90 degrees or higher for select locations in
Northern and Central Nevada on Sunday, June 8th, 2025:

Winnemucca - 100%
Battle Mountain - 100%
Carlin - 97%
Elko - 96%
Tonopah - 95%
West Wendover - 90%
Eureka - 80%
McDermitt - 80%
Spring Creek - 45%
Ely - 25%

A trough of low pressure will progress southeastward across
Southern Nevada Monday, resulting in a 10-20% probability of
showers, mainly in Northern Nevada. An Eastern Pacific trough of
low pressure will approach the coast of Northern California
Tuesday. There should be enough atmospheric instability and
moisture well ahead of this trough of low pressure to support a
20-30% probability of showers and thunderstorms in Northern
Nevada. The trough of low pressure will progress eastward across
Northern Nevada Wednesday. This will result in an increase in rain
chances to 30-40% in Northeastern Nevada. Cyclonic flow aloft
will persist Thursday into next Friday. Slim rain chances will
stick around in Northern Nevada Thursday into next Friday.

High temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will
remain well above seasonal values Monday afternoon. A downward
temperature trend is expected Tuesday through next Friday. Be
that as it may, maximum temperatures across Northern and Central
Nevada next Friday afternoon will be two to four degrees above
normal for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)

VFR condtions will prevail at KEKO, KWMC, KBAM, and KENV through
at least the next 24 hours. Isolated thunderstorms should develop
in the vicinity of KELY and KTPH this afternoon. A few of these
thunderstorms could be strong. The primary thunderstorm hazards
will be erratic wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous cloud to
ground lightning strikes. These thunderstorms will dissipate by
03Z this evening.

AMD NOT SKED at KTPH due to unstable communications.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A 15% to 30% chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms remain
possible for central Nevada this afternoon and evening for
locations along and south of US-50. For N NV zones conditions will
be quiet with light winds and partly cloudy skies. Temperatures
will be warming through the week with daytime highs reaching the
mid 80s to mid 90s, although generally westerly winds look to
remain on the light side with speeds of 5 MPH to 15 MPH with a few
gusts up to 25 MPH possible. After a quiet weekend, precipitation
chances look to return for the first half of the week as the upper
low to the west finally moves onshore and through the Silver
state, once again chances will be low but a 15% to 35% chance for
isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorms will be possible
area wide for the afternoon and evening hours Monday through
Wednesday.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...98/87
AVIATION...87
FIRE WEATHER...98