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Omaha, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles SSW Carter Lake IA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles SSW Carter Lake IA
Issued by: National Weather Service WFO Omaha, NE
Updated: 8:17 am CDT Oct 15, 2025
 
Today

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Chance
Showers
Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. South southeast wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely
Friday
Night
Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 51. South southwest wind around 6 mph becoming west northwest after midnight.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Chance
Showers
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Sunny
Hi 80 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 82 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 76 °F Lo 51 °F Hi 68 °F Lo 42 °F Hi 66 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. South southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers before 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 51. South southwest wind around 6 mph becoming west northwest after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 50. South wind 6 to 8 mph.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Tuesday
 
A slight chance of showers. Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles SSW Carter Lake IA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
815
FXUS63 KOAX 151055
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
555 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A chance (15-35%) of light showers continues into Wednesday.
  An isolated thunderstorm is possible. Areas of fog tonight,
  especially in northeast Nebraska.

- Temperatures quickly warm back up on Wednesday and Thursday,
  with afternoon highs in the 70s to low 80s. Breezy to windy
  conditions on Thursday.

- A couple fronts move through the area on Friday and Saturday,
  with a 20-45% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
  Temperatures trend cooler, with highs in the 60s to low 70s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 357 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Today and Tomorrow:

Water vapor imagery this morning continues to feature a positively-
tilted trough with a base over the Great Basin while a mid/upper jet
streak helps prop up ridging over the eastern half of the CONUS. A
recent surface analysis highlights a warm front extending eastward
from a northeastern CO low through southern Nebraska/Iowa.
As you go north of this warm front, low stratus and reduced
visibilities fill in quickly with areas of dense fog nosing into
northeast Nebraska from the central portion of the state, while
showers and a stray rumble of thunder exit to the east.
Throughout the morning, expect the low clouds to the north of
the warm front to lift northward along with the front itself,
leaving us with some peeks of sunshine this afternoon. Along and
north of the warm front, light rain and drizzle chances will
continue through much of the morning, in addition to shower
chances just south of the front as a mid-level shortwave passes
through. Similar to yesterday, don`t expect to see a ton on
radar but do expect a much warmer day as highs hit the upper 70s
to low 80s across the forecast area as southerly winds develop.

Late this evening into the overnight hours, continued warm air
advection with the strong mass response ahead of a strengthening
leeside low will work with decreasing mid/upper heights to
force a few more elevated but light showers primarily across
Iowa. By sunrise, attention will turn towards a prefrontal
convergence boundary/trough to the west with a cold front to
directly to its west for shower and storm development. Only the
prefrontal trough will reach the far western edges of the
forecast area during the day Thursday, with elevated showers
along it before shower activity becomes increasingly focused
along it overnight with a few rumbles of thunder in the marginal
MUCAPE.

Friday and Beyond:

By Friday morning, the main core of the mid/upper system to the west
will have ejected northeast into Manitoba/Saskatchewan, with
the base of the wave poised to sweep eastward. Shower and storm
chances will hinge on the timing of the cold frontal passage,
with areas of southeast Nebraska seeing rain and storm chances
during the late afternoon/evening hours. In our neck of the
woods, we will only be seeing CAPE values of less than 1000 J/kg
in a sufficiently sheared environment, making marginal severe
weather not likely but still possible with increasing chances to
the south where lapse rates/moisture are healthier.

Saturday and Sunday will see the 60s return for high temperatures,
with the backside of that system/ribbon of PVA giving one last
goodbye to the the area before continuing its ejection eastward.
Global deterministic models do differ on the speed at which it
departs, with spread only increasing going forward into the
work week. Though there is significant spread by this point,
models are in consensus for another trough to move through from
the west with a quick-hitting ridge ahead of it. The amplitude
and timing of these features will become more clear as we
approach, but after a cool weekend, a bit of a warmup and then
another cooler wave is on tap for next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 549 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

VFR conditions are in place and should last through the period
for KOMA/KLNK, while KOFK starts out the morning with LIFR
ceilings that should begin improving through 14z as the thickest
of the low stratus and visibilities continue to hang just east
of the terminal. Between 14 and 16z, the restrictions should
break and quickly bounce to VFR conditions, with a few showers
being possible (15-25% chance) for both KOFK and KLNK, without a
good signal for timing aside from the morning hours. By this
afternoon, southerly winds will become widespread, and carry
into the overnight as winds at FL015 ramp up to at least 45 kts
after 06z for low-level wind shear.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for NEZ016-017-
     030>032-042-043-050-065.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Petersen
AVIATION...Petersen
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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