North Platte, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

969
FXUS63 KLBF 121753
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1253 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures continue to climb this week, with widespread
  highs in the 90s returning Wednesday. Temperatures climb
  higher on Thursday and Friday, with heat indices in the upper
  90s to low 100s.

- Elevated fire weather conditions are possible across portions
  of the Panhandle on Wednesday, due to a combination of warmer
  temperatures, lower humidity, and gusty winds.

- Thunderstorms then become possible across northern portions
  of the region Wednesday night, generally portions of north
  central Nebraska east of Highway 83.

- Additional precipitation chances return this weekend, with
  near daily chances Friday, Saturday, and Sunday evenings.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

A cold front will continue to track south across the region today,
helping to keep temperatures slightly cooler then seasonal today,
with widespread highs in the low to mid 80s. High pressure builds in
behind the front, setting up mostly clear skies and a pleasant
afternoon across the region. Temperatures remain fairly moderate
overnight, with lows in the low 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

An upper level high pressure system builds across the Desert
Southwest on Wednesday, which helps build a slight upper level ridge
over western Nebraska. However, while subtle ridging is expected
over the region, an upper level trough is expected to track across
western Canada. Ahead of the main trough, a shortwave is expected to
track across the Dakotas, with a surface system tracking across the
northern Plains. By the evening, storms are expected to develop off
the Black Hills, tracking slightly east-southeast across South
Dakota. Current CAM guidance evolves this system into an MCS, which
may track across portions of northern Nebraska. While the main
severe threat remains north of the region in South Dakota, a small
portion of the region is in a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for
severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening, mainly for severe wind
gusts, as the system is expected to be a fully formed MCS by the
evening. The outlooked area is mostly areas east of Valentine and
north of the Niobrara River. However, as this is mostly expected to
be a "glancing blow," precipitation chances remain around 30 percent
in north central Nebraska. To further back this, both the GEFS and
European ensembles are beginning to come into agreement on around a
30 percent chance of measurable precipitation.

Another thing of note on Wednesday is the return of warmer
temperatures. Afternoon highs begin to climb into the low to mid 90s
across most of the region. With the return of warmer temperatures,
lower relative humidity values are expected across portions of the
Panhandle. With the advancing low pressure across the Dakotas, winds
become gusty out of the south. This may lead to some elevated fire
weather concerns across portions of the Panhandle on Wednesday
afternoon, especially if the gusty winds overlap with the lowest
humidities.

Temperatures continue to remain warm on Thursday and Friday, with
widespread highs in the mid 90s, and localized areas reaching the
high 90s. Humidity is expected to be higher across portions of the
region east of Highway 83. The combination of heat and humidity may
lead to some heat concerns Thursday afternoon. With heat indices
expected in the upper 90s to lower 100s, heat headlines may be
needed if the forecast trends remain consistent. With the nearby
surface boundaries on Thursday night, there is a slight chance of
precipitation across portions of western Nebraska, however
precipitation chances remain under 20 percent. The upper level
pattern continues to track east, placing the high over the south
central United States, and the trough over the Dakotas Thursday
night. This set up will allow for subtropical moisture advection
across the region on Friday into the weekend. As this next trough
tracks across the Dakotas, an active surface pattern brings around a
30 percent chance of rain Friday, Saturday, and Sunday evenings.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all of western and
north central Nebraska through Wednesday morning. Patchy
shallow ground fog could develop for a time early Wednesday
morning in the Platte river valley, but should not be widespread
and will not include in the LBF TAF at this time. Otherwise
light winds will become rather gusty from the south at 10-20 kts
Wednesday.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Richie
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Taylor