Falls City, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

761
FXUS63 KOAX 070536
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1136 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of freezing rain/drizzle linger over northeast Nebraska
  through the early morning hours before changing all to snow.
  Most locations see a glaze of ice with minor snow
  accumulations.

- Dry conditions expected for the rest of Saturday and Sunday.
  Highs rebound Sunday to the mid 60s to low 70s.

- Next chance for precipitation returns late Tuesday night into
  Wednesday morning (30 to 60% chance)

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 958 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

A mix of severe and wintry weather is observed across the
forecast area as of 0340z. Convection should continue to push
east northeast here within the next few hours, exiting the bulk
of the forecast area by midnight.

Our attention for the rest of the short term turns to the wintry
weather across northeast Nebraska. Forecast BUFKIT soundings
show low level saturation over much of that area through the
early morning hours in sub freezing temperatures with little to
no ice introduction. RAP vertical cross sections show weak
omega of around -5 ubars in this layer suggests areas of
freezing drizzle/rain developing. Latest METARs in the area
have reported anywhere from a trace to around a tenth of an inch
of ice with this activity. So, expect a few slick spots in
these areas through at least 08z. Eventually, the column cools
enough with some ice introduction observed leading to light
snow. Areas northwest of a line from Neligh to Hartington have
the best potential at seeing at least a tenth of an inch or more
of snow (60-85% chance), while probabilities significantly
taper off with a half inch or more at around 30% along far
northern Knox County. PoPs remain at 30 to 50% across far
northeast Nebraska through at least 10z.

Sfc high pressure is progged to move into the area for the rest
of day Saturday with dry conditions. Highs remain in the upper
40s to low 50s. Southerly flow returns Sunday with highs
rebounding to the mid 60s to low 70s under dry conditions.

.LONG TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Temperatures in the 60s and 70s persist through Monday and
Tuesday with dry conditions. PoPs of 30 to 60% return to the
forecast by late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Highs cool
wednesday to the mid 50s before widespread 60s return to end the
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1136 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

IFR ceilings persist across much of eastern Nebraska and
western Iowa late this evening with gusty 20 to 25 kt northwest
winds. Expect periods of freezing rain/low visibility at KOFK
through at least 08z with precip chances largely waning
thereafter. A snow band may clip KOFK within the next 2 to 3
hours, but confidence remains less than 30% for occurrence at
this time. Expect slow but gradual improvement in ceilings to
MVFR by 08z-11z, and to VFR after sunrise.

The gusty winds subside by late morning/afternoon to under 12
kts, becoming southwesterly by 00z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST Saturday for NEZ011-012-
     016>018-030>033-042-043.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Castillo
AVIATION...Castillo