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Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Chadron NE
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Chadron NE
Issued by: National Weather Service Cheyenne, WY |
| Updated: 12:31 am MDT Sep 10, 2026 |
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Overnight
 Mostly Clear
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Thursday
 Hot
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Thursday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Mostly Cloudy and Breezy
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Friday
 Hot and Breezy
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy and Breezy then Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Mostly Sunny and Breezy
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Saturday Night
 Breezy. Slight Chance Showers then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Breezy. Partly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Sunday Night
 Showers Likely and Breezy
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| Lo 56 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 78 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
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Overnight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 56. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Thursday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 90. West southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Breezy, with a south wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Breezy. |
Saturday Night
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A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Breezy. |
Sunday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Breezy. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Breezy. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Breezy. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Chadron NE.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
716
FXUS65 KCYS 100455
AFDCYS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1055 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions expected through Friday alongside critical
Fire Weather conditions.
- Moisture and cooler temperatures return for the weekend, with
another shot of cooler air to start next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 145 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026
Weather in the short term is rather benign as the forecast area sits
in quasi-zonal flow through at least Friday. Although benign,
conditions will be conducive for fire weather. Zonal flow aloft will
lead to windy conditions at the surface as a decent MSLP gradient
sets up over the western half of the CWA. Even 850 mb CAG to CPR
height gradients show a slight response, peaking into the 40 meter
range on both Thursday and Friday. Winds aloft during the day will
only range from 30 to 35 kts, so while not high winds, 30 to 40 MPH
gusts at the surface will be favorable for rapid fire spread.
Westerly flow will usher a very dry airmass into the area Wednesday
afternoon. This airmass will stick around through Thursday night,
leading to low relative humidity. Overnight humidity recoveries both
Wednesday and Thursday night will be poor, as breezy conditions keep
the surface dry. Thursday will be the driest day with relative
humidity falling into the single digits for most of the forecast
area. High temperatures will also warm about 5 to 10 degrees
compared to Wednesday. Red Flag Warnings are already in place this
afternoon through Thursday evening, mainly for Carbon County and the
central to northern Laramie Range. The fire weather threat shifts
eastward on Friday into Nebraska as a weak disturbance aloft raises
mid-level relative humidity over the western zones.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 145 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026
A cold front should have made its way through the area overnight
Friday. The timing is in fairly good agreement between global models
with a five degree drop in the morning minimum temperatures compared
to Friday. This will translate into a pleasant afternoon with highs
in the upper 70s to low 80s. The northerly winds behind the front
swap to southeasterly in the afternoon with the return flow. Aloft
it is possible that a shortwave trough is passing through the area.
This shortwave would provide a little more lift and moisture to
perhaps kick off scattered showers and thunderstorms with IVT in the
90th percentile.
Sunday we should start to feel the effects of a new upper level
system moving into the Pacific Northwest. Stronger return flow ahead
of this system`s passage would increase storm potential. Some
machine learning models are depicting a risk area on and east of I-
25. Ensemble models have 75 percent of members having CAPE and shear
values above climatological average and about 30-50 percent having
values above the 90th percentile of climate. In other words the
signal for severe weather is starting to show in guidance. A cold
front associated with the Pacific system passes through sometime
Sunday night into Monday morning.
Post front temperatures cool and a drying trend starts as a ridge
builds up again. Return flow possible on Tuesday which could allow
more diurnal shower and storm activity. The signal for another
system at this range is murky. If no other system turns up in
ensembles expect the ridging pattern to persist in the long
term.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1055 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026
West to northwest flow aloft will continue over the area as a shortwave
ridge axis slides east over the northern Front Range Thursday
afternoon. Dry weather and breezy conditions will continue
Thursday... and possibly Friday.
HAZARDS/WEATHER TRENDS: VFR conditions will prevail over the next
24 hours across southeast Wyoming and western Nebraska. Breezy or
locally windy conditions expected for KRWL and KLAR...and possibly KCYS
with winds gusting between 25 to 35 knots. Light and variable winds
expected for the western Nebraska terminals.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT Thursday for WYZ419>422-425-
427.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...SF
LONG TERM...RV
AVIATION...TJT
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