Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

555
FXUS65 KCYS 061836
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1136 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near to just above average temperatures and mostly dry
  conditions are expected through the weekend.

-Breezier conditions return on Sunday into Monday, however fire
 weather conditions are not anticipated at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 1132 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Forecast remains on track as we remain in a warm and dry pattern
heading into the weekend. Current GOES mid-level water vapor imagery
shows a shortwave trough digging south and east across the Desert
Southwest, bringing SE Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle mainly
just a few mid and high level clouds. High temperatures today are
forecast to remain slightly above average for this time of year,
with locations along and east of the I-25 corridor expected to reach
the mid to upper 50s this afternoon, with cooler temperatures in the
upper 40s to low 50s west of the Laramie Range. For some
perspective, the average high in Cheyenne for this day is in the low
50s. Expecting winds to remain rather calm today as we are under the
influence of a 1027 mb surface anticyclone located over the Central
Great Plains. Can expect another seasonably chilly night heading
into the weekend as large-scale subsidence and weak isentropic
descent is in place over the region, with skies remaining mostly
clear. Wouldn`t be surprised to see some areas of frost early
tomorrow morning across the Panhandle, as high-resolution guidance
indicates some lingering low-level moisture especially along the
North Platte River Valley.

The weekend will start off on a similar note as a positively-tilted
ridge begins to amplify over the western half of the country, with
500 mb height anomalies exceeding the 90th percentile relative to
climatology. Given the building ridge, temperatures will again
remain well above average, peaking in the low 60s east of the
Laramie Range, and remaining mainly in the 50s to the west. An
abundance of high clouds will be the limiting factor for stronger
surface heating.

Heading into Sunday, the ridge axis will be located over our area,
and will likely be our warmest day of the period. Wouldn`t be
surprised to see a few locations in the Nebraska Panhandle exceed
the 70 degree mark, as NBM median temperatures are showing
widespread upper 60s. Not expecting any records to be broken at this
time, but it will feel unseasonably warm for early November. Sunday
will also be noticeably windier compared to the previous couple of
days, as zonal 700 mb flow increases to 35-40 knots. As it stands,
in-house wind guidance keeps even our wind-prone areas well below
high wind criteria, but conditions will still be gusty. No fire
weather highlights are needed at this time as minimum RH values look
to be 20-25% on Sunday afternoon, though any downward trends in
low-level moisture will need to be monitored in future
forecasts.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1132 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

The long term forecast for the Intermountain West is rather boring
to say the least. Upper level ridging will put our region in a
subsequent chokehold for the next 7 days. This is great news
for anyone that needs to build a house or pour concrete this
week. Sunday, looks to be the warmest day of the week in the
long term forecast when the ridge looks like an amplified sine
wave that advects in warmer but drier air into the region. High
temperatures look to be in the mid 60`s for areas east of I-25
with the potential of some areas to reach 70. 700mb temperatures
look to peak around 6 or 7C which will also give us slightly
warmer temperatures in the upper 30s overnight compared to the
upper 20s we had the past several days. During the next work
week, there will be multiple low pressure system moving up and
over our ridge dragging some colder air with it. While these
systems don`t seem to currently present our region with
precipitation chances. It will knock our high temperatures down
to the more seasonable mid 50`s to low 60`s and overnight lows
into the upper 20`s to low 30`s as 700mb temperatures hover
between 0 and 1C.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1036 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Light winds are generally expected through the entire TAF
period, but an occasional rogue gust up to 20 knots is still
possible in the afternoons. Otherwise High-based clouds between
15,000-22,000ft will be filtering through throughout the day.
Expect frost conditions in the early morning and de-ice may be
necessary if your aircraft is sitting outside overnight.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NB
LONG TERM...MM
AVIATION...RZ