Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

160
FXUS65 KCYS 091124
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
424 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near to or just above average temperatures and dry conditions
  are expected to continue into and through mid-week.

- Breezier winds will continue through this morning and return
  Tuesday; however, critical fire weather conditions are not
  anticipated at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 202 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Another pleasant day is on deck as we sit firmly under upper level
ridging that will continue to dominate our weather conditions in the
short term period. This pattern will keep any precipitation chances
out of our forecast area, bringing partly cloudy skies along with
mild temperatures. So, expect high temperatures later this afternoon
to top out slightly above average for this time of year. Locations
along and west of the Laramie Range will see highs in the mid 50s to
low 60s while many locations along and east of the I-25 corridor
will see highs soar into the low 60s to mid/upper 60s. Lows Monday
night will mainly bottom out into the mid/upper 30s to low 40s,
a few valleys west of I-25 may see lows tank into the low 30s.
Now lets take a look at winds, this morning will continue to be
a bit breezier for our wind prones along I-25 and I-80. The mid-
level flow at 700 mb will be westerly in the 35 to 45 knot range.
With ample subsidence, negative Omega (GFS), these winds will
make it down to the surface, especially along the higher peaks
of the Laramie Range. This is confirmed by our in-house guidance
where the height gradient between Craig and Casper reaches a max
around 45 meters this morning which translates to gusts at the
surface on the order of 40 mph. As we head into Tuesday, a weak
shortwave aloft will slide across the forecast area from a weak
system that passes just to our northeast, we will remain dry as
all model guidance indicates. Winds will once again be the main
story as we see 700 mb winds ramp up into the 35 to 50 knot
range by Tuesday morning. A surface low near the Black Hills
will push east through Tuesday morning, as it does so, it will
pull the surface trough east along with the gusty winds to wind
prone adjacents by Tuesday afternoon. With ample subsidence,
expect gusts up to 50 mph, but there is the possibility of
stronger gusts in the known wind prones. Our in-house guidance
indicates a slim chance for high winds, so this will continue to
be monitored. Taking a look at temperatures, highs on Tuesday
west of the Laramie Range look to top out in the mid 50s. While
highs along and east of the I-25 corridor will soar into the mid
to upper 60s. Lows Tuesday night will bottom out generally in
the mid 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 150 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Warm and dry weather is expected to continue for the rest of the
operational forecast period. Picking up on Wednesday, it will
remain breezy, but gusts should be more in the 25 to 35 mph
range. Northwest flow will persist aloft behind the departing
shortwave trough. 700-mb temperatures in the 0 to +2C range will
support highs closer to average, but still on the warm side.
Wednesday will be the coolest day of the week, with upper 50s to
lower 60s anticipated for the plains, and mid 50s for the
valleys west of the Laramie range.

A strong ridge amplifying to our west will encroach on the area
Thursday into the weekend. Expect a gradual warming trend Thursday
and Friday, with 700-mb temperatures peaking around +5 to +7C
Friday. High temperatures will remain about 10 to 15F above seasonal
averages. The ridge is expected to flatten out a bit over the
weekend. 700-mb temperatures drop slightly, and thus daytime high
expectations are a few degrees cooler than Friday for Saturday and
Sunday, but still warm for this time of year. Overall, it should be
a pleasant weekend. Portions of Carbon, Converse, and Albany
counties could be breezy, but nothing remotely unusual for this time
of year. With little to no precipitation expected anywhere in the
area for the next 7 days, it is tempting to look beyond the
operational forecast period for some hints at a pattern change.
Ensembles continue to kick the can down the road and push the
potential change further out, but most are showing the longwave
Pacific trough moving inland into the western CONUS by the weekend.
If this occurs, the door to potential storminess may open again in
the November 16 to 19 period. About 60% of ensembles show a storm
system passing through our area during this period, while 40% remain
mostly dry.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 424 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions will prevail across all terminals for the duration of
this TAF period. High-level clouds will push through throughout the
day, but will not pose any threat to aviation operations. Winds in
general will be less than 10 knots, except the Wyoming terminals
where breezier conditions will hold on a bit longer before subsiding
by 23Z today.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RZ
LONG TERM...MN/RZ
AVIATION...RZ