Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

869
FXUS65 KCYS 242342
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
442 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another arctic front will push through the region Sunday
  morning, leading to windchills below -20F prompting another
  cold weather advisory for tonight.

- The arctic front on Sunday will promote the development of widespread
  snowfall once again, with current accumulations between 0.5
  and 1.5 inches possible.

- Another possible high wind event to start off the week Monday
  with gusts of 58+ mph possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 223 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

The tilted upper level trough will be hanging around the Northern
Plains and Intermountain West through the weekend. This trough will
keep reinforcing the Arctic airmass over the High Plains and keep us
rather frosty this weekend. 700mb temperatures look to remain
between -16 and -20C will the cooler temperatures on the eastern
half of forecast area. A blend of NBM10 and consshort were used to
bump temperatures down as the NBM was too warm for current
conditions for majority of the forecast area. A cold weather
advisory was reissued for tonight ahead of the arctic front for
windchills between -20 and -25F over the Panhandle and Niobrara
County. However, there is a little uncertainty with this as the
skies are forecasted to be cloudy preventing optimal radiational
cooling. But even with our minimal snowpack and arctic front pushing
south through the Intermountain West, the temperatures and wind
chills may still drop down into those advisory levels. A
precautionary Cold weather advisory was issued for the Panhandle and
Niobrara county for tonight. Now looking at Water vapor both at the
Mid levels and lower levels, there is some moisture pushing into the
Intermountain west ahead of the arctic front. This moisture should
be an sufficient amount to be lifted and give us some widespread
light snow showers. The lower elevations east of I-25 could see
between 0.5 to 1.5 inches with the higher amounts along the I-25
corridor. For the higher elevations a little more snow could be seen
but can`t rule out a few isolated amounts up to 3 inches. As the
snow tapers off throughout the afternoon and evening Sunday. The
fresh snow on top of the existing snow pack will help keep
temperatures cold through the night Sunday. 700mb temperatures look
to hover around -20C dropping Sunday`s overnight temperatures once
again. Another Cold weather advisory may be needed for Sunday night
as the windchills look to reach into the negative 20`s once
again.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 223 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

Latest model guidance indicates high pressure controlling the
region during the long term, keeping us quiet and near to above
normal for temperatures through the course of the work week.
Highs will range daily in the 40`s, with Wednesday the "warmest"
day of the week as some highs approach 50. Passing shortwaves to
the north will stop us from getting any warmer though, and will
also bring a threat of high winds. The first will occur on
Monday where in house guidance has increased in confidence on
strong gusts across our usual wind prone locations in WY.
Probabilities for Arlington and Bordeaux are now up to 70-90%
of seeing gusts 58+ mph, giving high confidence we`ll see the
return of High Wind Warnings on Monday. Meanwhile even
neighboring locations are starting to see probabilities on the
rise thanks to notable increases in both pressure gradients and
the low level jet, with Cheyenne now up to a 30% probability of
high wind gusts - not quite anything to write home about, but
showcasing how these speeds may now overspread into neighboring
zones. Another passing trough on Wednesday should bring round 2
of potential High Winds, as probabilities are now up to 70% for
Bordeaux. Overall it appears our weekend descent into winter
weather will be short lived, with our usual high winds back on
tap for next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 435 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

VFR conditions expected through this evening. An occasional
light band of snow could pass through the region and bring a
very brief dip in conditions, but these aren`t expected to be
common at all. Tonight however another round of snow moves
across the region and will bring VIS and CIGs down, beginning
with northern NE terminals and then overspreading into WY
terminals. MVFR to IFR status expected with any snow, with
localized LIFR possible. Winds expected to remain around 5 to 15
knots, though a rare breeze higher in the 20-25 knot range can`t
be ruled out. Snow will begin to depart the region and CIGs will
lift after 18Z.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...Cold Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM MST
     Sunday for WYZ102.
NE...Cold Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM MST
     Sunday for NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MM
LONG TERM...CG
AVIATION...CG