638
FXUS65 KCYS 101124
AFDCYS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
424 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Windy conditions are expected today; however, critical fire
weather conditions are not anticipated at this time.
- Above average temperatures and dry conditions are expected to
continue into and through the end of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 202 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026
It will be another pleasant, but windy day ahead of us here across
the forecast area, more on the winds in a bit. First lets take a
quick look at the synoptic set-up aloft, there will be a weak
shortwave that will slide across the CWA from a weak system that
passes just to our northeast. We will remain dry as all model
guidance indicates other than a slight increase in high-level
clouds. Speaking of winds, they will once again be the main story as
we see 700 mb winds ramp up into the 35 to 45 knot range by later
this morning. A surface low near the Black Hills will develop an
push east through the morning hours, as it does so, it will pull the
surface trough east with it away from the Laramie Range along with
pulling the gusty winds east into the High Plains by this afternoon.
With ample subsidence, expect gusts at the surface up to 50 mph, but
there is the possibility of stronger gusts in the known wind prones.
Our in-house guidance indicates a slim chance for high winds at are
known wind prone areas along I-25 and I-80 at this time. Then, by
this evening, expect the winds to begin to wind down. A by product
of this wind event will be fire weather concerns, as dry as it has
been coupled with these gusty winds, elevated fire weather concerns
are expected for this afternoon. Then switching gears to temperatures,
with the strong westerly downsloping winds, it will lead to a warm
day across portions of the CWA, primarily east of the Laramie Range.
So, expect highs west of the Laramie Range to top out in the mid
50s. While highs along and east of the I-25 corridor will soar into
the mid to upper 60s, possibly a few 70s. Lows Tuesday night will
bottom out generally in the mid to upper 30s, with a few valleys
west of I-25 seeing lows tank to around 30. As we head into
Wednesday, look for relatively quiet conditions to return as
ridging builds back in, bringing back in a northwest flow
regime. Look for continued dry and breezy conditions along with
slightly cooler temperatures, well, compared to Tuesday. So,
highs Wednesday will generally top out in the mid 50s west of
I-25 and low to mid 60s east of the corridor. Lows will bottom
out Wednesday night in the lower 30s west of the Laramie Range
and upper 30s to lower 40s to the east.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 151 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026
Thursday...As a ridge aloft moves further eastward across Wyoming
and 700 mb temperatures rise to near 6 Celsius, a warming trend will
begin with high temperatures from the upper 50s to upper 60s.
Friday...Ridging aloft moves overhead centered from western North
Dakota to eastern Colorado, with maximum temperatures similar to
those of Thursday.
Saturday...A progressive negatively tilted shortwave trough aloft
moves into western Wyoming, spreading increasing mid and high level
cloudiness across our counties, with low POPS across southern Carbon
County, for rain and snow showers, including the Snowy and Sierra
Madre Ranges. Slightly cooler with the increase in cloud cover.
Sunday-Monday...West to southwest flow aloft prevails, and with
minimal low and mid level moisture, chances for precipitation will
be limited. Maximum temperatures will be similar each day, from the
mid 50s to mid 60s.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 424 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026
VFR conditions will prevail across all terminals for the duration of
this TAF period. High-level clouds will push through throughout the
day, but will pose no threat to aviation operations. Winds will be
the primary threat today as west to northwest winds increase between
16Z and 18Z. Expect wind gusts between 25 to 35 knots, highest gusts
will impact the southeast Wyoming terminals. Then by this afternoon,
winds will begin to wind down sometime around and after 00Z to
generally less than 10 knots with gusts to less than 20 knots.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RZ
LONG TERM...RUBIN
AVIATION...RZ
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