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Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Chadron NE
National Weather Service Forecast for: Chadron NE
Issued by: National Weather Service Cheyenne, WY
Updated: 2:26 pm MDT May 7, 2026
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 3pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.
Chance
Showers

Tonight

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly between 9pm and midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the evening.
Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Partly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 89. Breezy.
Sunny then
Sunny and
Breezy
Hi 70 °F Lo 42 °F Hi 73 °F Lo 44 °F Hi 65 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 74 °F Lo 47 °F Hi 89 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.
Tonight
 
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the evening.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon.
Friday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Saturday
 
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 74.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 89. Breezy.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 87. Breezy.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Chadron NE.

Weather Forecast Discussion
319
FXUS65 KCYS 071736
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
1136 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very windy this morning for the wind prone areas of southeast
  Wyoming, elevated to high winds possible.

- Scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms Thursday
  afternoon and evening will have the potential to produce small
  hail and gusty and erratic winds. Another chance of
  thunderstorms possible Saturday.

- Much warmer and drier early next week as a strong ridge aloft
  drifts east over the Front Range.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 245 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

Current IR Satellite loop shows mostly clear skies across most
of the region with increasing high clouds moving southward ahead
of the next upper level vort max/disturbance moving southeast
out of western Canada. This feature will be our next forecast
concern today. For this morning, surface observations show windy
to very windy conditions for mainly our wind prone areas as the
low level pressure gradient increases ahead of the disturbance
moving south out of Canada. So far, winds have been gusting
below 55 MPH with most gusts between 45 to 50 MPH. May need to
issue another Special Weather Statement shortly, but going to
hold off on any late minute High Wind Warnings since winds have
been very briefly gusting around 55 MPH at times. Breezy west to
northwest winds are expected elsewhere, especially late this
morning and this afternoon, with gusts up to 40 MPH possible
(possibly higher near thunderstorms). This wind will actually
result in warmer temperatures than one would expect with a
partial surface snowpack due to warming downslope winds.

For today, all models agree on the upper level disturbance
digging south into eastern Wyoming and ejecting eastward across
western Nebraska this afternoon. Most ensemble guidance and
sounding data show CAPE values between 200 to 600 j/kg over a
bulk of southeast Wyoming and western Nebraska with decent mid
to upper level lift forcing associated with the vort max and
250mb jet. Activity may get going as early as noon today, and
could linger well into tonight. Kept POP between 30 to 50
percent across much of the area for scattered rain showers and
isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms. Small hail and brief
heavy rainfall/gusty winds possible with these thunderstorms
this afternoon and this evening. Cloudy skies will likely linger
through tonight with little chance for fog, even in areas which
get 0.15 to 0.25 inches of rainfall.

Northwest flow aloft will continue on Friday behind the upper
level disturbance as it digs southeast into the central plains.
A few models show some rain shower activity developing along the
Laramie Range and pushing southeast across the high plains
during the afternoon. Most model guidance keeps things dry with
model soundings showing an elevated temperature inversion/CAP
around 600mb with a pretty dry boundary layer. Kept POP at or
below 10 percent for now with the HRRR showing dry conditions
and no precipitation. Near seasonable temperatures are forecast
for Friday with highs in the 60s to low 70s, which is within 5
degrees of the average high for the day during this time of the
year.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 315 PM MDT Wed May 6 2026

Warm days are ahead as high pressure ridging looks to take over
for the majority of the long term forecast period, though we do
start unsettled and near average before the heat takes hold.
Friday evening should be mostly uneventful under a transient
ridge with near seasonable low temperatures. Moving into
Saturday however, a quick moving shortwave should bring a shot
at showers and thunderstorms alongside gusty winds thanks to the
enhanced pressure gradient. While the best precipitation
chances will be for our northern zones, many of these locations
didn`t receive our recent snowfall and therefore the
precipitation will be beneficial for them. In house guidance is
highlighting the potential for wind highlights as probabilities
are nearing 40% for the Arlington area, and 700mb winds around
50 knots are present. If nothing else, we should see a few
storms and some locally gusty winds, but no strong agreement
that more significant conditions are expected.

Thereafter, the main story will be strong ridging that will
overtake the majority of the Western US. We`ll see mostly dry
conditions and a steady warming trend, with temperatures around
15 to 20 degrees above normal by early next week and continuing
into the middle of the week, with parts of the NE Panhandle
even flirting with 90 degrees. While ensembles do show this
feature beginning to flatten out moving into the middle of next
week, the strongest winds and pressure gradients would still lie
to our north and east, keeping us under warm westerly flow with
only weak upslope flow possibly promoting any new precipitation,
but even this would be unlikely with how dry the lower levels
will be. Most likely outcome currently would be isolated virga
which could bring locally breezy winds, but otherwise if you
didn`t enjoy our brief return to winter this week, warm and dry
weather are incoming by next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1125 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

Northwest flow aloft will continue today and tonight as an
upper level disturbance moves southeast across the terminals
today and tonight. Breezy conditions are expected, especially
across southeast Wyoming, with a good chance for showers and
thunderstorms later this afternoon through late this evening.
Some of this activity by linger past midnight tonight.

Wyoming TAFS...VFR prevails with ceilings 5000 to 10000 feet,
along with high confidence in scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from late afternoon through early evening, with
storms producing gusty winds to 35 knots and visibility
restrictions to 5 miles. Clearing skies late tonight with clear
VFR conditions continuing through Friday morning.

Nebraska TAFS...Prevailing VFR with ceilings from 8000 to
15000 feet along with moderate confidence in scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms late this afternoon and early this
evening for Alliance, Scottsbluff and Sidney, producing gusty
winds to 35 knots and ceilings near 5000 feet. Skies will become
clear by Friday morning.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TJT
LONG TERM...CG
AVIATION...RUBIN
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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