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Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Chadron NE
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Chadron NE
Issued by: National Weather Service Cheyenne, WY |
| Updated: 3:06 pm MDT Jul 27, 2026 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance T-storms and Breezy
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms and Breezy then Slight Chance Showers
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Tuesday
 Slight Chance Showers then Slight Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Showers Likely then Slight Chance T-storms
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Thursday
 Hot
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Thursday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Friday
 Hot
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| Hi 99 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
Lo 65 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
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This Afternoon
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy and hot, with a high near 99. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 20 mph. |
Tonight
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming south southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of showers before noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing and hot, with a high near 92. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 68. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. South wind 5 to 15 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Thursday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 65. |
Friday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 66. |
Saturday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 96. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Breezy. |
Sunday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Breezy. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 72. Breezy. |
Monday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Breezy. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Chadron NE.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
985
FXUS65 KCYS 272030
AFDCYS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
Issued by National Weather Service Riverton WY
230 PM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A plume of monsoon moisture will arrive today, moderating
temperatures and improving rainfall chances through Wednesday.
- Marginal to Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Monday through
Wednesday. Strong gusty winds will be the primary threat.
- Heavy rainfall and localized Flash Flooding possible Tuesday
through Wednesday night.
- More heat returns for Thursday through Monday, with some near
record high temperatures possible for some locations and
possible Heat Advisories.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 216 PM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026
Tonight: WSR-88D radar reflectivity loop and model analysis
shows scattered to possible numerous showers, isolated to
scattered thunderstorms continuing through early evening, mainly
east of I-25. Model trends show showers and some thunderstorms
decreasing later tonight. Cloud cover will minimize cooling,
acting like a blanket effect. The Storm Prediction Center has
reduced the marginal and slight risk area for this afternoon and
this evening which seems quite plausible due to extensive cloud
cover and reduced instability. Storm movement will be enough to
minimize heavy rain threat.
Tuesday: Looks like a more favorable day for scattered to
numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms, especially with
respect to thunderstorm intensity due to more solar insolation,
better low level moisture supply and increased shear parameters,
as evidenced by bulk shear values and projected 850/700 theta-e
ridge axis placement. Concur with the Storm Prediction Center
day 2 outlook showing marginal risk of severe thunderstorms to
the right of a line from Laramie to Torrington to Scottsbluff.
Marginal risk of flash flooding looks more likely due to weaker
steering level winds around 700 mb, 10,000 feet MSL.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 216 PM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026
Wednesday: Positioning of decent 850/700 theta-e ridge axis,
and the proximity of a more decent shortwave trough aloft near
peak heating, at least for late July, and the Precipitable Water
(PWAT) values from 1.5 to 2 inches, along with impressive shear
and instability suggests another round of scattered to numerous
afternoon and evening showers and scattered thunderstorms, with
a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms to the right of a line
from Laramie to Casper in the afternoon and evening from the
meteorologists at the SPC, Storm Prediction Center.
Thursday through Monday: Monsoonal moisture retreats out of our
County Warning Area (CWA) as a drier and hotter air mass
returns producing nearly dry conditions with only minimal
chances for isolated to scattered thunderstorms over and near
our Snowy, Sierra Madre, and Laramie Ranges due to differential
orographic processes. Temperatures will soar once again,
especially for Sunday and Monday, with some locations possibly
approaching near record maximum temperatures, and perhaps the
long standing all time record high temperature of 100 degrees at
Cheyenne, that has been achieved four times, the most recent in
the 1950s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1155 AM MDT Mon Jul 27 2026
Primarily VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.
The only exception will be after 03Z where MVFR conditions may
be in place for KSNY and KAIA where showers are most likely to
develop, dropping cigs to 2-3 kft. Confidence isn`t high
regarding shower and thunderstorm coverage this afternoon given
the current ongoing showers which are delaying heating and
destabilization, so further convective initiation will depend on
how quickly we can recover. Any high-based showers and
thunderstorms that are able to develop will have the potential
to produce gusty and erratic winds up to 45 knots, especially
given DCAPE greater than 1000 J/Kg and forecast soundings
showing inverted-v profiles. Outside of the deeper convection,
expect the typical diurnal onset of cumulus which will dissipate
shortly after sunset.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RUBIN
LONG TERM...RUBIN
AVIATION...WFOCYS
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