Chadron, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

875
FXUS65 KCYS 190813
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
213 AM MDT Sun Jul 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot, dry, and breezy conditions continue through Monday.

- Monsoonal moisture will attempt to return be Tuesday, leading
  to increased precipitation chances through much of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 210 AM MDT Sun Jul 19 2026

With the upper-level ridge still firmly in place over Wyoming, hot
conditions are expected to continue into the day Sunday. Partly to
mostly sunny skies across a majority of the CWA will help
temperatures climb about 5 to 10 degrees above normal for this time
of year. Locations east of the Laramie Range will see high
temperatures in the 90s to low 100s, hence the presence of a Heat
Advisory. Some moisture will be present across the CWA as the
monsoon strengthens over the Desert Southwest and pushes northward.
A weak disturbance moving through the ridge will take advantage of
the elevated moisture, leading to showers and thunderstorms
developing during the afternoon hours. Hi-Res guidance shows storms
initially forming over the high terrain before pushing east
throughout the evening. Storms will dissipate by about midnight,
with the rest of the night expected to be quiet.

Monday will be virtually the same as Sunday with hot temperatures
continuing and another chance of showers and storms. Highs east
of the Laramie Range on Sunday will be a few degrees warmer
compared to Sunday, leading to a continuation of the the Heat
Advisory through the afternoon. There will be a little less
moisture around on Monday, however, Hi-Res guidance still shows
the potential for a few isolated showers and storms during the
afternoon hours. Given that less moisture is present, showers
and storms will likely end around sunset.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Tuesday...A decent pattern change ensues with the ridge flattening
somewhat, helping monsoonal moisture to spread across our western
counties, spawning scattered to numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon, primarily focused west of I-25.

Wednesday...Beneficial rains will become more in areal coverage with
s decent increase in low level dewpoints and mid level monsoonal
moisture and upslope mechanical southeast winds advecting low level
moisture into our counties. Will see scattered to numerous afternoon
and evening shower and thunderstorm coverage, most prevalent along
the I-25 corridor where lift and orographic lift will be maximized
corresponding to the deepest moisture supply.

Thursday...Somewhat drier air infiltrates our counties as the flow
aloft turns westerly with some dry air intrusion at low and mid
levels, as the surface trough or dryline moves to central Nebraska.

Friday...Ridging aloft becomes more pronounced, though with enough
mid level moisture, will see typical isolated to scattered showers
and some thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, mainly west of
I-25 and concentrated over the mountains.

Saturday...The ridge becomes less pronounced along with an increase
in low and mid level moisture, and with more monsoonal moisture
present, afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorm coverage will
likely need to be increased as we approach day seven, providing more
beneficial rains.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1111 PM MDT Sat Jul 18 2026

VFR conditions are expected through most of the forecast period
for all terminals. Gusty winds to 30 knots are being depicted
in hi resolution model guidance for KLAR for the next few
hours. KCDR could receive gusty winds from this low level jet
overnight also. Elsewhere winds are calm and variable. Tomorrow
daytime heating will increase winds primarily for the Nebraska
Panhandle terminals to 25 kts. Scattered thunderstorm and shower
activity is expected from near KLAR and northeast to KCDR. KLAR
has the better chances of storms impacting the terminal,
therefore a prob30 was introduced. Prob30s may be expanded to
other terminals in the next few forecast periods if confidence
in coverage increases.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 6 PM MDT Monday for WYZ101-
     102-108.
NE...Heat Advisory until 6 PM MDT Monday for NEZ002-095.
     Heat Advisory from noon today to 6 PM MDT Monday for NEZ003-
     019>021-096.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SF
LONG TERM...RUBIN
AVIATION...RV