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Helena Valley West Central, MT 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 5 Miles NNW Helena MT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
5 Miles NNW Helena MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Great Falls, MT |
| Updated: 10:03 am MDT Jul 20, 2025 |
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This
Afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
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Tonight
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Slight Chance
Showers
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Monday
Mostly Cloudy
then Chance
T-storms
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Monday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Slight Chance
Showers
|
Tuesday
Slight Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
|
Tuesday
Night
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Cloudy
|
Wednesday
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
|
Wednesday
Night
Mostly Clear
|
Thursday
Sunny
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| Hi 81 °F |
Lo 55 °F |
Hi 75 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 49 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
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This Afternoon
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Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. West wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
Tonight
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Monday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. North wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. |
Monday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. North northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Light west wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Light west southwest wind becoming west northwest 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 51. West northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 88. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 55. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 89. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 88. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 5 Miles NNW Helena MT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
284
FXUS65 KTFX 201653
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1053 AM MDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Aviation Section Updated.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few showers and thunderstorms today, mostly over the eastern
portions of the CWA.
- Scattered thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening, with a few
storms producing heavy rainfall over the eastern portions of the
CWA.
- After a cool day on Tuesday, turning warmer and drier by the end
of the work week.
&&
.UPDATE...
/Issued 911 AM MDT Sun Jul 20 2025/
Slight adjustments were made to precipitation chances over the
next 24 hours based on the latest NBM guidance. The main concern
in the short term will be thunderstorms that develop this
afternoon. As of now there are no significant concerns for severe
weather but wind gusts in the 40-50 mph range are possible. -thor
&&
.DISCUSSION...
/Issued 911 AM MDT Sun Jul 20 2025/
- Meteorological Overview:
A weak upper level disturbance will move eastward across the CWA
today. This disturbance will allow for a showers/thunderstorms to
affect the CWA, with the best chance over the eastern portions of
the CWA.
On Monday, an upper level trof will start to approach the CWA by
the late afternoon hours. This will allow for
showers/thunderstorms to develop over much of North Central MT by
the evening hours. On Monday evening, precipitable water goes over
1 inch over the eastern portions of the CWA, allowing for the
potential for a few storms to produce heavy rainfall. It remains
cool, with showers continuing on Tuesday.
For Wednesday through Sunday, expect a nice warming trend by late
in the work week, with warm temperatures continuing into next
weekend. There will be a few isolated showers/thunderstorms later
next week, but confidence right now is low in timing.
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
On Monday evening, with precipitable water over an inch, some
storms east of a line from Havre to Stanford could produce heavy
rainfall, with a quick inch of rainfall possible.
Later next week, drier air will start to work into the CWA. If any
thunderstorms do develop, they will have the potential to produce
strong wind gusts. Brusda
&&
.AVIATION...
20/18Z TAF Period.
VFR conditions will prevail through 06z Monday, with CIGS lowering
to MVFR at the KCTB and KGTF terminals through 15z Monday in wake
of a southward advancing cold front. Isolated to widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across
portions of Southwest and Central Montana, generally along and
southeast of a KHLN to KLWT line. These showers and storms are not
expected to reduce CIGS or VIS below VFR, but mountain top
obscuration and erratic winds are possible at or near the KLWT,
KBZN, and KEKS terminals. - Moldan
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 82 56 72 55 / 10 10 40 70
CTB 74 52 59 49 / 10 30 70 70
HLN 83 57 79 54 / 20 20 50 60
BZN 86 51 88 51 / 30 20 40 50
WYS 79 43 81 45 / 20 20 30 20
DLN 83 48 84 50 / 10 10 30 20
HVR 82 55 76 53 / 10 10 20 70
LWT 78 52 77 52 / 40 50 40 80
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
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