Belgrade, Montana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Belgrade MT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Belgrade MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Great Falls, MT |
Updated: 2:12 pm MDT Jul 20, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Tuesday
 Slight Chance Showers then Chance Showers
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Tuesday Night
 Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Wednesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Thursday
 Sunny
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Hi 86 °F |
Lo 50 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 49 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
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This Afternoon
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 50. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. |
Monday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 8 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. North northwest wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming west northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Tuesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers between noon and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming west northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 86. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 52. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 89. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 90. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 90. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Belgrade MT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
020
FXUS65 KTFX 202110
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
310 PM MDT Sun Jul 20 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- There is a marginal to slight risk for severe weather Monday
afternoon across portions of central Montana.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across central and
north-central Montana Monday through Wednesday.
- Warmer and drier conditions expected by the end of the work
week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
- Meteorological Overview:
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region
through the rest of the evening. For the most part these storms
will remain sub-severe, however, an isolated severe wind gust or
1-inch hail cannot be ruled out.
The upper level trough will reach Montana by Monday afternoon with
showers and thunderstorms becoming more widespread as the day
progresses. Afternoon thunderstorms may turn severe across
portions of central and north-central Montana, particularly around
Fergus county with the main threat being strong wind gusts and
large hail.
The trough will slowly make its way across the region through
Wednesday allowing for a period cooler and wetter conditions. In
the wake of the trough, transient ridging moves across the state
allowing for warmer temperatures to return through the weekend.
Conditions across the region will generally remain dry, however,
there is a chance for some isolated afternoon thunderstorm
activity particularly across southwest Montana.
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
Severe Weather Threat Monday:
There is a marginal risk for severe weather that encompasses much
of central and north-central Montana with a slight risk focused on
Fergus county. As of now, these regions aptly describe the
confidence in stronger thunderstorms. The main concern will be
discrete thunderstorms developing around the Judith Basin/Meagher
county area and tracking to the east into a more favorable
environment towards Fergus county. The impacts with any storm
that develops tomorrow will be strong winds and large hail. There
is a slight bit of hesitancy given that some of the other hi-res
models are not as aggressive as placing storms in the region
compared to others. But there is enough of a probability given the
decent forcing, moisture, and instability of the environment to
warrant some concerns for Monday afternoon.
Rainfall Monday-Wednesday:
Precipitation amounts have gone down across much of the region
with the exception of locations east of a line between Havre and
Stanford. The latest NBM probabilities have moved higher amounts
to the east but have still maintained a broad 40-60% chance of
most of central and north-central Montana receiving at least 0.25"
-thor
&&
.AVIATION...
20/18Z TAF Period.
VFR conditions will prevail through 06z Monday, with CIGS lowering
to MVFR at the KCTB and KGTF terminals through 15z Monday in wake
of a southward advancing cold front. Isolated to widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across
portions of Southwest and Central Montana, generally along and
southeast of a KHLN to KLWT line. These showers and storms are not
expected to reduce CIGS or VIS below VFR, but mountain top
obscuration and erratic winds are possible at or near the KLWT,
KBZN, and KEKS terminals. - Moldan
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 57 72 56 73 / 10 50 70 50
CTB 52 59 50 64 / 30 80 80 70
HLN 57 79 55 76 / 20 60 60 50
BZN 51 90 52 82 / 20 50 40 60
WYS 43 81 45 77 / 20 30 20 30
DLN 49 85 49 78 / 10 40 20 40
HVR 56 77 54 72 / 20 40 80 60
LWT 52 76 51 71 / 30 50 90 70
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
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