Raytown, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Raytown MO
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Raytown MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO |
Updated: 5:43 am CDT Aug 10, 2025 |
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Today
 Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 T-storms
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Monday
 Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers
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Wednesday
 Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Thursday
 Mostly Sunny
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Hi 89 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
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Flood Watch
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 97. East southeast wind 11 to 14 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Tonight
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Low around 70. South southeast wind around 8 mph becoming north northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. |
Monday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Monday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday Night
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A slight chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 70. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 72. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 91. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 74. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 92. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Raytown MO.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
916
FXUS63 KEAX 101131
AFDEAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
631 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Showers and thunderstorms early this morning. Main hazards are
damaging winds, locally heavy rainfall, and flooding.
- Another round of showers and thunderstorms are likely tonight
into Monday morning. Locally heavy rainfall and flooding will
be possible once again.
- Rain chances continue through Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 325 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025
A mature MCS with a well-defined bowing segment is marching
eastward through northeast Kansas, riding along a stationary
front oriented SW to NE from central Kansas towards the MN River
Valley. The favorability of the environment for this complex to
sustain through northwest Missouri in the short term (1-3
hours) seems to be diminishing, though with 3000-4000 J/kg of
MUCAPE, PW values in excess of 2", and 25-35 kts of bulk shear
there is still a chance for some isolated damaging wind gusts up
to 50-65 mph if updrafts can get deeply rooted. The more
notable concern for this morning MCS is heavy rainfall and
flooding, with efficient rainfall rates 1-3" being observed with
the leading line of this segment.
PoPs decrease through the morning as the MCS marches east and
coverage begins decreasing, before another round of rainfall is
expected with another convective complex this evening and
overnight into Monday morning. The front will slowly nudge
further and further south, acting as a focal point for
additional rainfall in another thermodynamically rich
environment.
However, certainty and predictability in how this evening and
overnight round plays out is quite low. There are several
mesoscale factors that could make or break how this evening
unfolds, so the next 12 hours will determine when/if and where
the next system develops, and how intense it can get. Model
guidance is all over the place, but overall consensus from the
more reliable CAMs push the front and theta-e gradient further
south. This moves the best chances for most robust convective
development further south, especially south of I-70. For this
reason, the Flood Watch has been expanded in area to include the
remainder of the forecast area. HREF LPMMs suggest another
localized 2-4" could be possible in spots overnight, leading to
additional flooding concerns.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 625 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025
Storms are slowly approaching the terminals early this morning,
with main impacts to be seen through around 15z. Main threat
will be lightning and reduced visibility from heavier rainfall.
Storms should move east of the TAF sites and/or diminish after
15z, with VFR conditions expected and winds returning to a
southerly direction around 10 kt during the afternoon. Expect
frequent amendments to the TAFs this morning based on the
somewhat chaotic nature of the storms moving into/through the
terminals.
For the KC terminals, winds are expected to become more
variable this evening and tonight, with another round of storms
possible late in the night. For STJ, winds are expected to
switch to a north or northeast direction this evening and
tonight, with potential for lower ceilings and visibility by
daybreak Monday. In addition, there is a chance of storms this
afternoon and evening; however, better chances are to the south
and east of the terminals. Probabilities are too low for TAF
mention of this potential at this time.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through Monday morning for MOZ001>008-011>017-
020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.
KS...Flood Watch through Monday morning for KSZ025-057-060-102>105.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Camden/SGF
AVIATION...CMS
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