Tupelo, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS
Issued by: National Weather Service Memphis, TN |
Updated: 5:41 pm CDT Jun 6, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms then Chance Showers
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Saturday
 Chance Showers then Heavy Rain
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Saturday Night
 T-storms
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Sunday
 Showers Likely
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Sunday Night
 Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers
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Monday
 Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance Showers
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Tuesday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Lo 73 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
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Tonight
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4am and 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 4pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 67. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Monday
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A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Tuesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Wednesday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. |
Thursday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
137
FXUS64 KMEG 061928
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
228 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 227 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
- An active weather pattern will continue through the weekend.
The primary concerns will be damaging winds, large hail, and
heavy rainfall.
- Daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue into next
week.
- Temperatures will generally remain near normal this weekend
through next week with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in
the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
200 PM radar imagery depicts numerous thunderstorms firing across
the Mid-South, mainly confined to areas in west Tennessee.
Additional activity will form over the next several hours,
interacting with plentiful CAPE and bulk shear on the order of 35
kts. The main missing ingredient for today`s storms are
appreciable midlevel lapse rates. SPC Mesoanalysis suggests lapse
rates will begin falling below 6.0 C/km within the next hour or
so. This will greatly limit upscale storm growth, with damaging
winds remaining the primary concern. A secondary threat of large
hail will occur with any developing storms. However, the hail
threat will quickly subside as storms encounter less than ideal
lapse rates.
A rinse and repeat forecast is anticipated for Saturday with
severe storms once again plaguing the Mid-South. Shortly after
sunrise, a complex of decaying storms will approach the
Mississippi River. This activity will struggle to maintain any
severe strength due to lingering CIN. However, environmental
parameters become more favorable in the afternoon as SBCAPE rises
above 2500 J/kg in north Mississippi. In addition, midlevel lapse
rates will improve to around 6.5 C/km with bulk shear nearing 40
kts. The latest HREF depicts vigorous redevelopment of storms over
north Mississippi Saturday afternoon. These storms will pose a
risk of damaging winds and large hail. Due to increasing
confidence in severe storm impacts Saturday afternoon, the Storm
Prediction Center has upgraded portions of north Mississippi to an
Enhanced Risk (3/5). Storms will exit the area Saturday night,
with a few lingering rumbles of thunder possible through early
Sunday morning.
Slightly cooler temperatures are anticipated on Sunday as a weak
front pushes into north Mississippi before washing out. Relief
from the heat and humidity will be short lived as southerly winds
return on Monday. This stormy pattern will continue throughout
next week as an upper level low forms over Texas and pushes into
the Mid-South. Severe chances remain low next week, but cannot
rule out a marginally severe storm or two given plentiful CAPE this
time of year.
ANS
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
KNQA radar showed an eastward-moving convectively-generated low
pressure system north of LIT. This feature will likely aid
SHRA/TSRA development this afternoon. After this feature passes
and daytime heating weakens, the lower atmosphere should stabilize.
VFR and light winds are expected for the late evening MEM inbound
push.
Next round of TSRA will arrive around 12Z Saturday. This system
should be fairly progressive, developing a potential for strong
winds at TUP later in the morning. General TSRA expected to
develop over the Midsouth Saturday afternoon as the atmosphere
remains warm and quite humid.
PWB
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...PWB
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