Starkville, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

624
FXUS64 KJAN 180310 AAB
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1010 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 1010 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Unlike the past few nights, modest to strong southerly low level
flow is persisting this evening, which will promote the
development of stratus mainly over the western half of the area
overnight. There could also be some patchy fog in south MS around
daybreak. Given this, it won`t be as cool as recent nights, but
temps will dip lowest in east MS where low clouds are less likely
to disrupt outgoing radiation. The current near term forecast
appears to be on track, and no major adjustments are planned.
/DL/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 310 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Tonight through Friday: A southerly flow pattern will continue
through the near term with a strong upper level ridge over our
region and surface high pressure centered to our east. This will
promote well-mixed and warmer conditions with highs Friday
afternoon approaching 90 F. Gradient winds appear they will be
strong enough in the Delta region for a limited wind threat, and
have included this in the hazard graphics for mainly late
morning/afternoon. /EC/

Saturday through Thursday: The period will begin with an upper-
level ridge across the southeastern states. Conditions will remain
dry as the main focus for the beginning of the period will
continue to be the potential for 90 degree temps for some spots
across the area as well as some gusty gradient winds. As we go
through the weekend, southwesterly flow aloft will allow for ample
moisture recovery. Cloud cover will increase ahead of the
approaching frontal boundary to our northwest. The boundary will
stall and linger to our northwest as we remain under the influence
of the upper-level ridging.

It`s not until an upper-level trough across the high plains
swings east Sunday that the front begins to move southward into
our area. Chances for showers and thunderstorms should hold off
until Sunday night into Monday with the possibility that some
storms may be strong to severe over northwest portions of the
area. We will maintain the "slight" risk for severe weather in the
HWO, however uncertainty remains given that the ridge will
deflect favorable height falls and ascent to our north, making it
tougher for intense storms to impact the forecast area. With a
weak environment, the timing will be crucial for this system`s
severe potential. Transitioning into next week, the forecast is
very uncertain as model consensus breaks down even further, but it
looks to be a wetter period with rain chances persisting
throughout, and we will be monitoring for storm potential as there
will likely be an opportunity for stronger storms to develop at
some point during the mid week. /KP/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

VFR conditions prevail across the region early this evening.
Overnight, low clouds will spread across the western part of the
area, potentially bringing MVFR conditions to sites from GWO to
JAN/HKS west. Additionally, brief fog resulting in MVFR
visibility is possible at HBG/PIB. Lower categories cannot be
ruled out but confidence was not high enough to include in TAF.
Southerly winds will be gusty at times, mainly during the daytime
Friday. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       61  88  66  87 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      56  88  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     66  88  67  87 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   58  88  65  87 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       64  86  67  85 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    66  86  68  86 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     64  87  68  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

DL/EC/KP