Rosemount, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

315
FXUS63 KMPX 150759
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
259 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Clearing today and staying cooler, then warming trend
  Weds/Thurs.

- Showers and a few storms likely Thursday/Thursday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025

Some stubborn light rain and a few snowflakes continue to fall
across western Wisconsin and far eastern Minnesota this morning.
This activity is in response to a remnant shortwave trough on
the back end of larger scale troughing settling in over the
Great Lakes. Once this associated vort max passes through around
sunrise, gradual clearing from west to east will ensue through
the morning, reaching into western/central Wisconsin by this
afternoon and evening. Despite the clearing skies, gusty
northwest winds will keep temperatures on the cooler side with
highs in the lower/middle 50s.

Surface ridging will settle in overnight followed by return
southerly flow Wednesday and Thursday. This will push
temperatures back above normal for both days, possibly reaching
the lower 70s especially across southern and western Minnesota.
A cold front will then track across the area Thursday evening,
likely accompanied by rain and a few thunderstorms. Can`t rule
out a few elevated stronger storms which could produce some
hail, mostly across southern MN, but the higher threat for
strong/severe storms will be further south across Iowa where
better surface-based instability will reside. Drying but cooler
weather will settle in for Friday and Saturday before a deep
closed low tracks south of the area into the Central
Plains/Midwest Sunday night and Monday. If this were a month or
two earlier we`d be watching for a potential significant
snowstorm with this system, but being late April it should be
warm enough for just a cold, blustery rain. While a few recent
runs of the GFS do suggest precipitation type could become an
issue, this is generally unsupported by its ensemble suite or
any other global model. Will still be worth keeping an eye on
though.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025

Areas of light rain/drizzle generally pushing east of MSP,
mostly affecting western Wisconsin for the next few hours where
a few flakes may also be mixed in. Otherwise a wide swath of
MVFR stratus lingers behind this precip across the eastern two-
thirds of MN. This moisture has been slower to clear out than
models indicate, so will hang on to MVFR/VFR for several more
hours before gradually scattering and clearing from west to east
later this morning and into the early afternoon. Steady
northwest winds will remain gusty as high as 25-35 kts through
the day before relaxing by early evening.

KMSP...Rain generally tapering off, with occasional MVFR for
much of the overnight. Clouds will scatter and lift to VFR
toward daybreak then clear out completely by afternoon. NW winds
will remain gusty through the day, eventually dying down and
becoming northerly after sunset, then ESEerly overnight.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
WED...VFR. Wind SE 5-15kts.
THU...VFR, chc SHRA. TSRA/MVFR possible late. Wind SE 10-20kts.
FRI...MVFR, slgt chc SHRA. Wind NW 10-20kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DPH
AVIATION...DPH