Monroe, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

648
FXUS64 KSHV 141912
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
212 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Elevated cloud cover is already beginning to move into the region
from the southwest according to visible satellite imagery. Clouds
will continue to spread and cover most of the region overnight
tonight. That, in combination with the still elevated winds, will
help keep things warm tonight. Most areas will likely see low
temperatures around or above 70.

With the cloud cover and elevated winds that will persist into
Wednesday, afternoon highs should be a tad lower than we observed
today. Temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s will be possible
during the early afternoon hours. There is still the expectation
that a weak frontal boundary will become quasi-stationary in the
vicinity of the Ouachita mountains. There is a decent amount of
moisture expected along and ahead of this front, creating a good
environment for shower development if there is enough forcing
present to initiate anything. Due to the somewhat favorable
environment, SPC has outlined a marginal risk of severe
thunderstorm development in areas along and north of the I-30
corridor for Thursday. The potential for showers will likely
continue into the overnight hours along with a brief decreasing in
winds. /57/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Winds will likely ramp up in intensity again on Friday along with
spotty rain chances in NE Texas, SE Oklahoma, and SW Arkansas
from a disturbed upper-level pattern. A more defined cold front
will impact the area Saturday, as a low pressure system moves
through the Great Lake region. This cold front could spread the
rain chances as far south as the I-20 corridor. Some scattered
thunder will be a possibility as well. At this point in time, SPC
has not outlooked any part of the area for severe weather on
Saturday, mainly because of the uncertainty on the location of the
front. Despite this, severe potential can`t be ruled out due to
the expected shear profile and instability in the area.

SW flow associated with the amplifying ridge aloft will help keep
temperatures warm through the end of the period. Clouds may
briefly clear Monday afternoon, but will return during the middle
of the work week. The next thing to keep an eye on will be the
deepening low that long-range guidance is suggesting will be
building in the western US on Tuesday, which could bring impacts
to the Ark-La-Tx late next week. /57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

For the 14/18Z TAFs, elevated gusty winds will continue through
the afternoon and early evening, before beginning to drop off
after sundown. As a region of very strong winds aloft passes
overhead, continued wind shear impacts will be possible,
particularly at KMLU. Gusts of up to 30 kts will be possible, with
sustained speeds of 5 to 15 kts continuing through the night.
Mostly clear skies will give way to increasing clouds overnight
from the southwest. These will largely be high clouds at VFR
levels, but periods of MVFR CIGs are possible at KLFK just before
dawn.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 410 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  73  93  76  93 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  71  93  75  92 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  69  88  70  88 /  10  10  20  20
TXK  72  92  74  92 /  10  10  10  20
ELD  70  91  72  91 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  73  91  75  91 /   0  10  10  10
GGG  71  91  74  91 /   0   0  10  10
LFK  71  94  75  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57
LONG TERM....57
AVIATION...26