Luling, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

152
FXUS64 KLIX 240940
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
340 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 247 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

We haven`t seen any strong WAA or MAA yet but today will be a
different story as southerly flow will quickly change the
environment with warmer temps and dew pts. The only real weather
feature to look for here is fog with a radiative component and not
enough variables are lining up for production. The moisture variable
is there but the thing bringing the moisture...wind is not. So we
will need to keep only patchy fog wording for those areas most
likely to see it for tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 247 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

This moisture loading will occur ahead of the next cold front that
should move in very rapidly Tue and stall in the nearshore waters
before quickly moving back north as a warm front Tue night due to
the tug of the west coast upper trough becoming progressive. The low
level forcing is very strong with the Tue front but the upper level
support is definitely not there and even weakens further as the
front closes in. This should bring only a line of showers to the
area with the faint possiblity of a crack of thunder somewhere. The
next front to visity looks to do so by Thu. This front also has
plenty of sfc forcing. The mid and upper levels do not look
supportive for severe storms but upper winds are oriented across the
frontal boundary to support layer lifting. If this were a slower
front, this would be a classic overunning event. At the moment,
solutions are centered around this front clearing the area with some
cloudiness and light showers left for the day and possibly night
Thu. Strong high pressure will then take over for the weekend with
cool temps, dry air and sunny skies. This is the general idea for
now anyway.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 247 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

A few terminals may see MIFG conditions with layered fog moving out
of marsh areas but this should not have a great impact to runways
this morning. VFR conditions thorugh the daylight hours and winds
should hold up enough to keep fog to a minimum tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 247 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

A sfc high will move east of the area today bringing return flow
back to all marine areas. Winds should remain in the 10-15kt range
by the start of the week as a new cold front moves closer to the
area. This front is expected to rapidly move into the northern gulf
waters before stalling adn may stay around the nearshore waters Tue.
This will bring a temporary wind shift from SE to N early Tue before
the front moves back north Tue night. These winds are expected to be
very light around 10kt as forcing become less with time as this
front stalls. The next front is expected around Thu which should
clear the northern gulf with much stronger northerly winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  73  56  77  55 /   0   0   0  50
BTR  79  60  82  61 /   0   0   0  40
ASD  75  58  80  61 /   0   0   0  20
MSY  76  62  80  64 /   0   0   0  20
GPT  72  61  77  63 /   0   0   0  20
PQL  77  58  82  63 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE