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Somerset, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Somerset KY
National Weather Service Forecast for: Somerset KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Jackson, KY
Updated: 10:41 am EST Feb 12, 2026
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Partly Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 26. Calm wind.
Gradual
Clearing
Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind.
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 30. Calm wind.
Increasing
Clouds
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Light south wind.
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Rain Likely
Sunday

Sunday: Rain.  High near 54. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Rain
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Slight Chance
Rain
Washington's
Birthday
Washington's Birthday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Mostly Sunny
Hi 48 °F Lo 26 °F Hi 53 °F Lo 30 °F Hi 58 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 59 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Tonight
 
Mostly cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 26. Calm wind.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind.
Friday Night
 
Increasing clouds, with a low around 30. Calm wind.
Saturday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Light south wind.
Saturday Night
 
Rain likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
 
Rain. High near 54. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of rain before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Washington's Birthday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Monday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Tuesday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Breezy.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Somerset KY.

Weather Forecast Discussion
538
FXUS63 KJKL 121544
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1044 AM EST Thu Feb 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonable temperatures will last into the weekend, with milder
  readings then returning early next week.

- There is a potential for a soaking rain during the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1044 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026

Updated the forecast with the latest observational and model data
from around the area. Upstream clouds over IN, IL, and western KY
continue to work into the area, and should lead to a fair amount
of clouds this afternoon.

UPDATE Issued at 710 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026

Have updated sky condition to go with no clouds to start the day
per satellite obs. Upstream clouds over IN, IL, and western KY
will arrive during the day and should lead to a fair amount of
clouds this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 312 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026

Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today
will slowly shift to the central Appalachians by Friday.
Meanwhile, northwest flow aloft will persist over our area, with
only minor waves embedded. The regime will bring continued dry
weather with only some variations in sky cover due to the
mid/upper level waves. With cold air advection easing, sunshine
will begin to bring warmer temperatures on Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 344 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026

The forecast period begins with surface high pressure anchored
beneath upper-level ridging. However, through Friday night and early
Saturday, the ridge axis will shift eastward as an upper-level
trough and associated surface low eject out of the Desert Southwest
toward the Commonwealth. Ahead of this system, Saturday will remain
dry and mild, with high temperatures reaching the mid 50s to lower
60s.

This warmth will be short-lived as the surface wave approaches by
Saturday evening. The low is forecast to track into the Ozarks while
its associated warm front lifts into the Tennessee Valley. This
synoptic setup will lead to increasing PoPs Saturday evening, with
chances ramping up overnight as the system moves through the deep
South. This track keeps the region well within the precipitation
shield. Forecast soundings during the system passage indicate high
PW values, deep-layer moisture, and a tall, skinny CAPE profile,
suggesting efficient rainfall processes. Consequently, QPF values
have trended upward by about half an inch compared to previous
forecasts. New totals are expected to range from 0.75 inches along
the Bluegrass and I-64 corridor to nearly 1.25 inches across the
Cumberland Basin and Plateau. Given these totals and recent
snowmelt, rises on local streams and rivers are likely.

Showers will persist through much of Sunday before the system exits
to the east by Monday morning. Surface high pressure will then build
back into the region, remaining the dominant feature through early
next week. By Wednesday, a passing shortwave in central Canada will
drag a cold front through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley,
bringing renewed rain chances through the end of the period. Ahead
of this front, the region will reside in the warm sector with a
strengthening LLJ. LREF probabilities indicate a 50 to 60 percent
chance of wind gusts exceeding 30 mph on Wednesday.

Overall, the period remains active with multiple disturbances
expected. The first system may pose hydrologic concerns due to heavy
rainfall. After a brief cool-down on Sunday, a warming trend will
push highs into the 60s by Wednesday. Overnight lows will follow a
similar trajectory, rising from the mid 20s this weekend to the
lower 50s by Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
ISSUED AT 710 AM EST THU FEB 12 2026

Aside from some very localized fog, mainly in the Cumberland
basin, conditions were VFR to start the period. The fog will
dissipate this morning, and VFR should prevail from then on. Some
mid level ceilings are expected in the afternoon into the
evening.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...GINNICK
SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...VORST
AVIATION...HAL
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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