Somerset, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

042
FXUS63 KJKL 281451
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
951 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A cold and dry airmass will settle into the region into
  Saturday.

- A light round of precip, mainly rain, is expected Saturday night
  into Sunday.

- A more significant precip event may come Monday night and
  Tuesday, with a little bit better potential for wintery precip.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 951 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

The morning surface analysis shows high pressure pressing east to
the Ohio Valley. This along with passing cold front has provided
solid northwest flow across the area. There are some weak returns
across the far east toward Martin and Pike Counties this morning
and given the COOP in Inez reported flurries added this to the
forecast for the far east. Also, blended sky cover toward NBM and
HRRR which seem to have a bit better handle on the low clouds in
the far southeast areas this morning.

UPDATE Issued at 800 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

Radar shows that a few flurries may be continuing to skirt the
northeast edge of the area early this morning. Latest obs/trends
have been blended into the forecast without any significant
changes.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 744 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

Surface high pressure is building toward the area from the west
early this morning as an upper trough over the eastern CONUS
departs to the east and flow becomes more zonal. The high will
pass over tonight and slip to our east on Saturday, providing a
couple more days of quiet weather. Today will be chilly once again
as cold air advection persists before the high arrives. Light
winds under the high and nothing more than high clouds will allow
for our coldest temperatures tonight. All areas except the mildest
ridges are expected to drop into the teens. A return of warm air
advection and at least some limited sun will give modestly warmer
temps for Saturday. The approach of the next weather system will
give us an increase in clouds, especially late in the day, but any
precip is likely to hold off until the long term period.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 744 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

A shortwave trough aloft currently over the northern Rockies will
dive quickly southeast to the central plains on Saturday. It will
pick up a lee surface low over CO and the combo will move quickly
east northeast over the Midwest. Warm air advection and its lift
will probably bring precipitation to our area Saturday night into
Sunday. Some of this could come as snow before the column warms up
enough for all rain. However, precip amounts should remain light
and temperatures above freezing, so no problems are expected.

High pressure begins to build in from the northwest behind the
system`s cold front on Sunday, shutting down our short-lived
warm-up and bringing a return of dry conditions. However, the dry
weather looks to be brief.

Another upper level wave will drop southeast over the western
CONUS during the weekend and then head east. It will prompt
surface low development which is expected to track across the Deep
South Monday night and then turn up the East Coast on Tuesday. The
relatively large system will throw moisture northward over our
cooler air, likely bringing another round of precip. With a
southerly track, we will remain in colder air and will have a
stronger threat of wintery precip, especially in our northern
counties. At this point it looks like a nuisance type system, but
at that time range, changes to the outlook will probably occur.
Once it passes, dry weather looks to finish out the long term
period on Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
ISSUED AT 658 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period. west winds of 5-10
kts will diminish this evening.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DJ
SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...HAL
AVIATION...HAL