Madisonville, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

287
FXUS63 KPAH 040512
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1112 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Brief warm-up on Wednesday before another cold blast moves in for
  the end of the work week.

- Warmer temperatures return this weekend and into early next week.

- Rain chances return to the region Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 134 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Surface high pressure parked overhead today will depart to our
southeast on Wednesday. Clouds have been slow to clear the east half
of the area today, with 1 PM temperatures remaining in the 20s for
those areas. Another frigid night is in store tonight, with lows
likely occurring this evening or early overnight. Southerly winds
pick up overnight, which should lead to rising temperatures late in
the night. While most guidance keeps us dry, the NAM continues to
hint at enough low level lift and moisture present to squeeze out
some very light QPF in the 08-12z window across our northern
counties. Decided to keep PoPs silent, but add in the patchy
freezing drizzle mention for this possibility.

An upper level disturbance will sweep across the Great Lakes on
Wednesday, which will lead to a cold front sinking southeast across
the Ohio Valley Wednesday night. While the main zone of
precipitation looks to remain northeast of our cwa, a small chance
for rain or snow may briefly sneak into our far eastern counties
during the evening or overnight. It will also be rather breezy
on Wednesday with wind gusts of at least 20 to 25 mph out of the
southwest.

Colder air funnels back into the region Thursday into Friday as a
surface high moves across the region. Most locations likely will
remain below freezing for highs on Thursday and only in the 30s on
Friday. Southerly flow begins to return by Saturday which should
help boost us into the 40s to near 50.

Late in the weekend southwest flow will develop with an upper
disturbance moving across the Ohio Valley into Monday. Moisture
surges across the region later Sunday through Monday. QPF amounts
remain somewhat in question, but a healthy amount is possible.
Current WPC guidance produces a swath of 1 to 2 inches along and
south of the Ohio River.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1112 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

An area stratus around 5kft has developed and should spread
east across the terminals this morning. Southwesterly flow will
ramp up ahead of a cold front in the morning between 5-15 kts
with gusts as high as 25 kts. The front will pass through this
evening veering winds toward the northwest. Increasing flow just
off the deck will lead to some LLWS this morning.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...AD