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Elkhart, Indiana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Elkhart IN
National Weather Service Forecast for: Elkhart IN
Issued by: National Weather Service Northern Indiana
Updated: 1:31 am EDT Jul 3, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.
Mostly Clear

Thursday

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 89. Light west wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Sunny then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 68. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Independence
Day
Independence Day: Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Hot

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Clear

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Hot

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Mostly Clear

Sunday

Sunday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Chance
T-storms
Lo 65 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 68 °F

 

Overnight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 89. Light west wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Thursday Night
 
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Independence Day
 
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Sunday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90.
Sunday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Monday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Monday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Tuesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Elkhart IN.

Weather Forecast Discussion
957
FXUS63 KIWX 030528
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
128 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight chance (10-20%) for a stray shower or storm Thursday
  afternoon.

- Hot and humid Friday into this weekend.

- More appreciable rain and storm chances (40-50%) return Sunday
  into Monday.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

A mid level impulse tracking east-southeast through the central
Great Lakes will force a subtle (lake breeze enhanced) sfc trough
into areas mainly along/north of US 30 late this afternoon into this
evening. This feature may be enough to generate a stray shower or
two as cooling aloft potentially breaks cap in place, but nothing
more given the weak forcing and overall dearth of moisture and
instability.

Thursday will feature slight warmer conditions as heights rebound
aloft in wake of this evening`s shortwave. Boundary layer
moisture/instability will also see a bit of an uptick near a
boundary leftover across the Upper Midwest southeast into the lower
Great Lakes. An isolated shower or storm could focus near this
boundary and/or lake breeze during peak heating with PoPs limited in
the 10-20% range given an overall lack of flow/shear/forcing, along
with a tendency for dewpoints to mix out more than modeled for
lesser MLCAPE magnitudes locally.

A warmer, more humid air mass does become better established into
Friday and Saturday as an Intermountain West upper ridge folds east
into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Friday is the transition day
with high temps and PM heat indices dependent on any lingering
convective cloud debris or outflow on the leading edge of the capped
heat dome. Continued to cap PoPs at 10% (silent) with NBM`s highs
near 90 reasonable for now. Higher confidence in Saturday being the
warmest day with PM heat indices in the mid 90s to near 100F under a
mostly sunny sky as low levels moisten within increasing southwest
flow.

Guidance does continue to flatten the ridge into Sunday and Monday
allowing an frontal boundary to drop into the vicinity with
chances for scattered convection.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 123 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through this TAF period. Light and
mainly variable winds overnight periods but light diurnal winds
become north-northwesterly during the day. Diurnal cumulus also
will develop aoa 5 kft during the daytime. A low confidence for
an isolated shower/thunderstorm especially for KSBN after 18z
Thu but have opted to leave out of TAF forecast with the large
uncertainty with the mainly pop-up scenario in place.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...Andersen
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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