Augusta-Richmond, Georgia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

735
FXUS62 KFFC 232358
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
758 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 152 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

Key Messages:

 - Cool and dry airmass settles in today.

 - Shower and thunderstorm activity returns Saturday.

A pleasant Friday across northern and central Georgia, especially
for late May standards, thanks to a cool and dry frontal boundary
pushing through the area and high pressure sitting over the
Tennessee Valley. While an isolated shower cannot be ruled out
this afternoon along the boundary, most areas will be rain free
under mostly sunny skies and breezy northerly winds. High
temperatures will climb into the upper 70s across northern GA,
with low to mid 80s across central GA.

Late tonight into early Saturday morning, increasing cloud cover
and isolated to scattered showers will start to push into NW GA.
These will develop along an axis of moisture convergence setting
up out ahead of a mid-level shortwave quickly dropping across the
Mississippi Valley. Shower activity will be confined to N/NW GA
for the morning and into the afternoon hours, with a few
thunderstorms possible. High temperatures will range
significantly across the area, with far northern GA only reaching
the low to mid 70s under mostly cloudy skies, and central GA
reaching the mid to upper 80s under mostly clear skies. By early
Saturday evening, the aforementioned shortwave will start to push
into the state from the NW, and could lead to an uptick in
shower/storm activity as it moves through the state the rest pf
the evening and into the overnight hours. A few storms could
become strong with gusty winds during this time, but the
potential for severe storms is low given the weak instability in
place.

Culver

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 152 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

Key Messages:

    - An unsettled forecast with elevated rain chances will linger
      across the area through the long-term forecast period.

    - A CAD wedge will provide cooler temperatures to north Georgia
      during the early week.

    - Locally heavy rainfall is possible given abundant moisture.

The bulk of the long term forecast will bring increased rain chances
and generally unsettled weather. The CWA will begin transitioning
out of northwest flow aloft at the start of the forecast period
Sunday. PoPs will remain elevated on Sunday, maximized across north
Georgia with more scattered coverage farther south. Forecast SBCAPE
1000-1500 J/kg will support thunderstorms, though generally
unimpressive shear will limit the overall severe threat. Still, the
environment could manifest at least an isolated severe threat,
particularly if any MCS approaches, weakens, and leaves remnant
outflow boundaries to provide impetus for afternoon convective
development.

By Monday into Tuesday, a CAD wedge looks to build into north
Georgia, though CAD intensity remains a bit of a question mark at
this juncture. In any case, temperatures should be noticeably cooler
across north Georgia under the influence of this wedge with hotter
temperatures relegated farther southward into Middle Georgia. Waves
of showers and thunderstorms are expected through at least midweek
as intermittent upper disturbances progress eastward across the area
amid an environment characterized by above-normal moisture with
PWATs on the order of 1.5 to 2" through the week. Locally heavy
rainfall will be possible within daily convection which could lead
to isolated flash flooding concerns, though widespread flooding
issues are not currently anticipated.

RW

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 736 PM EDT Fri May 23 2025

Winds speeds should start to diminish after the sun goes down this
evening and westerly winds should turn NE by 07z. Expecting high
level cirrus to stick around through the overnight before showers
enter NW GA. These showers should stay NW of any of the TAF sites
but do have BKN150 pushing down into the area ~12z. Tomorrow
evening there is a chance to see a cluster of -TSRA push into the
metro TAF sites. The timing is currently from 00z-04z but could
see a shift either an hour earlier or an hour later.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium to high on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          56  77  60  83 /   0  20  40  50
Atlanta         61  81  65  86 /   0  30  40  50
Blairsville     48  69  55  74 /  10  40  50  80
Cartersville    55  76  60  84 /  10  40  50  70
Columbus        65  91  68  92 /   0  10  20  30
Gainesville     56  75  60  80 /  10  30  40  60
Macon           62  89  66  92 /   0  10  20  40
Rome            55  76  60  81 /  20  50  60  70
Peachtree City  59  84  63  88 /   0  20  40  50
Vidalia         66  90  69  93 /   0  10  10  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...Hernandez