Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

123
FXUS62 KTBW 112351
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
751 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cautionary-level marine winds evening and overnight through the
  remainder of the weekend.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 750 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

No changes planned for the evening update. High pressure remains
in control locally, with continued easterly sfc/low-level flow and
subsidence aloft promoting generally stable and dry conditions
with diurnally driven fair weather cumulus clouds diminishing
through the evening.

A plume of smoke and related haze is currently drifting offshore
coastal Manatee and Sarasota counties this evening after being
advected westward across the area from a prescribed burn earlier
today in NE Highlands County.

Mostly clear skies expected overnight with overnight lows again in
the mid 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-SUN)...
Issued at 100 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees
across the peninsula. All sponsored by high pressure building over
the region pushing lower dewpoints and keeping rain free conditions
in place. This will continue to support breezy easterly winds
through the weekend. Meanwhile, dry airmass remains in place with PWs
from this morning`s sounding well below an inch. As a result, rain
has left the forecast for a while. Clear skies and enough surface
moisture available could support night to morning low clouds and
patchy fog. Overnight lows drop into the low to mid 60 with areas
along the Nature Coast in the upper 50s.

Afternoon temperatures today will max to the mid 80s along the coast
with areas over the interior barely reaching the low 80s. Copy and
paste weather conditions into Sunday, except temperature along the
coast climbing up into the upper 80s and low to mid 80s inland.

&&

.LONG TERM (MON-FRI)...
Issued at 100 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

During the long term, area of high pressure remains with very warm
and dry conditions in place.  No rain appears in the forecast
through the period contributing tot the already impactful drought.
Above normal temperature expected as highs gradually increasing into
the 90s by midweek, so definitely get to the beach. Winds should
diminish towards the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Dry VFR through the period. Early evening TEMPO MVFR vsby for HZ
at SRQ stemming from FU advecting west across the terminal should
improve in short order as remnants disperse. Otherwise, easterly
flow continues through the period, generally below 10 knots
overnight, increasing to 10-15 knots late morning through
afternoon and early evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 100 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Area of high pressure will hold over the waters for the next
several days. The gradient will weaken a bit today allowing winds
to subside below advisory levels, however, small craft should
exercise caution as winds remain elevated through the weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 100 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

High pressure remains over the area through the period across fire
districts. Breezy winds prevail through the weekend. Drier airmass
keeps minimum humidity values close to critical along the Nature
Coast by next week. A gradual warm up in temps is anticipated
expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  64  86  64  87 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  86  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  61  84  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  63  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  56  87  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  69  86  69  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Hurt
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Close