Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

815
FXUS62 KTBW 141831
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
231 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 219 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue through
  the next week.

- Onshore flow will continue through the first half of the week,
  keeping the highest storm chances over inland areas each day,
  mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
The surface ridge axis will remain over south Florida through the
first part of the week, keeping a mainly westerly flow in place
across the local area. This will continue to bring in deep moisture
and scattered showers over the Gulf and coastal regions in the
morning that then move inland for the afternoon and evening. A weak
frontal boundary will stall north of the area for late Tuesday into
Wednesday, increasing rain chances somewhat for the Nature Coast,
but rain chances will actually decrease some for the rest of the
forecast area as some relatively drier air moves in.

For the rest of the week, the ridge axis will shift northward
slightly, allowing winds to become more southeast/south for our
southern zones, south for our central zones, and southwest for the
northern zones, with scattered storms developing each day with the
sea breeze. A front then approaches Friday night and starts to push
southward on Saturday before stalling/washing out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 219 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
Best storm chances through the rest of the day are for KLAL, though
chances are fairly low. For tomorrow, some stray showers will be
near the coast in the morning, then activity will shift
eastward through the rest of the day.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
High pressure will hold south of the waters through Wednesday,
keeping mainly westerly and southwesterly flow in place. As the
ridge starts to lift north Wednesday night and Thursday, winds will
become more southerly. Winds and seas will generally remain less
than headline criteria, although occasional thunderstorms could
bring locally higher winds each day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 219 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
No fire weather concerns over the next several days as relative
humidity values remain above critical levels. West to southwest flow
will continue, with the best rain chances over the interior.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  91  81  91 /   0  20   0  30
FMY  78  91  79  92 /  10  20   0  10
GIF  76  94  76  94 /  10  20  10  40
SRQ  80  91  80  91 /   0  20   0  20
BKV  78  92  78  92 /  10  20   0  30
SPG  81  91  81  91 /   0  20  10  20

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Carlisle