Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

298
FXUS62 KTBW 150148
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
848 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers move through the region overnight. The probability of
  thunderstorms is low.

- Hazardous to dangerous marine conditions begin late tonight and
  last through Friday morning. Inexperienced mariners should
  remain in harbor until conditions improve.

- A prolonged and significant cooldown begins tomorrow. Friday
  morning will be the coldest, but another front moving through on
  Sunday will push temperatures to be almost as cold to kick off
  the beginning of next week as well. Protect sensitive vegetation
  and exposed outdoor pipes, dress appropriately, and know the
  signs of hypothermia.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 848 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

The atmosphere continues to moisten this evening, and a couple of
locations have finally reported light rain from the band currently
in place across the Tampa Bay area. Another larger round of
showers is expected to move across the area overnight as more of
the pre-frontal energy enhances coverage. The cold front moves
through the area early Thursday, with the upper trough moving
through Thursday afternoon allowing clouds to clear and the very
dry air behind the front to settle into the area. There will also
be a very tight pressure gradient in place causing strong gusty
winds and ushering in much colder air. Friday morning lows will
be quite cold with mid to upper 20s in the Nature Coast, around 30
central with upper 30s to around 40 near the coast, and 30-35
southern-inland zones with upper 30s to lower 40s closer to the
coast. Winds will be gradually diminishing overnight, but wind
chills will still be a bit colder than lows, with mid to upper 20s
felt across the Nature Coast and inland areas down through the
area. Closer to the coast the feels-like temps will be lower to
mid 30s. Temps moderate a bit for the weekend, but another front
moves through the area Sunday, with Monday morning temps again
seeing freezing for the Nature Coast and possibly down into
portions of inland central zones.

Current forecast is on track with all of this. Have only made a
few adjustments to the POPs for the light showers finally making
it to the ground. Update is out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 848 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

MVFR to possible periods of IFR ceilings and MVFR visibility
possible overnight at the terminals as the prefrontal showers move
through. Ceilings will gradually improve through the later
morning and then clear out later in the afternoon. Winds will
become very gusty in the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 848 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Small Craft Advisory conditions will develop over the coastal
waters as the front pushes through the area and the pressure
gradient remains tight behind the front into early Friday. Winds
increase again with the next front on Sunday, with possible
headlines returning. Current forecast is on track and update is
out.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  55  61  36  61 /  70  30   0   0
FMY  59  68  36  66 /  70  60   0   0
GIF  53  61  32  62 /  70  30   0   0
SRQ  56  65  36  61 /  80  40   0   0
BKV  47  59  25  61 /  70  20   0   0
SPG  58  63  43  61 /  80  30   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for
     Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-
     DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-
     Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Levy-Inland
     Manatee-Inland Pasco-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Thursday to 1 AM EST Friday for
     Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from
     Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn