Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

372
FXUS62 KTBW 151200
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

 - Gusty marine winds possible late week and into the weekend.

 - High dispersions for fire weather possible late week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Another quiet day expected across the region with just some
scattered to possibly broken clouds later this morning and
afternoon as a weak backdoor cold front moves in from the
northeast. Current forecast looks good with no adjustments needed.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

VFR conditions will prevail with northeast winds increasing to
around 10 knots later this morning through the afternoon, then
diminishing back to around 5 knots or less during this evening and
overnight. Could see a shift to north northwest for a few hours at
TPA, PIE, and SRQ as the west coast sea breeze tries to move
inland this afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

An area of low pressure that has been along the eastern seaboard the
past few days has shifted farther east north of Bermuda. The
associated cold front extends southwest over the Bahamas and across
Cuba. Broad upper ridging and strong surface high pressure located
near the Great Lakes dominates the weather over the eastern half of
the CONUS through Saturday with mostly clear skies and rain-free
conditions expected. A weak backdoor cold front will move south and
east of Florida late Wednesday into Thursday, but no real impacts
are expected other than some gusty northeast winds over the eastern
gulf waters for the latter part of the week. High pressure moves
over the mid-Atlantic states by the end of the week and into the
weekend with pleasant weather and rain-free conditions continuing
through Saturday. By Sunday morning, the high has shifted farther
southeastward between the Bahamas and Bermuda. A weak cold front
will approach the area from the northwest. This will bring a shift
in the winds to the southeast to southwest and also bring a slight
uptick in moisture over the region. A stray shower may be possible
as the front moves through on Sunday. The front pushes south and
east of Florida by Monday as high pressure builds in over the
southeast U.S. Pleasant weather is expected for the first half of
next week. Near seasonal temperatures expected through the period
with daytime highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows in the
low 60s to low 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

High pressure north of the area will produce northeast winds around
10-15 knots through the day. A weak dry front moves south and east
of Florida late tonight into Thursday and will produce a tight
pressure gradient resulting in increasing winds with periods of
Cautionary winds expected over the eastern gulf waters through
Saturday. The only chance of any showers will come on Sunday as
another weak front moves across the eastern gulf waters. High
pressure then builds back into the area for the first half of next
week with pleasant weather expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 249 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Pleasant weather expected for most of the period with only a slight
chance of a shower on Sunday. No fire weather hazards are expected
as sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity
values above critical levels. Some gusty winds later in the week may
result in some high dispersions across some of the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  87  67  87  68 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  88  68  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  86  66  87  66 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  86  66  87  68 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  86  60  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  84  68  84  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Close
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Carlisle