Tampa, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

078
FXUS62 KTBW 180035
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
835 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 830 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Generally quiet conditions continue this evening with high
pressure at the surface and aloft residing across the state. High
temperatures in the area reached into the mid to high 80s, about
2-4 degrees above the climatic mean at each location. Seabreeze
boundary has pushed inland, with light easterly flow resuming
this evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

A region of high pressure sitting off the southeastern U.S. coast
continues to dominate our area, bringing about a calm weather
pattern with warm temperatures. Upper level ridging is currently
building over the state, creating high pressure both aloft and at
the surface, allowing for temperatures to climb above the climatic
means and approaching record highs into early next week. Highs
are currently in the upper 80s and are expected to rise to around
or slightly above 90 degrees over the weekend, and remain there
into next week. The easterly flow remains light enough to allow
the development of local sea breezes each afternoon near the
coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 830 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period.
Stronger easterly flow relative to today is expected tomorrow
afternoon, which could result in gusty conditions at terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

High pressure will hold over the waters through early next week
with dry conditions each day. Winds are expected to remain below
cautionary levels, with an easterly surge of wind each night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

A relatively dry airmass remains across west central and southwest
Florida. Daytime heating will cause relative humidity values to
drop to around or just below critical levels the next few afternoons
creating elevated fire weather conditions. However, winds are
expected to remain below 15 MPH which will preclude Red Flag
conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  66  90  67  90 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  90  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  61  87  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  62  89  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  56  90  58  90 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  68  86  68  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Poggiali/Hurt
DISCUSSION...Poggiali/Close
MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Close
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Giarratana