Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

766
FXUS62 KTAE 221535
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1027 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

15z surface analysis shows an area of high pressure near West
Central Alabama. Our region remains in light to moderate east
northeast flow. A disturbance off to the southwest over the Gulf
is producing a large area of cloudiness across the Mid South and
adjacent Gulf waters. Model time heights show some of this cloud
cover moving into the region between 18z and 21z today, so did
increase the sky cover and made a slight downward adjustment to
temps along and west of a Tallahassee to Albany line as confidence
is not very high that this cloud deck will erode while advancing
eastward. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast is unchanged.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 249 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Benign weather will continue through tonight with surface high
pressure across the southeast states. Afternoon highs today are
expected to range from the upper 50s to middle 60s across the area
with overnight lows ranging from the lower 30s across the northern
counties to lower 40s along the coast. Some frost is possible
tonight where temperatures reach the mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 249 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Fairly benign conditions expected through most of the extended
period. Northerly flow through midweek looks to generally keep
dew points below 50 degrees. Thus, not much in the way of moisture
return to force impactful weather.

A quick moving shortwave looks to move across the northern Gulf
states on Monday with the surface Gulf low remaining offshore. This
will place us on the cooler, stable, side of the system. Overrunning
stratiform precip is expected as instability/convection is
suppressed. Late Tuesday into Wednesday we`ll start to see a clock
around from generally northerly flow to more west-southwesterly
flow. This will allow some modest moisture return ahead of another
shortwave on Thursday. Current guidance shows favorable upper-
level support for ascent but not much shear or instability. With
dew points struggling to make it into the low to mid 50s,
convection may also be suppressed or may be limited to shallow
storms along the Gulf Coast.

Expect daytime highs initially in the low to mid 60s on Sunday to
gradually warm up throughout next week into the mid 70s. Overnight
lows will generally be in the 40s all week.

&&

.LONG TERM...

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period with light
surface winds and some high clouds streaming across the area.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 249 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Favorable boating conditions expected over the next few days with
winds generally less than 10 knots. A disturbance looks to move
across the waters on Monday leading to 2 to 4 foot seas. Seas come
back down below 2 feet Tuesday night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 249 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Transport winds will become lighter and more variable today and
Sunday. MinRH values are forecast to dip into the lower to middle
30s for most of the region. The exception to that is over the
Suwannee Valley and I-75 corridor, where MinRH is forecast to remain
a bit more elevated.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 249 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

Generally less than an inch of rain is expected over the next
week, there are currently no flooding concerns.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   64  38  64  46 /   0   0   0  30
Panama City   60  43  63  47 /   0   0  20  50
Dothan        58  35  60  43 /   0   0  10  30
Albany        59  33  61  41 /   0   0   0  30
Valdosta      63  37  64  46 /   0   0   0  20
Cross City    66  39  68  47 /   0   0   0  30
Apalachicola  60  44  60  49 /   0   0  10  50

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Godsey
NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Oliver