Miramar, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

637
FXUS62 KMFL 142254
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
554 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 538 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

  - Scattered showers continue the remainder of the afternoon and
    evening favoring east coast metro areas.

  - A strong cold front moves across the peninsula on Thursday,
    bringing increased rain chances in the morning hours and much
    colder temperatures Thursday night into Friday morning.

  - Low temperatures early Friday morning will range from the
    lower 30s around Lake Okeechobee and inland South Florida to
    the lower 40s for coastal metro areas. Apparent temperatures
    could drop into the mid 20s around the lake, with mid 30s to
    lower 40s possible for coastal metro areas.

  - Hazardous marine conditions will return to all local waters
    beginning Thursday afternoon with strong west-northwest winds
    between 25-30kts. This breezy westerly flow will lead to a
    high risk for rip currents across Collier County beaches
    beginning Thursday morning.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 136 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Guidance continues to trend slightly cooler in terms of low
temperatures for Thursday night into Friday morning. Went ahead
and issued a Freeze Watch for Glades and Hendry counties as NBM
probabilities of sub-freezing temperatures remain in the 40-60%
range this afternoon. Cold Weather Advisories will also likely be
needed for the remaining interior areas of South Florida, and
could be issued within the next 1-2 forecast packages.
Breezy west- northwest flow is expected across local waters
beginning Thursday afternoon, so Small Craft Advisories were
issued for all local waters with this update. Additionally, breezy
west flow will increase the risk for rip currents across Collier
County beaches early Thursday morning through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 302 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Ensembles guidance, along with global solutions, describe a rather
progressive synoptic pattern through Thursday, with a deepening
mid/upper lvl trough stretching across the entire Atlantic
coastline, pushing the 540/dam into central Florida by Thursday
afternoon. At the sfc, an associated frontal boundary is expected to
reach the area during the Thursday morning time frame with rain
chances increasing and spreading across all of SoFlo.

Today will see a similar weather pattern as the previous day with
prevailing westerly flow keeping 30-40 POPs focused over the east
coast metro areas in the afternoon and early evening hours.
Slightly steeper lapse rates may combine with daytime heating for
an isolated thunderstorms or two to develop, again favoring east
coast locations. Then later tonight shower coverage will begin
increasing north-to-south with the anticipated FROPA.

Thursday early/mid morning seems to be the window for the highest
chances of rain with scattered to numerous showers possible (50-70
POps area-wide). Model PWATs show values around 1.5", along with
HREF-QPF max around 1". Lifting/dynamic support remains poor as the
parent trough/low complex will be pulling NE into the eastern
seaboard. But latest guidance suggest a limited pool of
instability over the southern-most areas of the CWA for a few
thunderstorms to develop, mainly over the southern Atlantic waters
and around central/eastern Miami-Dade.

High temperatures remain in the mid-upper 70s across much of
SoFlo, with coastal areas hitting low 80s. Then temperatures cool
down several degrees with increasing shower coverage with a
frontal passage on Thursday, keeping afternoon temps in the upper
60s inland, and low-mid 70s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 302 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Long term consensus show synoptic flow over SoFlo veering northward
Thursday night into Friday as strong high pressure descend upon much
of the SE CONUS in the wake of a trough. A significantly
colder/drier airmass will follow and trigger another cold air
advection event into the state.

Coldest temperatures across SoFLo are still expected Friday morning
before sunrise, with coastal areas dropping into the upper 30s to
mid 40s, and interior/northern areas in the low-mid 30s. Glades and
Hendry may even drop to 30-31 degrees, for which protective actions
against cold weather impacts will likely be necessary. Ensure to
wear warm clothing not only for the cold air temperatures, but
also for the wind chill values, which could drop into the mid 20s
around the Lake region, and low-mid 30s elsewhere. Thus, conditons
may require a Cold Weather Advisory Friday morning if these
trends remain consistent in upcoming guidance.

Friday afternoon will still be fairly cool for being SoFlo, with
coastal warmest areas still lingering the upper 60s. Temperatures
then gradually warm up on Saturday, but still remaining around
the low-mid 70s. Then on Sunday, models seem to suggest the onset
of another cool down with yet another front approaching the area.
Uncertainty in long range guidance has decreased and confidence
has increased regarding having a dry FROPA for the late
Sunday/Monday morning timeframe. Lows may again drop into the 30s
and 40s, and Monday afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Generally VFR conditions expected through much of tonight with
lowering ceilings expected heading towards Thursday afternoon as a
frontal boundary passes across the area. Winds will veer from a
west southwest direction to the northwest by Thursday evening,
with gusts to around 25kts possible. Scattered showers will be
possible mainly during the morning hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 302 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

Winds will gradually shift to the SW today over the Atlantic
waters and increasing to around 15 kt. Over the Gulf, winds will
veer further to the NW by the afternoon hours. Scattered shower
activity will also continue through this late this afternoon,
especially over the Atlantic waters. Showers and even potential
for isolated thunderstorms will increase in the overnight to
Thursday morning time period with the arrival of a cold front.
Hazardous conditions are expected behind the front Thursday late
morning and through Friday morning.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 302 AM EST Wed Jan 14 2026

A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents remain in place for all the
beaches of Palm Beach county today. By Thursday afternoon the risk
may increase across much of the Atlantic beaches as winds increase
behind a frontal passage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            64  74  45  69 /  10  40   0   0
West Kendall     60  76  40  70 /  10  40   0   0
Opa-Locka        63  75  44  70 /  10  40   0   0
Homestead        63  76  44  70 /  10  40   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  62  73  44  68 /  20  50   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  63  73  44  69 /  20  50   0   0
Pembroke Pines   62  74  42  69 /  20  40   0   0
West Palm Beach  60  71  42  68 /  20  50   0   0
Boca Raton       61  73  42  69 /  20  50   0   0
Naples           62  71  40  67 /  60  70   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning for
     FLZ063-066.

     High Rip Current Risk from 4 AM EST Thursday through Friday
     morning for FLZ069.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Thursday to 1 AM EST Friday for
     AMZ610.

     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Thursday to 1 AM EST Friday for
     AMZ630.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday for
     AMZ650-651-670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Thursday to 5 AM EST Friday for
     GMZ656-657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...99