Miramar, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

698
FXUS62 KMFL 180742
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
242 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 241 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

Conditions will gradually improve today as a warm front gradually
lifts across the Florida peninsula. Chances of rain will depart as
the front moves northward, with mostly low-end PoPs forecast
across the local Atlantic waters. Winds will shift from the south/southwest
behind the front, and cloud cover will gradually decrease throughout
the day. As a result, high temperatures will soar to the upper 70s
and low 80s this afternoon. Areas near Lake Okeechobee will near
the low 70s during peak daytime heating.

Another area of low pressure will progress across the southeastern
US this weekend, dragging a cold front through the Florida peninsula
on Sunday. Chances for rain will increase to the 40-50% range
upon its approach sometime Sunday evening, with a probability
gradient from NW to SE where the highest chances remain near
the Lake region. At this time, models show upper level support
remaining well to our north, but a few isolated thunderstorms
could develop near the Lake region as the front pushes into our
area. Temperatures will once again remain warm as flow remains
southerly/southwesterly; highs will reach the low to mid 80s
during the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 241 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

The aforementioned front will quickly push south across the
CWA on Sunday, and is forecast to settle over the Florida Straits
on Monday. Enough instability and lingering moisture could result
in some rain activity developing over the southernmost portions
of the area (PoPs in the 20-30% range), especially along and
south of Alligator Alley. Cooler temperatures look likely behind
the front on Monday, with overnight lows in the low 50s near
the lake and low 60s near the coasts, and daytime highs up
to the low 70s.

Conditions could deteriorate further on Tuesday and Wednesday
as models continue to show a potential mid-level disturbance
and associated low pressure area developing over the Gulf
of Mexico and pushing eastward across Florida.  Such a
development would result in prolonged periods of light to
moderate rain mid-week. For now, the best chances for
heavy rain look to remain north of our region, but some
portions of South Florida have a low chance (20-30%) of seeing
up to 1-2 inches of rain between Tuesday and Wednesday
as the disturbance and associated front move across the
region. Furthermore, a tightening pressure gradient during
this time frame could result in increasingly windy NNE flow
across the region.  Temperatures during this period will remain
in the mid 70s each day, and may drop to the low 50s
to low 60s each night.

Conditions beyond the middle of the week become increasingly
murky, but ensemble guidance does suggest a drying and
warming trend will materialize towards the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

Widespread MVFR ceilings early this morning, with some occasional
IFR/LIFR ceilings especially impacting APF and SW FL. Scattered
showers through the morning. Slowly improving conditions the
second half of the day. ESE winds early this morning becoming SSW
after 11Z with some gusts around 20 kts expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 241 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

Windy southerly flow across the local Atlantic waters will
result in hazardous boating conditions today. Wind speeds
could reach the 20-25 kt range, with gusts up to 30 kt and
seas 3 to  6 ft expected. A cold front approaches the area
late Sunday and into early next week, bringing again
hazardous boating conditions for much of the coastal waters.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 241 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2025

A moderate risk of rip currents will prevail for all Atlantic
beaches today. Conditions could continue to deteriorate
throughout the weekend and into next week as a handful
of cold fronts push through the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            81  68  82  60 /  30   0  20  30
West Kendall     82  65  84  59 /  30   0  20  30
Opa-Locka        82  66  84  60 /  30   0  20  30
Homestead        81  67  82  60 /  30   0  10  30
Fort Lauderdale  81  67  82  59 /  30   0  20  30
N Ft Lauderdale  82  67  83  59 /  20   0  20  30
Pembroke Pines   84  68  85  60 /  30   0  20  30
West Palm Beach  82  66  83  57 /  10   0  30  40
Boca Raton       83  66  84  58 /  20   0  20  30
Naples           76  66  76  54 /   0  10  50  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...CMF