Security-Widefield, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

681
FXUS65 KPUB 221046
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
346 AM MST Sat Feb 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer and generally quiet weather today and tonight.

- Warm and dry Sunday through Tuesday, with a cool down for
  Wednesday and Thursday with a passing upper system.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 330 AM MST Sat Feb 22 2025

Today and Tonight...

With this recent system past us to the east, and another disturbance
moving down to the south of our area, quiet and warmer conditions
are expected today and tonight. Temperatures across our forecast
area will rise into the 40s-50s, with mostly clear skies and no
expected precipitation. With high pressure building in, surface
winds will also be relatively light, aside from some breezier
conditions over the peaks of the Central Mountains. Tonight, a few
more clouds roll in and winds become a bit more westerly. Low
temperatures will be in the teens-20s over most of the area.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 330 AM MST Sat Feb 22 2025

Good agreement remains for the extended period among the various
deterministic and ensemble guidance. Generally warm and dry
through Tuesday, with a system moving across midweek with a
cool down for a couple of days.

Sunday through Tuesday...a quick moving upper shortwave trough
will move across Colorado on Sunday, with broad northwesterly
flow across the region Monday and Tuesday. There could be a few
snow showers over the Central Mountains north of Cottonwood Pass
during this period, but any accumulations will be minor.
Temperatures will be quite nice across the region with 50s and
60s on Sunday, warming to near 70 across the Plains Monday and
Tuesday. Spotty, near critical fire weather conditions may be
possible each afternoon in gap wind prone areas of the southern
I-25 corridor.

Tuesday night through Wednesday...a quick moving upper trough
will dig south across Colorado Tuesday night through Wednesday.
This will send a cold front south across the Plains by Wednesday
morning with gusty north winds into the afternoon. Temperatures
will cool off behind the front with highs in the 50s. Periods of
light snow will be possible, mainly over the Central Mountains
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The ECMWF and ICON
guidance is dry outside of the Central Mountains. The GFS does
try and bring some light precipitation east into the Palmer
Divide on Wednesday morning. The NBM guidance is dry, similar to
the ECMWF and ICON, so kept pops confined to the Central
Mountains with minor accumulations possible.

Thursday through Saturday...upper level ridging will build over
the Intermountain West and shift east across Colorado for late
in the work week. Temperatures will begin to rebound, back
through the 60s to near 70s Thursday into Friday. Dry conditions
are forecast across the region. An upper storm system is
forecastto move into southern California by Saturday with flow
aloft transitions southwesterly. This may lead to a few showers
over the San Juans by Saturday. Mozley

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 330 AM MST Sat Feb 22 2025

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24
hours. Winds will be light, generally under 10 knots, and diurnally
driven.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO