Brighton, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

948
FXUS65 KBOU 141144
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
444 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry with above normal temperatures over the weekend and into
  early next week.

- Very windy with extreme fire weather conditions possible Tuesday
  for the foothills eastward across all of the eastern Colorado
  plains.

- Additional fire weather concerns for elevated to critical fire
  weather conditions for Sunday, Monday, and Wednesday.

- Snow returns to the mountains Tuesday and continues into
  Wednesday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 444 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

Dry air is rapidly moving in from the north at this time with
clearing skies from northwest to southeast. Looking at radar and
webcams, it appears snow has wrapped up in the mountains.
Therefore, have canceled the Winter Weather Advisory. Roads in the
mountains are slick in places and will improve with warming
temperatures and sunshine this morning.

Other update this morning was to issue a Fire Weather Watch for
northern Lincoln, eastern Elbert, Washington, Phillips, and
Sedgwick Counties where wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph will be
possible Sunday afternoon.

Looking ahead to Monday through Wednesday...latest model trends
for Monday favor weaker winds for most of the area with a surface
trough along I-25 and a low forming near/over the Palmer Divide.
If this prevails, the gustier south to southwest winds would be
limited to the far southeast part of the forecast area (Elbert,
Lincoln, and maybe Washington Counties). No changes to the Fire
Weather Watch at this time, but northern sections of the watch
could be trimmed off if the latest model trends continue. Tuesday
is still on track to be a high end fire weather day for the
eastern plains. The foothills and urban corridor likely ends up
very windy as well, but conditions are not favorable extreme winds
like we had in mid December. Wednesday likely ends up windy
again, but may be limited to southern parts of the forecast area
(along and south of I-70). This will be dependent on where the
next surface low forms, which is on track to be somewhere over
northeast Colorado.

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Friday/...
Issued at 1128 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

Radars and observations are indicating a few areas light rain
falling over the plains.  There is light snow falling over the
mountains according to cameras, radar and observations.
Temperatures are still in the 40s across the plains this evening,
with mainly 20s in the mountains and lower 30s in the Parks. The
High Resolution models have precipitation ending over the CWA from
northwest to southeast by 12-15Z Saturday morning.

Models are showing upper ridging to move back into the CWA Saturday
with moderate northwesterly flow aloft Saturday and Saturday night.
Zonal flow is progged on Sunday with the upper ridge axis pushing
eastward out of Colorado. The airmass looks dry across the forecast
area Saturday through Monday night, although there will be some
upper level cloudiness in place from time to time.

Temperatures continue to stay above seasonal normals Saturday
through Monday. Highs could warm to around 70 over the plains by
Monday.

For the later days, models still show very strong southwesterly flow
aloft Tuesday. Models have strong west-southwesterly flow aloft for
the CWA Wednesday through Friday, with a mean upper trough axis
staying west of Colorado all three days. Some pieces of energy move
across Colorado, but the entire trough itself doesn`t really push
through the state until Saturday of next week. Also it weakens as it
moves eastward. This system has not had good timing consistence over
the last several model runs.

Moisture is limited mainly to the mountains through the period, with
no periods of deep moisture all four days. Scattered to likely light
snow is progged for the mountains all four days.  For the plains,
temperatures look to be above normal Tuesday, then cool a bit
Wednesday, with near normal readings Thursday and Friday (40s for
highs). The dry conditions will continue over the plains into
Wednesday, with low level downsloping. There could be some limited
pops Wednesday night into Thursday night over the plains, but
nothing significant. There will be fire weather concerns on Tuesday,
with the strong winds expected. Elevated fire weather conditions may
still be an issue the rest of the week even with the cooling
airmass.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday/...
Issued at 444 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

Dry air is quickly moving in from the north. The sct-bkn clouds
at 4000 to 6000 feet will not be around much longer. VFR to
prevail today and tonight. Winds this morning become light and
variable, possibly becoming a southwest drainage direction 13-16Z.
Will handle this with variable since confidence in direction is
low and confidence in weak wind speed is high. Winds eventually
become northerly 16-18Z and stay a north to northeast direction
Saturday. After sunset winds will turn to a southerly drainage
direction 01-03Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1130 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected over
the southeast plains on Monday, then over most of the eastern
plains Tuesday and Wednesday. Humidities will drop into the teens
for during the afternoon hours Sunday through Wednesday. Winds
are not very strong Sunday, but increase a bit over the eastern
plains on Monday. Tuesday`s conditions look to be the most
critical with strong wind gusts up to 50 mph expected by
afternoon. Any fires that start that day would will spread
rapidly.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
for COZ215-216-238>251.

Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon
for COZ216-240-241-244>247-249.

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon
for COZ246-249>251.

&&

$$

UPDATE...12
DISCUSSION...66
AVIATION...12
FIRE WEATHER...66