Tuolumne Meadows, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

208
FXUS66 KHNX 040519
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1019 PM PDT Sun May 3 2026


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.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Wind Advisories and a Lake Wind Advisory in effect through
Monday for the Kern River Valley, Indian Wells Valley, and
Mojave Desert. Wind Advisory for the Mojave Desert Slopes in
effect through Tuesday morning.

2. 15 to 35 percent chance of thunderstorms over the Sierra
Nevada Monday, decreasing to 10 to 15 percent on Tuesday. 5 to
15% chance across the Valley and into the foothills during this
period.

3. Cooler, unsettled weather until Tuesday with snow above
7,000 feet in the Sierra Nevada.

4. Gusty winds along the Sierra Crest and eastern Tulare and
Kern Counties.

5. Warming trend on Wednesday into next weekend.

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.DISCUSSION...
Some very late afternoon and evening thunderstorms popped up
over the Sierra Nevada on Sunday as a cutoff low continued its
southward trek. This cutoff low moves onshore on Monday bringing
cooler temperatures and a continuation of the potential for
thunderstorms for the Sierra Nevada. There is a 15 to 35 percent
chance of thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada Monday. There
remains a 30 to 60 percent chance of 4 inches of snow or more
above 8,000 feet as the bulk of the moisture moves in on Monday.
In the Valley, however, there is a 10 to 20 percent chance of a
tenth of an inch of rain on Monday and Tuesday. Strong winds
also remain a concern as there are wind advisories in effect
through Monday night for the Kern River Valley and most of the
Mojave Desert and through Tuesday morning for the Mojave Slopes.

The low gradually moves more east on Tuesday with thunderstorm
probabilities dropping to 10 to 15 percent over the Sierra
Nevada. The winds also will decrease on Tuesday but will remain
gusty for the Mojave. Wednesday brings the beginning of a warm
and dry trend as a ridge slides in and will strengthen into the
weekend. Latest probabilities show a 50 to 65 percent chance of
the first triple digits of the year on Sunday and a 75 to 95
percent chance of triple digits next Monday and Tuesday.
Because of this, the CPC outlooks strongly favor above average
temperatures at 70 to 90 percent.

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.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours over Central
California, except in and near thunderstorms, where MVFR and IFR
conditions can be expected.

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.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.

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.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 8 AM PDT Tuesday for CAZ338.
Wind Advisory until midnight PDT tonight for CAZ308-313.
Lake Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday for CAZ332.
Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday for CAZ337-339.
&&

$$

JPK

weather.gov/hanford